Resignation of China's Senior Leader Appears Imminent


Joseph Kahn | Beijing | September 19

NYT - Jiang Zemin, China's military chief and longtime senior leader, may formally step down on Sunday, putting President Hu Jintao in full command of the Chinese Army, state and governing party, according to people informed of the proceedings of a secretive Communist Party meeting.

Background thread with recent stories on the power struggles and the current meeting here.

September 19, 2004

Resignation of China's Senior Leader Appears Imminent

By JOSEPH KAHN

BEIJING, Sept. 18 - Jiang Zemin, China's military chief and longtime senior leader, may formally step down on Sunday, putting President Hu Jintao in full command of the Chinese Army, state and governing party, according to people informed of the proceedings of a secretive Communist Party meeting.

Mr. Jiang's retirement, which has not been confirmed by official sources, would come as a surprise to many political experts, who expected him to remain chairman of the Central Military Commission and the de facto senior leader until 2007.

It remains possible that his resignation, submitted earlier this month and now said to be under consideration by a top decision-making body, may be rejected. But Mr. Jiang, 78, who became China's top political and military leader after the crackdown on pro-democracy protesters in 1989, has come under heavy pressure to allow a new generation of leaders to grapple with China's mounting political and economic challenges.

People who have seen Mr. Jiang or spoken to his relatives in recent weeks say he has serious health problems. One person said he had throat cancer; another said he had persistent heart troubles. It was unclear whether these health issues might have forced Mr. Jiang to retire before he was ready, or, whether they might provide a cover story for a decision that has more to do with internal politicking.

Mr. Hu, 61, who took Mr. Jiang's titles of Communist Party chief in 2002 and president in 2003, has put forward plans to inject more transparency and discipline into the one-party political system and to raise incomes of blue-collar workers and peasants. But Mr. Hu has also imposed stricter controls on the media than those that existed when Mr. Jiang held China's top titles, and he has ruled out experimenting with Western-style democracy. He remains an enigma, a carefully crafted product of the Communist Party system, whose innate reserve appears to have been magnified by behind-the-scenes tussles for influence with Mr. Jiang.

Though Mr. Hu and Mr. Jiang have not openly clashed over policy matters, several party officials have argued that they had become the effective standard-bearers for rival schools of thought on many domestic and foreign policy issues. The notion that there are two camps at the top may have made lower-level officials less inclined to carry out policies they oppose, including the continuing campaign to slow China's overheated economy and curtail wasteful state spending.

Numerous questions remain about Mr. Jiang's actions. Among them is why he submitted his resignation a short time after party officials said he appeared to be trying to enhance his authority.

In recent months, he has promoted numerous military officials to higher posts. Experts took that as a sign that he was solidifying his control of the military rather than preparing to hand his responsibilities to Mr. Hu, as had been agreed before the leadership transition in 2002. State media also increased its coverage of Mr. Jiang in recent months.

Party officials say that in recent private meetings with leading scholars, Mr. Jiang challenged the economic program pursued by Mr. Hu and Wen Jiabao, the prime minister.

Earlier this year, Mr. Jiang opposed and effectively sidelined a new framework for China's foreign policy Mr. Hu had developed. Mr. Jiang argued that a slogan Mr. Hu had begun using to describe China's ambitions as a great power, "peaceful rise," sent the wrong signal at a time when Beijing was warning Taiwan that moves toward independence would provoke military retaliation.

Mr. Jiang was active enough in recent weeks that several well-informed political analysts in Beijing said they suspected that his proffered resignation, which The New York Times first reported earlier this month, might be a trick to mobilize his core constituency, or to fend off the attacks from party elders anxious for him to retire. Those people speculated that Mr. Jiang might have intended to have his resignation rejected, perhaps on the ground that sensitive foreign policy problems, including those involving Taiwan and North Korea, required his continued attention.

That remains possible. But two people informed about the leadership's decision-making process said they expected the full 198-member Central Committee to vote on Mr. Jiang's resignation and a new slate of candidates to fill slots on the Central Military Commission before its annual four-day session ends Sunday.

These people said it was unlikely that Mr. Jiang's resignation would be under consideration by the Central Committee if it were merely a gambit, as matters that go before that body tend to be pre-approved by the governing Politburo.

Moreover, Mr. Jiang told domestic and foreign visitors in recent weeks that he was wary of the appearance that he is clinging to power and has every intention of handing over authority to Mr. Hu, as has been the formal plan of the Communist Party since at least the late 1990's.

Mainland media have not carried any news about Mr. Jiang's resignation. But Reuters, Agence France-Presse and The South China Morning Post, a Hong Kong-based English-language daily, all carried reports Saturday quoting party and diplomatic sources as saying Mr. Jiang's retirement would be announced on Sunday.

It is not clear how the Central Military Commission, which controls all of China's armed forces, would be restructured under a new chairman.

Mr. Hu is currently a vice chairman of the eight-member commission, along with two generals, Guo Boxiong and Cao Gangchuan. Mr. Jiang has been thought to favor promoting his longtime protégé and ally, Vice President Zeng Qinghong, to serve as a vice chairman. Two people informed about a recent debate inside the military commission said Mr. Jiang made Mr. Zeng's promotion a condition of his retirement. They also said Mr. Hu opposed this move, possibly because it would leave his control of the military incomplete.

Chris Buckley contributed reporting for this article.


artappraiser September 18, 2004 - 1:03pm
( categories: News | Asia: NE & Koreas )

 

Sep 19, 2004

Chinese Government Says Former President Jiang Zemin Has Stepped Down; Hu Heads Military

By Audra Ang

Associated Press Writer

BEIJING (AP) - Former president Jiang Zemin turned over his last major post as chairman of the commission that runs China's military to his successor Hu Jintao, the government said Sunday, completing the country's first peaceful leadership transition since its 1949 revolution.

Jiang, whose term was to have run until 2007, handed in his resignation during a meeting of the ruling Communist Party's Central Committee, the official Xinhua News Agency said in a brief dispatch.

The committee "approved Hu to take over the (Central Military Commission) chairmanship after accepting Jiang's resignation," Xinhua said. It did not say why Jiang chose to leave before his term was up.

Xu Caihou, 61, will replace Hu as deputy chairman, Xinhua said. In 1999, Xu became a vice director in the People's Liberation Army, China's massive military.

Diplomats and political analysts didn't expect any major announcements from the four-day meeting of the 198-member Central Committee which began behind closed doors on Thursday. The session, which ended Sunday, was to focus on looking for ways to improve party governance.

But media reports that Jiang would step down began circulating days before the meeting began.

Citing unidentified sources, The New York Times said on its Web site Saturday that the former president might possibly cite heart trouble or cancer as an excuse for an early exit. The 78-year-old Jiang, however, has given no public sign of illness.

The resignation might also mean that Jiang is using a well-worn tactic in Chinese politics to shore up his position by mobilizing public declarations of support and having backers beg him to stay.

Jiang's retirement would complete the first peaceful leadership transition since the Communists took power in 1949. Party leaders have been keen on a peaceful transfer of power as they wrestle economic and social problems ranging from rural proverty to corruption to relations with rival Taiwan.

Hu has long been expected to inherit the top position in the military commission. Taking the post would ensure Hu's status as the country's paramount leader, although he would still be surrounded by Jiang allies on the nine-member Standing Committee, the party's highest echelon of power.

Hu, 62, took over as party leader in 2002 and became president early the following year in a long-planned handover to younger leaders. Jiang retained his influence after 13 years as party leader by holding on to his military post - along with its power and privileges - when he stepped down.

Since all other leaders of Jiang's generation gave up their official posts by early 2003, the former president's continued political power and the divided national leadership has been awkward for Hu and Premier Wen Jiabao.

Recent media reports have noted signs of tension between Hu and Jiang, but given China's closed and secretive political system, the speculation is virtually impossible to prove.

Jiang, a former Shanghai mayor, was plucked from obscurity by then-supreme leader Deng Xiaoping to lead the party in 1989 after pro-democracy protests and an internal power struggle threatened to tear it apart.

Deng nominated Hu as Jiang's successor in the early 1990s, setting in motion a succession that was just completed.

AP-ES-09-19-04 0504EDT

This story can be found at: http://ap.tbo.com/ap/breaking/MGB8IGTYAZD.html

Go Back To The Story

Tina September 19, 2004 - 12:03pm

New York Times

September 19, 2004 updated 2:02pm et

Senior Leader Resigns in China, Leaving President in Full Control

By JOSEPH KAHN

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/19/international/asia/19CND-CHIN.html?hp

BEIJING, Sept. 19 -- President Hu Jintao of China replaced Jiang Zemin as the country's military chief and de facto top leader today, state media announced, completing the first orderly transfer of power in Communist Party history.

Mr. Hu, who became Communist Party chief in 2002 and president in 2003, now commands the state, the military and the ruling party. He will set both foreign and domestic policy in the world's most populous country, which now has the world's seventh-largest economy and is rapidly emerging as a great power.

The transition marks a significant victory for Mr. Hu, a relatively unknown product of the Communist Party machine. He has solidified control of China's most powerful posts at a younger age -- he is now 61 -- than any Chinese leader since Mao Zedong, and is now likely to be able govern relatively unimpeded by powerful elders.

Mr. Jiang's resignation, which came as a surprise to many party officials who expected the tenacious elder leader to cling to power for several more years, came after tensions between Mr. Jiang and Mr. Hu began to affect policy making in the one-party state, some officials and political analysts said.

Mr. Jiang, 78, may be suffering from health problems, several people informed about leadership debates said. But he has appeared robust in recent public appearances and was widely described as determined to keep his job -- and even expand his authority -- until he submitted a letter of resignation earlier this month.

The leadership transition was announced today in a terse dispatch by the New China News Agency followed by a 45-minute broadcast on China Central Television. Mr. Jiang and Mr. Hu appeared side-by-side, smiling, shaking hands and praising each other profusely before applauding members of the Central Committee of the Communist Party, which formally accepted Mr. Jiang's resignation and Mr. Hu's promotion at the conclusion of its four-day annual session.

Mr. Jiang's offer to retire, which was first reported by The New York Times earlier this month, was given no advance publicity in state media. China Central Television read the text of Mr. Jiang's resignation letter on its evening broadcast, stressing that his resignation was voluntary. The letter was dated Sept. 1.

"In consideration of the long-term development of the party's and people's collective endeavors, I have always looked forward to fully retiring from all leadership posts," Mr. Jiang wrote, according to an official transcript of his letter. He says Mr. Hu "is fully qualified to take up this position."

Even by the strict standards of secrecy within the party, the decision about Mr. Jiang's fate was closely held. For the vast majority of the 70 million party members, not to mention the general public, there had been no indication that Mr. Jiang was planning to retire, and his abrupt departure seems likely to increase the sense that the most important personnel decisions are made without broad consultation.

Since the Communists defeated the Nationalists in a civil war and took control of China in 1949, the party has repeatedly failed to execute orderly successions. All three of the men chosen by Mao Zedong to succeed him were purged before they could consolidate power, two of them by Mao himself and the third by Deng Xiaoping after Mao's death in 1976.

Deng also anointed and then cashiered two successors in the aftermath of the bloody crackdown on dissent in 1989 elevating Mr. Jiang from the middling rank of Shanghai party chief to China's highest posts.

The most recent transition looked similarly compromised when Mr. Jiang maneuvered to keep control of the military in 2002. Party officials said Mr. Hu had been slated to inherit full power at that time and that his failure to control the military forced him to operate in Mr. Jiang's shadow.

But Mr. Jiang's retirement suggests that the party now operates more according to the consensus of its elite members rather than the whims of its most senior leader.

Moreover, Mr. Jiang did not appear to have extracted any special concessions as the price of his retirement. Notably, he failed to arrange for Vice President Zeng Qinghong to be elevated to the Central Military Commission. Party officials had said that they expected Mr. Zeng, a longtime protégé and ally of Mr. Jiang, to become either a regular member or a vice chairman of the commission.

Xu Caihou, a military officer in charge of propaganda work, was promoted today to replace Mr. Hu as a vice chairman of the commission. He will serve along with Cao Gangchuan, the defense minister, and Gen. Guo Boxiong.

The number of regular members of the commission was expanded to seven from four, adding representatives from the navy, air force and the unit in charge of China's nuclear arsenal.

Mr. Hu, a poker-faced bureaucrat who served most of his career in inland provinces and rarely if ever traveled outside China before he rose to the most senior ranks in the late 1990's, has sent mixed signals about how he intends to rule.

He deftly handled the first big crisis of his leadership in the spring of 2003, when China faced the SARS epidemic that top health officials had initially covered up. Mr. Hu sacked two senior officials and ordered a broad mobilization to combat the disease, which was controlled within weeks.

He has sought to draw a contrast with Mr. Jiang's aristocratic image, making trips to China's poorest areas and shunning some conspicuous perks. He pledged to raise the incomes of workers and peasants and redirect more state spending to areas left behind in China's long economic boom.

"Use power for the people, show concern for the people and seek benefit for the people," Mr. Hu said in remarks early in his term as party chief. He has allowed state media to refer to him as a populist, though his rise through the ranks has not depended on popular support.

Little is known about Mr. Hu personally beyond a few random facts offered by the propaganda machine, including his enthusiasm for ping-pong and what is described as his photographic memory. In official settings, he is a much less colorful figure than Mr. Jiang, who crooned "Love Me Tender" at an Asian diplomatic gathering and was fond of quoting Jefferson and reciting the "Gettysburg Address" to visiting Americans.

It seems highly unlikely that Mr. Hu is a closet liberal. Editors and journalists say he has tightened media controls. He has presided over a crackdown on online discussion by jailing people who express anti-government views on the Internet.

"My general impression is that Hu is a Communist of the old mode," said Alfred Chan, professor of politics at Huron College in Canada who is conducting a study of the new leadership. "His career has been totally shaped by the Communist system. I think many expectations of him are exaggerated because he works under the constraints of party discipline."

In a speech delivered last week, he referred to Western-style democracy as a "blind alley" for China. He has a plan for political reform, but it mostly involves injecting some transparency and competitiveness within the single-party system to make officials police themselves better.

In foreign affairs, Mr. Hu deferred largely to Mr. Jiang. Mr. Jiang relished his role as a statesman and was proud of having built a nonconfrontational, sometimes even cordial relationship with the United States.

Mr. Hu is not expected to alter course substantially. But party officials say that he has tended to emphasize relations with China's neighbors and with Europe over ties with the United States and Japan.

He faces two major foreign policy tests that Mr. Jiang leaves unresolved. One involves North Korea, China's longtime ally, which American officials say is on the verge of becoming a full-scale nuclear power. Chinese officials worry that if Pyongyang formally goes nuclear other Asian countries, notably Japan, could follow.

China is also deeply worried about how to handle Taiwan under President Chen Shui-bian, who many here believe intends to move the island, which China claims as its sovereign territory, toward independence.

Mr. Jiang steered China toward a tougher rhetorical and military posture toward Taiwan, even as the Bush administration expanded military aid to the island. Mr. Hu has not shown any signs of changing course, but some analysts believe he may experiment with a more flexible approach if he does not have to worry about having his nationalist credentials second-guessed by Mr. Jiang.

Mr. Hu and Mr. Jiang did not publicly spar. But there were signs that their relationship had become strained. Mr. Jiang rejected a framework for China's emergence as a great power that Mr. Hu supported. The policy framework, known by the slogan "peaceful rise," was dismissed by Mr. Jiang as too soft at a time when China was threatening Taiwan with military force.

Mr. Hu and his prime minister, Wen Jiabao, have also had to battle internally to curtail wasteful state spending and cool the overheated economy. Some regional leaders are thought to have looked to Mr. Jiang as a counterweight to Mr. Hu because they see the elder leader as a champion of fast economic growth supported by heavy state investment.

"It may be that Hu will no longer have to worry that Jiang will contest his decisions, and that could make decision-making smoother," said Frederick Teiwes, an expert on elite politics at the University of Sydney.

Some people who have visited Mr. Jiang or spoken with his relatives say he has suffered health problems lately, offering one possible explanation for his unexpected retirement.

But Mr. Jiang is also thought to have come under heavy pressure within the party, and even within the military, to follow the example of Deng and withdraw from public life before health problems force him to do so. Mr. Hu also made a veiled call for Mr. Jiang to step aside when he lavished praise on Mr. Deng's decision to retire early during ceremonies to commemorate the 100th anniversary of the late leader's birth in August.

Chris Buckley contributed reporting for this article.

artappraiser September 19, 2004 - 1:09pm

the first orderly transfer of power in Communist Party history.

artappraiser September 19, 2004 - 1:12pm

...completing the country's first peaceful leadership transition since its 1949 revolution.

http://scoop.agonist.org/comments/2004/9/18/105741/674/1#1

Tina September 19, 2004 - 1:19pm

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