. . . a patently bogus article get through the editors at ABC news?
Seriously, the article has one source, and one source alone that says an Iranian nuke could be possible by 2009. And what does this one source base this completely unrealistic claim on? 1,000 new centrifuges Iran is installing at Natanz, which the articles notes, are not even operational.
As David Albright says, “If they continue at this pace, and they get the centrifuges to work and actually enrich uranium on a distinct basis,” said David Albright of the Institute for Science and International Security, “then you’re looking at them having, potentially having enough highly enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon in 2009.”
But if you go back and look at the record and see how long it has taken for Iran to get where they are you realize what garbage this article is. We’ve been expecting Iran to install 3,000 centrifuges for some time. And now that they’ve installed 1/3 that number we’re going to blow it up into a crisis? First it was 3,000 centrifuges that make up the red line, now it’s 1,000?
Please. This is nothing more than disinformation, a well timed leak doled out to Ross and ABC. Nothing more. Nothing less.
Iran will have a nuke by ’09 and their brain shuts off. Next thought: bush has to do something.
I did inhale.
“There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all argument, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance. This principle is, contempt prior to examination.”
AllProgaganda Broadcasting Corporation!
http://www.iranian.com/Pictory/2006/May/Images/guess.jpg
I’m sure the US nuclear industry could not wait to provide that idiot with all the nuclear power and technology he wants. Heck, we gave him F14s and anything else he wanted even as he murdered his own people. At least he sold the oil cheap to BP!
My brain shutt off to any of Bush’s comments a long time ago.
We have such short memories.
…version of what Albright thinks vis a vis the Iranian centrifuge program can be found here, in pdf format.
The rest of the ISIS site is not to be missed. Nor the little sightseeing space shots of Arak [pdf].
“Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality.” – Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah
…here, also via pdf.
“Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality.” – Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah
…above, I’d guess that it’s the prime mover for this story.
“Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality.” – Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah
“There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all argument, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance. This principle is, contempt prior to examination.”
Iran has been acquiring and deploying enrichment technology for some time. A year or so ago the Economist did an article on the subject and concluded that Iran would have the technology to build a nuke in four or five years. So 2009-2011 must be a kind of (expert) consensus.
Two kinds of reactions to this amaze me. One is “well, we have some time, anyway.” As if some unanticipated solution to the problem is likely to magically emerge in the mean time. Another is “we have to do something now.” As if the mere fact that a nation has or might some day acquire nuclear weapons is sufficient cause for action against it. It was not the case for England or France or Russia or China or India or Israel, or Pakistan.
Judged strictly in terms of America’s self-interest and that of Europe, why should Iran be different? And if it is, why did Poppy support the same regime so early on by selling it missiles in exchange for holding the American Embassy hostages until Carter had lost the election? Whatever game the Bush dynasty is playing with Iran, it is hard to argue that is is consistently poised to represent the noblest interest of America and Americans.
One might argue that the west’s engagement of Iraq ultimately forestalled its WMD programs. But it is hard to argue that this same engagement ultimately made the region safer for the efforts. Isn’t that the final criterion by which we judge the success of foreign policy on security? Why wouldn’t intelligent policy about Iran be informed by experience with Iraq?
…a good deal of time for him, and given what I’ve read of his work, I tend to view his opinion as somewhat more than bogus.
“Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality.” – Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah
“There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all argument, and which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance. This principle is, contempt prior to examination.”