Reality?


More indications the 'Decider' has already decided. This from Chris Nelson:

[J]ust a short comment or two on President Bush’s current trip, based on the current “on background” conversation going on in Washington today. According to the President, the current civil war in Iraq is not a civil war, it is sectarian unrest being fed by Al Qaeda. And according to National Security Advisor Steve Hadley, you can tell Iraq isn’t a civil war because it’s only a civil war when you have two identifiable sides fighting to control each other’s land.

Where are General Grant and General Lee when we need them?

More after the jump.

So, the conversation in Washington continues, it’s hard to deal seriously with such nonsense. But if you are a member of the Baker-Hamilton Commission, you can’t just dismiss it as political gamesmanship. Nor can anyone. If you are a foreign government, if you are a citizen of the Middle East increasingly at risk, if you are a US policy maker, and if you are “just” a US citizen, you have to ask if Bush and Hadley actually mean what they say...and if so, what can you possibly recommend which they will accept.

So you have to ask questions like “has the CIA told the White House that this isn’t a civil war and that what we see is caused by Al Qaeda”? You have to suspect that the CIA has not. You have to suspect that DOD’s internal assessments, likewise, are not as stated by the President and Hadley. (Indeed, there is ample unclassified public testimony by military and intelligence folks to refute the White House.)

So then you have to ask if Bush and Hadley believe what they say is true, or whether they know it’s nonsense. If nonsense, then perhaps everyone can relax, pending the next adjustment by the President. But if it turns out that Bush means what he says, if he believes it to be true, then you have to ask whether he is any longer capable of fact-based decision making.

A second level of this conversation in Washington then moves to the continued role of Vice President Cheney. It has long been clear to most Washington insiders that Cheney is not just mad...angry...although he is certainly that, a great deal of the time. The suspicion in Washington is that Cheney is mad in the Shakespearean sense.

That is, he lives in an artificial world of his own construction, a world where fact is what he says it is, and nothing is learned by experience, much less the criticism of others. King Lear comes to mind. He was his own weapon of mass destruction.

Now it may be that when Cheney was summoned to Riyadh last weekend, to be read the riot act by the Saudis on what they see as an Iraqi fire spreading to the region, and the threatened regional hegemony of Iran...perhaps this was Cheney’s “death of Cordelia moment”. Perhaps.

So...the conversation in Washington these days, increasingly, is not whether President Bush is capable of the bipartisanship he promised after Nov. 7, but whether this White House is still capable of rational decision making based on objective fact.

Noted without comment.


Sean Paul Kelley November 29, 2006 - 1:30pm
( categories: Analysis )

He's almost destroyed the country -- and I mean the U.S., to say nothing of Iraq. Just because (a) a little cabal of neo-cons wanted to impose a new world order; (b) U.S. elections have deteriorated into mud-slinging irrelevancies tabulated by corrupted systems; and (c) enough fundamentalists thought it was the most important thing of all to have a "good Christian" in the White House who wouldn't allow any abortions. How are we ever going to get out of this? Sounds like give-it-up cynicism, I know. Well, reforms usually aren't accomplished by cynics, so we slog onward...

Flyer Anne November 29, 2006 - 3:05pm

Read Mark Danner's Iraq: The War of the Imagination which is to come out in print in the December 21 New York Review of Books. Danner is critical of the "it's Rummy's fault" line, which Woodward advocates in State of Denial and which was trumpeted by the MSM. Instead, he follows Ron Suskind's thesis in the One Percent Solution. Rather than the Iraq debacle being the result of clashing powerful egos (Cheney, Rumsfeld, Powsell) and an ineffectual NSA (Rice) resulting in a dysfunctional "interagency", which Rumsfeld ultimately took advantage of, Suskind sees the mess as the result of the Bush and Cheney practice of governance which avoided the interagency process.

Woodward tends to blame "the broken policy process" on the relative strength of personalities gathered around the cabinet table: the power and ruthlessness of Rumsfeld, the legendary "bureaucratic infighter"; the weakness of Rice, the very function and purpose of whose job, to let the President both benefit from and control the bureaucracy, was in effect eviscerated. Suskind, more convincingly, argues that Bush and Cheney constructed precisely the government they wanted: centralized, highly secretive, its clean, direct lines of decision unencumbered by information or consultation. "There was never any policy process to break, by Condi or anyone else," Richard Armitage, the former deputy secretary of state, remarks to Suskind. "There was never one from the start. Bush didn't want one, for whatever reason." Suskind suggests why in an acute analysis of personality and leadership:

Of the many reasons the President moved in this direction, the most telling may stem from George Bush's belief in his own certainty and, especially after 9/11, his need to protect the capacity to will such certainty in the face of daunting complexity. His view of right and wrong, and of righteous actions— such as attacking evil or spreading "God's gift" of democracy—were undercut by the kind of traditional, shades-of-gray analysis that has been a staple of most presidents' diets. This President's traditional day began with Bible reading at dawn, a workout, breakfast, and the briefings of foreign and domestic threats.... The hard, complex analysis, in this model, would often be a thin offering, passed through the filters of Cheney or Rice, or not presented at all.

Having also read Fiasco by Thomas Ricks, I was puzzled by the same flaw that Suskind finds in Woodward's book--somehow Bush and Cheney just don't contribute to the disaster as much as Rummy and others under him did. But Nelson trumps Suskind in the severity of his critcism--it's one thing to live in a world of imagination and it's another to be "mad."

LJ November 29, 2006 - 3:19pm

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