As I survey the Latin American news, I'm struck by the stories coming out this week about Hugo Chavez and his ever increasing level of bluster and belligerence. But it's the kind of news I would expect for some naive reason to be seeing in the American media. Here's some coverage from the UK:
Venezuela says that Alvaro Uribe, the Colombian president and close ally of Washington, is allowing the US government a dangerous foothold in the region by giving its troops access to Colombia's military bases.
From the LaAm Herald, he's clearly trying to counter the narrative that Barack Obama represents a major break with U.S. policy:
“One must speak with love and therefore I say to the (U.S.) president, (Barack) Obama: don’t make a mistake and order an open attack on Venezuela using Colombia,” said the Venezuelan leader on his Sunday radio and television program “Alo Presidente.”
“This world is infected by the virus of the terrible disease of violence by the most powerful against the weakest,” he said, adding that “many people have been having illusions” of change in the United States with the coming of Obama to the presidency.
“We were always cautious about the triumph of President Obama. Early on, we began to take note of the truth, that the empire is here, alive and more threatening than ever,” Chavez said.
Although Chavez did not allude explicitly to the desire of Lula to set up a meeting between him and Uribe, he emphasized that the Brazilian president recently said in Britain that “the only thing that’s been seen about Obama is the coup in Honduras and the seven military bases” in Colombia that will be able to be used by the U.S. military.
The Colombian government “transferred itself to the United States. This must be known. Regrettably, it’s this way, it’s sad and painful, but this is the way it is,” Chavez said, adding that “Colombia surrendered; not the people but rather the government, the oligarchy, without shame or anything. Before, they put on the mask, now they’ve removed the mask.”
Presumably Chavez is trying to unite Venezuelans against a common outside enemy as his popularity flags due to deteriorating conditions. But it's hard to imagine any scenario where the U.S. allows him to actually start a shooting war with Colombia.
Some stories in the full entry that elaborate more on the pressures that Chavez is operating under.
First off, his popularity is waning quite a bit:
A wide array of recent opinion polls suggests that Venezuelans might be getting tired of their omnipresent leader. Though Chávez’s grip on power is tighter than ever, the head of the Bolivarian revolution is losing his personal touch. According to Hinterlaces, three-in-five Venezuelans want the president to step down in 2012, when his current term expires. A different pollster shows that most people want Chávez to be either ousted in a recall referendum next year, or leave at the end of his current term, in 2012. The same poll reveals that only 39.8 per cent of Venezuelans would vote for Chávez in the next election.
Another series of indicators suggests that a new narrative is emerging to describe the Chávez administration that could harm the president’s permanence in power—which he will undoubtedly seek—come the 2012 election. A majority of respondents to an August poll say Chávez is really a dictator. Three-in-five Venezuelans told a different pollster that freedom of expression is not fully protected in the country, and a majority think the media operate with limited or no freedom at all. Most respondents to another survey said recently that the actions of the national government threaten Venezuela’s democracy.
The cracks in the Chávez brand are not just conceptual. Venezuelans have recently awakened to a harsh reality involving food shortages, electricity blackouts, water rationing and, perhaps most troubling, a spike in crime in urban areas, most notably in Caracas. The latter has become one of the most dangerous cities in the world, with 130 killings per 100,000 residents reported last year. Foreign Policy magazine deemed Caracas the "murder capital of the world."