Remember That Fight We . . .


. . . won for net neutrality?

We lost. Actually, Obama betrayed us. There is no other word for it.

There will soon come a day when your Truthout and Agonist and Firedoglake and Daily Kos and many, many others will be second or even third tier sites that you will be able to access but will be painfully slow.

The internet, as you know it, is dead. Prepare for places like The Agonist to resemble public access shows on at 300am on your local cable network. That is where we are headed.

Welcome to the future. It doesn't happen in America any more.


Sean Paul Kelley August 5, 2010 - 9:56am
( categories: Net Neutrality )

The Google Verizon negotiation is way more complex, and Google is the entity that has been most persistently arguing for net neutrality with Verizon. Apple and ATT are in the exact same situation, and by the way in the same negotiation.

And the issue is not wired internet. That will likely not change at all, and right now is not part of the negotiations. The issue is entirely centering around mobile internet on smart phones. The IPhone with ATT and the Droid with Verizon.

What has happened is that when these devices hit market, internet traffic jumped 10 times higher than any projections made. now with the IPad the problem is becoming greater still. ATT has invested $75 billion in three years and I think Verizon is close to that as well, all for the wireless delivery piece.

ATT has tried for years to contain the explosion. They suggested limiting YouTube to one minute plays, etc. Apple has rejected everything. I believe these carriers are now threatening to quit delivery for these devices altogether.

Wired access is not really a part of this right now, but I can tell you Google, Apple, YouTube, Yahoo, Amazon, are all lined up solidly for net neutrality. These are no small companies in their own right. Also, Cisco, Intel, Motorola are all net neutrality companies as well. However, the cost of the infrastructure build is becoming astronomical on the wireless side.

The FCC is at the table now with promises of a Federal supplement to the buildout and that is where the rural buildout is a piece of the pie as well. Overall something like $400 billion has been spent on the internet over the past three years overall. Further, the way the wired internet is structured, I can't imagine a slowdown mechanism. The nature of the electronic packets just does not work that way, they find their path.

But the wireless systems have definite choke points that are controlled by these carriers. THIS is the issue. I'll also add that the whole system is moving rapidly to a wireless format, so maintaining a structure of neutrality in the wireless realm remains critical.

A lot of noise needs to be made.

Scotjen61 August 5, 2010 - 10:52am

going to go with Tim Karr's interpretation of these developments. I've known Tim for several years and I was one of the founders of the original Net Neutrality campaigns with The Free Press.

This is dire.

"Sí che dal fatto il dir non sia diverso."

-Dante

Sean Paul Kelley August 5, 2010 - 10:59am

Considering the fact that 75% of internet traffic could ultimately be through wireless, any restriction would create a dire problem. Wired Magazine has some great stuff about the battles the content providers have been having with carriers, and I also have a high regard for Tim Karr.

I do know it is a wireless issue right now.

Scotjen61 August 5, 2010 - 12:19pm

Since Citizens United, corporations own America, lock, stock and barrel. Along with much of the world. Their will be done.

tehBrynn August 5, 2010 - 12:02pm

From Daily Kos

Google is denying the report in the NYT (not the same story as the one above) that they've agreed to a policy that "could allow Verizon to speed some online content to Internet users more quickly if the content’s creators are willing to pay for the privilege."

Google: "The NYT is quite simply wrong. We have not had any conversations with Verizon about paying for carriage of Google or YouTube traffic. We remain as committed as we always have been to an open Internet."

That's a denial of the NYT's claim (which by extension is the WSJ story), and doesn't address the Bloomberg/Businessweek story regarding a different policy for mobile phones.

It does not surprise me that NYT or WSJ would confuse a mobile phone issue with 'the internet' because they do such a poor job on tech in general. The mobile issue has been raging for over a year now, mainly between Apple and ATT. That dispute has resulted in the end of 'all you can eat pricing' and a lot of anger all around.

However, wireless should not be allowed to limit content speed either, because a majority of web traffic is likely to go mobile. The issue remains serious, but there are two issues here: The wired web and mobile smart phones

Scotjen61 August 5, 2010 - 1:22pm

...for the majority of traffic to go wireless over any reasonable distance (i.e., more than 40 feet from your router)?

“The absence of any US-Iran bilateral channel...may have the perverse effect of reinforcing Iranian interest in progressing in the nuclear realm so that the US will be forced to take it seriously and engage it directly." ~ Richard Haass

JustPlainDave August 5, 2010 - 3:44pm

No. At least not using today's technology. We simply can't transmit the same amount if info through the air as we can using traditional lines.

dot_txt August 5, 2010 - 4:07pm

it's a lot farther than 40 feet, but the idea is the same. Everybody's telephone is becoming a point of internet interaction. Pushing data through wireless links to telephones eats resources like no tomorrow.

ATT has been begging Apple for relief for at least two years now. Apple is helping with methods of data compression, as is Netflicks, as is skype, etc. It is becoming a horrible problem for phones to be honest, and it is also bogging everything down. Have you noticed the delay before your mobile rings when you call someone, the increase in dropped calls, etc. The system is exploding with traffic, way beyond what was imagined just six months ago.

So the issue is a lot more than the router. Net neutrality is a legal issue to be sure, and it should not concern itself with costs and structure, but there is a physicality to this problem and that is where all the negotiations are coming in to play. At the same time, ATT is a big boy and should pony up and simply make the upfront infrastructure spending. They respond that there does not appear to be any end to the exponential increase. They may be right. But is that a bad thing? Everybody benefits from an open and expansive web. I believe the government is going to take on the rural piece (to the tune of $500 billion), that was part of the negotiation, and the other issue is that ATT and Verizon systems do not overlap well, they use completely different types of data transmission protocols that require completely different chipsets in the phones, which brings us to the issue of standardization.

But how do you standardize to enormous systems that are about the same size with each other.

This is all going to get very hairy. I've seen stats that wireless internet has been doubling like every two months!

AND somewhere between 5% to 10% of cell phone users to date are on a smartphone. What happens when it is 100% and the appliances start using wireless spectrum to talk to each other, and the cars, and the ubiquitous ipads, and street signs, and advertising billboards, and television and who knows what else.

Cisco has said that the internet is currently at 2% of its eventual stabilized size, and I am beginning to believe them. They are probably underestimating it. It explains why some of their routers are being designed to move the amount of data currently in San Francisco in a single device. This thing is clearly at its beginning.

Scotjen61 August 5, 2010 - 5:07pm

...then there is no way in hell that a majority of web traffic will be wireless. I might buy the notion that a majority of the "last xx metres" will be wireless - where xx is a pretty small number and/or majority doesn't actually measure the number of bits moved.

“The absence of any US-Iran bilateral channel...may have the perverse effect of reinforcing Iranian interest in progressing in the nuclear realm so that the US will be forced to take it seriously and engage it directly." ~ Richard Haass

JustPlainDave August 5, 2010 - 7:54pm

smartphone penetration in the U.S. market was reported to be 25% according to statistics released Tuesday by the Nielsen Co.

Link here.

______________________________________________________
May we have the clarity to see what is required of us, the courage to accept it, and the capacity to discharge it.
Robert Fripp

OldLakeRat August 6, 2010 - 1:56pm

I've been using the internet since 1981, before it was called the internet. Back then it was Telenet (a true public data network) and Tymnet. In 1987, the Telcos (Bell operating companies) asked for a $2.00 or so monthly tariff on phone lines used to access Telenet and Tymnet. I participated in that debate in a major way on the side of the data networks. The Telcos lost.

Now we've got the reality of a robust, nearly universal public data network, the internet. It's produced a vibrant culture of free form information production and exchange. It allows citizens to research and publish on various issues. Opinion is formed and public awareness has increased as the disparity between the promise of government and the sham of governance leads to public outrage.

The solution, ever sought despite continued defeats, is a tiered network that will stop the citizen generate information exchange. It had to happen. Obama is a mere functionary, a servant of corporate interests. As such, he's obligated to stop anything that interferes with the march to corporate dominance. His actions here are no surprise.

The question is simply - what will citizen users of the internet do to fight this? I maintain that the blowback for anyone involved will be devastating. It's too soon to say goodbye to the internet as we know it today. This is the one thing we have that we can use, highly effectively, to fight back, and that fight has just begun.

Michael Collins August 5, 2010 - 6:35pm

How Al Gore in 2000 proposed a $700 billion investment in the internet to place core access in the public domain and thereby protect net neutrality. Another casualty of Ralph Nader. Instead we got a trillion wasted in Iraq. Now all these Johnny come latelies are crying a river for net neutrality.

Scotjen61 August 5, 2010 - 10:14pm

Plus Gore didn't convert to populism soon enough. Admit it, he ran a piss poor campaign.

Jeff Wegerson August 5, 2010 - 11:53pm

All that Gore would have had to do to get leftists to vote for him was address some of their most important concerns. But he didn't. So they didn't.

Your fallacy, and that of all the other Nader haters, is that Nader voters would have voted for Gore if they hadn't voted for Nader. That's tantamount to assuming that if you take away a hippie's tofu, you can get him to eat either Cheetos or Funyuns instead-- which is a faulty assumption. I have only made that sort of mistake once in my voting life-- I looked at my (poor) options, took note that the Texas ballot now effectively excludes third party candidates, held my nose, and voted for...

Obama.

I now wish I hadn't. But I have never felt sorry after voting for a candidate, like Ralph Nader, whom I could believe in.

chalo August 6, 2010 - 12:30am

We can look forward to the invasion of Iran when all these closet Republicans (er, Naderites) vote indirect Republican.

Scotjen61 August 6, 2010 - 8:03am

Ummm . . . I hesitate to point this out, but you do know that Gore received more legal votes in Florida than Bush, right? That's according to NORC, the official recount project. And by legal, I don't mean anything esoteric like hanging chads or assuming that people voting for Buchanan really meant to vote for Gore or any other such nonsense.

ScentOfViolets August 6, 2010 - 4:47pm

But my vote for Nader was a vote for Nader and not anybody else. So I have no dog in that particular hunt.

chalo August 7, 2010 - 1:50am

If Gore hadn't stolen the election from Nader maybe things would be different...and i say this as someone who never has/wouldn't vote for Nader for a variety of reasons.

Come off it, ScotJen, you're projecting a whole lot of things that might have happened under Gore. Campaign promises are meant to be broken. And all the while conveniently forgetting to mention that Gore had his chance to stand up to Bush's election stealing. Instead he played the role of a good Democrat and rolled over for this colleagues across the aisle.

It should also be noted that it was the Clinton/Gore administration that made regime change in Iraq a stated goal of US foreign policy.

Lex August 6, 2010 - 10:32am

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