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"Tax Cuts For All" Ideology About To ExplodeThere it is, the canary in the coal mine. Via Mish we find the story of Vallejo, California and it's pending bankruptcy. Although I do not know the specifics of the Vallejo bankruptcy it is the result of two ominous and dominant trends in American politics. First, the one size fits all nature of the conservative tax cut cult and second, the absurd assumptions built into most pension plans, public as well as private. Together they look to create a pretty nasty storm. For too long the people who run government (and private business, most famously Jack Welch of GE) have relied on outsized pension returns to pad the overall lack of investment in the country. A lack of investment fueled by the unwillingness of anyone to actually pay for anything, i.e. taxes. Of course, Americans think that the rise in markets over the last twenty years will continue and see it as a free lunch. But in order for investment markets to outperform something has to be put back into them, as opposed to sucking wealth out of them all the time like we have been. That's why they are called investments. We invest in productive assets, such as human capital, bridges, roads, ports, airports, schools etc . . . in the hopes (largely correct) that they will pay dividends in the future. It's akin to retirees who save their whole lives and build up their capital so that they can live off of the dividends. But what happens when you begin eating into the capital? More ominously is that what has happened in America is that outsized returns in the capital markets created the expectations that more and more outsized returns would follow. So people got into the habit of getting something for nothing, after all, if tax cuts led to large returns in the market, wouldn't they do the same thing on the state and local level? (As if local elites would build roads and bridges!) Circular reasoning indeed. And now we see the result, just like the old folks who used to much of their capital too early for too many cruises in the tropics: they don't have enough money to pay their utilities, or pay for groceries. But in our case bridges collapse; ports are sold off; locals pay for new roads (toll roads, you dig) that are built by multinationals with no loyalty to the locality. That's bad enough, but it gets worse. Now because of a miserly--but horribly profligate--federal government and falling tax revenues for states and municipalities there is no money to pay for ongoing services, like the police and fire departments (hey, let's privatize that too!) much less for real investment--and no, prisons are not investments, no matter how many jobs they create. The moral of the story: nothing is free. Sean Paul Kelley February 19, 2008 - 11:48pm
( categories: Economics: USA )
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