Pootie-Poot Ups The Ante


Interesting developments in the Caspian region today. Russian President Vladimir Putin was in Tehran meeting with Iranian President, Mahmoud Ahmedinejad. The way the New York Times frames the meeting makes it sound like there was a firm declaration by all the Caspian littoral states to eschew the use of force in the region, a clear warning to Washington. Or is it? I'd prefer to read the declaration itself before I'm certain. But, it does make geopolitical sense for Putin and Ahmedinejad and the other Caspian nations to join efforts to prevent Washington from attacking Iran.

From the Times:

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia told a summit meeting of five Caspian Sea nations in Iran today that any use of military force in the region was unacceptable and in a declaration the countries agreed that none of them would allow their territories to be used as a base for launching military strikes against any of the others.

“We should not even think of making use of force in this region,” Mr. Putin said.

This comment by Ahmedinejad leads me to believe that whatever agreement was made isn't completely bulletproof:

Mr. Ahmadinejad intimated as much in his statements today. “On many issues we have reached final agreement but we also need collective cooperation,” said Mr. Ahmadinejad at the gathering. “The goal is to keep the sea clear of military competitions and keep foreigners out of the region.”

I'll write more when--or if--I find the text of the declaration.

One thing more I find interesting about this article in the Times is how it frames our presence in Central Asia in a more positive light than it really is, implying in a way that Russia is struggling to keep us out, while the opposite is more true: that the US is struggling to retain what little presence remains, especially after being booted out of Uzbekistan, our unraveling relationship with Pakistan and the constant haggling the US does in Kyrgyzstan.

More after the jump

From the Times:

But the issue of Iran’s nuclear program overshadowed the others. Mr. Putin’s remarks also underscored a longstanding unease in the Kremlin with what it regards as a creeping American military presence in Central Asia, a region formerly solely under Moscow’s control.

Since the terrorist attacks in the United States in 2001, the Pentagon has built a military base in Kyrgyzstan to support operations in Afghanistan, and has expanded its military collaboration with Azerbaijan, including underwriting an upgrade of a former Soviet airfield there.

It also has an agreement allowing military transport planes en route to Afghanistan to refuel in Turkmenistan, a country that has made neutrality a cornerstone of its foreign policy.

The American presence and collaboration in the region has alarmed Moscow, and its potential access to improved airfields in two countries bordering Iran — Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan — has fueled speculation that the airfields could support actions against Tehran.

There's nothing 'crepping about our position in Central Asia, unless we're creeping outwards?

Regardless, the real spoiler right now is China. What has China said privately about Iran? What will they do if we attack?


Sean Paul Kelley October 16, 2007 - 3:05pm
( categories: Iran )

Tina October 16, 2007 - 3:18pm

From Reuters:

The Russian leader also met Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who holds ultimate authority in Iran.

Have Dr. Rice, or Messrs. Cheney or Bush ever been granted an audience with the Supreme Leader?

Petronius October 16, 2007 - 6:09pm

“Is not our first thought to go on the road? The road is our source, our vault of treasures, our wealth. Only on the road does the ‘traveller’ feel like himself, at home.”
Ryszard Kapuscinski

Sean Paul Kelley October 16, 2007 - 6:14pm

Ayatollah69: lol. how r u guyz?

Rice_bomb: gr8. went 2 taco bel for din.

Dominatrix666: george 8 5 packts hot sauce, and thru up!!1! lol. hes so stupid.

TEH_DECIDER_FTW: f u cheney :( tacos rule!

Ayatollah69: I planted a nuclear warhead in Manhattan.

Rice_bomb: no way

Dominatrix666: martial law for teh win! yaaaay.

TEH_DECIDER_FTW: f u ayatollah! u r evul.

Ayatollah69: ... jk!

Rice_bomb: Awww! :)

Dominatrix666: damnit

TEH_DECIDER_FTW: f u ayatollah! u r evul.

Bolo October 16, 2007 - 6:47pm

Putin is a diplomat. Smart man. I hope his reaching out to Tehran will awaken the rest of the world. I have not seen on the news that he spoke with the Ayatollah.

Bucksouth October 17, 2007 - 12:57am

Putin warns over force in Iran

Military intervention would be unacceptable, Putin warns.

:D

Tina October 17, 2007 - 4:37am

...of the worst boss I ever had.

"The sun rises in the East."

"That is completely unacceptable."

I frequently wondered whether, given sufficient velocity (and at the time, I played a good bit of soccer), his anus would accept my 13Ws.

Gordon October 17, 2007 - 9:01pm

Caspian Sea summit in Tehran ends with final declaration (Extra)

Oct 16, 2007, 10:49 GMT

Tehran - The summit of the Caspian Sea littoral states in Tehran ended on Tuesday with a final declaration which Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad termed as a 'turning point.'

'The summit was held in an extremely friendly atmosphere ... and the results should be considered as a huge achievement and a turning point in the history of cooperation between the five Caspian Sea states,' Ahmadinejad said at the closing ceremony of the summit.

The heads of the five states with Caspian Sea shorelines however failed to reach a final agreement on the legal status of the contested body of water and left the issue for discussion at further talks sessions.

Ahmadinejad said all five nations - Iran, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Russia and Turkmenistan - agreed on holding a summit once and foreign ministerial meeting twice per year, adding that the next summit would be held in October in the Azeri capital Baku.

The Iranian president also said that a Caspian Sea economic commission would be formed under the chairmanship of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

'I herewith proclaim that the Caspian Sea is and will forever remain the sea of peace and solidarity among the littoral nations,' Ahmadinejad said.

Ahmadinejad said that the summit also emphasised respecting the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and the rights of all NPT signatories and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) member states to have the right to pursue peaceful nuclear technology 'without any discrimination.'

Tina October 17, 2007 - 6:15am

as though we had a raise from Bush with his WWIII comment.

"Shit, the Caspian Sea can't be no bigger than Lake Texoma."

http://mauberly.blogspot.com/

mauberly October 17, 2007 - 7:57pm

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