It’s All Snowden’s Fault

You read that right. Them’s the talking points out of DC. Obama got caught flat-footed. Apparently the CIA/DIA/NSA/NSC all believed that Putin would not send troops in. (I wonder what this tells us about our drone intel?) And so now what we’re getting from DC is it’s all Snowden’s fault because apparently he gave the Russians the keys to our SIGINT kingdom and our assets are worthless now and the Russians were able to sneak all this past us.

Fucking kill me.

You mean to tell me that no one in the CIA/DIA/NSA/NSC could come up with the independent idea, based on 350 years of Russian history, that Putin and Russia would fight for their strategic depth? Am I the only person on the planet that saw this coming? Honestly, I’m just not that smart.

Also, this is not Snowden’s fault. What this shows is the wishful thinking of the entire intelligence and elite policy apparatus in DC. And that is why the flaming hypocrisy of the reaction to Putin and his actions has been so intense. The sheep got sucker punched while they were drinking the Kool-Aid. (And that my friends is a mixed-metaphor worthy of Tom Friedman.)

Look, I goddamned told you so. I’ve been screaming at the top of my lungs for two fucking weeks the Russians would do this. Everyone said, “no, Putin’s not going to go that far.”

He did. What’s your excuse now?

This could have all been avoided had we left the Ukraine as a buffer state. That way, Putin gets his strategic depth and the EU could extract their austerity wealth.

Reap the whirlwind.

Update: In the annals of stupid, this very well may end up in the top ten. Can I just say, you do not ever, ever, ever make a threat that you cannot back up. If you say you are going to use nukes on someone, you goddamned well better have nukes in your back pocket, not some stupid hypothetical 3-6 month breakout time horizon. Especially against someone as ruthless, patient and cunning as Vladimir Putin.

This shit is looking to get really, really ugly. Really, really fast.

And you know what: when you have bankers stealing from everyone, lots of unemployment, lots of recession and depression you get war.

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Sean Paul Kelley

Traveler of the (real) Silk Road, scholar and historian, photographer and writer - founder of The Agonist.

12 CommentsLeave a comment

  • As uneducated as I am about Eastern European politics and cultural norms, I knew enough to recognize we had no business in Ukraine. I also knew enough to guess that Putin would go into Crimea in the least because of Russia’s Naval Base. So, how then, does the entire intelligence community of the United States Of America not know this? Could it be that the bubble syndrome introduced into politics by Dubya and company infected it intelligence community? Say what you will about Obama, he was relying on a community that was long ago infected by the mind set of 8 years of Dubya, not to mention some earlier tainting by Reagan and Bush Sr.

    And with the Congress still in turmoil because of Republican insurgence, there has been no effort at all to clean out the damage done by the Village Idiot.

    Oh, I know, name calling. Blah, blah, blah, yadda, yadda, yadda.

    • Actually, Guy, I think you’re on the right track. During Clinton’s time there were at least, real, substantive policy debates about foreign policy and they were informed debates. I have three friends that were on the National Security Council at the time as junior staffers. All that changed after Bush 43.

      That being said, I have to go with Ian on this: this is what Obama wants. Obama has consolidated Bush 43’s policies. Obama has been president for FIVE years now. These are his policies, however horribly inept they may be. I cannot lay this blame at Bush 43’s feet. I lay it at Obama’s. He’s had time to clean things up.

      He obviously has not.

    • Yes and also with bush the lesser & the evil dark lords cheney most old cia hands were chased out of the company so now it just a bunch young hands with no real background. Hell a few of them write on the inter-tubes.

      Snowden fault, god I love that. Thanks;)

  • I suspect there is a certain amount of judging others based on one’s own tendencies involved. Obama prefers, and tends to act, based on waiting until he is overtaken by events, and so assumes that Putin will do likewise. Putin is more of a type who creates events rather than sitting back and waiting to be overtaken by them.

    Pundits have been saying “Putin will wiat and see what develops” or that he will “wait and let things play out,” and I have been thinking that I rather doubt that. I suspect that things are going to continue to develop rather rapidly.

    • Jayhawk, that’s the smartest, most concise and to the point piece of analysis and comparison I have read all day. Thank you. I am going to use that one twitter, right now.

  • On the nuclear issue, I’m pretty wary. The guy’s described as an MP, not someone in a position of authority (God knows, if anyone thought that our policy was based on Tory backbenchers, we’d all be in a lot more trouble).

    More practically, removal of all HEU on Ukrainian territory was completed in 2012. I’m not finding any indications that they have separated Pu in country, nor do I see any indication of a separation capability. All of this tells me they’re a lot longer than 3-6 months from production of a viable device, let alone a weapon.

  • You knew it was coming…… “We are all Ukrainians” We learned nothing from the Georgia affair.

    In response to reports of a Russian takeover in parts of Crimea, Arizona Senator John McCain said on Friday, “We are all Ukrainians,” before calling for swift U.S. economic aid to Ukraine, condemnation of Russia at the United Nations, sanctions against Russian officials and the installation of U.S. missiles in the nearby Czech Republic.

    Read more: John McCain Says We Are All Ukrainians, Takes On Putin |

      • Jayhawk, I have been working long hours all weekend and just figured McCain must have said something stupid that I missed, Google served it up immediately. Yes, he is senile, but for some damn reason keeps getting reelected.

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