Nothing Has Changed


"So, what's it like being back?" my buddy in New York asked me. "Lots of changes since you left last year, yeah?"

"Actually, none. Everything is the same. People are still arguing about the same shit. Obama hasn't made any real changes," I told him.

"No, that's not possible," he replied.

"Oh, so what has he done? GITMO is still open. No one has been guaranteed a real trial. Warrentless searches are still on. Healthcare, don't make me laugh. And the stimulus? What a joke. Just look at the numbers that came out today. We're going to double down in Pakistan and that will blow up in our face," I told him.

More after the jump.

"But what about Iraq," he said.

"What about it? Doesn't look like much has changed, except we gave them the keys to their own country back. But will we really ever leave?" I said.

The conversation went on for quite some time, but my heart wasn't in it. Being gone for a year will do that. It's not that I don't care, although I keep telling myself that. I do, but I just don't see any changes. Sure, the world sees us differently, mostly because our leadership has a more friendly face. But on all the issues that really matter, ask yourself this: have there been any real changes on any issue of real importance, other than we're not officially chomping at the bit to bomb the ever loving fuck out of the Iranians?

Really, if it weren't for the moderation of our Iran policy and a smoothing around the edges vis-a-vis Israel, Obama would get an F. As it is, he gets a C just for being more friendly, affable and seemingly approachable. But that is as far as it goes.

So, I read this post over at Newshoggers, with a great deal of sadness. But it's true. I'm not a Democrat anymore. I can't be. Not until my party, in its actions, reflects my values. I'm not holding my breath.

But the bottom line is, nothing has changed in this country since I left. Nothing at all.


Sean Paul Kelley July 4, 2009 - 3:18pm
( categories: Ruminations )

however, no change in course means really bad changes lie ahead when headed toward a cliff.

Denninger posted a must read piece today.

Deflationary depression. No money for nobody.

If he's right, we haven't seen anything yet.

20% U-3 unemployment? U-3 is currently at 9.5% so this means twice as many unemployed. Real unimployment is currently between 16 and 18%--by this accounting method the lowpoint of the (not so) Great Depression was 25%...

I did inhale.

Don July 4, 2009 - 8:47pm

... how can he conclude that the precious metals which are currently stuck in a pretty narrow trading range are not a safe haven investment in a deflationary depression? In the current environment a $1600 or $5000 gold price is obviously way beyond wealth preservation. I don't expect to make money on my gold holdings I expect the purchasing power of one ounce of gold to stay about the same.

He loses a lot of credibility with this inconsistency in my book. It's just flat out wrong that he counts this as a check mark in his favor. Higher gold prices can only be expected when the US dollar takes a serious beating. Still think this will happen but hopefully fairly gradual. Not that this really impacts me all that much since I don't live in the US any more but until the world economy is more decoupled from the US all major currencies are going to be tied to the US $ to a large degree.

quax July 4, 2009 - 9:20pm

its also the fact that the political debate hasnt changed. the noises coming from both the left and the right really havent shifted at all as far as I can tell, and there doesnt seem to be any real fact based debate about the direction we need to go in the future. As far as Obama being a leader with a vision of a new and better America, Im sorry but I dont see it. He doesnt seem to be out in front leading major health care change, or on any other issues. Great rhetoric, yes Ill grant you he had that during the campaign, but I am not seeing the sort of visionary leadership I was hoping for. It worries me, things are liable to get alot worse before they get better, and at this point I expect some kind of right wing populist ( but probably not a republican) to be president in 4 or 8 years.

johnfire July 5, 2009 - 12:40pm

"Stock market has not bottomed yet" says the clueless guy.


--Sell Texas to China!

Singular July 6, 2009 - 5:06am

(paraphrased--this applies to you, me, Denninger and anyone else with an opinion about future events).

I beseech you to consider the possibility that you could be wrong.

I did inhale.

Don July 6, 2009 - 7:41am

...the toxic brew. Whether or not your life will forever change is now in the balance; you are the fulcrum and which way will you go? I wish you luck; will it be the antidote or more of the brew? I'll bet the brew beckons...

www.iauthorbooks.com
http://iauthorbooks.blogspot.com/

Celsius 233 July 5, 2009 - 9:20am

From his 3/19/09 Diary entry, "Are the Wheels Coming Off?"

However, the Obama, who took bundles of cash from Wall Street for his campaign, and the rented Democratic Congress are countenancing this wholesale disregard for law and ethics, both in the financial world and also with respect to the constitutional high crimes and misdemeanors of the Bush Administration. Unless they fix this fast, it will likely be their undoing. And with this undoing, domestic problems will languish, and global crises will increase in number and magnitude. It won't be pretty, and the uglier it gets, so will the public mood.

TJFXH hasn't posted anthing in a couple of months now..., I miss his insight and hope he is well.

Scott R. July 5, 2009 - 2:32pm

After having to hold my breath for eight years.

Yes, the big issues don't have a great chance of a solution- especially the US economy.

But waking up every morning to the nightmare that was the US
executive branch- that's gone.


I feel the American worker has been sacrificed to the capitalist idols in the ancient Mayan fashion. - Sue Lamb, NYT reader

nymole July 5, 2009 - 5:46pm

People have to get over this "pursuit of happiness" thing. Happiness is just having the right mix of chemical running around your brain.

Yea, things are headed down hill, but they can't go up forever. We are trashing the world and using up the resources, but the bankers and the politicians are crashing the system anyway. Humanity and the earth are going to emerge from this. We will be a bit wiser, lots more humble and considerably more aware of our limitations. The bubble isn't just investments and currency. It's our whole notion of just how important, smart and superior we are.
It's a seasonal cycle of expansion and consolidation. Most of us likely won't live to see the other side of this, but look at the alternative. Is growing old and getting stuck in the corner, as the world moves on, really all that great a future to look forward too? We are living in one of the most monumental transition stages in human history and all anyone does is sit around and whine about how everything isn't just peachy. Grow fucking up!

brodix July 5, 2009 - 6:35pm

Yeah, happiness isn't the emotion of joy - that's different, and unsustainable except for flashes.

Happiness is an art form, it resides in the practitioner. It's far less affected by circumstances than it is by attitude.


"The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential."

- Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Escher Sketch July 5, 2009 - 7:54pm

... just fine. Doesn't mean that his disappointment isn't well founded. Fact is the US media as well as the general political discourse is just as dysfunctional as ever if not worse. After such a historic land slide election there was every reason to hope for more.

quax July 5, 2009 - 9:50pm

religion.

I don't have anything against happiness in all its forms; joy, satisfaction, bliss, euphoria, pleasure, etc. even the transitory or artificially induced varieties, but if you want the ups, than you have to deal with the downs.

It's safe to say that Michael Jackson has been one of the happiest people alive, at times in his life, or he wouldn't have been as good at what he did. The problem was that he started young and didn't have enough perspective to take his foot off the gas and come back down to earth and so it was a matter of trying to always find the next high.

Too much of a good thing isn't always better, so when we make pursuing happiness a national goal, we basically end up where MJ did.

brodix July 6, 2009 - 4:31am

... compact form to state that no king, government or religious authority shall constrain an individual's decision what to with his or her live. After all the phrase was coined long before behavioral science popularized the concept of motivation. I think these days a modern formulation would be that it is a basic human right to follow your own intrinsic motivations.

quax July 6, 2009 - 10:16am

also shows our intrinsic motivations are often in conflict with one another and it's a cognitive process of sorting them out.

There likely was a very libertarian motivation to the idea, but there was also lots of space for everyone to have a piece of it, which was likely the basis of their concept of happiness, having emigrated from a world where all the land was long claimed and fought over.

"Go forth and multiply" was also a logical philosophy when it was first stated, many thousands of years ago, but times have changed and our freedom to grow is reaching another set of limits, which, like any obstacle, we have to figure out how to respond.

Suffice to say, we have a hangover and the hair of the dog that bit us isn't going to solve it.

brodix July 6, 2009 - 12:10pm

... but I don't want any government, king or religion help me figure mine out. Perfectly capable of doing that myself.

quax July 6, 2009 - 10:05pm

that as a culture we seem to have profound difficulties distiguishing between the concepts of "happiness" and "pleasure".

Since they really can't package and sell happiness, marketing folks have long pursued the blurring of the two concepts. They've been successful beyond their wildest dreams.

And now we're pretty much governed by marketing - to the extent that administrations openly roll out wars as "products".

I think we've got a lot of people on our hands that actually wouldn't know happiness if it bit them in the ass.


"The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential."

- Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Escher Sketch July 6, 2009 - 7:51pm

As William Burroughs opined, 'repression causes perversions' So you tell me, who is happy? The clean living tea-tottler or the Hedonist??

The idea that 'problems' have to or should be solved is the root of imperialism generally. Cause and effect is not going to be reversed. When a bunch of people run off a cliff, they likely will fall. The Government is at least trying to put pillows at the bottom. Obama in office, what, five months and he is expected to have ALL PROBLEMS SOLVED for 300 million, craving, unhappy people who are too stupid to balance their checkbooks, have two cars in their driveway on a sidewalkless grass strewn landscape, spending their evenings watching cable and downing tequila and smoking dope, which I guess is their inalienable right. Oh, and doing so while complaining about the decline in the health and wholeness of food because of industrial farming, and how little Government is doing for them because they aren't out there hanging any bastards.

There aren't any solutions to this shit, just ongoing corrections that grow into future problems. Thank god we have minds that think and react. That's all that matters.

I like Kissinger's statement the other day, 'Obama is a great chessplayer on the world stage who understands the balance of realism and idealism.' I'll go with that for awhile.

Scotjen61 July 6, 2009 - 3:51pm

The worst possible recommendation.

When do I get to thank him personally for his efforts in Pretoria in 1974? Where he screwed over possibly the most beautiful country on Earth, which is now a living hell?

Synoia July 6, 2009 - 6:43pm

Kissinger went to instruct the leadership there that their vision of white rule could not continue. That the United States was supporting local rule by the population was laudable at the time. Things have gone badly but to argue the US should have continued in support of white rule is very problematic.

You think Mugabe might have had anything to do with intervening events. And I ask, has anyone solved any of the vexing problems afflicting African countries???

Scotjen61 July 7, 2009 - 4:19pm

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