The Underclass Trap


They are the people who never seem to break free of poverty. Neither do their children, nor their grandchildren and their parents were poverty struck as well. They are born to poverty, and it seems like it is their heritage, one they can never shed; a curse unto seven generations.

The problem of the underclass is an old one. Victorian England dealt with it, and so, for that matter, did both Republican and Imperial Rome. It is a death spiral which seems impossible to escape.

Today it is with us as well and the old debates play out as they always have. The poor, it is said, deserve it. If only they had more discipline, if only they didn’t marry young, or do drugs, or have so many children, or have children out of wedlock. If only they stayed in school and got a better education. If only they did things the way the middle and upper classes did, if only, well, they wouldn’t be poor.

Liberals respond that if only, if only, the government were to provide education and daycare and other government care for these people, if only, then they’d be able to get themselves out of this mess.

Today we’re going to run through what makes you poor and keeps you poor.


More After the Jump


The Parents Argument and the Education Argument

The best predictor for success in America is still (barely) education. The best predictor for education is… your parents education. Location is what matters here. If you live in an upscale neighbourhood then you have good housing values. They pay for more money for schools, those schools perform better on aggregate (there are exceptions, they are statistical anomalies). So if your parents can afford to live in a wealthier ‘hood you’re probably going to get a better education.

Real love of learning starts in the home. Children whose parents read, read. Children whose parents don’t read, don’t read. Children who get proper nutrition perform significantly better in school. Children whose family situation is stable and non-threatening perform better in school. While none of these things require that you live in a rich or even middle class home all of them do correlate non-trivially with money. You can be rich and miserable. But you’re more likely to poor and miserable. This connection does decrease as the income scale increases, but it does not decrease until after the poverty threshold has long been passed.

Families with a good income are also less likely to require that children stop going to school to support the family.

The Modeling and the “Right Crowd” Argument

A fairly convincing argument has been made that what effects children’s attitudes the most is their friends – the crowd they run with. Run with a group which values education and achievement and safe sex and you’ll tend to value those things as well (it shouldn’t be hard for anyone to understand that people want the approval of the people they spend their time with and that the best way to get that approval is to take on the same attitudes.) What’s the most important predictor of who your friends are? Where your parents live.

Acting like your peers is just a watered down example of “modeling”. Simply put the very best, simplest and surest way to succeed at something is to find someone who has succeeded at what you want to do and to model yourself after them. To do what they do. Act like they do. If they’ll cooperate, to work with them and watch how they work. Even better, find a few people who are successful in your field and learn from each one of them.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that in most modern downscale neighbourhoods there aren’t a lot of successful models available. And the most visible models may well be people you may not want others modeling – drug dealers, gang leaders and other criminals. This used to be less of a problem. In the standard American immigration wave, while some immigrants who got successful would leave the Irish/Jewish/Italian ghetto, most stayed. They pulled other people up with them. In modern ghettos people get successful – and most of them then move to middle class suburbs. The people who make it pull out rather than pulling up.

The Credit Argument

Simply put, true success in America comes mainly in two ways – credentialization leading to professional work, or creating your own business. To create your own business you need money. You’re going to have to borrow it. There are three main places you can get money from – banks, family/friends and crime; successful minority groups have used all three (yes even Jewish immigrants had crime syndicates, and the Irish ran organized crime before the Italians. Since the Italian fall other immigrant groups have taken over the lucrative industry.) Banks don’t usually work – there’s an old joke, that is effectively true, that banks only lend you money if you don’t need it. Unless it’s a credit card. But for all intents and purposes underclass citizens have trouble even getting a checking account and a credit card let alone a business loan. Forget it.

The second option is family and friends. You can see this dynamic really work, when it works. Watch an immigrant community like the Sikhs or many Chinese and you’ll see a dynamo which works much as follows. The first person gets in, usually the most educated young adult. He or she works like a dog and lives with other immigrants in horrific circumstances. Any money earned is saved or used to bring in more family members. They all work like dogs. Eventually a fair number are in and they have enough money to buy a small business. They do so. A few of them work their butts off in that job while the others bring in money from outside jobs. They all move in together, with everyone living in one house on the cheap. They save up enough to buy another business. Eventually they sell the businesses they have built up and move onto more profitable ones. Eventually they are at least affluent, and for the most successful ones, actually wealthy. And they’ve earned every little bit of it.

But they were successful not because of their individual efforts, or even those of the nuclear family (a dysfunctional stub when it comes to really dealing effectively with economic duties), but because they had a functional extended family. A person alone generally can’t do this. Neither can a couple. It takes a family – a big one.

The other way this works is very simple. Most entrepreneurs get some or all of their money from friends and family. If you’ve got a well off family, you’ve got a source of credit. If you don’t, you’re SOL. This has especially hit the modern black community very hard because of the breakdown of extended families and because successful blacks leave their communities. You can’t hit somebody up for a loan if you don’t know them.

Then there’s organized crime. For organized crime to be effective at raising a community up it has to have deep ties into that community. You need leaders and members who are family men. You need stability. You need the sort of syndicates who want peace, because peace is good for business and who want some respectability. For reasons too extensive to go into in this article, that model of organized crime has faded from the American scene. Frankly, it’s missed. Some types of crime organization /are/ better than others. Crime will always be with you, but the type and the amount are a choice government and society makes. America has chosen a very anomic disassociated violent form of organized crime.

Then there’s the elephant in the room….

Racism

Yes, it does make a difference. Especially in American (and Japan, but a full discussion of Japanese Koreans and Ainu will have to wait another opportunity.) If a white has the exact same resume as someone with a “black” name they will get more than twice as many calls for interviews. The argument that racism does not effect job prospects has been disproven far, far beyond any reasonable doubt.

But the black “problem” is far larger than simple racism. It has to do with disproportionate incarceration rates, with black men committing the exact same crimes as whites getting stronger longer sentences and with the effect that has had on black families. It has to do with the disparate way drug crimes are treated between blacks and whites (how often to executives go to jail for coke use, for example?)

It has to do with labeling. Simply put, once you’re in the justice system, you are branded ever after with the mark of Cain. Ever get yourself convicted of any crime and you will probably never, ever, have a decent job.

And black youths are much more likely to be charged and convicted for the exact same crime as white youths.

At that point their prospects in the legal system are effectively gone. The choice to migrate to illegal activity is their only chance. It probably won’t work – but at least their aren’t background checks. At least they stand a chance. And if they’re the moral type who wouldn’t walk that path, well, they can’t walk any other path. They can’t get education loans, they can’t get decent jobs – they’re down and out. In America you only get one chance.

And this trend is continuing. Many companies, for example, are using credit ratings to determine if they should hire you. If you have trouble even getting a checking account, you aren’t going to have a good credit rating (if you’ve never had credit, you have a bad rating because they figure those who aren’t used to managing credit aren’t good at it.)

Things like background checks and credit checks are wonderful from a corporate point of view. They keep out the wrong sorts of people (blacks who have become middle class and assimilated middle class culture are not such a problem) and they appear race neutral.

But in a society which isn’t race neutral they have effects that simulate the effect of bias very effectively, without ever requiring anyone to actually tell the undesirables that you don’t hire nigger/spics/wetbacks/slants/micks or whatever.

I once explained the underclass to someone with the following metaphor: you have a hundred people. If they can bench press a hundred pounds they can leave the room. If they fail their kids will have to take the same test. Some of those people, of certain races, have someone pushing down on the bars. As a result, as a percentage, more of them fail. Next generation more of their kids are in the room. A larger percentage of them fail.

Over time the room begins to have more of that race than the simple ability to lift a hundred pounds would predict.

That’s the effect of race on class. There are strategies that can overcome it, but it is an obstacle and sometimes the strategies don’t work (a discussion of the life cycles of immigrant minorities may be forthcoming at a later date.)

Concluding Remarks

If you don’t break out of the underclass in the first generation your family falls into it, the odds shift dramatically against your children. They have worse schools, less access to credit, few good people to model themselves after and face a society in which apparently impartial mechanisms produce results that tend, over time, and in aggregate to keep them in their place.

In a game where the dice are weighted against you, which is the only game in town, what do you do?

Do you roll the dice?


Ian Welsh October 15, 2007 - 12:00pm
( categories: Miscellany )

Very effective argument Ian...

Forgiven October 15, 2007 - 12:34pm

(and I hate to use the word "values" to attach to it)- is having working-class parents who value education (which they didn't get) highly -not just as 4 years of filler on a resume but as learning the whole family could boast about and be proud of.

My mom had to leave school in Ireland at 15 to
come to America to work as a maid. But she never forgot how much
she loved school- though she didn't get the chance herself to go back, education both as a good in itself and as a way to get out of the "working poor" was something she would never stop pushing me on.
Irish immigrants as a whole at that time valued education,though there was no group support system,unlike the Chinese.

I never paid a cent for my high school or college education(I went to NYU on a union scholarship from the BSEIU and Regents scholarship from New York State), but at that time I could have gone to City COllege for free if I could get in.

There was also no immediate economic requirement for me to stop school in order to provide for my family.

This mobility of the next generation you talk about is much more difficult today because of the outrageous cost of higher education, and the lack of the US valuing it highly enough as a right for all qualified to subsidize it.

Nothing new in what I am saying. As the fees go up and up, I keep
wondering how long the right to education other than at some job-training mill and the valuing of education by parents and kids will survive.

It is true, as you have pointed out, that you can learn what you learn in college other ways (as you did) if you are motivated.

The usual college years, however, are generally a good time in life to be open to learning, and lack of a higher education does serve as a professional barrier, as does an MBA, though that one's day is waning.

At the other end of life, as one who has had to retire early, the prospect of being pushed back into the class my mother and father were in, without the capability to work hard to stay out of it looms if the safety nets disappear. The "aging poor" in the US , without any strong familial/ social bonding to support them are another pocket to discuss.


1."George Washington did not cross the Delaware for Capitalism," -Shmuley Boteach.
2.The Dems haven't punished the GOP enough, so you're going to reward the Republicans?

nymole October 15, 2007 - 1:14pm

"This mobility of the next generation you talk about is much more difficult today because of the outrageous cost of higher education, and the lack of the US valuing it highly enough as a right for all qualified to subsidize it."

We're moving toward an educated elite that will make us all poor in the end.

http://mauberly.blogspot.com/

mauberly October 15, 2007 - 5:23pm

discussion going on right now at TPM Cafe on precisely this point.


“I despise ideologues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark October 15, 2007 - 9:48pm

The same trap holds true nation to nation. The trap for poor countries is that each incremental benefit provided by whatever outside contribution (whether it is food, education, healthcare, immunization) is eaten up by a growing population. Said another way population growth overtakes any technological innovation brought into the country to help them, keeping people at subsistence levels per person. The difference is that the rich poor gap is much wider between nations, than it is within. The poor in the United States are poor, but broadly speaking they have access to immunizations, public education, indoor restrooms, sanitation, etc. A child born in a Uganda refuge camp has none of those things, and no likely opportunity to break free in the absence of any access to education, healthcare, or basic nutrition. THIS trap has ensnared nearly 3 billion souls, compared with the 13 million identified as poor in the United States. The global poor truly live in a hell on earth.

Scotjen61 October 15, 2007 - 3:55pm

the micro-lending community have developed would do any good in the community of former felons?

someofparts October 15, 2007 - 4:11pm

If you have a long rap sheet, a judge will take that into consideration when sentencing and give you a more severe sentence. So comparing crimes committed by different races and the subsequent sentences is not an apples to apples comparison. At least in state courts. I don't know about federal, I think federal sentencing guidelines are a lot more standardized. The real disparity in the US justice system is rich vs. the poor. High profile cases like OJ and Frank Blake illustrate this. If those men were not millionaires they would probably be on death row right now. Money plays the most significant role in american justice.

allieboy October 15, 2007 - 4:59pm

The disparity begins with race, the reason these kids have such long "rap sheets" is that they are getting cases for crap the white kids get a slap on the wrist for or released to their parents. There is a concerted effort to marginalize black voters especially men by giving them felonies when they are young thus creating a cycle of crime since their lives are technically over anyway...

Forgiven October 15, 2007 - 5:07pm

"The disparity begins with race"

but if it ends there, whites and blacks will marginalize each other as the Global South Latinos come north; Within thirty years blacks and whites will see each other very differently as they collectively curse the ubiquitous "Mezkins."

(Espanol Uber alles.)

http://mauberly.blogspot.com/

mauberly October 15, 2007 - 7:01pm

Unquestionably, racism arises in isolated cases, but researchers studying decisionmaking in the CJ system find a couple things:

-Offense seriousness is the primary factor determining whether one gets arrested, whether one moves deep into the system, or gets a severe sanction. Blacks, per capita, commit (and suffer from) more violent crimes than whites, which is a set of crimes our system treats as more serious.
-Race sometimes emerges as a factor in decisions in juvenile justice, but is a proxy for single parent families (which probation officers see as an indication of ineffective parenting). So black juveniles are more likely to get detention and placed in a facility.

Racism might motivate the laws (e.g., the crack versus powdered cocaine differential), perhaps, but as a generalization about overall decisionmaking I'm not sure there is much systematic evidence for it.

On the other hand, felony disenfranchisement laws seem a good way of knocking out potential democratic voters. Not racism per se, but a really slimy way to take advantage of an unfortunate situation for political ends. Not that the poor vote much anyway.

Mr. Flibble October 15, 2007 - 9:15pm

...(paraphrased, obviously), if you're going to play the elitist game, you need an underclass, and one that is easily identified. Gee, what better than skin color?

You can diddle around forever about whether the intent is rascist, but the effect is rascist, so it's rascist.

Gordon October 15, 2007 - 9:47pm

is pretty clearly documented, actually. All things being equal, blacks do get charged and convicted more than whites.

Poor people more than rich too, btw.

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 12:05am

but when we say "racism," in common usage that means a conscious individual decision to screw Blacks rather than a structural factor (which sometimes could be created from racist motives, but I don't think our rulers are quite that capable) that puts them at a disadvantage. If we're going to define any outcomes where Blacks come out worse as racism, then we're going to have to agree to disagree.

To be sure, there is much anecdotal evidence of racism in the CJ system. What I'm saying is that it isn't systematic and that other factors have empirically accounted for any race effect. There's a good book on this by Don and Michael Gottfredson (1988) on Decisionmaking in Criminal Justice--dry as hell, but a great overview of how people in the system make decisions.

Mr. Flibble October 16, 2007 - 7:15am

to say racism is involved. For the same crime, blacks get more time. Why is that? For the same crime blacks are convincted more often. Why is that? And it's not money - you can control for the effects of income and still find blacks getting more time and higher conviction rates.

Why is that?

Occam's razor says, to me, that racism is the simplest charge. And I am not someone who is constitutionally inclined to cry "racism" or "sexism".

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 8:23am

The real disparity in the US justice system is rich vs. the poor

And why is it that whites are, on average, richer than blacks? No matter what you point to, racism is there--even if it's shrouded by a layer of classism.

Bolo October 15, 2007 - 5:25pm

The correlations do not reflect causation. Are they getting sentances because they are poor, or did poverty lead to multiple run ins with the law. Even the 'millionaire' examples were individuals who grew up in poverty.

A really interesting study I cannot source right now, showed that wealthy individuals who grew up in an impoverished environment had criminal histories more closely related to their impoverished backgrounds than their current wealth status. In other words poor people who become wealthy by whatever means have a criminal history that matches a poverty background.

Scotjen61 October 15, 2007 - 5:09pm

Are they getting sentances because they are poor, or did poverty lead to multiple run ins with the law.

When you have decades of "urban renewal" that destroys neighborhoods and businesses and relegates residents to living in projects and ghettos. When the money is drained from your neighborhood and moved to the suburbs, exurbs, and "gentrified" city areas. When economic opportunities and social networks are either outright destroyed or left to disintegrate by the larger society. When education is systematically underfunded and district lines drawn to exclude you from the better schools. When you're redlined out of living in particular communities or explicitly told that "your kind can't live here." When the remaining unsavory available sources of income (drugs, prostitution, gambling, etc.) are declared illegal or are subject to a "War on 'X.'" When you've been kicked to the curb, trodden upon, and spit on repeatedly from every angle, no matter how hard you try...

Does tweezing apart an exact causation really make sense? Poverty leads to multiple run-ins with the law because we don't help our poor and we create laws that penalize them. Poor people get harsher sentences because they can't afford to defend themselves. And blacks get harsher sentences (on average) because they're not white--and because they're more often poor and more often cannot defend themselves. It's all a part of the same massive injustice. It all feeds into the same result.

Tweezing out one particular answer for the whole thing makes no sense, imo. You cannot say "It's all based on wealth" or "It's all based on race" or any other such sweeping, one dimensional view. It's all of that, combined. Because if it were just one thing, we would have solved it by now (one would hope, anyway).

Bolo October 15, 2007 - 5:48pm

I think you hit it with "injustice"--I think that captures what's going on far better than "racism." People are getting so screwed and screwed up in the CJ system, and race only has a little bit to do with it (and not even, it seems, for the reasons we think).

Mr. Flibble October 16, 2007 - 7:25am

Interesting way to look at it Scotjen61. I wonder if people like Charles Keatting or the Enron executives had an impoverished background ? The street ways can stay with a man and manifest themselves when the timing is right.

allieboy October 15, 2007 - 5:15pm

Ken Lay came from a very poor family in Tyrone. His father was a baptist minister and tractor salesmen (per wiki).

Michael Vick comes to mind

Bernard Ebbers convicted of fraud in Worldcom came from an impoverished background. Worked as a bouncer and milkman in college. Finished on a basketball scholarship.

Scotjen61 October 15, 2007 - 5:40pm

I love your arguments, but get a proofreedur...

Charles Harris October 15, 2007 - 5:16pm

volunteer? Can't pay, and frankly it's very hard to proofread your own work (and I have worked as an editor in the past. But I can't edit my own work very well, even assuming that after writing a couple thousand words I'm in the mood, which I rarely am.)

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 12:06am

I'm not a pro but I've done tons of semi-pro proofreading. PM me.


"The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential."

- Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Escher Sketch October 16, 2007 - 12:28am

LBJ tried to solve this situation with his "Great Society" programs, but the problem proved to be more intractable than he realized. Moreover, the solutions put it place were rejected by the voters later, when the GOP successfully convinced the middle class that social welfare programs were taking money out of their pockets and frittering it away on problems that were intractable because the poor people were either incapable or unwilling to help themselves, given the opportunity. Moreover, the programs were cast in terms of "give-aways" that encouraged bad behavior. That verdict is now in, and it isn't going to change soon with the middle class now worried about slipping into poverty themselves and the wealthy characteristically disinclined.

In order to understand politics in relation to sociology it is nec necessary to recognize that policy is guided by economics and the marginal value of another person in the labor force is low at the bottom. It is just not worth it economically speaking to underwrite reducing the social margins. The economic fact is that the threshold of wage inflation is considered to be employment at below 6%. There is therefore an economic value in maintaining an unemployed pool of labor to fill low skill jobs at subsistence wages in good times, doling out subsistence as welfare in bad.

This is a characteristic of a capitalistic system. The opposite is a socialistic system in which there is a central planning and decision-making authority for allocating resources "fairly." However, in practice this has never worked successfully owing to corruption.

The middle ground proposed by some economists is called "The Third Way," which combines element of both systems. Bill Clinton's triangulation strategy was an example of tempering the neoliberalism of Rubinomics with some of Reich's liberal ideas. See Henry C. K. Liu's assessment of Reich's new book, Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life (Alfred A Knopf) in Liu's two part series in Asia Times Online, entitled Super Capitalism, Super Imperialism.

The real problem facing global capitalism is the situation that Marx set forth articulately in Das Kapital, which pictures social unrest as the outcome of unbridled capitalism. For example, a great deal of OBL's and Qaeda's success is due chiefly to economics rather than religious fervor as the masses of oppressed people in the Islamic world become increasingly restless. Chinese authorities are also worried about the growing income divide and increasing inflation for the same reason.

Until recently, that prospect has been a threat. However, the security focus has turned to urban control through non-lethal means. This is the focus of Nick Turse's article entitled Masters of War Plan for the Next 100 Years. Apparently, the thinking is that it's more efficient and effective to control the poor and disadvantage by developing mans to suppress dissent and neutralize social unrest instead of commit the necessary funds for solving the problem through education and equal opportunity programs, as well as providing a subsistence safety net for those who slip through the cracks.

This cannot be dismissed as the necessary outcome of capitalism, however, any more than can pollution leading to global warming. It makes good sense economically to have an equitable distribution of income since this increases demand for products and services and encourages investment and entrepreneurship. It also makes good economic sense to have an educated and well-trained work force and to devise ways to support that work force at the margins. It would certainly be more efficient and cost-effective than the present levels of spending on military, security and confinement, the qualitative aspects aside.

The real problem the US is now facing is the whipsaw of inflation/deflation. The tail end of the 25 year boom is now upon us, and the Fed is attempting to stave off the inevitable correction by increasing liquidity again. This time, however, it is leading to a bubble in energy, metals, agricultural products and other commodities, which will be felt by the society as a whole in the form of price inflation. Simultaneously, there will be a deflation in asset prices, notably in housing, adding up to the perfect storm that is going to impoverish many formerly middle class people and be ruinous for the elderly living on fixed incomes.

This will produce an increasing level of social unrest and fuel a populist backlash. However, all the levers are in place for the government to suppress dissent and "maintain order" through surveillance and an "enhanced security apparatus."

tjfxh October 15, 2007 - 6:16pm

let's put aside the PC talk for a second and try to reason. Do you think there are genetic components in this? Seriously, perhaps some individuals don't have brains that function well in the current society. And their kids do too. Not a moral statement, just a statement about how organisms function in certain environments. These same people might be very successful in a different society.

creativelcro October 15, 2007 - 6:42pm

That's actually an age-old argument, but there's no evidence for it. Irish (and every other immigrant group to the US) were caricatured as biologically unfit at one point.

A couple of U of Chicago sociologists (Shaw and McKay, 1940) studied the evolution of Chicago in the early 20th century and its effect on neighborhood crime rates, finding that crime rates and other social problems stayed in the same areas over the decades even as residents moved to other areas. If the biological thesis is true, then the crime and other problems would have followed them out into the surrounding areas. This also rules out "culture" as the reason for entrenched social problems, for the same reason.

My thoughts are that the problems are more structural and that liberal and conservative solutions bear little resemblance to reality.

Mr. Flibble October 15, 2007 - 6:56pm

My thoughts are that the problems are more structural and that liberal and conservative solutions bear little resemblance to reality.

I agree 100%

Bolo October 15, 2007 - 7:16pm

as being racial, and I don't think he meant it that way.

Here's something I've said - leave everything else aside - if you've got an IQ of 80, what good paying job is open to you? What jobs allow a life of dignity to those who are below median intelligence (half the population)?

Overvaluing mind work and education leads to screwing those who aren't that bright. And while there are strong social elements to intelligence, there's also a very strong genetic contribution. And since the social elements are primarily childhood based (you don't pick your parents) how bright you are as an adult is primarily based on things that have nothing to do with choices you personally made.

Dunno, but if we can't find useful and dignified things for the slower amongst us to do, society is letting down a lot of people.

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 12:10am

Well, taken that way you're right. People with an IQ of 80 are going to have a tough row to hoe. But the economy conforms to the natural conditions--the trick would be to create the natural conditions where IQ isn't relevant for a decent career.

There seems to be a good career for those a standard deviation or two below the mean in IQ in politics. Particularly with the Republican party. ;-) Or serfdom, perhaps. :-(

Mr. Flibble October 16, 2007 - 7:31am

blue collar factor jobs gave good career options to such people. Hard work, but at the end of the day, a good paycheck that to show for it that could support a family at middle class standards.

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 8:25am

The fact is there is plenty of good work to be done, carpentry, plumbing etc. etc. that to be done well require a type of genius that is not necessarily connected with the limited form of abstract genius that is all that we value. Unless you can take your physical genius to sport or art we refuse to properly value what a brilliant pair of hands can do and refuse to provide for the education of such brilliance.

I would argue as well that the use of our hands aids abstract thought. It is no surprise that Einstein always valued and returned to machine shop work.

But we demean this work, pay little for it, consign it to the underclass which we then oppress.

hvd October 16, 2007 - 10:07am

Of course there are problems relative to intelligence, aptitude, motivation, creativity, discipline, and other such factors. Some are hereditary, although it is not always easy to distinguish where nature leaves off and nurture takes up.

This is part of the problem, just like "gifted children" in special ed. There are ways to deal with these problems, but they are expensive, and they are not deemed "worth it" economically for the results they produce, i.e., more marginal workers, reduced crime in the "bad parts of town," etc. Easier to confine them to their part of town and incarcerate them if they get too far out of line. That supports the security and prison industries, which the middle class, for some odd reason, doesn't mind funding rather than real solutions. The solution of the Right is to make their lives unpleasant and short, and otherwise to limit their reproductive capacity as much as possible, as in dealing with any other pest infestation.

In addition, there are cultures that do not want to assimilate, such as indigenous peoples. They should be given the facilities, resources and support to maintain their own cultures. The expense involved is relatively minimal, and after all, it was their country we stole in the Americas and Australia.

tjfxh October 15, 2007 - 7:03pm

I would suggest a fifth (if narrower), massively underacknowledged, element in the mix. Only recently are we seeing investigations into the prevalence and generationally-cyclic incidence of Fetal Alchohol Syndrome, especially below the poverty line. And it's much larger than we tend to think. An example paper on the subject would be this one.

The relevant end of this isn't the visible one - it's the invisible one, where the children look fine (except, maybe, to a specialist who's called to formally measure the subtle physiological indicators), but simply function at a substantially lower level of competence, patience, logical & ethical reasoning, and flexibility, for the rest of their lives. Stolen chances.

You excellently describe several of the "gears" which transfer the momentum of poverty from generation to generation, but it's quite possible that one day we'll look back and see that this was in all truth the biggest one. Like the other "gears", though, what matters isn't any one of them in isolation - what matters is the way they all feed into one another, over and over.

Note - some medical terminology substitutes Effect (FAE or FAS/E) for Syndrome (FAS or FASD), partially in an attempt to communicate that this is a spectrum, not a binary on/off thing. This is a big deal, because it underlines that "I had a drink, so what, my kids turned out fine" is - to put it bluntly - a lie, spoken out of ignorance. Given a single glass of wine or three lines of coke, while pregnant, if you must - do the coke. Every time. </soapbox> Trust me - I've adopted both kinds.

Oh, and maybe Ian doesn't need proofing after all - maybe he just reads xkcd.

Eric Finley October 15, 2007 - 7:01pm

that's probably a fair bit to that and to the effects of drugs in general (what's going to happen to kids born of the current Meth epidemic, for example?)

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 12:13am

Without proof, I'm pretty filthy sure it's the latter: pervasive FAS has gone underdiagnosed not just for generations, but for centuries. (A personal theory of mine is because during the Middle Ages it was not safe to drink the water, so those who could afford to do so drank wine, this factor may help explain the tenacity and longevity of the feudal system.)

I'd need to look into the numbers more, but I seem to recall that the "a glass of wine is no big deal" pattern of drinking has been found more likely to cause the "mild" forms of the spectrum. Which are exactly the ones with less facial stigma attached, and comparatively milder cognitive effects. Unfortunately, those milder cognitive effects, while also lesser in magnitude, do seem to be more prominent on the worst axes... for instance, the impairment of the ability to connect actions with the moral weight of their consequences. That's a clear and proven characteristic of FAS... but how would you spot a mild form of it in a child (or an adult!) if you weren't looking for it?

(I'm attempting to resist the urge to suggest that the modern conservative movement demonstrates a cluster of such indicators, but as this sentence indicates, failing.)

More simply, though, the effects truly are difficult to isolate unless you sit down with a checklist of indicators, both physiological and behavioural. And never mind our generation... even with substantial progress made, our children still fight to get diagnoses and unless other factors - such as the children being taken into care - intervene, the average middle-class child will simply never be checked or even suspected. In an adult, learned patterns and coping mechanisms make it even more difficult to ascertain for sure. I have nothing but the deepest respect for a few adults I know who have taken FAS-handling strategies to heart, self-prescribed, for their own self-suspected condition.

Eric Finley October 16, 2007 - 1:17pm

About the Fetal Alchohol Syndrome.

creativelcro October 15, 2007 - 7:45pm

Man Your Battle Stations

Ka-ching

When John D. Rockerfeller, one of the richest men on this planet was interviewed what he wanted from life, he said, “Just a little more!” How sad is that!

Did you know that the Chinese nation predicts totalitarian regimes will not last because it's counter to everything their country values?

Chinese philosophy believes in:

co-operation
wisdom
depth
mildness and compassion
a way to perpetuate their customs
a belief that the whole world is like one family and that one day, mankind will eventually become one and undivided.

Seems China's civilization is much, much older and the west could profit from understanding more about their beliefs. They are modernizing but reject capitalism as a valid way for mankind to prosper.

canuck October 15, 2007 - 8:32pm

Race may not be as much a limiting factor as class or the combination of race and class. I know plenty of middle-class and upper-middle-class blacks who have had no problem with economic achievement because they had access to good schools etc. on account of being from families that had already reached that rung of the ladder. There is the risk of regression due to the academic achievement gap with respect to young black males, but that is another issue.

Poor whites face similar disadvantages as poor blacks on account of their class despite ostensibly being part of the dominant group if race alone was the determining factor. They look different from and act differently than their more affluent white neighbors and are thus treated differently (and not for the better). Add to Ian's list of the "terms of endearment" used to describe poor people of color, the words white trash, redneck and yahoo and you get the picture. While on a percentage basis whites are clearly more affluent than blacks in the US, in absolute numbers there are more poor whites than poor blacks in this country and they face many if not most of the same hurdles as the poor blacks do.


“I despise idealogues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark October 15, 2007 - 9:16pm

With the exact same resume a person with a black name will get approximately half the interview requests that someone with a white name will.

Race is a huge factor in the US. I did not always believe this, and used to be strongly against affirmative action because it is reverse discrimination and I feel that society should be race blind and as close to gender blind as is practical.

But the evidence is far too strong to sustain denial. The US is a deeply racist society towards blacks and the measured effects are so huge that there is no possible explanation except racism.

Ian Welsh October 16, 2007 - 12:16am

I don't know from life experience and I stand by what I said based upon living and working for decades in a multi-racial environment in the US. I can't comment on what the uncited "studies" say. I am not saying that race is not a factor, I am saying that in many instances, class can and does trump race, and I know this from my own experience. The US that I live and work in continues to have race issues that we deal with on a daily basis, but is not fundamentally a "deeply racist society towards blacks", there has been huge progress away from that.


“I despise ideologues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark October 16, 2007 - 9:17am

Poor whites face similar disadvantages as poor blacks on account of their class despite ostensibly being part of the dominant group if race alone was the determining factor. They look different from and act differently than their more affluent white neighbors and are thus treated differently (and not for the better). Add to Ian's list of the "terms of endearment" used to describe poor people of color, the words white trash, redneck and yahoo and you get the picture. While on a percentage basis whites are clearly more affluent than blacks in the US, in absolute numbers there are more poor whites than poor blacks in this country and they face many if not most of the same hurdles as the poor blacks do.

In earlier comments you talk about poor whites who eventually became CEO's of major corporations, you have presidents who came from poor beginnings and still ascended to the highest job in the land. Poor whites if they apply themselves can overcome their circumstances, blacks on the other hand are not as fortunate. As said earlier, you can have the same resume, but if your name is Tyrone or Raheim you won't be getting a call. So while I agree poor whites and blacks share common obstacles, I do not agree that they have the same amount of difficulty overcoming them. In my opinion if it were not for the power elites spreading division between the two groups, they would actually have better opportunities through cooperation versus antagonism.

The difference is simply this, if you were to line up a jewish, italian, or irish person, most people today would be hard pressed to tell who was who, however if you throw a black in the mix, there won't be a whole lot of trouble distinguishing him. We need to get away from the disingenuous lie of colorblind. First off, we are not colorblind and second blacks don't want a colorless society, what we want is society that is fair to all regardless of color...

Forgiven October 16, 2007 - 12:48pm

I would look at it more that every one of the factors Ian identifies (plus the one I suggested above) is an imperfect momentum-transferring device to propagate poverty to the next generation. Each one can, alone, keep someone poor, but the combination is more likely (probably even compared to the sum of parts) to have the full effect.

Eric Finley October 16, 2007 - 1:22pm

As foster parents we were taught that FAS referred to children with certain typical facial characteristics. Since the brain continues to organize long after the face, alcohol exposure later in the pregnancy distorts the brain without distorting the features, causing FAE. They wanted us to understand that fetal alcohol exposure with appearance changes(FAS), was not necessarily better than fetal alcohol exposure without appearance changes(FAE).

moebius October 16, 2007 - 2:08am

Quite - that's what we were taught as foster parents as well. Basically the facial and the brain damage effects are independent of each other. There's probably a statistical correlation, but not a strong one.

Eric Finley October 16, 2007 - 1:19pm

Eric, I appreciate your comments about FAS, but have to disagree somewhat with your suggestion to take the line of coke over the cocktail. I worked for 16 years with kids ranging from the front end of child welfare investigations to the back end of incarceration of delinquents in the adult system. The use of drugs during pregnancy has a tremendous impact on childrens' ability to learn. As with FAS kids, it seems to affect how they're wired, making the world a confusing and difficult place even given the best of upbringings.

Having worked that entire system, I will add that the system in my state ~ Oklahoma ~ is biased against African Americans. It is evident in the kid system from front to back, from child welfare to delinquent adjudication. It is more punitive, less helpful, more aggressive with AA families than with white families.

The military has long been a way disadvantaged youth could lift themselves up and out of poverty. I recently read that the enlistment of African American youth in the military is dropping rapidly; that this traditional means of moving ahead sans college degree is not being replaced by alternate methods of accomplishing the same goal; that the expectation is a rise in crime and related social problems as the result of more young people left without viable alternatives to street life. And of course the lost of industry in this country essentially leaves those without advanced education without any hope at all in most instances.

lynette October 16, 2007 - 7:17pm

I don't mean to belittle the effects of drug use in pregnancy, Lynette. That particular line, however, has served its purpose several times for me... its shock value is enough to stimulate conversation. One could still make the strong argument that the effects of drug use are generally more limited to infancy, whereas the effects of alchohol use are more permanent. But nonetheless, even if the conclusion is that they are equally bad... that's a very large step for most folks to grasp, starting from the "just one drink" mentality.

We're vaulting an ignorance pit. That line is perhaps an overly long pole, but it does the job. ;)

Eric Finley October 17, 2007 - 4:16pm

as an education professional, i've seen the hard data that backs up its status as the Elephant in this discussion. basically, when you start looking at things like test scores and income levels and various other things that can be controlled statistically, you have two choices. either you believe that blacks and latinas are genetically inferior (and only americans, not people of the same skin color from other nations) or you believe that racism has a persistant and endemic effect on class status. also- go talk to some folks in the hood, a real "urban ghetto" some time. ask them about the number of times the police or state have stepped in an ruined their lives. it will shock you, esp if you're a middle class white person and have never experienced the full, predatory force of the state. if the state locked up 25-50% of white men from white communities, prevented them from voting, or participating in their chosen economic endeavors, you'd see some attitudes change really quickly.

anyway, i wanted to add that ian didn't mention the other horrible truth of the underclass: it's a giant, sucking black hole under the middle class. that is, not only is it impossible for many to move up, it's becoming increasing difficult for people in the working and middle classes not to fall down.

as the housing crash is showing, and as is only going to be more true as the economic consequences of bushism are manifest, many families are only one crisis away from falling out of the middle class permanently. one health care crisis, or unemployment, however temporary, a credit card bill that got out of hand...there are so many ways to find yourself down on the economic bottom, regardless of your "deservedness." and thanks to bushist policies, even people with "good" families and 'hoods will find themselves living the harsh life of the underclass. personally, i'm convinced most republicans and not a few democrats in the "leadership" prefer it this way. a healthy middle class expects and fights for actual democracy.

chicago dyke October 18, 2007 - 10:42am

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