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Vichy Democrats, Lieberman and ProgressivesLieberman is facing a stiff opposition challenge for one reason and one reason only. It's not, as much of the corporate press has been suggesting, just because he's pro-war. It's because he spends all his time agreeing with Republican and compromising with Republicans. He agreed with Republicans that Social Security needed to be fixed. He constantly derides Democrats as being soft on terror. And, yes, he supported Bush's splendidly illegal little war. But none of these things would be sufficient, if it wasn't that Democrats have spent most of the last six years watching Lieberman, on TV shows, agreeing with Republicans. Here's how opposition politics go: the incumbent does things. If those things go well, odds are the incumbent will be re-elected. If Bush's splendid little war had turned out to be a smashing success, with a new compliant government in Baghdad and $12/barrel oil - the Democrats could have bent over and kissed their collective asses goodbye. So, given that an outstanding victory in the war means an outstanding loss for the Democrats, and given that George Bush has never, in his entire life, been able to manage anything, you bet against the war. You say that it's illegal, you say that it won't work, you say that it's unconstitutional. You get out in front of it, so that when Bush screws it up you are the natural party or person to turn to. Yes, this requires leading the polls. You have to look ahead and say "gee, the polls right now are for this, but I'm willing to bet that will change." That may seem like a hard bet, but it wasn't and it isn't, because, again, if Bush had won his little war, Bush and the Republicans would have been undefeatable anyway. To use a poker term - they'd gone all in on it. When your opponent goes all-in you can match him, or you can fold. Democrats folded. Now Joe wasn't alone in folding. Most Democrats folded, including Kerry (a factor which may have cost him the 2004 election). But Joe kept folding - he repeated Republican talking points on Social Security (false ones, at that), for example. He couldn't even find the guts to defend the third rail of American politics. He was ok with the Senate's radical and unprecedented intervention in the Schiavo case. He helped get Alito through. And then he went on TV and repeated Republican talking points. Over and over and over again Joe gave comfort to the enemy. He allowed them to say that they had bipartisan support. He allowed them to paint themselves as moderate "see, some Democrats agree, so gutting social security must be the moderate solution." He constantly belittled Democrats as not being manly enough - tough enough, like Joe and the Republicans, to stand up and fight terror. But what is truly amazing about Joe is that he seems surprised by the strength of the challenge. He's been hated by the progressive wing of the party for as long as I can remember. In 2004 myself and some friends sat down and brainstormed. One of the things we realized was that progressives needed to make an example of at least one Senator who constantly crosses progressive principles and who constantly helps the Republicans make Democrats look weak. There was never any question who the ideal Senator would be for that. The only question was whether there would be a challenger strong enough to make a running against an entrenched encumbent. Then Ned Lamont decided to run, we took a hard look at him, liked what we saw, and the netroots went into his camp, hard. Because despite what some would have you believe, while getting Democrats back into office is good, it's only the first step. As it stands right now, while they'd be better than Bush and Frist and Hastert (a ham sandwich would be better than any of them, since doing nothing is an improvement of being actively malign and incompetent) they would just do stupid things (like coal gas and a big military build up) much more competently. When you find yourself in a hole, you've got to stop digging. Vichy Dems just want to dig smarter, not stop digging or *gasp*, start filling in the hole. And that's why Lieberman has to go, both as a message to Republican enablers and as a warning that Progressives won't be taken for granted any more, and that giving up civil rights with more due process "if only the President had asked for permission to spy on every American instead of violating the law" is not acceptable. Ian Welsh May 23, 2006 - 1:12am
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