Guy Bechor outlines what he says will be a fractious, chaotic transition from authoritarian rule for Middle East states:
The “Afghanistanization” of the Arab world started a decade ago, with the disintegration of Lebanon and Iraq into militias, tribes and denominations; then it spread to the Palestinian Authority, Somalia and Yemen. Today, Lebanon is a militia ”” Hezbollah ”” that has a state. But the process got tremendous impetus from what is called ”œthe Arab Spring.” The rest of the Arab countries are breaking up and disappearing, local identities rise in their place usually in the form of violent, armed militias. Not only is the Arab state disappearing but so are its institutions ”” a process passing over the entire Arab space and transforming it into the local version of Afghanistan. Nationalism is on the wane, and in its stead ”” rise of the militias.
More links below the fold.
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- The Indy: Tony Blair blocked Cabinet from hearing contrary legal advice on Iraq as new revelations spark omnipartisan calls for an emergency reconvening of the Chilcot Inquiry (Looking backwards, not forward? The mother country is so quaint sometimes.)
- Greece is a pretty shitty place to be an undocumented migrant of dusky hue ATM
- The inimitable Susie Bright has a trademark no-holds-barred, full-bore response to Anne-Marie Slaughter’s recent lightning rod contribution to the mommy wars: “The luxury of coddling & infantilizing is for the privileged; that’s what makes these stories so nauseating.” (and more from Rebecca Traister, Lindsay Beyerstein and E.J. Graff.)
- Defiant success of the Nordic Model belies outside rush to blame strong unions, high tax levels and strong regulation for ongoing Eurozone crisis: Daniel Sachs
- Pat Lang gives UVA holy hell over Sullivan firing: “In short the business community and the moneyed class are buying the universities just as the same people are buying political power with the help of the Citizen’s United SCOTUS decision.”
- Steve LeVine on why plummeting oil prices are bad news for Putin and other petrocrats (Previously: why the new golden age of oil is bad news for U.S. carbon reduction efforts; New America Foundation podcast featuring LeVine)
- And finally, Inside Syria looks at the current state Turkish-Syrian relations: “As Syria shoots down a Turkish jet, we ask if the incident will escalate into more violence between the two countries.” (Don’t bet on it, says James Joyner.)