AIPAC, Israel, and Democrats: Two Times A Coincidence, Three Times...


Josh Marshal points out that, at the behest of the White House it appears that Olmert's office lied when they said that Pelosi hadn't been given a message of peace to take to the Syrians. As Sean-Paul notes what's really important about this is that it shows Israel interfering in US partisan politics.

What's interesting to me about this is that this is the second time pro-Israeli interests have sandbagged Pelosi in a very short period. The first time was when AIPAC members, after cheering Cheney, booed Pelosi when she spoke to them. AIPAC claims to be non-partisan, and they do have a lot of support from both parties (to put it mildly), but that meeting, where AIPAC members turned out to be some of the very few Americans to still love the war on Iraq, made clear that AIPAC's members, an odd mix of Jews who support Israel; and fundamentalist Christians who support Israel because they believe in a very literalist version of biblical prophecy which has Jews getting largely wiped out prior to the messiah returning; have swung hard behind the Republican party because they believe the Iraq war is in Israel's interest. (The Israeli government, for the record, has often denied this sotto voce. I leave it to others to decide if they believe Israel. Certainly even Olmert has probably figured out that the US losing in Iraq is bad, mmmmkay.)

Now the Israeli government themselves have sandbagged Pelosi.

And perhaps there's a third episode, though I don't know how seriously Pelosi took it. Back during the Israeli war on Lebanon you may recall that the House of Representatives put out a bill condemning Hezbollah and expressing support for Israel. Pelosi voted for it, but she was originally set to co-sponsor it, to show that it was a fully bi-partisan bill. She didn't, in the end, because Republicans refused to put in language asking for both sides to try and keep civilian casualties down. I've always considered that refusal a stunning indictment of Republicans and of AIPAC (which is who the House was trying to kiss up to).

It's been fairly clear for some time that AIPAC members, as a group, care more about Israel's interests than the US's, or more generously, seem to consider the two to be identical. And since Israel has no registered lobbyists in the US, something which can be said of no other major nation, let alone the country that receives the most US aid in the world, it's also pretty clear that AIPAC, senior ex-members of whom are up on espionage charges for spying on behalf of Israel, is effectively Israel's lobbying wing. The Israeli government often claims that AIPAC isn't really under their control, that it is rogue, etc... but what the Pelosi sandbagging makes clear is that AIPAC's members booing Pelosi wasn't a case of them pushing a sentiment that Tel Aviv doesn't agree with. Perhaps they might find it regrettable in the sense that blurting out unpleasant truths is regrettable, but the basic sentiment comes from the top down.

Does all of this matter? Perhaps not - Democrats are pretty cowed by AIPAC, just as Republicans are. It's considered the second most powerful lobby in the US (clocking in after the NRA) for a reason, and many might dispute that second place finish.

On the other hand, smart people don't disrespect and sandbag someone like Pelosi. She has a very long memory, and a lot of her senior members (and thus comittee heads) are amongst those Democrats who aren't cowed by AIPAC. Despite being outnumbered by the rest of the caucus, such people are in a position to exert a lot of leverage. The question, then, is whether Pelosi feels that spending some political capital dealing with AIPAC and Israel is worth it. Normally I'd say "no". It's not a primary concern.

But this is two times now, and maybe even three. And there comes a time in politics where "don't pick unecessary fights" becomes "people will keep crossing you if they don't pay a price for it". And Pelosi's career shows that she's understands that there are times when you have to teach people a lesson about who they're messing with.

Is she there yet?

Don't know. But if Israel and AIPAC keep this up, she'll get there. And so might a lot of other Democrats. People who want bipartisan support shouldn't play partisan politics, and Israel and AIPAC are doing so. And, frankly, they're doing so in a very stupid way. There's a realignment occuring in US politics, and just as the Republican star is in danger of going into a generational eclipse, Issrael and AIPAC are strongly aligning themselves with it while giving the most powerful Democratic official in the entire country ample and good reason to think that they've decided she, and Democrats as a group, is their enemy.

Not smart.


Ian Welsh April 10, 2007 - 4:13pm
( categories: Israel and Palestine )

ian - i see aipac as being a right-wing militarist pro-israel lobby. the only way they seem to know how to be pro-israel is by being right-wing militarists. so what happens when the right-wing militarism seems to conflict with maintaining bipartisan support for israel? the right-wing militarism wins out.

they give being pro-israel a bad name.

p.s. just for the record, i am not very much pro-israel... although i am very strongly pro the people (israeli, palestinian, lebonese,....).

selise April 10, 2007 - 9:42am

if it has occured to any of these so-called Christian crusaders that the Palestinian people are the real Jews (genetic descendants of Abraham) and that those calling themselves Jews aren't?

I did inhale.

Don April 10, 2007 - 10:00am

Well, if you believe in biblical prophecy, maybe the Palestinians and Israelis will form a single state solution, rebuild the temple and bring on the apocalypse! God, after all, works in mysterious ways.

Ian Welsh April 10, 2007 - 10:02am

But I would not be so bold as to interpret such an event as being the abomination that causes desolation described in Biblical prophecies. Seems like that would be harmless, if not beneificial.

Somehow I suspect this abomination will be much more sinister (maybe along the lines of human sacrifice [?]) and is most probably an event that will occur well into the future.

Gasp! A Christian that doesn't think Jesus is coming any day now.

The way I see it, things must get a whole lot worse before they can get better.

ps. What if this abomination is some confederation between "Christians" and "Jews", wiping out Palestinians (actual descendants of Abraham)? Bunch of wealth loving heathens killing people that pray formally five times a day. Try printing that in your local newspaper.

pps. (sorry). Here's what I really think. I think true Jews are Jews not because of whose blood flow in their veins. Forget flesh. It's matters of spirit that count. Anyone placing themselves above others as a matter of heritage is off track.

What I see coming from the federation of the West and the country of Israel is not holy. Nor are many calling themselves Muslims and allowing hatred to live in their hearts.

My guess is that true Jews will come from every nation, language and tribe of humanity and all will be outcasts of their relative societies.

I did inhale.

Don April 10, 2007 - 10:16am

Jews and non-Jews have been debating this for centuries. There isn't any religious set of beliefs that must be accepted in order to be a Jew. A Jew is simply one who is born of a Jewish mother or who converts. That leads to the complex nature of Jewish identity: it's like being a member of a large family or clan, into which one is either born or adopted into (and Judaism is strict about maintaining no difference between the two).

Any religion or family or whatever we're going to call it is made up of those descended from the "original members" and those who have signed on voluntarily. But for Jews the biological or genetic line of descent is still very strong, as you may know if you've read the articles in recent years discussing genetic research on those Jews claiming to be kohanim (descendants of Aaron, Moses' brother). The research concluded that their claim is genetically supported. (Example: January 7, 1997 story in the NY Times by Denise Grady)

So the argument that Jews are somehow less descendants of Abraham than Palestinian Muslims doesn't hold any water. Both Jews and Arabs are children of Abraham. Whether Jews have lived in a diaspora for centuries, or whether Palestinians themselves may also have Ottoman Turks or other non-Arabs amont their ancestors, is beside the point.

Flyer Anne April 11, 2007 - 3:38pm

that self-declaration and self-identification is ample as far as I - as an outsider - am concerned - especially when inclusion in a group contains valid elements of both genetics and observance.

If you declare it, you are it as far as I'm concerned; it's up to the Jewish community itself internally to take - or not take - a stance on the validity of those claims as they're raised, and no-one else. I have no desire, and no standing, to do so.

Escher Sketch April 11, 2007 - 4:10pm

but it makes the gyrations no less fascinating to the outside observer.

Mark April 11, 2007 - 4:33pm

- EOM

Escher Sketch April 10, 2007 - 12:20pm

It's instructive to me to see how baseless rumour and democratic party political spin turns into accepted fact in some circles.

To accept that Olmert told Pelosi "Tell Assad we're ready to sit down and discuss peace," and then sandbagged her days later (after her press conference) by reiterating Israel's actual long-standing policy, is to believe that:

1. Olmert announced a major policy shift to Pelosi and asked for that message to be conveyed. He did this in front of witnesses from Pelosi's delegation.

2. No letter from Olmert, putting his signature to this major policy shift, was provided. No recording made. Olmert doesn't have any telephones to convey the message himself. After careful consideration, he thought, who better to carry this important message than Pelosi?

3. Pelosi found (1) and (2) perfectly plausible and unproblematic.

4. Oops, it was all a trick cooked up in the White House. (I'm surprised the name Karl Rove hasn't come up.)

Now, personally, I have trouble believing it went down like that but, even if you do believe that, aren't you led to the basic conclusion that Pelosi is a gullible idiot, unqualified for a trip like this one?

-t

dasht April 10, 2007 - 12:50pm

aren't you led to the basic conclusion that Pelosi is a gullible idiot, unqualified for a trip like this one?

Now that you mention it - no, you haven't succeeded in leading me there. But I didn't start from the necessity of reaching that conclusion.

Let me sum up your position.

Pelosi is bad. She's either bad for making things up or she's bad for being "a gullible idiot, unqualified for a trip like this one". Ideally there's a way to make her both.

Does that about cover it?

Escher Sketch April 10, 2007 - 1:08pm

Nope.

Personally, I had some hope for Pelosi's visit. I really, really did.

I agree with the point of view that this is a good time to begin implementing an unofficial diplomatic effort outside of the administration. Like both the Democratic party the current administration, I believe that diplomacy is ultimately the key to resolving many of the tensions in the region.

I also believe that Pelosi screwed the pooch with her press conference and, to a lesser extent, her photo-op tourism in Syria. She made a series of beginner's mistakes, betraying a naivite of semitic (including arabic) culture, especially in the region. She wound up being played like a fiddle by Assad. In light of the domestic situation, it appears that she, not the White House, was over-eager to play the trip for short-term domestic political gain. Her "message of peace" press conference was the biggest mistake in that it was, quite obviously, something that Israel could not fail to object to. Olmert is to be credited for the restraint displayed in rebutting that press conference.

I also support the Iraq war and I think the old-guard in the administration has got things about as right as practical (other than badly blowing the first year or so of the occupation -- that's their huge blunder and, yes, it's bigger than (though compounded by) Pelosi's). No, that isn't a contradiction but it will take a while, as we get to know one another, to explain why.

Anyway, Pelosi had a right objective but an incompetent implementation. It is important to call her out on it. That visit was a horrible, potentially disasterous lead-card for diplomatic efforts from the next administration. It was embarassing.

Look, what is at stake here is this: Yes, we are going to wind up winding down in Iraq before it is anywhere near as settled as one might wish (again, blame the early days of the occupation). The extreme, present danger is that that winding down occurs in such a way that, just a few short years down the line, we're going to wind up in a very, very hot war in that region. That is the outcome that, so far, the democratic party leaders seem unwilling to acknowledge in word or action and all too willing to bring about for short-term political gain domestically. It's all too consistent with Pelosi's ill-considered press conference.

-t

dasht April 10, 2007 - 2:21pm

specifics to back that assertion up.

"There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all argument, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance. This principle is, contempt prior to examination."

Sean Paul Kelley April 10, 2007 - 2:50pm

...the major strategic objective vis-a-vis Syria is to strip it away from Iran. That's very unlikely to be achieved by continuing to isolate Syria but is quite likely to be facilitated, at least in the early stages, by engaging Syria. To be clear, later stages will be significantly more difficult and will require much more (i.e., changed governments in the United States and Israel). Pelosi's trip is the form engagement has to take when the administration won't begin to step up to the plate.

"Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality." - Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah

JustPlainDave April 10, 2007 - 5:16pm

It wasn't a major policy shift. You should also folow the links in the actual article before trying your predigested spin - it indicates very clearly that in the Israeli press the message was already known before Pelosi even got to Syria and frankly, Israel has gone out of its way repeatedly to indicate it doesn't want war with Syria over the last couple years.

You can always betray a person once by using up the presumption of trust. You can't do it twice, and now Pelosi knows Olmert isn't an honest actor. If you are so blinded by your partisanship that you don't know that Pelosi is exactly the sort of person who remembers and pays back such things then that's unfortunate. Hopefully your ideologicial allies will continue to underestimate her as well.

Ian Welsh April 10, 2007 - 4:38pm

Can you cite an article that states the AIPAC crowd boo'd Pelosi?

For the record I'm Christian, and believe in a literalist interpretation. What I don't believe in is orchestrating prophetic events. It's insulting, as if God needs our help; as if God couldn't change his mind.

Lesly April 10, 2007 - 1:13pm

But although we differ on literalism and belief in "end times" per se, I applaud your last sentence unreservedly. It's hard to reconcile a belief in an omniscient, omnipotent God with the notion that God actually requires "help".

Escher Sketch April 10, 2007 - 1:20pm

Pelosi hears boos at AIPAC

By Ian Swanson
March 13, 2007

Members of the main pro-Israel lobbying group offered scattered boos to a statement by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) that the Iraq war has been a failure on several scores.

The boos, mixed with some polite applause, stood in stark contrast to the reception House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) received minutes earlier. Most of the crowd of 5,000 to 6,000 stood and loudly applauded Boehner when he said the U.S. had no choice but to win in Iraq.

Pelosi and Boehner were speaking at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) annual meeting. AIPAC has not taken a position on the war in Iraq or the supplemental spending bill to be considered this week by the House Appropriations Committee, but much of Boehner’s speech was about the future of the Iraq conflict.

(...)

( ... Link ... )

Escher Sketch April 10, 2007 - 1:23pm

The definition of Democracy in America has evolved since this country was founded by a coalition of wealthy aristocrats. Originally, there was no consideration given to universal male suffrage. One had to own real property to vote. The aristocrats felt that working-class people were incapable of the moral fortitude to exercise good judgment, to say nothing of supporting the economic interests of the aristocrats.

Our government has always been for sale, we are now being shown the price that must be paid to assert influence. As long as the American people can be easily manipulated by thirty second media messages, or cowed into apathy, they represent no threat. But, should the American people become threatening through their voting for progressive candidates, my suspicion is that the vote will be taken away from them through enacting voting requirements that fewer and fewer people will be able to meet.

Special interest domination of our federal and state governments is threatening the foundation of our democracy, and very little is being done to acknowledge the threat, and even less to resist it.

cadabra April 10, 2007 - 5:47pm

and may the better movement win. The broad base of the citizenry has tools and methods that the innate conservativism of an aristocracy can't match.

Everyone knows the adage: put a frog in a pan of boiling water, and it will jump out. But put a frog in a pan of cool water and slowly raise the heat underneath it and it will boil to death without noticing.

I haven't heard anyone really discuss the obvious corollary of this, which is the care that must be taken to not get impatient, to not move too fast. That the prime word is slowly - make the mistake of turning the heat up too quickly and the frog hops out, startled by the sudden change. The prime enabler is patient and slow incremental change.

They've blown their wad in the last six years, cranked the heat up too fast because the principals are aging, the President was compliant and dim, the VP an autocrat born and bred and 9/11 dropped in their lap tied up with a ribbon - blown forty years of careful patient planning by getting too eager at the finish line.

Now there's immense potential energy stored in what's waiting to be the mother of all social backlashes.

[incidentally, the frog story? It's actually an urban myth - apparently frogs know better. But on the level of useful metaphor... - ES]

Escher Sketch April 10, 2007 - 6:09pm

Lantos: Cheney Would Prefer Pelosi Stay ‘In The Kitchen’ Than Travel Abroad »

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Rep. Tom Lantos (D-CA) just held a briefing on their bipartisan delegation to the Middle East last week.

Lantos, the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee and a Holocaust survivor, was sharply critical of attacks on Pelosi over the trip to Syria. “I do not know whether it was more pathetic or more hypocritical,” he said, noting the various Republicans who also visited Syria last week. “I was appalled at the attempt by the administration to minimize and to mischaracterize the nature of the mission.”

Pelosi addressed Vice President Cheney’s remarks on the Rush Limbaugh show about her trip. “I think he accused me of bad behavior, sounding sort of father figure-ish,” Pelosi said, suggesting that Cheney would rather have her “stay home.” Lantos interjected, “Maybe in the kitchen.” Pelosi concluded, “I think it’s an indication of the poverty of ideas of this administration to bring peace to the region.” Watch it:

http://thinkprogress.org/2007/04/10/pelosi-lantos-syria/

Tina April 10, 2007 - 6:47pm

UPDATE III: In addition to Gingrich's solo foreign policy pronouncements in China, he also, as Greg Sargent enterprisingly unearths, travelled in 1998 to Israel and pronounced Jerusalem to be "the united and eternal capital of Israel" -- a pronouncement that, according to ABC News' David Ensor at the time, ran "directly contrary to official US policy, which holds that Jerusalem's future is a matter for negotiation between Palestinians and Israelis."

As Sargent also notes, Gingirch is one of those parading around on television condemning Pelosi's trip as "very dangerous." Seriously, can someone please teach journalists how to use "Google"?

Do you think Matt Lauer -- pompously condeming Pelosi's trip -- has the slightest inkling about any of this? Did he do a single thing to read about the history of House Speakers making foreign trips, whether what Pelosi did was at all unusual, whether those condemning her are doing so because they are expressing a principled belief or whether they said the exact opposite when the partisan positions were reversed? Or did he just hear an angry Dick Cheney and read the Editorials by the Wall St. Journal and Fred Hiatt and then uncritically regurgitate in front of a camera what he ingested? Those questions are rhetorical ones, needless to say.

Source

Shame on the media for being manipulated. Read all what Greenwald has to say. Doesn't surprise me at all that the Whitehouse has the dirtiest hands and the partisan attacks will continue on Pelosi. Keep on trucking Nancy, there is hope that the United States can be restored to the values and "Liberal" ideals it had before this gang of thugs and neanderthals took office.

canuck April 10, 2007 - 7:57pm

It seems less like Olmert was interfering in US politics of his own volition than that he was being used by a sponsor he feels he cannot say "no" to. So I think your statement that "it shows Israel interfering in US partisan politics" is technically true, but misses the real point. Ehud Olmert does not seem to be a courageous or strong-minded guy. In one scenario he asked Pelosi to deliver a message from his administration to Syria--by all accounts a good message, even if maybe it did not go far enough. The he got his arm twisted by the US administration and hug her out to dry. (Long-term, a big mistake, I would think.) The other scenario is that the US administration put him up to it in the first place. Either way, the main culprit here is the US administration, it seems to me.

zcowan April 10, 2007 - 11:32pm

countless times. Bogus argument.

"There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all argument, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance. This principle is, contempt prior to examination."

Sean Paul Kelley April 11, 2007 - 12:09am

there was Whitehouse tampering

why did Olmert need to make a clarification, as Israelis were not speaking on the record. Lantos suggested there was pressure from the White House.

"It's obvious the White House is desperate to find some phony criticism of the speaker's trip, even though it was a bipartisan trip," said Lantos, a Holocaust survivor who is considered the Democrat closest to the pro-Israel lobby. "I have nothing but contempt and disdain for the attempt to undermine this trip."

The White House had no comment on the allegations by Lantos that it pressured Olmert to offer a clarification.

Such backdoor statecraft between the White House and Olmert would not be unprecedented.

Last year, U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice talked Olmert into a 48-hour cease-fire during the war with Hezbollah to allow humanitarian relief, but within hours Israeli planes were bombing again, to Rice's surprise and anger. Olmert had received a call, apparently from Cheney's office, telling him to ignore Rice.

(snip)

Did the White House pressure Olmert? If there was no message, why was the existence of the message being discussed by Israeli officials before Pelosi went to Damascus? Will the White House deny pressuring Olmert? And did any of this occur to the folks who write the Post's editorials?

canuck April 11, 2007 - 8:58am

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