Liberty, Freedom and the Vote


As you're all probably aware, Republicans and Republican proxies have flooded key battleground areas with calls and robocalls to Democrats and independents. The calls are long, tedious and appear to come from the Democratic candidate in the state. They tend to come in at around 2am to 3am. And if you hang up, they call again, and again, and again... The goal, of course, is to suppress turnout - to make people so pissed that they don't vote. The DCCC has more details on their website.

This is the beginning, not the end of voter suppression. What we're going to find tomorrow is:

  • Finding out you're not on the voters list, voting with a provisional ballot which in most cases will never be counted
  • Not enough machines delivered to Democratic leaning precincts
  • Off duty police intimidting blacks and hispanics
  • Many people arriving at the wrong polling station because they got a phone call giving them the wrong location
  • Scrutineers demanding multiple pieces of ID even when not required by law
  • Republican districts reporting their votes last, after closed door counting sessions
  • Overvotes: cases where more people vote than are registed to vote in the riding
  • Posters and fliers in Democratic areas listing the wrong polling place or saying that more ID is required than is needed by law
  • Districts where machines are inoperative for hours
  • Cases where the machines register the Republican instead of the Democrat, no matter what you pick
  • And much more

I've heard people asking, "what do we do if the Democrats don't take back the House?"

Here's the brutual truth. If that happens, the US is no longer a functioning Democracy. There is no scenario under which that can happen, given the polls, without massive fraud. At that point you have three choices. You can take to the streets. You can emigrate; or you can get used to living in a one-party bannana republic without civil rights or democracy.

I don't expect that to happen - but let's not mince words here; there is no scenario under which the Republicans can hold the House with these sorts of numbers which does not amount to fraud on a massive scale.

That said, odds are you're going to wake up Wednesday morning to a Democratic House, with decent odds (slightly over 50%) of a Democratic senate. In the meantime, get out and vote, and take your cell phone camera or a video recorder with you. And if something dubious is going on, get a recording, call the election protection people at 1-866-OUR-VOTE, send the pictures and video to your local news organization and every blogger you know, and get ready to fight for your country as hard as you can. Because in the end, you have exactly, and only, the rights you are willing to fight for.


Ian Welsh November 6, 2006 - 7:39pm

Angry public reaction to obvious voting fraud? What better reason for Bush43 to now have new legal authority to use troops to quell any public disorder he deems exists, regardless of whether or not local authorities request assistance.

David Bier
CADRE Intel Mgr
techadvisor@helloworld.com
http://groups.google.com/group/publicintel

techadvisor November 6, 2006 - 10:28pm

Well, it's quite simple, if fraud and massive fraud is proven from the repukes, you do as they do in every banana republic, buy a kalashnikov and start an second american revolution, hey may be Cuba and Venezuela will come to help you.
But after all, may be the US is getting what it deserves although I personnally think that no one deserve what the americans might get if those bums from Bush-Rove Inc. win this one.
I do pitty your country and your citizens, but being so stubbornly yankee as not to heed a planetary call will get you in a helluva predicament.
Good luck and go vote.

Jelco Cathlon November 6, 2006 - 10:52pm

As Ian pointed out earlier, the government either has to run out of money or be defeated in a war. This is the historical pattern. If revolution was as easy as the previous commentators indicated, it would happen much more often.

That said, I agree with Ian that we can agree that if the Republicans hold the House, its due to fraud. I was just at the excellent Predict '06 website (www.predict06.com), and I tried to give the Republicans the benefit of the doubt in each close race. I just couldn't put together enough upsets for them to keep control of Congress. The problem is that they are on the defensive in too many places, and in too many different places. They may hold the suburban "soccer Mom" districts that trended Democratic during Clinton's presidency, but still elected Republicans; they may hold on in the Rust Belt; they may hold on in the libertarian Mountain states; and they may hold more of their members embroilled in scandals than anticipated. But to hold the House they have to do well enough in all four categories and I don't see how that can happen. The Rust Belt districts in Ohio, western Pennsylvania, upstate New York and Indiana will probably trend very differently from the suburban districts in eastern Pennsylvania, downstate New York, New Hampshire, and Connecticut (they've done in the past). The Republicans should exceed expectations in one group of these districts, but not the other.

If I were Karl Rove, I would be drawing up lists of Democrats who could be induced into switching parties in the next few months. But given the preference for brutal and stupid we've seen in our national leaders, I wouldn't be surprised if they tried to use fraud instead.

kibitzer November 6, 2006 - 11:11pm

Pray to your God that things will improve according to your Bible.
Or Bush and Cheney both die of heart attacks.
Wishful thinking!

repressive governments mix administrative clumsiness & inefficiency with authoritarian tendencies.

kimmy November 6, 2006 - 11:33pm

at this juncture I hope you are very, very wrong. Tomorrow night will tell. But this is way too dark a vision of the US than I am willing to accept although there is some truth in all of the elements you cite.

Mark November 6, 2006 - 11:36pm

I don't think they can fix that many districts Mark. My prediction is a Democratic house. And either a Democratic Senate 51-49 or a 50-50 split with Cheney breaking the tie.

But I have had some questions about "What if the Republicans keep the House" and I thought it was worth adressing. There is just no way, no way at all, they can do it without massive fraud.

Not that there won't be fraud, and a lot of it, but it shouldn't rise to the "system is irreperably damaged and Democracy is dead" level.

Ian Welsh November 6, 2006 - 11:44pm

Google video source, if Throw Away Your TV becomes unavailable..

Hacking Democracy (HBO Special)

This timely, cautionary documentary exposes gaping holes in the security of America's electronic voting system.
1 hr 21 min 55 sec (but watch some of it, anyway.)

Chickadee November 7, 2006 - 1:20am

Like Oregon does. Ballots may also be dropped off at various sites (gets rid of the "poll tax" argument). Voting starts two weeks before election (counting) day and frustrates the hell out of big campaign spenders. It's cheaper. Since ballots are a permanent paper record, it's much harder to manipulate totals--and there's plenty of time to request a new one should one's ballot go missing or is damaged.

Essentially, all voters cast absentee ballots.

Petronius November 7, 2006 - 1:09pm

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