Bloody Sunrise


Matt Stoller is predicting the beginning of an intra-party Democratic civil war. The Progressive Caucus, long the most passive of the caucusses - but also the largest, is stirring from its slumber and has decided that enough is enough. As Raw Story reports:

Consensus-seeking negotiations on a measure that would limit President Bush's troop escalation in Iraq have angered Congressional Progressives. RAW STORY has learned that they are readying a response that will call for a more rapid withdrawal of US troops from America's four year-long war.

A Democratic aide close to the Congressional Progressive Caucus told RAW STORY that some Democrats will push for withdrawal when the next bill on Iraq War funding comes to the House floor.

"There is a plan for a whip operation, to get votes for an amendment that will say that any money spent will go toward a fully funded withdrawal," the aide explained. "We can't support the idea of having a $150 billion Supplemental [Defense Appropriations bill] that gives $100 billion for the escalation."

The result of this - the fracture between those who are too scared of being called troop haters, or weak on defense, or who love money from business PACs, even though large corporations have given far more to Republicans than Democrats, and any self-respecting party (that wouldn't be the Democratic party, obviously) would remember both their friends and their enemies - will likely be near paralysis for the next two years and then a series of vicious primary challenges against the worst offenders. Democrats were elected to do two things - end corruption, and cripple George Bush's warmaking abilities. But some Democrats, lead in the House by Hoyer and Emmanuel; and in the Senate by Reid and Schumer; don't have the balls. They'd rather that American soldiers and Iraqi civilians continue to die, than risk a confrontation with Republicans or the chance that the right's dead enders - military fetishists; eliminations and racists, might craft a stab-in-the-back storyline.

Sadly for them, no matter what they do, the people they seem to feel some desperate need to pander to will always hate them and think they're traitors who should be strung up from the nearest lamp post. That's why they're on the far right, because they like hating, because they fetishize the military and they have a complete inability to accept responsibility for the failures of those they identify with.

But then Progressives who are disappointed in Reid were fools. I was warning two years ago that Reid wasn't a liberal, wasn't a progressive and wasn't on the side of either of them. He wasn't there on Alito, or Roberts; he didn't bother to whip the torture bill - he just doesn't care that much about the things that those on the left care about. Why should he? He may be a Democrat but he's a conservative democrat. A good man in many ways - but he's got no problem getting in bed with Fox, he's pro-life, and so on. He's a conservative.

As for Schumer, he's a good policy wonk. He loves the middle class. He's good on gay rights. But he's awful on foreign affairs, he thinks the war will end on its own before 2008, and he's not willing to fight to make it end sooner. The lives of soldiers aren't particularly real to him, even less are the lives of Iraqis real to him. He wants to win, and he thinks fighting the war is a mug's game. He's like a lot Dem activists in one sense - he thinks domestic issues are more important, and all he wants to do is look after his people domestically, and his people are, essentially, the Reagan Democrats who crossed the line to the Republican party and sometimes cross back. He's got his eye on them, and they are what's most important to him. Certainly not some dirty hippies, progressives, or metropolitan types.

In the House, the new members have been wined and dined by corporate lobbyists and by Rahm and Hoyer. They can set them up with big donors and help retire those debts they have. They tell them that to win, they have to raise a million dollars a year. They feed them talking points and they give them polls that are carefully selected to show that being liberal is a bad idea; that it's not a winning strategy. They become their new, best, friends. And all they ask is that the new members, elected on anti-war platforms; or as progressive champions, in many cases - forget the ones who got them to Washington. Just turn away from the messy sorts of people who care so much, and are noisy and demanding and come into our circuit of parties and dinners and business suited lobbyists who always have the studies to support their positions; always have the talking points to sell them; and who have pre-written bills all ready for you, so you don't have to do the work yourself, or think too much about policy issues that, honestly, you don't know much about.

So it may seem that all the firepower is on the other side. But that's only half true. Something interesting has started to happen - Pelosi, for example, is more popular than her party. Why is that? Because she's more liberal than them and she seems to actually want to end the war - just like she was elected to. There's a lot of pressure out there. People say "but you lost on Lamont" and that's true, but it's only half true - in most states a candidate defeated like Lieberman was wouldn't be able to run the way Lieberman did. The primary threat is real

And so is the disgust. Democrats were elected to fight the war. Those who do, will be rewarded, both by the general public and by the base, because they will have fulfilled the trust that was placed in them. Those who haven't, will not be trusted by either the population or the base. And as a politician, once the locals start thinking you're a liar, you're toast.

The progressive caucus deciding to fight is the key moment and it is the key moment because it will force other Democrats to make public votes for the war. It will make clear who's really onboard; who can be trusted; and who can't. And when they make clear votes to keep the war going, they will become vulnerable. The war is polling under 20%. It's not popular. They will become ripe for primary challenges, or even electoral defeat in the general if an anti-war Republican steps up.

There's an old saying - power can't be given, it can only be taken. Progressives need to learn the truth of that saying. It's time to take power. If progressives don't, for whatever reason, it won't be given. And Washington will remain in the hands of men and women who don't care about anything but a smooth easy life with pre-written bills, fat checks and an easy conscience untroubled by the screams of dying soldiers or innocent civilians.


Ian Welsh March 3, 2007 - 1:28am

Iran, with Obama the latest to prostrate himself before the Likuddites at AIPAC, decrying Iran as "one of the greatest threats to the US, Israel, and world peace", and pledged to confront Iran's uranium enrichment program...he has not as yet indicated that - yes - "all options are on the table", wink-wink, nudge-nudge, but as that is the consensus posture by HRC, Edwards, and every Republican, Obama will soon be there. And, later, no doubt, he will find himself explaining why he was for bombing Iran before he was against it. Is there anyone who isn't locked into militarism as foreign policy in any party?

barrisj redux March 3, 2007 - 2:22pm

Why Can't We Talk about Peace in Public?

America's growing economic dependence on the hi-tech defense industry is creating a culture that views peace and nonviolence as seditious concepts.

"The fellas from 121 started showing up the other day. It's starting to sink in... I'll have to go home, the opportunities to kill these fuckers is rapidly coming to an end. Like a hobby I'll never get to practice again. It's not a great war, but it's the only one we've got. God, I do love killing these bastards. ... Morale is high, the Marines can smell the barn. It's hard to keep them focused. I still have 20 days of kill these motherfuckers, so I don't wanna take even one day off. " -- letter home from an unnamed Marine F/A -18 pilot in Iraq.

The above letter arrived in my inbox via an email circular sent by an acquaintance of mine, a defense analyst and former congressional aide named Winslow Wheeler. It came alongside a pained commentary by another former Pentagon analyst named Franklin (Chuck) Spinney, who is probably best known for the famous "Spinney report" of the mid-'80s which exposed the waste and inefficiency of many hi-tech Defense Department projects.
...
Now retired and living in the Mediterranean, Spinney briefly returned to the States and somehow got hold of the above letter by a Marine pilot involved in close air support missions in Iraq. Spinney's commentary about the pilot ran as follows:

Here is a "warrior" who brags about killing for killing's sake, but the people he kills are just spots on the ground that disappear in clouds of explosions. He describes the joy of war at a distance and sees nothing of its horrors. You won't find any descriptions of blood, broken limbs, trauma or destruction in this email. You won't even find reference to his own feelings of menace or fear -- not to mention their noble counterweights courage and esprit -- just braggadocio on the subject of killing. Of course, his targets are all insurgents: no sense of any human capacity for doubt on that point. ... Hopefully, the man who wrote this ghastly thing is an aberration and not at all representative of the men and women in our military.

I searched the internet to see if anyone had anything to say about Spinney's commentary. There were only a few sites that mentioned it, but in this one he is predictably blasted by soldiers who viewed his comments as a betrayal.
...
After four years of Iraq, we still can't talk about peace in public! This evil bullshit has been buried in the commercial media's descriptive campaign language seemingly forever by now, but it may be time -- in the wake of this Iraq disaster -- to start thinking about where it comes from and what effect it may have on the national psyche.
I believe that Marine pilot is driven by the same forces that render the presidential candidacy of someone like Dennis Kucinich impossible in America. A country that feeds itself through the manufacture of war technology is bound to view peace, nonviolence and mercy as seditious concepts. It will create policies first and then people to fit its machines, finding wars to fight and creating killers to fight them. If that's true of us, and I think it is, our troubles won't be over even if someone brings the Iraq war to an end. We'll be treating the symptom and not the disease. And the reason our elections are a sham is that the disease is never on the table. Excepting the occasional Kucinich,

no one in either party is interested in trying to change who we are, no matter how sick we become.
http://www.alternet.org/waroniraq/48601/
barrisj redux March 3, 2007 - 2:40pm

Yeah, Taibbi rocks.

Ian Welsh March 3, 2007 - 2:44pm

I don't think progressive Democrats would break to start their own party in 2007, but I do think 2008 will be the last straw if Republicans win the White House and make gains in the Congress. As revolutionary as it may sound, I can't even imagine the progressive caucus NOT breaking from the Democratic party at that point, if that does happen. Maybe they can even compromise with the Libertarians to form a more major and confrontational 3rd party.

Nominay March 4, 2007 - 8:44pm

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