Kellner on the self-fulfilling prophecy of a landslide.

He has the same take as the numbers I ran: at 38% the Libs start ripping seats in large numbers, and somewhere after 40, are elected outright. He then points to the following poll question:

What is more, far fewer people are deterred by the prospect of a Lib Dem government. We asked people whether they would be delighted or dismayed by different election outcomes – or whether they wouldn’t mind.

Here are the responses:

	Delighted	Wouldn’t mind	Dismayed
Lib Dem govt under Nick Clegg	29%	38%	21%
Con govt under David Cameron	25%	20%	45%
Lab govt under Gordon Brown	18%	23%	51%
Labour-Lib Dem coalition	14%	35%	39%
Con-Lib Dem coalition	9%	33%	45%
Grand 3-party coalition	9%	24%	47%

Or to put it another way Ladies and Gentlemen of the Liberal Democratic Party, Clegg is your most powerful weapon. Winning is your most powerful weapon. As long as Clegg is the kingmaker, he is bracketed in the low 30's, but if he is the potential PM, then Labor disintegrates. No option is as appealing to the public as Clegg as PM. So climb the greasy poll.

Say it:

"The events of the last week prove that Britain hungers for real change, and not merely an exchange. The public has asked for new leadership, and a fresh wind of honesty. From here forward, we are running to win this election, and not merely broker it. From this moment we ask Britons to ask themselves: which party would you want to see form the next government, which party do you trust to do as it says, to deliver as it promises, and remember in whose service it is employed. Ask yourself, which leader would you want to see in 10 Downing Street, and which party would you want on the front benches of Westminster, and in the trenches of government, fighting for our nation and our common future."

"The Labor offers us a cage, and the Conservatives offer to put a fresh coat of paint on it. Only one party aims for a new beginning, in a new direction. That is the party that I lead, and with your votes, and your support, and your efforts, that party can lead Britain. We are close, closer than any had thought possible, and closer than the old order thinks probable. But it is what the people want, and it is what the people can have, by taking one simple step, by voting for hope, and not out of fear."