It's Over For Hillary


Maybe at some point I might have to eat my words, but I doubt it. Someone needs to tell Hillary it's over. She's doing more harm than good at this point. She cannot win without tearing the party apart. It's time to think of the country and the party, before herself. Bow out. Gracefully and then have a future. Don't bow out and go down hard, or win the nomination and lose in the general and wreck the party in the process? Just bow out.

Update: Obama camp says Oregon, May 20, is the day they wrap it all up. Regardless of my opinion, the numbers indicate that they are correct. It's inevitable at this point.


Sean Paul Kelley May 7, 2008 - 2:07pm
( categories: Analysis | USA: Campaign 2008 )

She couldn't wreck the party if she tried. Her supporters? That's another story. They could follow through with their threat and vote for McCain.

She doesn't need to bow out. If she wants to throw a percentage of her millions away, who am I to say she shouldn't. There's always the convention.

This wrecking the party nonsense is what needs to stop.

Lesly May 7, 2008 - 2:21pm

I don't even post regarding these issues anymore. I write 'em and throw 'em out, if that. Its all so absurd and fantastical.

ww May 7, 2008 - 2:46pm

Anybody that threatens to vote for McCain isn't a Democrat anyway. It's just disinformation coming from Republican concern trolls.
.
Good times for Smiley! :-D

Jimbo92107 May 7, 2008 - 2:41pm

have you looked at the 6K+ messages left on the abc site on one of the articles about Hillary dropping out? Half of those are Republicans saying "I'm a good Democrat, but if Hillary does not win there is no way in hell I'm voting for Obama; he just talks well". Very believable.

creativelcro May 7, 2008 - 3:55pm
LJ May 7, 2008 - 2:42pm

What year?

Synoia May 7, 2008 - 7:08pm


ww May 7, 2008 - 7:21pm

so maybe my opinion doesn't count (but I am not a Republican either).

Obama will beat McCain. By a landslide. He needs someone with policy experience for VP. Al Gore or Bill Richardson.

The Clintons lost. She gets to go back to a damn good job as a NY senator.

Bill's intellect/ego won't allow him to play a minor role, so he can do talk shows, lectures and write books.

(If I were Obama I would be very afraid to have a Clinton as VP.)

I did inhale.

Don May 7, 2008 - 2:54pm

Bush wasn't impeached because "President Dick Cheney" was too horrible to contemplate. Obama would be safer (physically) if a liberal Hispanic were his VP.

For campaigning purposes, Bill Richardson would help bring in the national Hispanic vote, while tipping the scales in New Mexico to the Democratic ticket. The governor also has lots of foreign policy experience, which might come in handy when debating such things with people who can't distinguish between Shiia and Sunni, or distinguish between South Korea and Iraq.
.
Good times for Smiley! :-D

Jimbo92107 May 7, 2008 - 3:40pm

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley May 7, 2008 - 3:56pm

is the strongest candidate in the arena concerning energy issues.

He also is the best candidate to shore up relations with our neighbors in the Western Hemisphere.

I did inhale.

Don May 7, 2008 - 4:20pm

some very shapely skeletons in his closet, or that's the very consistent rumor, anyway.

Ian Welsh May 7, 2008 - 5:47pm

Women?

Synoia May 7, 2008 - 7:09pm

in New Mexico, and that is the rumor here. (Women, of course.)

jtruett May 7, 2008 - 8:36pm

When you go to a heart surgeon for open heart surgery, do you ask if the man knows what he's doing or who he's fucking?

It'd be nice if people would let politicians have a personal life and elect them on their ability to do the job.

Course, it ain't going to happen.

Still, this crap gets tiresome.

I did inhale.

Don May 7, 2008 - 9:46pm

as long as these guys who are fucking around don't write the rules on what constitutes moral behavior which, unfortunately, happens all too often.


"While not a Playboy reader, she invites a male acquaintance in for a quiet discussion of Chagall, Nietzsche, jazz, sex." - not a Hugh Hefner quote

adrena May 7, 2008 - 9:55pm

saying it "should" in some ideal platonic world effect whether he's chosen. But I am saying that in this real imperfect American world where prudery and hypocrisy about sex is the norm, it will effect whether he is chosen. And given how Democratic sex scandals (as opposed to Republican ones) play out, while one might not like that calculus, it is not unreasonable.

Ian Welsh May 7, 2008 - 11:13pm

no kidding!

creativelcro May 7, 2008 - 3:53pm

train of thought.


"While not a Playboy reader, she invites a male acquaintance in for a quiet discussion of Chagall, Nietzsche, jazz, sex." - not a Hugh Hefner quote

adrena May 8, 2008 - 10:00pm

I give even odds that someone makes a serious attempt to assassinate Obama before the election.

geoduck May 8, 2008 - 11:31pm

that someone makes an attempt is quite different from calling Hillary a potential murderer.


"While not a Playboy reader, she invites a male acquaintance in for a quiet discussion of Chagall, Nietzsche, jazz, sex." - not a Hugh Hefner quote

adrena May 9, 2008 - 12:12am

(If I were Obama I would be very afraid to have a Clinton as VP.)

If he gets cornered into naming HC as VP, then the very first thing he must do is hire a taster!

Chickadee May 8, 2008 - 4:19pm

No, no, no. With the Rezco (spelling?) trial nearing its conclusion and some serious sentencing bargaining coming up the door must be left open to an alternative at the convention. If the defendant decides to drop the dime on Obama (whether true or not) and if Obama, protesting his innocence (whether true or not) refuses to bow out, the party needs a way, if circumstances require, to more or less gracefully find another candidate.

hvd May 7, 2008 - 3:16pm

That would be surprising, considering nothing horrid has surfaced in their relationship. Meanwhile, the gay cabbie escapade didn't seem to garner much credibility, but made for an entertaining YouTube.
.
Good times for Smiley! :-D

Jimbo92107 May 7, 2008 - 3:43pm

The conservative Chi Trib did everything but a full body cavity search on Obama and found nothing.

LJ May 8, 2008 - 4:41pm

The candidates might actually treat Oregon as if it mattered. Ballots were mailed last week, so we've got about two weeks to vote.

This business of an extended voting period (Oregon has vote-by-mail; mark-sense ballots are kept on file, so there's no issues with a "paper ballot")must frustrate campaigners to no end--no "final push" possible--the pressure has to be maintained for the whole two weeks, making campaigning very expensive here.

There's a strange commercial running on TV by the Gordon Smith (aka "the weasel") senatorial campaign. His opponent in the primary is no particular threat, so he's spending his bucks smearing the two Democratic contenders for his seat.

My personal take on Smith is that he voted for the war. He didn't even give the courtesy of a reply to my question about how he intended to pay for it. He's history in my book.

Petronius May 7, 2008 - 3:52pm

May 07, 2008
Categories: Leadership, Politico

Clyburn says Clinton shouldn't get out

When asked this morning by Joe Scarborough whether it was time for Hillary Clinton to get out of the race, House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-SC) said “absolutely not.” Clyburn wouldn’t relent to the cajoling of Scarborough and his TV co-host Mika Brzezinski to publicly proclaim what many suspect is Clyburn's personal preference for Barack Obama. Instead, he argued on MSNBC that it was good for the party’s message and its continuity to have both candidates still out there “discussing the Democratic agenda.”

Tina May 7, 2008 - 3:57pm

P.J O'Rourke: 'Politics won't allow for the truth.'

hillary's the next president. it's long been in the bag, a done deal in my humble opining. the question, or trick rather, is how to pull it off without being so obviously corrupt that it pisses off the fence-riding yeehaws. gee, at this point, the show's just about to begin. pull out? she can't, even if for some bizarre personal reason she actually wanted to. it's almost like she's contracted and has to run this thing through. i figger mccain's accepted by the TPTB as perfect for his role, and obama too, totally screwed as he is by it all, tho. for ten years or more or so tho...

s'all baloney, an elephant and donkey show.

the real campaign is above and beyond all that crap, but that's taboo territory in most parts, right up there with 9/11, the kennedy assassination, simple economics, and entheogenics. the pregnant possibilities of the net are like any others in this brief and pivotal time, too openended, and way too proactively demanding, to do anything with but ignore. there's a show to be watched, dammit.

hear the falling hush from the strongest voices as curtain time approaches.

...the gov pages going down, the numbers missing, the increasing inversion of transparency and privacy between gov and us peoples who should be running the facility... opensource code software facilitation of our own administering is what we could be doing but nah... that's 9/11 stuff...

http://www.socialtext.net/codev2/index.cgi?sovereignty

As a descriptive matter, then, cyberspace is not yet dominated (or even broadly populated) by citizen-sovereignties. The sovereignties we see so far are all merchant-sovereignties. And this is even more clearly true with the Internet. To the extent sites are sovereign, they are merchant-sovereigns. Our relationship to them is the same as our relationship to McDonald ’s.

This change came about not through some political decision but as a result of a changing economic and social reality. Our sense of being members of a national community increased until, at a certain stage, it became impossible to deny our national citizenship. A war produced that recognition. The Fourteenth Amendment wrote it into the Constitution; economic and social intercourse made it completely real. And as this change took hold, the claim that issues like slavery were local became absurd.

The very same process is happening to us now, internationally, and cyberspace is making an important contribution. It has been slowly gaining momentum, of course, since the end of World War II, but the Internet has wildly accelerated the pace. Ordinary citizens are connected internationally and can make international transactions as never before. The presence of a community that is beyond any individual state is increasingly undeniable.

As this international community develops in cyberspace, its citizens will find it increasingly difficult to stand neutral in this international space. Just as a principled sort of citizen in 1791 might have said that slavery in Virginia was irrelevant to a citizen in Maine, so in 1991 the control of speech in Singapore may have been irrelevant to a citizen of the United States. But just as the claim about slavery ’s local relevance became implausible in the course of the nineteenth century, the claim about speech on the Net will become equally implausible in the 21 st century. Cyberspace is an international community; there are constitutional questions for it to answer; and we cannot simply stand back from this international space and say that these questions are local issues.

At least, we could not say that once we effectively invaded this international space with the Internet of 1995. We put into the world an architecture that facilitated extraordinarily free speech and extraordinary privacy; that enabled secure communications through a protocol that permitted encryption; and that encouraged free communications through a protocol that resisted censorship. That was the speech architecture that the Net gave the world —that we gave the world.

Crowd Control

http://www.alternet.org/columnists/story/84060/

http://www.temple.edu/lawschool/dpost/writings.html

http://technewsreview.com.au/article.php?article=548

etc

leave it to the damned anarchists to spoil everything tho... an obama supporter to boot.

Undo

is_it_time_for_a_new_constitut_1.html

ignoring the obvious

http://www.kucinichtv.com/

Dennis Kucinich, a Democratic Presidential candidate and current Congressional Representative for Ohio's 10th district, is launching a New Constitutional Convention Initiative this evening (Wednesday, November 14th), at 9pm EST. Kucinich will be holding a national town hall meeting at kucinichtv.com, featuring live streaming video and audio.

http://www.sweetliberty.org/concon.htm

i know, i know, there's a show to watch and i should siddown, shuddup, and eat my popcorn. (what? no popcorn?)

Zuma May 7, 2008 - 4:18pm

I've never understood why PJ ORourke had a career in journalism. Let me preface my opinion of him by saying I seldom relent to ad-hominem attacks. He's an idiot - and an extremely arrogant one at that.

Nominay May 9, 2008 - 6:54pm

yes to all that, but the quote stood on it's own, attributed to him though it was.

Zuma May 9, 2008 - 7:48pm

when he wrote for National Lampoon. He's been on the down escalator ever since.



Turn back to the Constitution - and
READ it.

Rick May 9, 2008 - 10:18pm

AP, By David Espo, May 7

WASHINGTON — Apart from George McGovern, a plainspoken man who knows something about losing elections, not a single Democrat of national stature publicly urged Hillary Rodham Clinton on Wednesday to end her campaign for the White House.

They didn't have to.

There was no shortage of other ways to signal, suggest, insinuate or instigate the same thing. And certainly no need to apply unseemly pressure to a historic political figure, a woman who has run a grueling race, won millions of votes and drawn uncounted numbers of new Democratic voters to the polls.

Instead, many Democrats instead preferred to say softly what the party's 1972 presidential nominee said for all to hear. Barack Obama has won the nomination "by any practical test," McGovern said.

"Hillary, of course, will make the decision as to if and when she ends her campaign," he added. "But I hope that she reaches that decision soon so that we can concentrate on a unified party capable of winning the White House next November."


"Frankly, we've lost a lot in recent years." - General Colin Powell

Raja May 7, 2008 - 5:26pm

i dozed off around 7 PM Central and awoke around 9:30 to go to my friends house and watch the Daily Show. (about to do the same). I ran right out and didn't check the TV.

Caught Hilldog giving her 'concession' speech on the radio. The tone was very much "this is over, we're done." To a striking degree I could just feel it.

I think that she will play out her final episode without going negative now. They can't resist it, they have to stay in. But now finally the pressure from the power structure is such that they can't fuck with obama w/o damaging themselves. Didn't really expect that, but i bet that's the story arc unless she abruptly runs outta moola next week.

(altho i guess it's all deficit spending in Hilldog's camp now anyway...)

--
Hongpong.com

HongPong May 7, 2008 - 9:00pm

With language like this, your man deserves to lose in November. Gannon, where are you now?


"While not a Playboy reader, she invites a male acquaintance in for a quiet discussion of Chagall, Nietzsche, jazz, sex." - not a Hugh Hefner quote

adrena May 7, 2008 - 9:37pm

Sorry, Hilldog was her Secret Service code name on a really awesome episode of South Park.

I always hoped it would catch on.... I think Jeff Gannon got promoted....

--
Hongpong.com

HongPong May 8, 2008 - 10:22am

I Call A Spade a Spade

If your standard is bloggers' language then both candidates deserve to lose.

Tim May 8, 2008 - 11:44am

No amount of suggestions from party elders and campaign supporters is going to talk as loud as money. She's already in debt over $20 million. If the cash doesn't roll in quickly this week, she's facing yet more loans from the Clinton personal fortune, or she has to fold up shop. This is a couple that started out poor, made a good living in the White House, and struck it rich afterwards. They'll not want to jeopardize what they've built up so far, so my guess is in the next few weeks she winds things down. She's only holding off and giving the appearance of campaigning to raise as much possible now to whittle down the debt.

Besides, psychologically it is a lot easier to say to yourself "I ran out of money" than "I failed".

Numerian May 8, 2008 - 1:22am

But this one doesn't have enough truth in it to make it witty.

Hillary's been a fighter the whole way, her whole life. To think its all about the Benjimans now is rather silly. Besides, the Clintons aren't in any danger of going broke. Their ability to generate money is formidable. It will still be true next year.

When people resort to psychoanalyzing, well, all I will say is "swing and a miss."

Despite all the emotive screeds and mowed down weeds, Occam's Razor points the way back to the highway of reality. Hillary doesn't need to quit until Barack has enough delegates to win, which he doesn't. She's always been in it to win it, and has always believed she is the better candidate. She says as much. Winners never quit and quitters never win. The American way. There you go.

Superdelegates are there to excersize a judgement about the nominee selected by the voters on whether or not the nominee is electable. Agree or not with the idea, that's why they're there.

I believe Hillary, along with others (myself included), thinks Barack will lose against McCain. I don't know for sure that she thinks this, but it appears to be true. As remote as the possibility is that the Superdelagtes are courageous enough to vote elect-ability rather than with the slim majority, Hillary, by staying in the race, keeps alive the possibility that a grave error will be avoided.

Of course, this will sound like self-serving rationalization to Obama supporters who undoubtedly believe their guy is electable. Its true to an extent because one can't really know the outcome of hypothesis untested. But its not a wacky idea, or we wouldn't have Superdelgates to begin with. Its been thought of before.

Pre-emptive bid: It looks like Obama will be the nominee. Upon failing to gain the office of President many will attempt to lay blame at Hillary's feet.

This will be wrong. Democrats are somewhat willing to forgive Barack's shortcomings and failings displayed along the way. (lack of leadership during the Wright controversy, lack of judgment concerning Ayres, Rezko, lack of knowledge displayed in regards to foreign policy, unwillingness to take a strong stand, etc) Independents and swing-able Republicans? Not so much.

Throw in the general vile nastiness, the malicious disrespect toward women/blue-collars, and the cult-ish vibe emanating from Obama's younger core of supporters, and I believe you have club that very few now on the outside can see themselves joining.

Barack's empty message of change rings more hollow with each passing day. None of that is Hillary's fault. All of it will be underscored in the GE, a contest very few in Barack's contingent have any experience with.

I will vote for Barack if he is the nominee, of course. And I hope he wins, natch. I'd love to be wrong about his being electable.

I hope.


"...cunning, baffling, powerful."

ww May 8, 2008 - 7:51am

But Obama could probably slam the door on Clinton by funding open caucuses in MI and FL through the campaign. It does leave him open to charges of pandering, and it would be pandering, but that's what elections seem to be about anyway.

NateTG May 8, 2008 - 9:29am

Mich. Dems agree on a delegate split, need national party's OK

BY TODD SPANGLER • FREE PRESS WASHINGTON STAFF • May 8, 2008

Michigan's lost Democratic delegation may be a step closer to this summer's convention in Denver.

The delegation, stripped of its convention credentials when state party leaders scheduled a Jan. 15 primary in violation of national rules, could finally be seated under a compromise the state party's executive committee endorsed Wednesday night.

Under that proposal -- hammered out weeks ago by Sen. Carl Levin, Rep. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick, UAW President Ron Gettelfinger and National Committeewoman Debbie Dingell -- Sen. Hillary Clinton would get 69 of the state's delegates and Sen. Barack Obama, 59.

The compromise would cut only slightly into Obama's lead. The Illinois senator has 1,846.5 delegates to Clinton's 1,696, according to the Associated Press.

The proposal also would seat the state's 29 superdelegates.

The proposal essentially splits the difference between the 73 delegates Clinton won under state party rules in the disallowed primary -- Obama had taken his name off the ballot -- and an Obama proposal to award each candidate half the delegates.

State Party Chairman Mark Brewer said he was directed during a conference call with the state party's 80-member executive committee Wednesday night to bring the plan as a challenge to the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws panel when it meets May 31 in Washington.

Brewer said support for the compromise was sizable. ...


"...cunning, baffling, powerful."

ww May 8, 2008 - 9:36am

If Obama's campaign goes out and privately runs a caucus, say on the 10th of June, the DNC is effectively going to be stuck abiding by the results, and the DNC does not have the power to stop him from running it.

NateTG May 8, 2008 - 1:06pm

...why is the DNC effectively stuck abiding by the results of a caucus funded by one campaign without involving any of the state party Dems or officials?

ww May 8, 2008 - 1:46pm

Legally speaking the DNC can do what it wants vis-a-vis candidate selection and delegate seating. Politically speaking, there's no upside and a huge downside to ignoring a well-run and accountable caucus in FL. (It would probably be smarter for Obama to offer to pay half the estimated cost of running MI and FL caucuses.)

NateTG May 8, 2008 - 2:45pm

Moreover, the primary process is basically about allowing the voters to be heard. As long as the process is fair, open and accountable, it doesn't really matter whether the DNC does anything with it.

NateTG May 8, 2008 - 2:47pm

... so you're saying Obama could, on his own, run a state wide caucus without the help of the DNC, the efforts of which would be in direct conflict with a plan already hammered out by State party officials, where State Party Chairman Mark Brewer was directed to bring the plan as a challenge to the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws panel, but the DNC would effectively be forced to abide by the results if the process was fair, open and accountable?

If by fair, open and accountable you mean where all contestants are beholden to the same rules in a one person one vote election using standard procedures vetted by the FEC, I think we already had that one. (and no, Obama pulling his name off the ballot doesn't mean Hillary broke the rules)


"...cunning, baffling, powerful."

ww May 8, 2008 - 3:06pm

I still don't understand all this talk about how a protracted primary campaign is bad for the democrats. They're raising tons of money (spending it too, but still) and getting massive amounts of free press. As compared to John McCain, who hasn't gotten a big headline in months. It seems like a specious argument, put forward cynically by a lazy media and the paranoid partisans of both candidates' campaigns.

However, how bad would it be if this tore the party apart? Most of us here seem to be decidedly left of 'moderate,' which is to say that the Democratic Party hasn't given a fuck about progressive values since Gene McCarthy. Neither Hillary's DLC retreads nor Obama's 'post-partisanship,' both quite corporate-friendly, are going to bring that back. Neither one has said anything about reducing the class warfare that's caused corporate profits to increase as real wages stagnate over the last 40 years. Neither one is going to seriously rein in coal or oil to reduce our carbon footprint. Neither one is going to end the war. And nobody who would do these things is allowed to rise very far in the party - it'll be a long time before Sherrod Brown, Jon Tester, or Jim Webb even gets a Senate leadership position. Tear the party apart? Kick the bums out, it's about frikkin' time. But it's not going to happen this time around, we're just going to get more of the same corporate bullshit. Y'all got my hopes up, though.

hillbilly diaspora May 8, 2008 - 9:40am

Hillary gets the news ....

ww May 9, 2008 - 11:12am

I'm really surprised that you of all people posted this vid on here.

Nominay May 9, 2008 - 7:03pm


ww May 9, 2008 - 7:05pm

Don't Expect Clinton to Quit Before Superdelegates Decide


By Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, May 9, 2008; A04

How will the Democratic nomination battle end?

At a time when Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton faces ever longer odds in her quest to deny Sen. Barack Obama the nomination, that question has become increasingly important to the candidates and the party. Will it end happily or unhappily? Will the loser go graciously or bitterly? Will the Democrats end up united or divided?

Clinton has vowed to stay in "until there is a nominee," but even with six primaries left on the calendar, the party is beginning to coalesce around Obama.

Still, from Clinton's campaign, there is no talk of bringing the race to an end anytime soon. From her vantage point, she has in recent weeks won Ohio as well as the popular vote in Texas, Pennsylvania and Indiana. Obama won Mississippi and North Carolina. She has won critical battleground states and, in her view, is holding the constituencies vital to Democratic hopes of winning in November. Why not stay in until the end?

She also believes that the competition with Obama has produced record turnout, a surge of new registrants for the Democratic Party and a cadre of now-seasoned organizers who will be paying dividends for years to Democratic congressional and gubernatorial candidates. Her advisers are realists, but some genuinely think it is still possible to win -- not probable by any means but not out of the question.

Party strategists sketch out at least three scenarios for a possible end to the Clinton campaign. ...

Link

ww May 9, 2008 - 11:24am

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