Bush Seeks to Neutralize Universal Insurance Issue


This is what you get when you're timid. Universal insurance is something that Republican corporate interests can get behind. Nothing wrong with forcing people to buy from their friends in the insurance companies, after all...

President Bush is causing consternation among the putative presidential candidates in both parties by letting it be known that he intends to encourage Congress to pass a bipartisan universal health care plan before he leaves the White House in January 2009.

The president's ambition to continue pressing for a bipartisan way to provide universal health care emerged on the same day the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination, Senator Clinton, announced her latest compulsory health care proposals, and a day before Mrs. Clinton's closest challenger, Senator Obama of Illinois, spelled out his scheme.

Of course, Edwards and Hillary's plans are both plans that force insurers to even out costs and insure sick people at reasonable rates. But at bottom they're still mandate plans that make people buy insurance - they aren't universal health care plans. Republicans will undoubtedly offer something like Medicare D, where real bargaining is forbidden and low end people wind up (like in Massachussets) unable to really afford the plans, or with lousy plans that suck. But explaining such differences will be difficult.

On the other hand, no way, no how, could Republicans outflank on universal healthcare, or "Medicare for all".

This, of course, has Rove's hands all over it - he's attempting to largely neutralize a popular issue, and is trying to suggest that Medicare D has been wonderful and should be the model for future universal insurance.

Remember: proposals, in order to outflank someone, have to be poison to them, not something they can more or less adopt. This applies both to Edwards vs. Clinton (her plan is so close to Edwards that there's little functional difference) and to Democrats vs. Republicans. Forcing people to buy insurance is something Republicans are good with. Universal health care is something they aren't good with.


Ian Welsh September 19, 2007 - 12:04am
( categories: Miscellany )

The insuranc companies have to compete with medicare, which has no marketing costs, and low overhead.

Forcing people to by insurance is probably unconstitutional at the federal level - most federal legislation is driven by the federal government's constitutional mandates on foreign policy, defence, or inter-state commerce. It's hard to see how this mandate fits in any of these categories.

This is why insurance is regulated at the state level...

Legal opinion, please constitutional scholar?

Synoia September 19, 2007 - 1:36am

for sure - but I don't know if voters will get the difference.

On the constitutional issue I'll have to defer to others. But if there's no individual mandate then that's a big gap in the system.

Ian Welsh September 19, 2007 - 1:45am

So I'm so with you ideologically, Ian, on the US having universal healthcare, like Canada's.

And let me sidetrack with two direct examples of great healthcare in Canada. First, my niece, when she was 9, nearly died in a terrible ski accident at Whistler, was whisked by Chinook helicopter to BC Children's, and had one carotid artery wholly replaced by an amazing surgical team. US docs later would always call it "miracle" work, and good docs don't use the word "miracle" much if ever. Second, I recently admitted myself to the Cranbrook, BC, ER with radically elevated blood pressure. They treated it quickly, smartly, and thoroughly. Of course, in both cases, costs for US patients were high and not covered by the Canadian system. My niece's work was eventually settled out-of-court with the ski area (she crashed into a rack between two Blackcomb lifts, and is partially paralyzed for life), and I was billed over $500. I sidetrack to demonstrate Canadian healthcare can be as great, and as expensive, as that in the US.

But US lawmakers won't approve full federal healthcare. Not in the next Democratic administration anyway. We can talk what's practical and achievable, or what's ideal but impossible. Universal health insurance is practical, while universal healthcare is not, IMHO.

Part of it is the sheer cost. Edwards' plan would never get enough funding, even with reinstating wealthy taxes above $200,000/year. But plans like Massachusetts', where everyone has to have coverage, will fly, and indeed might be mandated across states, or just become de rigeur among enough states that it soon becomes standard practice, especially if Schwarzenegger leads similar reform in California. And for really small states they might pool their plans in a regional one, say where the Dakotas, Montana, and Wyoming share a risk pool.

Again, I would prefer a Canadian system, but it ain't gonna happen. A US plan where all citizens have to have coverage will mandate more responsibility both for indidviduals, governments, and insurance companies, as it has in Massachusetts.

Believe me, my wife and I discuss this a lot, because we both consult in US healthcare and see the considerable waste and cost throughout the system. For the sheer need of better public health, where universal diagnoses and treatments occur, we need universal coverage, which could be enacted by 2012 by a Democratic White House with a Democratic Congress. I think we all know Hillary would love to get back to her unfinished business, and a leftward swing of the pendulum in her direction would be just the vehicle for this sorely needed reform.

This latest move by Bush and Rove can be stalled until 2009. It's a clever joke, but Dem lawmakers can expose it as such.

trob September 19, 2007 - 3:04am

would be cheaper. Canada used to have a system very similiar to the US's. Our costs per capita were slightly HIGHER than the US's. After single payor was brought in the cost dropped by about 1/3 and now parallell the US's consistently - but about a third less. The practicality question is political, not monetary. This is consistent - EVERY country with universal health care pays less than the US. The cost even to the government, would not be significantly greater - the US currently spends as much per capita in government terms as many countries with universal health care government's do. The cost to citizens would actually be less assuming you make corporations give people most of the money they'd been spending on buy insurance.

$500 for that sort of surgery, plus getting airlifted out, is actually pretty cheap.

The problem with insurance mandates is that they have the potential of turning people even more off the idea of universality. The upside is that a properly done plan like Hilary's potentially is will drive most private insurer's out of the primary insurance business (contrary to popular belief, private companies are much less efficient than well run government bureaucracies in industries like insurance). But a badly done plan like Bush's would be a complete nightmare and nothing but a looting opportunity for the insurance companies.

Ian Welsh September 19, 2007 - 3:42am

This latest move by Bush and Rove can be stalled until 2009. It's a clever joke, but Dem lawmakers can expose it as such.

The Dems MUST stall such a move of it is made, and I'm sure they know it. The base would be ballistic if they caved on this issue in addition to spying on citizens and failing to force withdrawal from Iraq. I doubt they could win in '08 if they were to make such a stupid political mistake and give away one of their best issues.

tjfxh September 19, 2007 - 11:21am

When I have time (three jobs keep a gal busy) I need to work up a long post on this with solid links.

It's beginning to be painfully clear that since the 70s, Democrats will side with fellow oligarchs against American working people every time.

They were in charge when the Congress threw open their doors to Wall Street. That was their answer to the popular uprising in Chicago in '68. That plus savaging Carter and rolling over for Reagan.

Moving right along to the 90s, we got to watch Al Gore alienate 19 million Perot voters. Sneering at the unwashed for fearing NAFTA and being so provincial as to mind losing their livelihoods.

All of which is to say that Hillary and Edwards are from the same litter. When it comes to a choice between their fellow oligarchs and the millions of regular folk who hold our noses and vote for them, they will choose allegience to their fellow-rulers every time.

I don't know when, if ever, things will change in this country. I have a feeling it may be a generation that hasn't been born yet.

someofparts September 19, 2007 - 12:57pm

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