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Goliath Versus the Ants: What Opium "Eradication" In Afghanistan Tells Us About the West and the RestSameer Lalwani over at foreign policy insider Steve Clemons' place has a nice, and informative, article about opium production - and trafficking - in Afghanistan. You should read it. But I'm going to step a bit past what he wrote and say the obvious things that often get buried in too many words. 1) Opium eradication isn't working. Every year Afghanistan produces more opium. 2) That's because there's a lot of money in it. For everyone from the farmers, to the traffickers, to the politicians, cops and military who look the other way. 3) The US policy continues to be eradication. 4) That policy isn't going to suddenly start working. Next year there will be even more opium production and trafficking. 5) A lot of that money gets into the hands of nasty unfortunate people like the Taliban and Al-Qa'eda. Remember that saying about gold being the sinews of war? Well, it's true. 6) Eradication (burning down farmer's fields) really pisses off the farmers. That doesn't win you hearts and minds. It is effectively the only cash crop most of them can grow. Eradication, as a policy, says to farmers "you can't have a living." They don't appreciate that. 7) Since the problem isn't farmers getting money from opium production (it's meaningless compared to the profits downstream) the thing to do, as Sameer points out (without saying how) is to get rid of the trafficking. More After the Jump It's simple. It'd work. But of course since drugs are EVIL, such a common sense solution will never be adopted. It's interesting to ask why - are Americans, and indeed Europeans, really so inflexible, so indoctrinated with hatred of "drugs", that they can't do what it takes to win? In so many things we see this inflexibility - this decision to keep doing things the way they have always been done, rather than to adapt to the terrain, the people and the enemy. Our enemies, ironically, despite coming from "traditional" societies, have no such hangups. Not convinced of their own military superiority, knowing that they can lose, having to make do without half the military budget of the entire world behind them, they are able to adapt to what we do, and by refusing to play our game by our rules they are beating us. In Iraq we lose. In Afghanistan we lose. In Lebanon a militia defeated what was supposed to be one of the most elite of all Western-style militaries. We win the open-field battles, but we are losing the wars. And it is because we can no longer see clearly; and seeing clearly we can no longer adapt. The western military, heir of the greatest military tradition in the world, a Goliath standing astride the world, is being defeated not by David with a sling, but by a swarm of ants who refuse to sit still and be smashed by our mighty club. And the Afghan opium problem is just another example of how we insist, in the face of failure, on doing the same thing that already failed, over and over again. It's not that Goliath's day is precisely done, it's that Goliath's refuses to look closely at the foes he fights and that his brain has turned to mush from pride and rigid thinking. So, for now, the smart money is on the ants. Ian Welsh August 30, 2007 - 6:10am
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