Possibly The Dumbest Headline Ever


Today's LA Times is running a story on the revolution in Iran. Here's the headline:

U.S. policies may have contributed to Iran revolution, study says

I realize for most Americans the headline may come as a shock, but for those of us here who know a little something about Iran, it's got to be the most obtuse headline ever. My first reaction upon reading it was, "ya think?" Still, credit to the LA Times for running a story counter to the CW. Those don't come around so often.


Sean Paul Kelley October 17, 2008 - 5:57am
( categories: Iran | Media Criticism | MSM Criticism )

...should not be viewed as unicausally as the article seems to express it. I haven't yet read the article, and I'm sure it sheds new light, but this isn't something that should be taken in isolation. Yeah, the price decline didn't help the Shah's stability any, but I tend to think that the long term stability that the policy makers of the day believed to be potentially at risk was to a non-trivial extent illusory.

My view, the Shah, aided and abetted more than any other single factor by a quite uncritical Nixon administration's Iran policy (famously Nixon declared that the Shah should be sold any weapons system he desired short of nuclear weapons) had long sown the seeds of his own downfall. I would need real convincing to believe that something as simple as high oil prices could have assured regime stability by itself. Yes, the decline doubtless had significant destabilizing effects, but the long term trends were pretty powerful - all through the preceding couple of decades Iran had made massive financial gains, and still the regime's stability declined and was increasingly underwritten by force and political repression.

“The absence of any US-Iran bilateral channel...may have the perverse effect of reinforcing Iranian interest in progressing in the nuclear realm so that the US will be forced to take it seriously and engage it directly." ~ Richard Haass

JustPlainDave October 17, 2008 - 6:55am

and helping the Saudi's stability at the expense of the Iranians, however, if you believe the article, played a pretty strong role.

It's ironic that later the Saudi's went nuts making sure their internal politics were not contaminated by Iran's Islamic revolution.


"The mythical John McCain is an affable, straight-talking, moderately conservative war hero who is an expert on foreign policy" - Bob Herbert

nymole October 18, 2008 - 1:58pm

...(subscribers only, sorry) and I've read all but the last two pages. The piece really focuses on the Iran-USA dynamics with little attention to the comparing the various causes of the Shah's decline (i.e., it doesn't appear to make much of an argument that it was the decline in oil prices that knocked the Shah off - it's certainly presumed not to have helped, but no specific argument).

My understanding is that the Saudis were motivated not so much by a desire for increased stability, but rather by a fear of Iran becoming a hegemonic (for lack of a more precise term) power. Thinking was that if they could cramp Iran's style, they would have to curtail their aspirations for regional dominance. As I understand it, they did not at all intend for the Shah to fall - and I rather suspect that they understood the seeds that the Iran's sudden affluence and the Shah's reckless policies were sowing.

“The absence of any US-Iran bilateral channel...may have the perverse effect of reinforcing Iranian interest in progressing in the nuclear realm so that the US will be forced to take it seriously and engage it directly." ~ Richard Haass

JustPlainDave October 18, 2008 - 2:47pm

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