Merrill Gets Whacked, Hard


Ha-ha! Couldn't happen to a more arrogant bunch of folks. Yes, I worked for Morgan Stanley so there is a deal of institutional animus involved. But still, to announce earnings on the 17th and then on the 29th go public with, as Barry says, major "whackage" is weasly, and no, I am not talking about the family from the Harry Potter books. Not to mention the CDOs which caused the train wreck we're seeing at Merrill are from 2005? What happens when the 2006 and 2007 CDOs roll over and play dead?

Read Barry's full post. It's worth it.

As a side note, and somewhat off topic read this comment from fellow Agonista Mr. Von Bahr. He makes some damn good points about how the media should follow this story up. Ms. Morgenson anyone?


Sean Paul Kelley July 29, 2008 - 7:13am
( categories: The Markets )

would be (and is) just as broke as they are, save government intervention.

I did inhale.

Don July 29, 2008 - 9:10am

CEO and not pushed out by John Mack "The Knife" as they call him, as he was strongly against participating in the credit spree, Morgan Might be in better shape than Goldman.

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley July 29, 2008 - 9:46am

Please go to: http://bigpicture.typepad.com/ and read the detailed analysis of Merrill's balance sheet magic. Yesterday, Merrill agreed to sell $30.6 BILLION of CDOs to an entity whose only holding is...you guessed it, [to be] those very CDOs. Should the entity (called Lone Star Funds] cease to make timely pmts. to MER, the latter of which is ALSO financing most of the transaction, MER can call the loan (and portfolio)! There's more. What, one may muse, did the entity agree to pay for this exquisite dish of $30+ Billion? Pick a price; go ahead, try.... You say, 70 cents on the dollar? No, certainly not 50 cents...! How about 5.5% of the total [presumed] value of $30+B. This is off-balance sheet nastiness of the first order and while it may theoretically "remove" the CDO garbage from Merrill's Annual, 10Q's, et.al., it smells of out-of-sight, out-of investor's minds chicanery.
Kinda like a little Texas energy company...what was its name? I can't remember, but the symbol was ENE. It is anyone's guess how well this will work but John Thain gets a 'B+' for ingenuity. The liability is there still, but it depends on factors such as whether Lone Star can move these CDOs and make some money in the process. But, the process itself is a stretch and I would think that investors, at least the institutional ones, WILL remember this footnote, even though their retail customers might be induced or seduced into buying MER common and other paper from their soon-to-be-mute brokerages. Hide and seek anyone?

vonbahr July 29, 2008 - 5:37pm

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