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Tough Talks: Pakistan and AfghanistanI advocate all the time for talking as a means of resolving conflicts. Somehow this has become a somewhat radical idea, but like Roosevelt and Reagan I believe that we can talk with people even in the midst of conflict. Talks encounter all kinds of hurdles. But that doesn't make it a bad idea to talk. When talks break down, the pessimists - and the hawks - will be quick to gloat over that fact, arguing that it reinforces the need for heavy-handed military solutions. And when that happens, sane people should remind everyone that shutting down channels of communication rarely works. With that said, recent talks between Pakistan's civilian government and hardline pro-Taliban elements are breaking down. About a week and a half ago, the Taliban decided to suspend talks, citing the government's continued military presence in the tribal areas of northwest Pakistan as an obstacle to an agreement, despite the fact that all parties seemed interested in the draft proposal that was then on the table. Alex Thurston May 8, 2008 - 10:42pm
( categories: Afghanistan | Analysis )
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April 10
Another spring, another promised Taliban offensive in Afghanistan. This time it will be different, claim the Taliban, bolstered by hard-nosed tacticians and seasoned fighters who have honed their skills in Kashmir and the Pakistani tribal areas. Coalition forces in Afghanistan, while concerned over disruptions to their supply lines, are unmoved: bring them on, they say.
The Taliban have identified the town of Torkham, at the Afghanistan end of the fabled Khyber Pass, as a crucial weak point in the supply lines that maintain the international military presence in Afghanistan. Significantly, the first in a planned series of six joint intelligence centers along the border has been opened at Torkham, in what the US describes as "a giant step forward". If only Pakistan would play along.
Colonel 9th of his rank to be killed in Iraq
Family members are mourning an Army colonel who had worked at Redstone Arsenal in Alabama and who is only the ninth solider of his rank to have been killed in the Iraq war.
Col. Stephen Scott died Sunday during a mortar attack on facilities inside the protected Green Zone in Baghdad, which houses the U.S. Embassy. An avid jogger, the 54-year-old Scott was killed as he exercised on a treadmill in a U.S. military facility, according to his sister, Kathleen King.
** Army, Marine brass say readiness a concern
** The surge is working, just ask the Pale Horse
** Three die in Mosul car blasts
** Curfews, Clashes, Protests and Mortars ~ Juan Cole
** New rules for military on running for office
** Iraq: 5 more U.S. soldiers killed; civilian death toll rising
Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).
Despite a certain reshuffling of NATO troop commitments, with France, Georgia, Poland, and other countries contributing around 2,000 soldiers total, and the US promising an unspecified contribution for 2009, the NATO effort in Afghanistan still suffers from fatal strategic flaws.
What the International Crisis Group said in February remains true:
Afghanistan is not lost but the signs are not good. Its growing insurgency reflects a collective failure to tackle the root causes of violence. Six years after the Taliban’s ouster, the international community lacks a common diagnosis of what is needed to stabilise the country as well as a common set of objectives. Long-term improvement of institutions is vital for both state building and counter-insurgency, but without a more strategic approach, the increased attention and resources now directed at quelling the conflict could even prove counterproductive by furthering a tendency to seek quick fixes. Growing tensions over burden sharing risk undermining the very foundations of multilateralism, including NATO’s future.
A Canadian general underlines the need for comprehensive strategies, not "winning":
"I never use the term winning because it too simplistic and does not relate to what we are doing here," Maj.-Gen. Marc Lessard said in his first formal interview since assuming command of NATO's Regional Command South in January.
"The question really is, 'Are we making progress: Yes or no?' The fact is that I think we are making significant progress."
[snip]
"A lot of people talk, 'We need more troops, more troops.' I think it is more about better synchronization between security, development and governance in terms of a comprehensive plan for Afghanistan."
Of course, many people agree that we need to develop more effective strategies. The main disagreements relate to how we can do this.
In my view, there are two main areas where we could do a better job: reducing civilian casualties and increasing the effectiveness of aid. Sadly, we're failing on both.
KILLING CIVILIANS
Some argue that civilian deaths are an inevitable byproduct of modern warfare. Indeed, observers have noted that wars have tended to inflict more civilian casualties as technology advances and the area of potential battle zones widens. But the civilian death toll in Afghanistan is unnecessarily high, as evidenced by disparities in the casualties America inflicts and those our allies inflict, even when the intensity of the fighting is comparable. Another piece of evidence is the condemnation of international bodies, who after careful scrutiny have deemed that our behavior exceeds reasonable standards.
So as yet another investigation into civilian deaths caused by American forces begins, we have to ask ourselves what we might be doing wrong. Aside from the obvious questions regarding the use of cluster bombs and the general indifference to civilian casualties that men such as Bush, Cheney, and Rumself have displayed, there is also the issue of our short-sightedness. We learn from the BBC (see link above) that the 33 civilians who were (it seems) killed in the strike in question were in the wrong place at the wrong time: close to Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, an Islamic warlord who "has long been a thorn in the coalition's side."
That's true, of course. But before his long career as a thorn, he was our friend - and as we do with all our friends, we gave him money and guns:
During the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, Hekmatyar received millions of dollars from the CIA through Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). According to some, ISI's decision to allocate the highest percentage of covert aid to Hekmatyar was based on his record as an effective anti-Soviet military commander in Afghanistan.[6] Others describe his position as the result of having "almost no grassroots support and no military base inside Afghanistan," and thus being the much more "dependent on Pakistani President Zia-ul-Haq's protection and financial largess" than other mujahideen factions.
Hekmatyar has been harshly criticized for his behavior during the Soviet and civil war.
"Harshly criticized?" If I recall correctly, in Good Muslim, Bad Muslim Mahmood Mamdani says that Hekmatyar was one of those charming fellows who used to throw acid on women's uncovered faces in Kabul during the 80s. This guy Hekmatyar, never a real friend of the Taliban during the 90s, served a stint as prime minister in the early 90s before they ran him out of the capital.
It would be nice if more of this background was mentioned when we hear about dozens of civilian deaths connected to an attack on a man referred to simply as a dangerous warlord by the mainstream media. Because if we talked more about why people like Hekmatyar turned from friends to foes, we might have to interrogate the logic that ignores all the consequences of our actions. Is it outside the realm of possibility that just as our actions in the past caused some of our problems in the present, our actions in the present - such as murdering and alienating significant portions of the Afghan populace - might come back to haunt us in the future?
I'm not saying we should make nice with thugs like Hekmatyar. But I sure wish we would focus more on "tackling the root causes of violence," as ICG suggested, rather than producing more violence. Because until we can undercut the support that warlords have - support that comes from poppies, political instability, the proliferation of small arms, government corruption, and all the other problems we aren't solving - there will be no shortage of new thugs to take Hekmatyar's place once we do kill him. Violence on its own, in other words, cannot solve the problems represented by someone like Hekmatyar. We have to focus on structural solutions as well.
Which brings me to the second glaringly obvious problem in Afghanistan: the failure of "nationbuilding."
AID
Al Jazeera brings us a frustrating but unsurprising report on what our tax dollars in Afghanistan actually go towards:
Afghanistan is highly dependent on foreign aid, but a new study says that much of it is being wasted.
The Agency Coordinating Body for Afghan Relief, an alliance of 94 international aid agencies, said in a report on Tuesday that a vast amount is spent on expatriate staff's high salaries, security and living arrangements.
Since 2001, 40 per cent of Western aid worth $15 billion have been spent on projects that return money to donor nations through fees to contractors and salaries to employees from those countries.
The study says that Afghanistan's biggest donor, USAID, allocates close to half of its funds to five large US contractors and that "it is clear that substantial amounts of aid continue to be absorbed in corporate profits."
The five companies are KBR, the Louis Berger Group, Chemonics International, Bearing Point and Dyncorp International, the report said.
The report, which was written by Oxfam, a British charity, said the cost of a full-time expatriate consultant working in Afghanistan is around $250,000. It is some 200 times the average annual salary of an Afghan civil servant, who is paid less than $1,000 per year.
The report also notes that more aid is going to urban than rural areas, despite the fact that most Afghans live in villages - and the fact that the Taliban's support is especially strong in some rural areas. Put together the rural population being left out in the cold, and their suffering as "collateral damage" in our attempts to root out the Taliban through force alone, and it's no wonder we're failing to "win hearts and minds."
Think of everything we could do with those $250,000 salaries, and you may start to agree with ICG that all is far from lost in Afghanistan. Wells, roads, clinics, farming machines, clothing, farm subsidies, buses, microcredit, job training...the possibilities are there, and if any population in the world needs our help it is Afghanistan's.
And of course, with Afghanistan's government reputedly more corrupt than the Taliban, ordinary people are going to look to either us or our enemies to provide them with security, justice, and assistance. Again, as ICG said, it comes down to institution-building. If we succeed in that, we have a foundation on which to build some success. If not, we can achieve as many military victories as we like, and then watch them slip through our fingers like so many grains of sand. Don't believe me? I'll ask you in another six and a half years, then.
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Rudd fails to get NATO support for Afghan drug eradicationBucharest, Romania | April 4
NZ Herald - Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has failed in his bid get NATO allies to take immediate action to destroy Afghanistan's drug crops, and the funds they provide for the Taliban.
And the summit of NATO members and other coalition partners in Afghanistan appear to have fallen short of their target of getting an additional 10,000 forces into the war zone.
So far, France has made the biggest extra commitment of up to 1000 troops for eastern Afghanistan, adding to the 1600 already in the field.
The French forces will free up United States capacity which will now move to the south to work with the Canadians who had been threatening to withdraw their soldiers without additional support.
Iraq to Afghanistan: The "Real Fight" and Dangerous ExpectationsI am concerned that progressives and Democratic candidates who base their arguments for withdrawal from Iraq on the idea that we have to focus on the "real fight" in Afghanistan (and, in some formulations, Pakistan) are playing a dangerous game.
The argument is tempting. Republicans have not only utterly botched the running of our government, they've started to lose credibility on their perennial rhetorical strengths: "fiscal conservatism" (whatever that means) and national security, among others. Progressives rightly recognize their opportunity to step in and beat conservatives on their own turf. Just like we can show that we're better with money than they are, we can show that we can manage the military more effectively.
Iraq and Afghanistan: Dual FrontsTeam Agonist
MARCH 29
U.S. Airstrikes Aid Iraqi Army in Basra Siege
The American military conducted airstrikes Thursday and Friday to back up stalled Iraqi forces in Basra and battle Shiite militias in Baghdad as continued violence and political infighting worsened the prospects for any timely reconciliation among Iraq’s warring factions.
Although American officials have emphasized that the campaign in the southern port city of Basra is directed by Iraqi forces, the Iraqis have failed so far to wrest control of neighborhoods in Basra from Shiite militias and asked the Americans and British to step in.
** More on the hell that is Iraq at Informed Comment/Juan Cole
** Iraq’s leader softens ultimatum to disarm as Shiite militias stand ground in Basra
** U.S. Has Little Influence, Few Options in Iraq's Volatile South
** Look to Basra for signs of where Iraq is headed
** US Mid-East commander is replaced
Deadly blast in south Afghanistan
A bomb explosion near a power plant in southern Afghanistan has killed two employees, police say.
Helmand province police chief Mohammad Hussein Andiwal said six people had been hurt in the blast in the Gereshk district of the troubled region.
He told AFP news agency that the remote-controlled device was apparently hidden near the wall of the plant.
Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).
Iraq and Afghanistan: Dual FrontsAcross Iraq, battles erupt with Mahdi Army
The Mahdi Army's seven-month-long cease-fire appears to have come undone.
Rockets fired from the capital's Shiite district of Sadr City slammed into the Green Zone Tuesday, the second time in three days, and firefights erupted around Baghdad pitting government and US forces against the militia allied to the influential Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.
At the same time, the oil-export city of Basra became a battleground Tuesday as Iraqi forces, backed by US air power, launched a major crackdown on the Mahdi Army elements. British and US forces were guarding the border with Iran to intercept incoming weapons or fighters, according to a senior security official in Basra.
The US blames the latest attacks on rogue Mahdi Army elements tied to Iran, but analysts say the spike in fighting with Shiite militants potentially opens a second front in the war when the American military is still doing battle with the Sunni extremists of Al Qaeda in Iraq.
"The cease-fire is over; we have been told to fight the Americans," said one Mahdi Army militiaman, who was reached by telephone in Sadr City. This same man, when interviewed in January, had stated that he was abiding by the cease-fire and that he was keeping busy running his cellular phone store.
** The battle for Basra: Iraqis fight Mahdi army as British troops remain at base
** Violence erupts in Basra as Iraqi forces battle Mehdi Army
** Baghdad mortuary sees rise in number of corpses
** Canada:Army begins using $150,000 artillery shells in Afghanistan
Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).
PTSD home opposed for fear of ‘deranged’ vetsScott Lindlaw | Guereville, Ca. | March 23
AP - Merry Lane, a cul-de-sac shaded by redwoods in Sonoma County wine country, would seem a pleasant place to recover from the psychic wounds of war. Nadia McCaffrey’s dream is to set up a group home there for veterans plagued by post-traumatic stress disorder.
But she is running into stiff resistance from the neighbors. They not only object to the brand-new structure itself, which looks like a four-story apartment house wedged amid their cabins, they are also worried that deranged veterans will move in.
At a community meeting in December, “one person was concerned that even firecrackers would set these people off,” said Andrew Eckers, 54, who lives across the street.
McCaffrey, whose son was killed in Iraq in 2004, said she has tried to reassure the neighbors, but “they are afraid of it because they don’t want to understand it.”
Iraq & Afghanistan: Dual FrontsTeam Agonist | Week of March 16
March 22
Coping With Loss, Military Kin Also Struggle With a Windfall
Some relatives of service members killed in war take death benefits as an affront, while others are thrown off balance by a sudden infusion of $500,000.
** How German Intelligence Helped Justify the US Invasion of Iraq
** Travis Pinn and Vincent Emanuele served side by side in Anbar Province. Now civilians again, one just wants the quiet life; the other aspires to help end the war.
** Iraqi Shiites Given Grim Warning
** Families of Iraq Captives Cling to a Grisly Find
Afghan Idol finale, Prophet protests show two faces of Afghanistan
In a well-guarded hotel on top of a high hill, a lively audience of Afghans and American VIPs watched the season finale of Afghanistan's version of "American Idol." Singers performed on a star-shaped stage while cutting-edge graphics flashed in the background.
Meanwhile, only a couple hundred meters (yards) down that hill, thousands of Afghans demonstrated Friday against the publication of Prophet Mohammad drawings in Denmark, yelling "Down with Denmark" and "Death to America."
Richard Holbrooke, a former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations under President Bill Clinton, was among the VIPs watching the filming of "Afghan Star." But because of the protests outside, he couldn't leave the hotel when he had planned to. He took note of the irony.
"I love it, fabulous. Better than 'American Idol,'" Holbrooke said of the show. "It shows the two Afghanistans. The riots down there and the show up here."
Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).
You Call Yourself a Liberal/Progressive? Pleeeze!Excuse me if I offend anyone in this article, but I would like to know what happened to the Democratic Party? I always thought of Democrats as those that supported Unions, workers, the middle-class, civil liberties and silly things like that. One thing I was also taught to do was to follow the money when it comes to whom really is supporting who in things such as criminal enterprises and of course, politics. I have been around for a while now, and I believe that I’m just as aware of what’s happening in my own country as anyone else. In fact, I believe that I’m really more aware of what’s happening than most. I am a voracious reader and I have a lot of time on my hands and I actually try to dig behind the rhetoric I hear. What I have found amazes me.
The American Insanity ConundrumIt just goes to show that some people will never “get it”. The Progressive Press has whipped up a cauldron of molten ire against George W. Bush’s statement that the war in Iraq was “worth it”. My God, how could he say such a thing? The Progressive Press remarks; “Doesn’t he know that almost 4,000 Americans and untold Iraqi’s have died in a quagmire? Doesn’t he realize that the cost of this war is in the trillions? Doesn’t he realize that we are no closer to victory than we were five long years ago?”
Sure he does. He just doesn’t really care. He feels that as long as the defense contractors are making windfall profits along with Halliburton and their subsidiary KBR, and are getting gigantic no-bid contracts, and the Federal Reserve pours trillions of dollars at interest into the economy, making the bankers rich, and as long as the oil companies can get their hands on that Iraqi oil, the world is a great place. If you believe that he sees anything as wrong or right, you have a problem with your perception.
'Idol' airs Afghans' talents – and social divisionsAnand Gopal | Kabul | March 18
CSM - Female contestant Lima Sahar caused a nationwide debate about women's roles before being voted off last week.
As millions prepare to cast their ballots Friday in this country's version of "American Idol," known here as "Afghan Star," Fatima Hashemi is still lamenting the loss of her favorite contestant.
"I voted for Lima because she is a woman," she says, referring to Lima Sahar, who was eliminated last week but made headlines by lasting longer than any other female contestant in the program's three-year history. "I tried to convince my friends to vote, too."
The wildly popular show has sparked discussions nationwide about gender and ethnic identity, which observers say mirror debates that mark Afghan society in the post-Taliban era.
The young woman's improbable rise from the deeply conservative Kandahar district to the small screen, where a gauzy, colorful scarf barely hides her hair, has inspired many women here. "To see a woman express herself like this means others can do it, too," Ms. Hashemi says.
Not everyone is thrilled with the show's success. "I condemn this program – Islam does not allow it," says Shamsal Rahman Frotan, associated with the Ulema Council, an influential religious body. "The Koran says that a woman should not even recite prayers with a loud voice."
The Winter Soldier ConferenceThe Winter Soldier is underway in Washington DC. There, brave Iraq Vets are testifying to criminal acts committed while on duty in Iraq and Afghanistan. These orders came from the top down and the rules of engagement changed from day to day, all outside the scope of International Law. These soldiers and sailors have been vetted and they are speaking “Truth to Power”, something that also happened during 1971 at the First Winter Soldier.
The Seminar is getting huge mainstream media attention, however this is mostly International attention, the US media doesn’t seem at all interested in reporting on this, which is par for the course. The facts are that the Iraq War has only 1% of the coverage of the MSM. This is different than the pre-surge level of 15%. It seems as if the perception in this country is that the US has “turned the corner” in Iraq. This is the farthest thing from the truth. This week alone was one of the most violent weeks since before the surge. 12 US soldiers were killed last week alone.
