I Made The Mistake Of Buying . . .


. . . a short fund for the handful of clients I still manage money for. It's not a mistake I am inclined to repeat. It's a good reminder that the next time I decide shorting a sector of the market, or the entire market for that matter--part of the overall asset allocation process--I'll do it myself. Puts on an index cost less, especially if you take a portion of it and buy zero coupon treasuries. Professional bears are no better than professional bulls.

Speaking of puts. About a year ago--maybe longer--we bought puts, slightly in the money LEAPS to be exact, on several housing stocks. They performed extremely well. So, I suppose they balance out the losses we've endured in the short fund.

Another in a long list of professional and personal reminders concerning the markets. Don't delegate to someone else something you can do. It's just as easy for me to make money when a market is going up as it is when it is going down, which is my way of saying there is nothing easy about any of it at all. Proper asset allocation will ameliorate the downside of many mistakes--and that's what my rationalization was here. But markets are still tough work and always ready to tear a chunk of flesh from me the moment I forget who really is the boss. Markets make for an always interesting life, that's for sure.


Sean Paul Kelley August 16, 2007 - 6:57pm
( categories: Analysis | The Markets )

How the hell did the idiots manage to lose money in a short fund in this market? That takes work.

Ian Welsh August 16, 2007 - 7:33pm

.


“I despise idealogues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark August 16, 2007 - 7:41pm

Lost a bunch of my money on trying to time the market. Pretty much gave up on it by now.

quax August 16, 2007 - 11:02pm

how come they don't let you do this in horse racing?

dk August 17, 2007 - 6:12am

When Boston hedge fund millionaire Jeffrey B. Larson visited a classroom of economics students at his Midwestern alma mater last year, he picked up a marker and diagrammed a low-risk strategy for maximizing profits when investing in a company's stocks and bonds.

The probability "of success was exceedingly high," remembered professor Karl Egge, who taught Larson in the late 1970s and invited him back to his class at Macalester College, in St. Paul.

And at the time, Larson's investment strategy was working -- a 16 percent return from June 2005 to June 2006, nearly double what stocks returned that period. But a month ago, Larson's supposedly seaworthy $3 billion hedge fund at Sowood Capital Management LP abruptly foundered in turbulent debt markets.

His loss of $1.6 billion of investors' money is the biggest hedge fund collapse this year. Much of it occurred during a few frantic days in July, when a meltdown in the subprime mortgage market triggered a shock wave that caused the values of many debt securities, such as those held by Sowood, to drop sharply. Larson suddenly did not have enough money to repay his lenders, and he was forced to dissolve the fund. He sold off the remnants and closed Sowood on July 30.

http://www.boston.com/business/globe/articles/2007/08/16/money_man_bet_wrong____and_lost_16b/

creativelcro August 17, 2007 - 11:51am

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