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ImagineOne of the things that constantly amazes me is the inability of some people to imagine themselves in the shoes of a Hezbollah supporter and to whinge about how Hezbollah doesn't respect Lebanon's authority. The fact that Hezbollah is not under Lebanese government control is indeed a problem for Lebanon. But then, when Israel invaded, the other Lebanese didn't help the Shia in the occupied territories, did they? And what did the Lebanese army do? You can't separate these things from history. Other groups may worry about Hezbollah, but Hezbollah knows that they are the only thing defending their people. I really don't understand why people have such a hard time understanding this. Put yourself in their shoes - you spent EIGHTEEN YEARS occupied by a foreign power. The people who didn't help you, indeed who fought a civil war against you at the same time - the Christians, Druze and Sunni, want you to disarm? The ones who live north of the Litani, and won't be occupied if Israel invades again? The Americans want you to disarm? The ones who sent in Marines, then used their navy to shell your villages, then whined that you were terrorists when you killed their troops and their spy chief? The French want you to disarm - the French who did nothing to stop Israel's invasions either time except spin uselessly around in the UN? Think about how crazy that sounds. Really, think about it. If Hezbollah disarms what's to stop Israel from invading again? If Hezbollah is destroyed, who is going to run the hospitals, pick up the garbage, take care of the orphans and run the schools? If you're a poor southern Shia who hasn't seen government services in over a generation, why would you trust the government to take care of you? I wouldn't disarm if I were Hezbollah. And if someone - Israel, the US, the UN, or the Lebanese who were shooting me in the back when I was fighting Israel in the 80's and 90's wants me to disarm, they can take my gun over my dead body. But that ain't gonna happen, because after kicking Israel's butt twice, everyone knows who would win that confrontation. The Lebanese army is a joke. If you look at things just on the basis of raw power and government services I will tell you this - Hezbollah looks more like a government and a state to me than Lebanon does. And if Lebanon wants to become a real country again, a real state, and not a fractious doormat which can be invaded by its neighbours, whether Syria or Israel, any time they feel like it, they had better figure out how to graft Hezbollah into the body politic in a way that preserves everyone's rights. But y'know what - I'm actually optimistic. Israel actually unified Lebanon during its invasion. Amazing, but true - polls show massive support across religious, ethnic and political lines, for fighting Israel. If that sense of unity can be used to integrate Hezbollah's armed wing into the military (really, pragmatically, that would mean the opposite); if it can be used to create a mission of rebuilding Lebanon for everyone, no matter Christian, Druze, Sunni or Shia, then one day Lebanon may be a real country with a real deterrent, able to both control force in its own territory and to defend itself from outside agressors. Is that a sure thing? Heck no. But it's a chance, and it's a chance that everyone in Lebanon should seize. Because in the long run either having the government not have a monopoly force, or not having a deterrent against foreign agressors, is not in Lebanon's best interest. And if Israel wants peace with Lebanon, they need to forget the fantasy of 'destroying' Hezbollah. They can't do it. Instead maybe they should arrange to return all prisoners on both sides, give the mine maps to Lebanon and return the Shebaa farms to either Syria or Lebanon. Then sign a formal peace treaty and stop violating Lebanese airspace. And if all that is done, and Hezbollah still attacks them without provocation, so be it - having given peace a fair chance war will be justified. Until then it isn't. And until we acknowledge that self defense is a legitimate right of all people's, including Lebanese Shia, we will have no moral authority to try and broker a lopsided peace that requires one side to disarm and gives the other side everything it wants. Ian Welsh August 14, 2006 - 4:29pm
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