Heritage Foundation Takes a Tentative Step Into the Reality Based World


As a friend of mine in labor wrote in an e-mail today:

Wanted to point out that the Heritage Foundation and the American Enterprise Institute have put their imprimatur on a study (released with Brookings and the Urban Institute) that finds, GASP, workers (men only in this case) are doing far less well than their fathers economically.

We regularly report this type of info, but this is significant that these reactionary tanks are signing on to such data.

Other findings:
- Growth in after-tax income for the top 1 percent has far outpaced growth for others between 1979 and 2004.
- The United States has less relative economic mobility than many other developed countries.
- Income falls behind productivity. Between 1947 and 1974, productivity and income grew together, but between 1974 and 2005, productivity and income grew apart.

The report is part of Pew's Economic Mobility Project

I've personally been writing about this for years, and I'm glad to see parts of the right finally admitting that there is a problem.

Years ago, in the early nineties, I remember a group consisting of myself and 6 other male friends going around and answering the question "are you as well or better off than your father was at the same age?" Only one of us was able to answer that question in the affirmative. I've lost track of some of those guys, so I can't report how they're doing now, but I doubt the answer has changed for most.

The farther you go down the economic ladder the more this becomes true, and the numbers are truly atrocious. For hourly wage earners paychecks in real terms essentially peaked in the mid seventies, and if they had kept up with productivity gains (which, according to orthodox economic theory, they really should) they would have doubled by now. This isn't a small matter, or a question of pocket change. People whinge about how Americans have gone into debt, don't save etc... well, if you were earning twice as much, you'd probably find it a lot easier to save, wouldn't you?

Update: The AFLI-CIO has a blog post on this with more details.


Ian Welsh May 25, 2007 - 3:16pm
( categories: Economics: USA )

to give us some sense of context, as I admit an old geezer like me is prone to do, then we find that the traumatic experience of the Great Depression, followed by the wrench of the Second World War, produced a popular consensus in the United States that required the sharing of material gains.

It wan't that legislation required it, but because it was part of the general culture of the generation, that when the company made money wages would improve.

Everyone had been through a time of confronting the possiblity of not surviving, and they never wanted to go through that again.

You don't pass a law that the head of the company gets only ten times the wage of the line worker; it comes out of a social contract shared by worker and management. Part of that social contract involved tolerating the existence of union representation, as part of the strength of America. Working people had representatives at the table.

But around about 1968 that expectation, the expectation that an increase in corporate earnings was something to be spread broadly among the employees, died out. I am of the opinion that it literatally died out, that the people who held the view retired and died.

The new elite, raised in the 50s and 60s and never having known any threat to their well-being, felt immune to any conceivalbe danger. They were much less willing to share the profits, and much less able to work with union representation (to put it politely).

There was a slight hiccup in the four years of Carter, but the trend resumed with Reagan and the Greed Decade.

Now the needs of the poor are off the table, and the working class is mentioned only in the phrase, "we can't have any class warfare."

We are all presumed to be rich, and to want less taxes. That is our right as native-born Amurrikuns.

As far as I can tell, the coming crash wll have the beneficial effect of bringing some reality into our national identity. We are not able to run the world, and we have to live and work together, all of us, of whatever background. At least so I hope in my moments of optimism.

mmeo May 25, 2007 - 10:50pm

Well said mmeo. I think you're essentially right, and Galbraith also, btw, agreed with you.

Ian Welsh May 26, 2007 - 12:56am

Good go of it here, Ian. And, let's please keep in mind that the ways we measure economic sucess have changed. These aren't our father's statistics. To cut to the chase, even that Master of the Universe, Bill Gross (of Pimco Fame) opined in a October, 2004 missive, that the Goverment deliberatley understates Inflation by about 1% a year. Think about that over the long term. That's a massive loss of purchasing power! And, I still want to know why our Goverment dispensed with the "M-3" (broadest measure) money supply figure? Just how much money are they pumping into the Big Casino every year? Am I to suppose that we Americans are just soooo productive that it doesn't matter? I thought that if you had more mullah - without a commensurate increase in the supply of goods-that inflation would raise its loathsome head? (Hey Ian & Bondad, your future thoughts here are much appreciated).

jbaspen May 26, 2007 - 12:11pm

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.