The Indian Miracle


You know that Indian miracle Tom "Flathead" Friedman is always going on about? Well, Pankaj Mishra does a little debunking in Flathead's own backyard:

[T]he increasingly common, business-centric view of India suppresses more facts than it reveals. Recent accounts of the alleged rise of India barely mention the fact that the country's $728 per capita gross domestic product is just slightly higher than that of sub-Saharan Africa and that, as the 2005 United Nations Human Development Report puts it, even if it sustains its current high growth rates, India will not catch up with high-income countries until 2106.

My beef with those who see India as a counterweight to 'rising China' is the fact, so very often overlooked, that India has NO INFRASTRUCTURE. Here's proof (and this is common all over the country):

Where China has multi-lane ringroads that are the envy of every U.S. Interstate engineer in size and ease of use, India has small four lane highways that take hours to get from one end of Bombay to another--not too mention a lane for cows, rickshaws and other assorted human powered vehicles. (Ok, so I jest about the lane for cows, but not by much.) None of this is to deny that India has made and is making great strides in development. But not all is as well as it seems, as Ian informed us this morning. How's that for Flatland, eh?


Sean Paul Kelley July 7, 2006 - 1:35am

In downtown Mumbai, (Bombay) there are only about five stop lights the whole way. I am not talking about expressways, there are none.

Bucksouth July 7, 2006 - 3:23am

The Indian miracle exists in a few cities, and a few campusses. It has not spread out in terms of general infrastructure yet, as I understand.

Been a long time since I've been in India though.

Ian Welsh July 7, 2006 - 8:28am

of those rare articles that I read and agreed with everything he said. You are right about infra-structure but education is another huge problem. The real literacy rate is around 50%. There is no way that the majority of poor Indians will ever break the cycle of poverty if they can't even read.

Mark July 7, 2006 - 9:10pm

India's biggest problem is, if the upper cast really wants to develop the country. Instead they probably want to have their 800 million servants. Progress would mean the final destruction of cast system.

It is not uncommon to found an interview article in Indian press, which has been written without interviewing anybody.

Scandinavians have had profitable manufacturing in India already 50 years.

-- Happy fishing in ocean of noise!

Gandalf July 9, 2006 - 3:45pm

The truth of the matter is India is still a very closed country. Most of the population has minimal interaction with the outside world. Especially U.S and UK. Call center conversation nuances might escape a minimally trained Indian employee, but we do have a highly educated young population and we need to realize that our resources do not necessarily have to come from the land. Even though we lack natural resources we can invest in education of our vast population, build our infrastructure and turn the negatives into positives. Germany did not have a lot of resources but after World war II there was a mad scramble by U.S and U.S.S.R to obtain German Scientists and technolgy. A couple of years back I invested in a stock called Sasol SSL. (ADR SHARES) somehow they process Diesel fuel from Coal.I was amazed to find out this echnology was developed by the Germans after their supply lines were cut off to run their tanks. The company was originally German but now is located in South Africa. They are heavily invested in China which has large Coal reserves but no diesel. I made a decent return on this investment. My point is this Hitler for all his evil developed his scientists and technolgy and in 1941 that tiny country were more advanced in Rocketry and other sciences than the BRITS or U.S . Germans do not have vast reserves of any natural resource to speak off. Perhaps Indians need a halfway decent leader that knows that the real resource is our people and brains then maybe we will not have to wait 100 odd years to catch up.

ramkankesh July 10, 2006 - 3:34am

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