I have an idea for Comedy Central to host - "Mike Gravel verses Alan Keyes" ... in the "Come From Behind For a Knockout Win" Presidential Debate. The idea is to give the 3rd tier candidates an opportunity, but both are so outrageous that together it ought to be quite entertaining. It would combine Stewart and Colbert's shows for one hour with each moderating for a special episode of "The Daily Report". "MIKE GRAVEL VS. ALAN KEYES"! You heard it here first, and last.

...from the numbers with the benefit of being the late bird at the worm. ;)

Current figures - want to win:

Clinton: 68
Obama: 217

Current figures - think will win:

Clinton: 81
Obama: 371

Expected figures were ratios of want = to think:

Clinton: 51.07
Obama: 233.93

Statistical significance, chi square - observed vs. expected: 0.009

I don't usually do this sort of thing with something as simple as Excel, so take it with a small grain of salt. Needless to say, it'll shift as numbers change.

"A survey data set containing imputed values should not be analyzed uncritically as if all the data were real values." ~ Graham Kalton

last night!!!!

...significance until I went to bed.

Current figures - want to win:

Clinton: 109
Obama: 309

Current figures - think will win:

Clinton: 81
Obama: 371

Expected figures for want, were want = to think:

Clinton: 74.91
Obama: 343.09

Statistical significance, chi square - observed vs. expected: 0.0001

Bigger question, of course, is what should we take away from this? My take on it is that folks figure Obama's got the big Mo, but that there's some serious misgivings - not the most earthshaking conclusion, I admit. What I'd really like to see is how the former Edwards supporters are shaking out - the patterning that I saw in his polling suggested to me that there was a significant body of supporters that didn't like Clinton and viewed Edwards as the responsible adult alternative. Where are they going now?

"A survey data set containing imputed values should not be analyzed uncritically as if all the data were real values." ~ Graham Kalton

Now there's a real conspiracy.

Bill made it to Bilderberg before he was even Prez. (reaching for an Alcoa product) Now I wonder how a nothing Gov of a backwater state gets to that secretive place of prominence ... and then lo and behold ... becomes President of the United States?

WAPO 1998 - While Clinton is, as president, the visible leader in the relationship, the two men's friendship is as close to equal as can be in a bond involving the chief executive, friends of both men say. After all, it was Jordan who first introduced then-Gov. Clinton to world leaders at their annual Bilderberg gathering in Germany in 1991. Plenty of governors try to make that scene; only Clinton got taken seriously at that meeting, because Vernon Jordan said he was okay.

"I want the superdelegates to decide for me" option :D

I'm sure either of the Great States of New York and Illinois will be delighted to have their junior senator back. And Obama could pad his resume and put his post-partisanship to the test by helping to shepherd Clinton policy through the Senate.

_{Turn back to the Constitution - and READ it.}

...in the next 4 years, you should vote McCain, shouldn't you?

OTOH, everyone knows they will scream "it's all the D's fault". Heck they'll do that even if the D's don't win.

at Harpers Ferry.

http://mauberly.blogspot.com/