Egypt Unrest, Day Three


Update 6: Baradei in Cairo airport, mobbed by reporters.

Another photo from Suez.

Cheryl Rofer on why Arab popular revolts are not like 1989, citing Col. Lang as more like 1979.

The Atlantic Wire has a round-up of which side the US Gov. should take.

I've followed thousands of tweets (in English of course) about El Baradei's arrival in Cairo today. My analysis leads me to this conclusion: most Egyptians see him "as an opportunist, opining from perch in Vienna, avoiding the hard work #jan25. Other see EB as Western stooge." Quoting Col. Lang again, looks like he can fill the role of Bakhtiar in 1979.

Update 5: Suez in photos.

Update 4: El Baradei has arrived in Cairo. Dramatic story and photos from Suez here.

Update 3: Nick Baumann has an excellent primer on the Egyptian protests, here. All Twitter, Facebook and Blackberry access in Egypt have been cut. Egyptian government arrests 23 year old woman for defacing picture of Mubarak. Juan Cole has an update on Egypt, as well, here. Secretary Clinton issues blunt warning to Mubarak:

We believe strongly that the Egyptian government has an important opportunity at this moment in time to implement political, economic and social reforms to respond to the legitimate needs and interests of the Egyptian people," Clinton said in a statement with Jordan's Nasser Judeh at her side.

Looks like the Obama Administration is getting smart about Egypt.

Update 2: No one is quite sure what is happening in Suez right now. As noted earlier, there are sporadic reports of violence in the city. Global Voices Online has a useful roundup of tweets and blogposts, here. A journalist is on his way to investigate. Will post updates as they come in. Video from protests in Suez from last night here. And Facebook page setup for Suez here. Suez overview by AP here.

There are sporadic reports of live ammunition being used in Suez, but these have not been verified by the media. The Israeli media has come down prematurely on the side of Mubarak. Not surprising.

Nobel Laureate Mohamed El Baradei will return to Egypt today, calls on Egyptian government to be reset, indicates willingness to lead transition government. Will give a press conference at the airport upon arrival at 7pm local time.

Rumors abound that the Muslim Brotherhood will join the protests called for Friday prayers. If the Brotherhood joins the popular revolt, all bets are off for Mubarak. It's not a rumor. It's official.

Multiple America media outlets are reporting that the Obama Admin is prepared to, at the very least, support the popular revolt, rhetorically:

The White House is prepared to step up its criticism of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, a key Middle East ally, if his government intensifies its crackdown on protesters, said an administration official.

Of course, it was an anonymous quote.

A very worthwhile interview with an Egyptian blogger can be found here.

State Department flack P.J. Crowley gets his ass handed to him on Al Jezeera. All P.J. can say is "moar freedumb fries!"

On January 28 we should all "Walk Like An Egyptian." Nicely played, sir. Well done.

Update: Reports are surfacing that Blackberry access has been cut in Egypt. Also, Ismailia has risen as well with running street battles ongoing. Also, reports are surfacing that the government has closed all mosques in anticipation of Friday's nationwide protest, Friday prayers banned.

More as it develops.


Sean Paul Kelley January 27, 2011 - 10:04am
( categories: Africa: North )

A diplomat is a Gentleman who lies for his country.

Don't shoot the messenger. Egypt reinforces the comments mad by Assange that behind oppressive regimes is the shadow of the US propping up this bad regimes.

Mubarak's Egypt is another part of the crumbling edifice of the American Empire.

As this spreads Obama it will be interesting to watch how Obama calms this with another beautiful, but empty, speech. Soaring rhetoric, with no follow up actions.

As John Mitchell said, "Ignore what we say, watch what we do".

Synoia January 27, 2011 - 12:10pm

New York Times, By David D. Kirkpatrick & Michael Slackman, January 26

For decades, Egypt’s authoritarian president, Hosni Mubarak, played a clever game with his political opponents.

He tolerated a tiny and toothless opposition of liberal intellectuals whose vain electoral campaigns created the facade of a democratic process. And he demonized the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood as a group of violent extremists who posed a threat that he used to justify his police state.

But this enduring and, many here say, all too comfortable relationship was upended this week by the emergence of an unpredictable third force, the leaderless tens of thousands of young Egyptians who turned out to demand an end to Mr. Mubarak’s 30-year rule.

Now the older opponents are rushing to catch up.

“It was the young people who took the initiative and set the date and decided to go,” Mohamed ElBaradei, the former head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said Wednesday with some surprise during a telephone interview from his office in Vienna, shortly before rushing home to Cairo to join the revolt.

Dr. ElBaradei, a Nobel prize winner, has been the public face of an effort to reinvigorate and unite Egypt’s fractious and ineffective opposition since he plunged into his home country’s politics nearly a year ago, and he said the youth movement had accomplished that on its own. “Young people are impatient,” he said. “Frankly, I didn’t think the people were ready.”


One owes respect to the living. To the dead, one owes only the truth.

Raja January 27, 2011 - 12:42pm

Washington Post, By Scott Wilson & Joby Warrick, January 27

The Obama administration is openly supporting the anti-government demonstrations shaking the Arab Middle East, a stance that is far less tempered than the one the president has taken during past unrest in the region.

As demonstrations in Tunis, Cairo and Beirut have unfolded in recent days, President Obama and his senior envoys to the region have thrown U.S. support clearly behind the protesters, speaking daily in favor of free speech and assembly even when the protests target longtime U.S. allies such as Egypt.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said Wednesday that "the Egyptian government has an important opportunity . . . to respond to the legitimate needs and interests of the Egyptian people." She urged "the Egyptian authorities not to prevent peaceful protests or block communications, including on social media sites."

Asked whether the administration supports Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs replied only: "Egypt is a strong ally."

[...]

"Some of the confidence and assertiveness comes from having spent time in government, and now we've identified ways where we want to make our push," said a senor administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss White House thinking on the Middle East developments.

The official said Obama's emphasis on Internet freedom as well as on U.S.-funded programs to encourage rule of law and government accountability are among the measures the administration is using to foster change.

"We've aligned our approach to where we see the currents of democratic reform moving," the official said.

Whoo, doggie!


One owes respect to the living. To the dead, one owes only the truth.

Raja January 27, 2011 - 12:54pm

Col Lang's insight and commenters over at his blog.
"The similiarities in the Iranian situation in the last days of Pahlavi (the shah) rule and let's say, the Egyptian situation now, are striking"

"There are two types of folk music:
quiet folk music and loud folk music.
I play both."

Dave Alvin

Peter C January 27, 2011 - 1:28pm

The Post reporter lumps together the demonstrations in Tunis and Egypt with those in Lebanon. But keep in mind that's a mistaken association. In Lebanon the U.S. and Israel are attempting to weaken the Hezbollah and to that end have been effectively manufacturing demonstrations against the Hezbollah.

Jeff Wegerson January 27, 2011 - 1:51pm

What are those cryptic mixed messages with capitalized letters, numbers, and a few other symbols - a bit algebraic - referring to Egypt? I've been seeing them for quite awhile now and even had a professor from Chapel Hill retweeting.

ecophem January 27, 2011 - 3:15pm

like this: #jan25 #egypt etc? Those are hashtags, when you click on them you can see all the other twitters who are discussing the same subject.

Bad decisions make good stories.

Sean Paul Kelley January 27, 2011 - 4:10pm

I'm not a complete technological doofus!

Something like this: H9 -2) J3 4A (W#) with more letter/number combination (s), usually 2 together with one space between.

ecophem January 27, 2011 - 4:31pm

send me a link to an example.

Bad decisions make good stories.

Sean Paul Kelley January 27, 2011 - 4:41pm

Interestingly, they're retweeted several times as well. When I run across one again I'll send you the link.

ecophem January 27, 2011 - 5:16pm

anonymizers, like TOR and whatnot?

Bad decisions make good stories.

Sean Paul Kelley January 27, 2011 - 5:46pm

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