Iraqi Study Group: US Should Leave One Of These Days...


The bipartisan Iraq Study Group reached a consensus on Wednesday on a final report that will call for a gradual pullback of the 15 American combat brigades now in Iraq but stop short of setting a firm timetable for their withdrawal, according to people familiar with the panel’s deliberations.

The report, unanimously approved by the 10-member panel, led by James A. Baker III and Lee H. Hamilton, is to be delivered to President Bush next week. It is a compromise between distinct paths that the group has debated since March, avoiding a specific timetable, which has been opposed by Mr. Bush, but making it clear that the American troop commitment should not be open-ended. The recommendations of the group, formed at the request of members of Congress, are nonbinding.

A person who participated in the commission’s debate said that unless the government of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki believed that Mr. Bush was under pressure to pull back troops in the near future, “there will be zero sense of urgency to reach the political settlement that needs to be reached.”

This position is "let's leave, but um, not if it means we lose, or look like we're losing."

You've lost. The question now is this - how many American soldiers will die to try and win a war which is already lost? Who are you killing for absolutely zero return, today?

This is because almost every politician is still trying to triangulate the issue. They want to leave, but they don't want to be in a position for the US being blamed for the loss. This is why John McCain wants 20,000 troops sent to Iraq - so he can say that if the President had done what he said the US would have won. (Never mind that getting those 20K troops would require leaving the US with no reaction ability for a crisis anywhere else in the world. Never mind that it wouldn't work.)

More After the Break

This is why the Dems won't just cut off the money for the war.

In fact, a very large emergency spending bill is coming down from the Pentagon, and it will be huge. If it is passed, you can kiss the possibility of getting anything else useful from Congress for the next two years; it will take up all of what little excess spending capacity there is, and then some.

A lot of people are betting on two things:

1) No one wants to be left holding the bag as causing the US to lose in Iraq by being the adult who finally says "no, game's over, we're going home."

2) And no one wants to "not support the troops" by not giving the Pentagon as much money as they want, even though all that money won't help win the war, becuase the war can't be won. And you can't raise taxes to pay for it, because even though Bush wanted the spending, Republicans will blame a Democratic Congress for raising taxes. No win situation.

There are a lot of people in the US who simply refuse to either live in the real world (it's lost, stop pretending you can win it) and who think that they can have their cake (spending increases) and eat it too (not raise taxes).

Which is to say, there are very few adults in either the Congress or the Executive branch, and those few who are are either powerless, gutless, or don't intend to help Republicans destroy them.

When you spend your entire lives running away from reality the way the US has for the last thirty years - your entire lives thinking that you can have things you can't afford, reality eventually catches up.

In this case it's going to catch up with a lot of American soldiers, who if their leaders were adults with guts, would be coming home, and not dying for, literally, nothing.


Ian Welsh November 30, 2006 - 3:40am

The Iraq Study Group, which wrapped up eight months of deliberations yesterday, has reached a consensus and will call for a major withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq, shifting the U.S. role from combat to support and advising, according to a source familiar with the deliberations.

But the recommendation includes a series of conditions and qualifications that would govern any drawdown of forces, the source said. "It describes a process by which combat brigades could be pulled out, but there wasn't a specific timetable on it," he said. The source demanded anonymity because members of the bipartisan panel have been pledged to secrecy until the report is officially issued Dec. 6.
continues @ Wapo
Freedom of the press is guaranteed only to those who own one.- A.J. Liebling.

<Hence my love for the Agonist.>
graham November 30, 2006 - 3:53am

However you want to slice it, the ISG simply endorsed the stratagem already well on its way to completion: several well-armed and fortified bases north of Baghdad from where US "force projection" - internally, or regionally - will be concentrated. Oh, of course, also to aid in "protecting" an eventually revived Iraq oil-producing capability. And, why isn't anyone YET asking about those bases?

barrisj redux November 30, 2006 - 8:48pm

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/notion?pid=141587

The Uncovered War: Permanent Bases in Iraq
Tom Engelhardt

Looked at in a clear-eyed way, almost all the strategies floating around Washington at this moment for "redeployment" or "phased withdrawal" are not actual withdrawal plans. They are complex schemes for hanging on to some truncated imperial presence at the heart of the oil lands of the planet -- and as such are doomed to fail. Like Richard Nixon's Vietnamization program (which withdrew American ground forces while ratcheting up the use of American air power), these are Iraqification policies. But to grasp what they might actually mean, you need to be able to assess two key aspects of our Iraqi venture that mainstream newspapers essentially have not cared to cover–first and foremost, the permanent facts-on-the-ground the Bush administration has been so intent on building there since 2003.

As the New York Times revealed in a front-page piece by Thom Shanker and Eric Schmitt on April 19, 2003, just after Baghdad fell, the Pentagon arrived in the Iraqi capital with plans already on the drawing board to build four massive military bases (that no official, then or now, will ever call "permanent"). Today, according to our former Secretary of Defense, we have 55 bases of every size in Iraq (down from over 100); five or six of these, including Balad Airbase, north of Baghdad, the huge base first named Camp Victory adjacent to Baghdad International Airport, and al-Asad Airbase in western Anbar province, are enormous -- big enough to be reasonable-sized American towns with multiple bus routes, neighborhoods, a range of fast-food restaurants, multiple PX's, pools, mini-golf courses and the like.

Though among the safest places in Iraq for American reporters, these bases have, with rare exceptions, gone completely undescribed and undiscussed in our press (or on the television news). From an engineering journal, we know that before the end of 2003, several billion dollars had already been sunk into them. We know that in early 2006, the major ones, already mega-structures, were still being built up into a state of advanced permanency. Balad, for instance, already handled the levels of daily air traffic you would normally see at Chicago's ultra-busy O'Hare and in February its facilities were still being ramped up. We know, from the reliable Ed Harriman, in the latest of his devastating accounts of corruption in Iraq in the London Review of Books, that, as you read, the four mega-bases always imagined as our permanent jumping-off spots in what Bush administration officials once liked to call "the arc of instability" were still undergoing improvement.

Without taking the fate of those monstrous, always-meant-to-be-permanent bases into account--and they are, after all, just about the only uniformly successfully construction projects in that country--no American plans for Iraq, whatever label they go by, will make much sense. And yet months go by without any reporting on them appearing. In fact, these last months have gone by with only a single peep (that I've found) from any mainstream publication on the subject.

The sole bit of base news I've noticed anywhere made an obscure mid-October appearance in a Turkish paper, which reported that the U.S. was now building a "military airport" in Kurdistan. A few days later, a UPI report picked up by the Washington Times had this: "Following hints U.S. troops may remain in Iraq for years, the United States is reportedly building a massive military base at Arbil, in Kurdish northern Iraq."

Kurdistan has always been a logical fallback position for U.S. forces "withdrawing" from a failed Iraq. But so far nothing more substantial has been written on the subject.

MORE at link

Tina November 30, 2006 - 9:17pm

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.