Diplomatic Plates Shifting?


I'm not sure what to make of this, as I haven't had enough time to really think about it, but here it is, both from Stratfor:

U.S. President George W. Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice refused to meet with Qatari Emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani and Foreign Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani, Kuwaiti daily Al-Watan, which is owned by a member of the ruling Sabah family, reported Sept. 25. The pro-government daily said "a significant change in relations has taken place," but offered no details on the report's source. Further investigation suggests the source was "someone high up" in the Qatari government, and the owner of the paper is reportedly close to the emir. There also are suggestions that the spat between Washington and Doha has escalated to the point that the United States is considering moving its Selliya military base out of Qatar. Qatar has recently been having trouble with Saudi Arabia, particularly over the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, and Doha has close ties to Tehran. Though this report has not been confirmed, it could signal a significant shift in U.S. presence in the region; finding more information is a priority.

And this:

Senior leaders in the Israeli and Saudi governments allegedly held a secret meeting a little over a week ago. There are some suggestions that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert met with Saudi King Abdullah (which Olmert has denied) or Prince Bandar bin Sultan, secretary-general of the Saudi National Security Council. The story has been all over the Israeli press, but Saudi Arabia denies any meeting took place. Given the rising Iranian ambitions in the region, we have anticipated shifts by Gulf states to contain the rising Iranian tide. The Saudi-Israeli contacts and Egypt's initiative to restart its civilian nuclear program appear to be early signs of the way in which the Arab states are maneuvering to constrain Iran. It will be important to watch these developments, particularly in light of an apparent shift in the other direction in relations between the United States and Qatar.

Thoughts?


Sean Paul Kelley September 26, 2006 - 2:38pm
( categories: Iran )

US snubs Qatar

KUWAIT: Informed western diplomatic sources have told Al-Watan that the US is conducting extensive talks with various GCC members over the possibility of moving its Qatar-based Selliya Military Base and redeploying its troops in other GCC countries in view of new US military strategic priorities based on most recent regional variables and recent disagreements between US and Qatar. The sources also highlighted that both the Emir of Qatar and his foreign minister had requested meetings with US President George Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to discuss the situation, but their requests had been rejected.

http://www.kuwaittimes.net/Navariednews.asp?dismode=article&artid=1278815884



In these times you have to be an optimist to open your eyes when you awake in the morning. ~ Carl Sandburg

Tina September 26, 2006 - 3:01pm

when someone says "no" to them.

What question did they ask that Qatar answered "no" to? I wonder if it has something to do with looking at Qatar's location on a map.

Escher Sketch September 26, 2006 - 3:10pm

and perhaps a scuffle about al-J being to shrill.

but that's just a wild guess. although, if we're looking at a israeli/us/saudi axis vs everybody else, it's logical that qatar would get testy about being used as a base to oppress themselves.

chicago dyke September 26, 2006 - 3:10pm

...why is it that they're talking about As-Sayliyah which is a ground forces command and pre-positioning base, rather than Doha which is the forward command base for CENTCOM or al-Udeid which is the headquarters for CENTAF?

Odd.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave September 27, 2006 - 9:28am

IPS

Tiny Qatar Gains Big From Lebanon Crisis
Meena Janardhan

DUBAI, Sep 26 (IPS) - The war between Israel and the Lebanese militia Hezbollah ended in early August without a clear winner. But the five-week crisis once again exposed the inherent divisions among members of the Arab League and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), and gave Qatar an opportunity to use the row to score diplomatic points against its detractors.

A political maverick in the oil-rich, six-country GCC bloc, Qatar has low-level trade ties with Israel. It is also a key ally of the United States and hosts a major U.S. military base at Al-Udeid. More importantly, it has had a running diplomatic feud for some years with the most dominant player in the region, Saudi Arabia.

In this complex backdrop, the Lebanon crisis resulted in a number of contradictory opinions, which served as the perfect setting for Doha to prove wrong its Arab critics who accuse it of cosying up to Israel.

When Saudi Arabia disapproved of Hezbollah's tactics by saying: ''it is necessary to make a distinction between legitimate resistance to occupation and irresponsible adventurism adopted by certain elements within the state'' -- a view that was also endorsed by Egypt and Jordan -- Qatar hit back.

‘‘The Arab position was part of the problem in reaching a resolution to achieve a ceasefire,'' Qatar -- the only Arab country on the United Nations Security Council -- said, referring to the countries which criticised Hezbollah for the capture of two Israeli soldiers and triggering Israel's offensive against Lebanon. ‘‘Some of these (Arab) countries were in favour of accomplishing this (Israeli) mission.''

more at link



In these times you have to be an optimist to open your eyes when you awake in the morning. ~ Carl Sandburg

Tina September 26, 2006 - 3:24pm

"The war between Israel and the Lebanese militia Hezbollah ended in early August without a clear winner."

Actually, it did end with a clear winner. I've noticed a real concerted effort to pretend Israel didn't get its ass handed to it.

Ian Welsh September 26, 2006 - 3:53pm

/me agrees with chicagodyke

stumpy September 27, 2006 - 5:16am

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