First Iceland, then the World


Michael Collins

The public is angry. Why should the public pay for the bankers mistakes. Iceland blogger Halldor Sigurdsson

Who cleans up the mess when ignorant, greedy bankers rack up massive debt then go broke? The people of Iceland made a strong statement Saturday. The sins of big bankers and government regulators shouldn't fall on the citizens. By a 93% to 2% margin, they voted down a proposal requiring them to cover bad debt incurred by one of the nation’s oldest and largest banks. Covering the debt would have cost Iceland's 317,000 citizens around $17,000 each.

Iceland's national referendum was the first opportunity for the people of any nation to vote directly on who pays when the financial elite fail.

As citizens voted, Iceland's Prime Minister was dismissing the importance of the vote and promising to negotiate a payment scheme obligating citizen subsidies for bad debt created by Iceland's beyond-bad bankers.

Icelanders are struggling with a collapsed economy. Businesses are failing at a startling rate, unemployment is soaring, and the prospects for the future are simply not there. Yet the British and Dutch governments demand that their swindled citizens receive compensation from beleaguered Icelanders. Where were the British and Dutch central banks and politicians while their citizens were being fleeced? Aren't the rulers of these countries aware that the failed Icelandic bank was owned by wealth investors, not the citizens?

Iceland's size and the very dire circumstances offer a focused preview for citizens around the world. The banks make bad deal after bad deal. When they're about to fail, the government steps in with a taxpayer bailout. It doesn't matter which faction of the narrow political spectrum is in charge. The message is starkly clear -- when the banks fail, you pay. The solution is presented to citizens as a fait accompli, a mandatory submission to indefinite financial slavery for the benefit of the failed financial elite. The will of the people doesn't matter even when there's a direct vote.

The failed financial enterprises that control global commerce are opening their new show on the road in Iceland. Greek citizens are next in line for indentured servitude, thanks to their lying leaders and Wall Street's Goldman Sachs.

Citizens in the United States remain overwhelmingly opposed to bailouts for Wall Street and big banks. Like Iceland's Prime Minister, members of Congress and the president don’t care. Big banks have now received at least $12 trillion in credit and cash from the US Treasury and Federal Reserve Bank. The 17 million citizens out of work, their families, and the eight million forced to work reduced hours are barely mentioned and get just a pittance compared to the ultra wealthy bankers.

How did the financial elite and their political minions do it in Iceland? The lesson is instructive.

Tiny Iceland's Bankers Fool British and Dutch Regulators

Iceland's second largest bank wanted some new customers. In 2006, the bank created the Icesave banking service. For the British market, Icesave pushed high fixed interest rates and easy access to online banking. The Netherlands sales pitch was based on banking transparency, seeing how the bank functioned online, with a 5% interest rate on deposits.

British regulators voiced no major problem with Icesave's policies until the bank collapsed in October 2008. The Netherlands central bank (just now in a liquidity crisis) gave its stamp of approval to Icesave even though there were substantial warning signs that the bank was in trouble.

By the time Icesave was insolvent, its 300,000 British depositors and over 100,000 in the Netherlands saw their money vanish. The finger pointing began. The Dutch central bank claimed Iceland's regulators lied to them. British regulators were shocked at the disarray of Iceland's banking system.

Dutch and British regulators failed to mention that they'd outsourced regulation for their citizens to tiny Iceland's central bank. These financially savvy nations couldn't be bothered with their own people until the Icesave scheme did its damage.

Dutch and British political leaders somehow forgot to mention that Sweden and Norway insured the deposits of their citizens when another Icelandic bank failed in those countries.

Icelanders Stuck with the Bill

Icesave's failed business tactics, negligent regulation by Iceland's government, and indifferent British and Dutch authorities created the problem. But citizens are taking the fall.

The usual suspect, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), offered up billions in cash in return for covering the lost deposits for British and Dutch citizens. IMF backed off of this position as it became clear that Icelanders would reject the March 6 referendum. (Image)

Ultimately, the financial machinations by international bankers and G-20 leaders don't matter. The people of Iceland are in no position to pay the bill. Pretending otherwise only prolongs the charade of some order for the comatose global financial system. Who benefits? The financial elite who continue to accumulate more and more money as though it's actually worth something.

Furious Citizens - Bloggers Won't Give Up

Icelanders take their voting seriously. Turnout is usually above 80%. But the turnout for this referendum was 57%, the lowest figure in years.

The very good news is that Icelanders are providing real analysis and hitting the streets on a regular basis to protest the big con pulled by their leaders and financial elite. This is a sample of the vibrant dialog of the people who choose to fight back.

Independent Icelandic News* - The Icesave Fraud Case

"The public was deliberately lied to and the deception was complete. The banks fell, the Brits and Dutch, and Germans too are pissed off and we Icelanders have to loose our savings, our homes, our jobs, our dignity. We also have to pay for the Germans, the Dutch and the Brits.

"We are only starting to 'feel the cold dead hand of the neoconservatist financial free market monster' that tore through the world and is still squeezing the Icelandic nation, even after its death. We don’t get a recession, we get a complete collapse." June 23, 2009

*******

Economic Disaster Area - Arrogant, Humiliating, Short Sighted, and Stupid

"Right now the nation is numb. Everyone is waiting for something while trying to stay afloat. Businesses and individuals who have been watching their cash fly out the window atop exorbitant interest rates for years are experiencing a drowning feeling. It seems like many are just shutting their eyes and resigning their fate to fate itself while still waiting for rescue to appear somewhere on the horizon.

"Most people agree that something must be done. They just cannot agree on what exactly." @ Dadi, May 24 (Image)

*******

The Iceland Weather Report - Johanna (Iceland's Prime Minister) sends a clear message

"As if the government wasn’t in enough trouble with public opinion here at home, Prime Minister Johanna Sigurðardóttir has publicly announced that she plans to shun the referendum tomorrow.

'To me it is pointless and I find it is very sad that the first referendum since the founding of the republic revolves around legislation that is already obsolete. Consequently I see no point in taking part in this referendum,' (said Iceland's Prime Minister). alda March 5, 2010

*******

Iceland Banking Crisis News and More

"According to numbers, 1.5 % percent have said yes to the agreement to pay Icesave, but 93.6 say not to that. But this does not change anything. The Prime minister and finance minister say that there is a new deal on the table. Iceland's President says that a Referendum makes the democracy stronger. The outcome of the referendum does not have any affect on the government in Iceland." Halldor Sigurdsson, Mar 7

*******

Economic Disaster Area - National Referendum - A Sad Day for Democracy in Iceland

"Tomorrow is the first national referendum Icelandic citizens have been allowed to participate in by the political elite since the conception of the republic in 1944. By all measures, this should be a happy day for democracy in Iceland.

"But instead it is not a cause for celebration but a large milestone in the farcical power play which has taken place between the four largest political movements in Iceland since 1944.

"Yes, a farce.’Isn‘t that what this whole thing really is', asked a Dutch journalist yesterday after surveying the scene? It is a sad day.' March 5 @ Dadi

END

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Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 12:04am
( categories: Europe )

EOM

Joaquin March 8, 2010 - 12:24am

Their blogs are very good and they're not pulling any punches.

Solidarity indeed!

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 2:23am

March 2 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg columnist Matthew Lynn talks about the Icelandic vote on paying back the U.K. and the Netherlands the so-called Icesave loan, needed to cover depositor losses at failed lender Landsbanki Islands hf. He speaks with Rishaad Salamat and Francine Lacqua in London.

Michael Collins March 9, 2010 - 2:29pm

Don't work. They have somewhat bad consequences.

The UK and the Dutch should know this.

Synoia March 8, 2010 - 12:25am

and devastating at the same time. They certainly do. Of course, Sweden and Norway took responsibility for letting the Icesave viper at their people. They paid the the losses of their citizen-depositors.

They're opening this how on the road in Iceland but it's coming to a city near us soon.

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 2:26am

Granted, the Icelandic fraud has significant cross-border complications determining whether the Icelandic central bank was responsible for regulating the Icesave scheme, or the central banks of the depositors were responsible. Either way, the only answer is to issue more debt on somebody's back to pay the losers. This time, though, the Dutch and British depositors are out of luck if the Icelandic voters reject any new debt in their name. That would be the first for any country in this rolling credit crisis, and it could set a trend that is dangerous from the point of view of the bankers.

When I first got into banking many decades ago, the discipline of credit risk was much stronger. Today it is almost non-existent. Banks used to embrace taking their lumps when a credit exposure went bust, partly because it was unheard of that the government would bail you out, and partly because it was healthy for the bank's management and employees to have the fear of God put into them from time to time about credit losses. This is why there were whole departments devoted to managing credit risk and all employees had to be tutored in this discipline.

This habit of bailing out the banks, embraced by governments as well as bankers, is actually very recent and seems to be the result of a new generation of bankers and regulators who forgot all about credit risk because it was supposedly securitized away. Now that they have forgotten about it, they think the only solution is to have government issue more debt to cover bank losses. Even in a place like Iceland this is so ingrained that the PM will ignore a national referendum and overwhelming public opinion against a bailout. Of course, it doesn't help that the international financial system will freeze out Iceland entirely as punishment if it doesn't come up with a bailout, and the PM is well aware of this. She must think ignoring what her people want is a small price to pay to maintain access to international capital.

The end result: bankers learn no lessons, other than owning the government is a convenient thing when a bailout is needed. And even if some new deal is struck and Iceland helps the Dutch and British with money it doesn't have, but can only borrow, Iceland will still be defacto frozen out of international finance for years, and the economy will remain in a depression for a long time.

Numerian March 8, 2010 - 1:55am

Thanks for the thoughtful comment.

There are a lot of angry citizens in Iceland, quite rightly so. Taking a rolling punishment for a bank run by hooligans and a central bank with no integrity must be galling.

From 2005 through 2007, it looks like Landsbanki, Icesave's parent, had about $11 bil in profits, US$. Wonder where that went?

The PM faces a huge dilemma. One one side, there' access to international credit. On the other, there's an angry public that's lost a great deal. When people have little or nothing to lose, their actions are much bolder. This won't work out well, for a while anyway.

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 2:54am

I'd be interested in visiting.

creativelcro March 8, 2010 - 9:57am

That comment made me laugh out loud. Two thumbs up creativelcro!! I hear they have the most beautiful women in the world in Iceland! I bet Will Shatner can get me a good deal on the tickets too!

Mattyb719 March 9, 2010 - 10:42pm

To see an interesting effort in self-reliance in Iceland. Including an implicit answer to your question of capital.

They could end up with a pay-go economy, with as much as possible manufactured locally.

What is it the Icelanders need, not want, from the rest of the world?

A second point:

When did a sovereign country, Iceland, with banking in a second sovereign country, the UK, have any authority or responsibility over the operation's of its subsidiaries in the UK. Surely that's a matter for the UK banking authorities?

Synoia March 8, 2010 - 11:48am

I guess it all depends on what legal obligation Iceland has here... if the banks go belly-up in the US, the FDIC pays out, but only up to a limit. Did the government of Iceland make a similar promise to Dutch and English bank customers? They they gotta pay out... simple as that.

But... if the bank was privately insured, and not guaranteed by the Icelandic government... or if the bank violated it's promises and thus broke their contract with the Icelandic government, then I don't see why Iceland should pay out because of lazy Dutch regulators.

--
http://bexhuff.com
Of COURSE you can trust the US Government! Just ask the Indians.

bex March 9, 2010 - 2:27am

Michael Hudson was on Guns and Butter, broadcast on WBAI in the NYC area last Friday. He said that bank collapse was of a bank owned and run privately that was insured privately, and the general public in Iceland should not be held responsible for those losses. Period.

I couldn't find a transcript, but the program is available for listening or download. It's listed on the archives link for 7 days after broadcast, and, I think, can be accessed after that as well, as WBAI says it keeps all programs archived.

I'd put Hudson in or very close to Chris Hedges' rebel category -- as written about in Hedges' new post at Truthdig today.

jawbone2 March 8, 2010 - 1:42pm

dpa

Mar 8, 2010, 20:48 GMT

Washington - Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou warned Monday that his country's debt woes could lead to a second global financial crisis, challenging Europe to stand behind its struggling members and the US to crack down on financial speculation.

Speaking in Washington ahead of a meeting Tuesday with President Barack Obama, Papandreou said Greece's massive debt was already impacting Europe and could well have a 'domino effect' that would raise borrowing costs for a host of other indebted countries.

'If the European crisis metastasizes, it could create a new global financial crisis with implications as grave as the US-originated crisis two years ago,' Papandreou said in a speech before the Brookings Institution, a Washington-based think tank. He later met with Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In the hopes of curbing a budget deficit that has ballooned to 13 per cent of economic output, Greece has proposed steep budget cuts and tax increases that have sparked a wave of protests on the streets of Athens in recent weeks.

The ongoing crisis has severely weakened the credibility of the 16-member euro-zone and sparked deep divisions within the European Union over whether the bloc should step in. Papandreou criticized the EU for not strongly backing Greece during the crisis.

'This is not about asking Europe to rush to the aid of a reckless country,' Papandreou said. He warned that a lack of joint action would lead to 'a slower recovery for all of Europe.'

Papandreou is not expected to ask Obama for direct help during the White House meeting Tuesday, but called for the United States and Europe to work together on curbing financial speculation that many believe exacerbated Greece's debt crisis.

'Unprincipled speculators are making billions every day by betting on a Greek default,' Papandreou said, blaming the tactic for raising Greece's borrowing costs and calling market manipulation the 'scourge that haunts Greece and all of us.'

US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month that the central bank was investigating whether Goldman Sachs and other financial firms may have helped Greece hide its debts over the last decade.

Papandreou's government revealed shortly after it came into power in October that the country's debt was double what the previous government had said, plunging the euro-zone into the worst crisis in its history.

Tina March 8, 2010 - 6:10pm

and the US to crack down on financial speculation.

So the stooges Geitner and Obama are going to crack down on their bosses?
Joaquin March 8, 2010 - 6:30pm

That's the problem. Here's a big part of the cure, from Numerian, Sept 22, 2008, The Money Party: Meltdown Perpetrators Position Themselves, Part 6

But the truth will emerge - the country is broke and not because we don't work hard enough, make good products, and provide quality services. We're broke because the greediest people in the world couldn't contain their greed and there was nobody watching them who wasn't benefiting. Now the watchers are desperately trying to make it all go away.

There needs to be an accounting and a correction - and not by the usual suspects.

Here's one way to start with derivatives crisis in major institutions:

"If all the top 25 financial institutions were put into receivership, and (big if) if they all could be liquidated under an agreed legal framework, many of these risky contracts could be allowed to offset each other, and much of the risk eliminated."
Private correspondence, Numerian, The Agonist, Sept. 21, 2008

But there are no leaders who have the guts to say this, not a one. Even that poor PM in Iceland, unable to recognize that she can't do things that 93% of the population opposes and claims to be a legitimate leader.

"'If the European crisis metastasizes, it could create a new global financial crisis with implications as grave as the US-originated crisis two years ago,' Papandreou said..." No kidding but the crisis can't be solved unless the problem is eliminated.

Time to reboot!

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 6:36pm

"US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month that the central bank was investigating whether Goldman Sachs and other financial firms may have helped Greece hide its debts over the last decade."

Bernake: Nothing improper over Greece?
Blankfein: Nothing improper over Greece!
Blankfein: Ok?
Bernake: Ok!

Synoia March 8, 2010 - 7:02pm

Obama: guarantee more troops for Afghanistan and we will help you out

Tina March 8, 2010 - 7:06pm

They'll use wet noodles.

Synoia March 8, 2010 - 7:03pm

They'll use wet noodles.

Synoia March 8, 2010 - 7:03pm

I get the impression the Icelandic president is not a fool, yet the sound bites make her sound foolish.

I wonder what she is really saying and why, and why so many sources are frantic to make her sound foolish?

Sort of like the Ahmadinejad of Iran. The west only reports sound bites from him, yet when you read the full text of what he is saying, he usually comes off way more sensible than most western leaders.

Hmm. Its time I had a new signature. How about this one...

The Biggest of the Big Lies we've swallowed is that some leaders on the world stage are stupid, ignorant and foolish. The Harsher Truth is none are, and their acts are indeed driven by considerable knowledge, deep greed, fierce ambition, and utter self-interest.

John Carter March 8, 2010 - 7:33pm

Does the referendum mean that Iceland will not repay Icesave’s debt?

There has been much confusion about what the referendum in Iceland was in fact about. Many mistakenly believed that it was to decide whether Iceland would pay the money back or not, but it was in fact simply a referendum on the terms of the payback. There has never been any doubt that Iceland would repay at least some of the losses. On Saturday, Icelanders simply rejected the terms of the initial repayment plan, with President Grimssn stating that “the people of Iceland will not accept unfair terms”. The ‘no’ vote simply means that Iceland, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands will have to return to the negotiating table as quickly as possible.

France 24 Mar 8 http://tinyurl.com/ybfapzj

The previous government had negotiated what the current PM's party saw as a lousy deal. They want to renegotiate something more favorable to Iceland. The PM's comment said, basically, that the referendum was meaningless since a) the former deal was dead and b) there would be a repayment deal.

The bad deal versus no repayment issues have been conflated. When I first read about the referendum, I made the same mistake. However, the truth may be on both sides. Yes, the PM always intended to negotiate a deal. However, the voters may just have been saying, we don't want to repay anything.

The not repaying anything argument is correct, imho. The repayment is for a private bank that was rotten to the core. The people didn't pull this scam in the first place. Why do their lives have to be ruined?

At the same time, Iceland is small enough to need access to international credit. Not covering the losses by paying the Dutch and British governments would trash that access to credit and also keep Iceland out of the EU.

If the people there say NO to all of the repayment options, it will get very interesting.

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 9:46pm

...and the media are putting a massive "spin" on their reporting.

John Carter March 9, 2010 - 10:21pm

Might be the darling investment of the 201x decade.

zot23 March 8, 2010 - 8:42pm

My wife observed that tins of Baked Beans are one of the most reliable investments. :-))

John Carter March 9, 2010 - 10:22pm

Goya Black Bean Soup

They are insanely good. Particularly loaded with garlic, and served over pasta, with perhaps a meatball or two!

Disclaimer: I have no relationship with Goya!


Also: "Today Iceland, Tomorrow the World, Flat as a Pancake!" - Sgt. Schultz (slightly modified - he was speaking of Berlin).

They sicken of the calm, who knew the storm.

Raja March 9, 2010 - 11:12pm

My hackles are up.

I want to play a part in the solution to this completely out of whack financial system that the world is working on.

But I am truly and honestly clueless.

Any thoughts for something an average joe can do?

The only thing I can think of that is easily doable for me is to stop using credit and only keep as much money in the bank as is required for bills that are difficult to pay in cash. Maybe switch to a credit union? Slow attrition?

Gannon March 8, 2010 - 9:42pm

The solution is, imho, broad based knowledge of the hustle that's been laid on us forever. All the wars based on lies, the accelerating greed of the financial elite, etc. People need to hear this again and again in a format that's divorced of personalities. I may use Obama's name in the future, but i'll try to avoid it as much as possible. He doesn't matter. He's just an employee. It's those who own the levers of power that are important. Their names don't matter either. I call them The Money Party but there are other labels.

Your point in incremental changes is very good. Local banks, local merchants, support of regional and national products and services that are are of quality and have a social conscience.

This vote has frightened the European financial establishment. The Greek protests did a number too. Now the powers that be know the true sentiment of the people. They do their thing, we do ours but there are so many more us than "them," we're bound to win.

Michael Collins March 10, 2010 - 11:32pm

I had the benefit of having some local farmers who grew heirloom tomatoes. It may seem of little consequence to most people but after you taste a real tomato, not the shit they sell in stores the I never liked, you begin to appreciate what real things are worth.

Commercial and corporate are sad substitutes for the real thing.

Give me somebody with a stake in my future and who cares about me, not my money, and you give me somebody who won't screw me.

Mattyb719 March 11, 2010 - 8:54pm

For getting the word out. Note: this is a link. The indiatimes didn't run the full story. They ran this, which links back here to The Agonist.

Michael Collins March 8, 2010 - 11:53pm

That's great!

Joaquin March 8, 2010 - 11:56pm

Michael can you please link to your article in the India Times. I can't find it.


Tolerating prostitution is tolerating abuse and torture of women and children.

adrena March 9, 2010 - 12:01am

I'll clarify that it under the pic. I would be thrilled if they ran it but I'm most grateful they or their bot posted the link.

Michael Collins March 9, 2010 - 12:07am

Nice to see you highlighted to the largest Democracy on earth

Gannon March 9, 2010 - 2:14am

It is not as if the government of Iceland is going to pay any attention to a referendum.

BradMajors March 9, 2010 - 12:57am

I'm trying to find out what the low turnout means, 57% compared to 80% plus averages.

You're right. It was an excellent statement by the people. But it's one of those "you can't get there from here" situations. There's no way the Icelanders can pay this back. There are many ways that no paying it back will hurt them and their efforts to rebuild.

It's all highly instructive, a horror show opening on the road, coming our way at some point unless the system is fixed, without the input of the interested parties.

Michael Collins March 9, 2010 - 2:09am

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