The left-leaning President of Honduras was ousted in a military coup this weekend. From the NYT:
President Manuel Zelaya of Honduras was ousted by the army on Sunday, capping months of tensions over his efforts to lift presidential term limits.
In the first military coup in Central America since the end of the cold war, soldiers stormed the presidential palace in the capital, Tegucigalpa, early in the morning, disarming the presidential guard, waking Mr. Zelaya and putting him on a plane to Costa Rica.
Mr. Zelaya, a leftist aligned with President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela, angrily denounced the coup as illegal. “I am the president of Honduras,” he insisted at the airport in San José, Costa Rica, still wearing his pajamas.
Later Sunday the Honduran Congress voted him out of office, replacing him with the president of Congress, Roberto Micheletti.
The military offered no public explanation for its actions, but the Supreme Court issued a statement saying that the military had acted to defend the law against “those who had publicly spoken out and acted against the Constitution’s provisions.”
The coup has been denounced by: Barack Obama and Hugo Chavez (linkage courtesy of the Washington Times, nice one), UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, Cuba, and the head of the Organization of American States.
Some analysis from Reuters:
The most serious immediate risk is that Chavez, who has championed a new wave of socialism across Latin America, takes military action. However, he has a history of making military threats and not following up on them.
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega, a former Marxist rebel who has aligned his country with Venezuela, called the coup "an act of terrorism" but has not threatened further action. Nicaragua borders Honduras.
Ecuador's left-wing President Rafael Correa said he would participate in military action only if his envoys are threatened.
One of the fascinating things about Latin America is the way variations on the same themes play out slightly differently in the various LatAm nations. Since the rise of Hugo Chavez there has been a flurry of left-leaning governments elected in Brazil, Bolivia, Honduras (Zelaya moved left AFTER being elected), Guatemala, Ecuador (even in Mexico, although Andrés Manuel López Obrador was never allowed to take office, he possibly got the most votes in the 2006 election).
The recent unrest in Guatemala and this apparently successful military coup in Honduras could be indications that the leftist wave has crested. The Peruvian elections in 2010 could test that thesis, or prove it wrong.
UPDATE: NarcoNews is reporting some alarming news retracted an earlier report:
Correction: News reports translated by Narco News on Monday that Honduran political leader Cesar Ham had been assassinated appear not to be accurate. This report says otherwise, that Ham is alive and well. We apologize for any confusion caused by our first report, and share in the world's relief that the reports we initially translated were inaccurate.
They insist that leftist leader and honduran Cesar Ham is alive and safe
by Chevige Gonzalez Marco, Aporrea
Luther Castillo, coordinator of Honduran social movements, in an interview with the Cuban television program Mesa Redonda, denied that the leader of the Democratic Unification Party, Cesar Ham, has been assassinated.
Castillo also denied that Ham has been detained and said that he remains in a secure location, faced with the possibility of repression by the coup leaders.
If this report is confirmed, it will mark an alarming shift in events. So far the Honduran coup has been free of some of the worst traits of the many 20th century Latin American coups. The military immediately surrendered power and there had been no casualties.
If Ham has indeed been murdered, this raises the stakes dramatically.
Phew. Glad Ham is alright. Not surprised that false information is finding its way onto Notimex, NarcoNews' source.
More analysis from Charles Lemos of MyDD in the full entry:
If these developments were an isolated event that would be one thing but they're not. Latin America's dance with democracy is becoming a slow tango to authoritarianism in many corners of the continent. President Zelaya among others suffer from a caudillo mentality. The belief that only they are competent enough to lead and thus they seek to extend their mandates via nebulous constitutional procedures.
Latin American constitutions have historically allowed for a strong executive branch but the check on their power has been one term and out. A number of countries permit a return to power after sitting out a term but others such as Mexico and Chile do not. There it is one and out for good. Brazil was the first country to permit direct re-election of the President but now Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador have altered their Constitutions allowing indefinite re-election. In my native Colombia, Alvaro Uribe was granted a one-time exception allowing him to run for re-election. His supporters in Congress are now attempting another 'one-time' exception to allow him a third term, something which I oppose strenuously. In Brazil, Lula too is contemplating a third term for which he would have to amend the Constitution.
Constitutions are not documents that should be tampered with to satisfy personal ambitions or for political expediency. Presidential powers need to be checked across the continent. Latin American democracies remain fragile in part because larger than life personalities tend to dominate politics. And too often these personalities have a caudillo mentality that does not serve democratic governance well.
Democracy in Latin America has come a long way. The last successful coup in the region was a coup in 2000 in Ecuador. The last successful coup in Central America was the Guatemala coup of 1983 that brought General Rios Montt to power. The last coup in Honduras was in 1972. Then a military government would remain in power until 1982. That is clearly not the case now. Power has already been transferred to the President of the Congress, Roberto Michletti. Elections are scheduled for later this year and the current term expires in January 2010.
To close, I have a hard time calling this a coup. It is certainly not a traditional golpe de estado where the military takes power. There was clearly a constitutional crisis in Honduras that was largely set off by the President who was acting to devise a scheme to perpetuate his hold on power. Zelaya's ouster however also seems extra-constitutional. But ultimately the Latin American principle of non interference in the internal affairs of other Latin American states may prove the option out. This is, I think, a matter for the Hondurans to resolve themselves.
Lemos' statement that "I have a hard time calling this a coup" is certainly drawing pushback from MyDD readers and I would strongly disagree. I would however agree with the majority of what I've quoted. The progress of Latin American Democracy has always been retarded by the insistence of its leaders that their personal power is more important than the integrity of the polity.
Zelaya was threatening to exceed his mandate and brought a backlash from reactionary forces. Chavez very nearly found himself ousted by a U.S. backed coup in 2003.