So, just to recap


Bush's boy at the NYT, MICHAEL R. GORDON, posts an article today with the headline, Bush Distorts Qaeda Links, Critics Assert. The usual unnamed "Military intelligence officials" and "American intelligence agencies" are cited in what could not be considered Gordon's best effort at fellating state power to-date. However, Gordon cites only one lone 'critic', Bruce Riedel of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy and a former C.I.A. official. So, those admiring of Gordon's work shouldn't feel completely abandoned.

Gordon seems to yawn his way through starkly damning figures. We know, and Gordon writes, that Bush has trotted out al Qaeda "with frequency in the past few months" in attempts to bolster support for his ongoing Failure In Iraq® adventure story, ostensibly to create more of the same. It's a never ending story, dontcha know. Let's look at what is useful in the rest of the article:

    • Simple. "Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia did not exist before the Sept. 11 attacks."

Hey, you don't see that written everyday. In fact, it seems not to have been known inside the beltway for years. Gordon quotes Gen. Petraeus saying AQM is “the principal short-term threat to Iraq.” [underline mine -ww] Its a sign. Of something. I wish they would stick to the established Friedman Unit of Measurement, though.

    • American intelligence agencies believe AQM is "overwhelmingly Iraqi", and "financing is derived largely indigenously from kidnappings and other criminal activities."

Neat. Didn't mention Saudi Arabia even once.

    •"Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, a Jordanian who became the leader of Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia, came to Iraq in 2002 when Saddam Hussein was still in power."

This would roughly coincide with the time frame when nearly everyone on the planet, except for Congress, possibly, felt pretty sure about the chances of war with Iraq. In the salad days of summer 2002 everyone I remember talking to thought it a done deal. We made guesses on when, not whether. I said 18 months. ooops.

    • Gordon writes: The precise size of Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia is not known. Estimates are that it may have from a few thousand to 5,000 fighters and perhaps twice as many supporters. While the membership of the group is mostly Iraqi, the role that foreigners play is crucial.

I'm not entirely sure what difference is meant between 'fighter' and 'supporter', or even what 'crucial' means in this context, for that matter. Gordon doesn't say. But, if the "overwhelmingly Iraqi" AQM is 15k strong, has 5k fighters and is the "principal short-term threat" in Iraq, just what in the hell is Bush talking about, and why do we have nearly 200,000 soldiers in Iraq for over 4 years? You still need an armed escort to get from the airport to the Greenzone, for cryin' out loud. Don't take your helmet off upon arrival either.

I'm pretty sure Gordon's intention wasn't to so bluntly map out what a complete farce and deadly charade this war has become. But that's the deal. His remark on Bush's "stark and ominous defense" was fairly cogent too. I can only surmise that Gordon is preoccupied with a Bloodthirsty Monster Iran deadline.


ww July 13, 2007 - 3:45pm
( categories: Iraq )

Washington Post compliations from several sources in leading US media beginning after subtitle, Bush at War, on page 2.

Without exception all indicate that Bush is distorting the facts.

canuck July 13, 2007 - 4:35pm

...that Gordon isn't the cheerleader for the administration that the groupthink seems to have labeled him as. Near as I can tell, what he publishes is generally the consensus belief of the int folks in the higher echelons of CJFT-7.

"When intelligence producers realize that there is no sense in forwarding to a consumer knowledge which does not correspond to his preconceptions, then intelligence is through." ~ Sherman Kent

JustPlainDave July 13, 2007 - 4:52pm

So what he publishes is the groupthink of the int folks in the higher echelons of CJFT-7.

Interesting that CJFT-7 thinks that al-Qa'eda is the primary enemy in Iraq (something Gordon pushes), though. In some respects that's a much scarier thought than that Gordon is a water carrier for the administration.

Ian Welsh July 14, 2007 - 6:52am

...and then think about how the pieces fit together. They said al-Qa`eda in Iraq is "the principal short-term threat to Iraq". That emphasis on short-term is one hell of an important qualifier. The biggest danger is the sectarian violence - the group that does the most to keep the sectarian violence rolling is al-Qa`eda in Iraq. There's myriad signs that significant elements on both sides of the divide are trying to come to accommodations, if they can keep a bit of a lid on the sectarian violence. It's damnably difficult as a Shia leader to keep one's own sectarian forces in check when al-Qa`eda in Iraq is launching mass casualty attacks. Hence, there really is some basis for identifying al-Qa`eda in Iraq as the principal short-term danger - I don't know that I agree with that assessment myself, but it doesn't come from Mars, either.

"When intelligence producers realize that there is no sense in forwarding to a consumer knowledge which does not correspond to his preconceptions, then intelligence is through." ~ Sherman Kent

JustPlainDave July 14, 2007 - 9:38am

Fair enough.

Ian Welsh July 14, 2007 - 5:21pm

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