Buying Opportunity?


I'm actually going to stick my toes in the water here and do a little buying this morning. Mostly ETFs. Dabble a bit in DJIA30. And a few stocks that are way oversold on the technicals and fundamentals. This isn't the end of the world people. Although it ain't pretty and any rally is likely to be short, sharp and fast. It's just an opportunity play, but I'll nibble here.

But, as Barry notes:

This cascading waterfall selloff is ugly. Next key level of support is 8750, where we would again be buyers of the market.

If that does not hold, then we are looking at no support until the 2002 levels -- about 7250. (I may have to dust off that Dow 6,800 call).

It could get ugly fast too. That's why I say nibble and my 'stops' will be tight. But I'd put even odds on a snapback rally happening before we test new lows. I also think with the Lehman CDS thing happening today we'll see massive volume. Kind of like the mother of all 'triple witches' except it ain't triple witching, is it?

But my main point is that if you have been smart, hoarded cash the last several months, not listened to CNBC and have some of that 'intestinal fortitude' I mentioned before there is money to be made out there right now. Might take a while--or it might not, but the ops, they are arising.

Nota bene: THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. (That's for the effing lawyers out there.)


Sean Paul Kelley October 10, 2008 - 5:46am
( categories: Analysis | Economics: USA | The Markets )

One reason for the falling market has been need to rise $450 billion cash for the auction.

The auction results will be published half an hour before the US market opens. (They will leak earlier, I suppose). If the auction fails, it would be better to close the stock market in the USA.

The auction effect should be clearly visible just before the US market open.

I mentioned before there is money to be made out there right now.

From where can you buy Icelandic houses now? Or even krona?

Singular October 10, 2008 - 6:43am

one and he has some good rationales for investing in it. Usual caveats apply, this is NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley October 10, 2008 - 7:06am

the controlled nature of this indicates that it is at most a few players, they are basically breaking the world's equity piggy bank, and then coming back later to avoid tripping any circuit breakers. Note that: circuit breakers are not being tripped.

Stirling Newberry October 10, 2008 - 7:48am
Singular October 10, 2008 - 9:31am

I'm actually going to stick my toes in the water here and do a little buying this morning.

tjfxh October 10, 2008 - 11:44am

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley October 10, 2008 - 11:36pm

Holding on to my financial shorts till they hit my targets (almost there!) or come back to within 5% of my entry points. I think it will be the former before the later.

Will use the cash to buy into materials/energy from that point on. PE's in the 5's are just too good for me to not look at as far as investments (not trades) are concerned.

dot_txt October 10, 2008 - 4:19pm

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley October 10, 2008 - 11:37pm

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.