The Grand Betrayal - Apotheosis of The Money Party


Michael Collins

Previously, I reported the startling news - Obama to Change Party. That was satire, at least on November 14. Just three weeks later, satire becomes reality. In the past few days, President Obama has traded away $620 billion in tax revenues in order to get a $56 billion, 13 month extension of unemployment benefits. Of course, the lost $620 billion will make any further unemployment benefits, or for that matter, any other productive social programs pipe dreams as the deficit explodes over the next two years. (Image: Banksy)

The Obama deal is a long way from the original position of ending Bush tax cuts for the highest earners and simply extending unemployment benefits, as called for by economic and social circumstances.

It started when President Obama sent his vice president to negotiate with Republican leaders on Capitol Hill. Since the president still has a majority in both chambers of Congress, you might wonder why he's negotiating. The House Democrats are ready to rock to show that they're not to blame for the past two years of inaction. There are enough Democratic Senators with either the inclination or the compromised background to strong arm a majority.

If Obama has forgotten how Chicago politics work, he could certainly find someone from the windy city to show him how it's done. Edward ("fast Eddie") Vrdolyak has some free time on his hands for a consulting gig.

So why did Obama come up with such a ridiculous deal? The outcome was an extension of unemployment in return for a two year continuation of the Bush era tax cuts.

"Lieberman noted that as part of the deal that extends the Bush-era tax rates for all income brackets, Democrats got a 13-month extension of unemployment benefits, a payroll tax cut and extensions of the childcare tax credit and the college tuition tax credit." The Hill, Dec. 7

The finances are ugly if you're a budget balancing president who demands revenue neutral legislation. The Obama deal will cost $500 billion in lost revenues as a result of extending the Bush tax cuts, $120 billion in lost payroll taxes (dropping from 6.2% to 4.2% for employees/employers); and $56 billion to extend unemployment for 13 months.

During the Reagan years, David Stockman and his crew slashed away at taxes in hopes of starving programs like Social Security and Federal discretionary spending on social welfare and health programs for the poor. Obama has joined the cult of Reaganomics. Why is this surprise? He spoke glowingly of Reagan during the primaries.

Here's how bad it is

Here's what Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu said about the deal. Landrieu is a conservative Southern Democrat with big energy agenda. She represents a very conservative state. Even she knows this deal is a disaster.

"He's enthusiastic about this new arrangement dealing with the Republican caucus that stated, according to their leader, their number one objective is to unseat him. I can understand trying to appeal to independent voters. I do that myself. I think it's very important. But this sort of enthusiasm for caucusing with Republicans – and he didn't even, literally, didn't even speak to the Democratic caucus. Not any of it. Not the liberal group, not the moderate group, not the conservative group," said Landrieu. Senate Democrats Openly Upset with Tax Cut Deal

When Mary Landrieu opposes your strategy on tax cuts for the rich, you know you've gone too far. But Obama is just doing his job, the one he signed up for - an elegant, charming functionary for the ruling class who could fool people just long enough to allow the Bush bailout looting to continue in full force.

The Real Obama - The Real Money Party

If you're still surprised at Obama's betrayal, it's time to expand your horizons and see the facts. He's a made man in The Money Party. For those with an empirically justified cynical attitude, this all makes sense.

Obama was a blank slate when he took up his campaign for change in the primaries. He faced a daunting task. He had to defeat the standard bearer for the Clinton clan, Hillary, the future undiplomatic Secretary of State. How do you do that? Make a deal.

Obama's primary campaign relied on huge anti-Bush sentiment and a well run internet fund raising operation. He also relied on bundling - the gathering of maximum individual contributions by bundlers inside major corporations and industry groups.

When he got the nomination, the gloves came off and the campaign trounced McCain by out raising the Republican presidential campaign on Wall Street and other business sectors.

This allowed more of the utterly cynical, hypocrisy in the form of political advertising crucial to mass fundraising on the internet. Obama rode the anti-Bush public wave. Hope, Change, and Trust Me were the platitudes as the corporate media served as an unpaid advocate for the not-so-long con that Obama planned to change anything.

The Big Payback

Once elected, Obama wasted no time in paying back those who put him in power. He appointed Larry Summers as chief economic architect and NY Fed President Timothy Geithner as Secretary of the Treasury. We really don't need any more narrative to determine how the story comes out. Wall Street and the Big Banks backed up a parade of 16 wheelers to the Treasury and begin unloading more money for more bailouts, credits, etc. Summers and Geithner were the helpers who fixed the regulations, wrote the legislation, and provided directions at the loading lock as your money went out the door.

We're at a special moment right now. Obama's creators and his team have "screwed the pooch" by failing to deliver anything for the people who face economic hardship and personal challenges on an ever increasing basis. His popularity is below 50% on a regular basis. He's not taken seriously by his own party. His foreign policy not only lacks imagination, it's now a joke thanks to Wikileaks.

Obama is a spent leader with no real chance of regaining any popularity. What do to?

Go for the big kill - accept the Bush tax cuts and add a tax cut for Social Security payroll tax. Tell the people it's a necessary deal - "this is a long game, not a short one" Dec. 7. Disregard the huge majority of supporters opposing your plan. You don't care. You're not looking for another term. You've got a new job in sight - not so elder, peace prize wining statesman for … The Carlyle Group, etc.

You've earned it. You have accomplished what no Republican could do. Social Security and every other program that benefits the people are now in real peril. The Grail is yours, celebrate your victory. You just have another couple of years of public fretting, fake humility, and dissembling before the big payday.

And never forget, Mr. President that you don't really matter. You're just a functionary taking orders from:

"The Money Party, a small group of enterprises and individuals who have most of the money in this country. They use that money to make more money. Controlling who gets elected to public office is the key to more money for them and less for us.

It is not about Republicans versus Democrats. The Money Party is an equal opportunity employer. They have no permanent friends or enemies, just permanent interests. Democrats are as welcome as Republicans to this party. It’s all good when you’re on the take and the take is legal. Michael Collins Sept 30, 2007

END

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Michael Collins December 8, 2010 - 6:51am
( categories: USA: Presidency )

...LOL, I got accused of being clinically depressed on my thread about Assange; my response was; I'm fine and just not in denial.
In today's United States, if one isn't depressed then there is something seriously wrong with you.
We don't seem able to grasp the present dynamic that is driving us down to a permanent state of economic depression. Neo-serfdom is here now; an entire class of people (the middle class) has effectively been disenfranchised. In and of itself that's bad enough; but what's worse is a tacit lack of recognition of just what's going on all around us.
I for one, retain the right to see what's actually going on and vehemently object to my disenfranchisement!
And Obama? Fuck all!


Find out just what any people will quietly submit to and you have found out the exact measure of injustice and wrong which will be imposed upon them,and these will continue till they are resisted with either words or blows,or with both~FDouglas

Celsius 233 December 8, 2010 - 7:15am

This is really bold. It may be, and probably is incredibly stupid, but it's bold. The rationales the president is using are just absurd - 'I promised the middle class no more taxes', etc. People know a lie when it's that bold. And they're messing with the payroll tax. Bad news. He's a lame duck president working with a lame duck Congress. Just imagine the mischief he'll be instructed to inflict when the new Congress shows up ... "the horror."

Michael Collins December 8, 2010 - 7:31am

up to $40K will pay more in taxes. How's that for truth in press conferencing?

But the tax benefits will flow most heavily to the highest earners, just as the original cuts did when they were passed in 2001 and 2003. At least a quarter of the tax savings will go to the wealthiest 1 percent of the population.

The tentative deal includes a two-year patch for the alternative minimum tax, a reduction in the payroll tax and a plan to reinstate the estate tax with lower rates and higher exemptions than in 2009 — all of which will offer far more savings for high earners than those in the low- or middle-income bracket.

The wealthiest Americans will also reap tax savings from the proposal’s plan to keep the cap on dividend and capital gains taxes at 15 percent, well below the highest rates on ordinary income.

And negotiators have agreed that the estimated $900 billion cost of the cuts will simply be added to the deficit — not covered by reductions in spending or increases in other taxes. That is good news for hedge fund managers and private equity investors, who appear to have withstood an effort to get them to pay more by eliminating a quirk in the tax code that allows most of their income to be taxed at just 15 percent.

In fact, the only groups likely to face a tax increase are those near the bottom of the income scale — individuals who make less than $20,000 and families with earnings below $40,000.

“It’s going to look like the rich are getting richer again,” said Anne Mathias, an analyst for MF Global Inc.
SNIP
Although the $120 billion payroll tax reduction offers nearly twice the tax savings of the credit it replaces, it will nonetheless lead to higher tax bills for individuals with incomes below $20,000 and families that make less than $40,000. That is because their payroll tax savings are less than the $400 or $800 they will lose from the Making Work Pay credit.

“It will come to a few dollars a week,” said Roberton Williams, an analyst at the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, “but it is an increase.”

If a president tries to mislead this baldly, can we say he's lying?
Now, maybe for him families making $40K a year are in the lower class and the middle class begins somewhere above that amount, so maybe, technically, he's not lying. But, looking at median US income, $40K is pretty close to the median...?

Obama seems hell bent on destroying the Democratic Party. Almost the actions of an...anarchist. Or, more likely, a conservative.

jawbone2 December 9, 2010 - 1:10am

The Money Party allows the lower income citizens to experience the greatest suffering for their country. He is beyond lying, Obama has become a character in a B movie directed by the originators of the Laffer Curve. But he's doing the bidding of his patrons. What a surprise.

Thanks for posting this. It makes the point elegantly.

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 1:24am

I'm feeling sick to my stomach. I knew he wasn't going to be liberal, but I never dreamed he would be this bad, this totally corporatized and conservative.

As lambert at Corrent keeps writing: All together now - "Because he's a conservative!"

And asking why may be very interesting to speculate about and some future WikiLeaks documents may show what's behind his actions, but the only important thing is what he actually DOES. Words, just words, don't cut it.

jawbone2 December 9, 2010 - 1:38am

...Couldn't agree more. I think I've finally figured out the answer to a question I've had unanswered for years: Why aren't people out on the streets actively protesting?
The answer is so simple; because we haven't lost enough to be desperate.
When I look at the rest of the world and see the people most active; the ones out on the streets, they're the ones who have nothing.
Nothing left to lose except their lives; and there is no quality to those lives; so they're willing to risk what to them is everything.
We still have too much.


Find out just what any people will quietly submit to and you have found out the exact measure of injustice and wrong which will be imposed upon them,and these will continue till they are resisted with either words or blows,or with both~FDouglas

Celsius 233 December 9, 2010 - 2:42am

Obama does indeed lie! And this Obama DINO prez is a real Repub whiz at these negotiating things. From In Tax Deal, Many Public Employees Will Pay More:

At a time when state and local governments across the country are imposing furloughs and layoffs, and President Obama has frozen pay for federal employees, it turns out that one of the few groups to face higher federal taxes next year may be public sector employees.

The proposal to extend the Bush-era tax breaks unveiled by Mr. Obama this week would offer a tax cut for most Americans. The deal would end the Making Work Pay credit, which gave a tax reduction of up to $400 to workers with low and middle incomes. That credit will be replaced by a 2 percent decrease in the payroll tax for Social Security for people of all incomes.

But more than six million federal, state and local government employees do not pay into Social Security at all. Instead, they pay into public pension systems. So if the agreed proposal becomes law, such employees will lose the $400 credit and would not reap any benefit from the payroll tax cut.

According to the most recent statistics by the House Ways and Means Committee, more than 174 million workers paid into Social Security in 2007, but about 5.7 million state and local government employees paid into other pension systems. While the federal government has been moving its work force into Social Security in recent decades, there were still 600,000 employees excluded from it in 2007.

But maybe Obama doesn't think public employees are "real" middle
class people,so, technically, he's not lying?

Some tax experts say that it is unfair for a $900 billion tax cut package to give a quarter of its benefits to the top 1 percent of wage earners while forcing public sector workers, who are largely middle class, to have to pay more.

Ya think? Ya think Obama cares?

jawbone2 December 9, 2010 - 1:30am

Spending money has been politically painless for years and years. Congress merely increases the debt limit and issues more Treasuries. The Fed accommodates all this deficit spending by lowering interest rates to zero on the short end of the curve, and then adding quantitative easing to its arsenal in order to push long term interest rates below two percent.

Yesterday was an interesting and possibly pivotal day for Washington politicians. Obama and the Republicans announce a grand compromise, involving $600 billion of new deficit spending the next two years. It gives Obama a little bit more in the way of economic stimulus, and Republicans a lot more in the way of helping billionaires and ultimately killing off Social Security. It is such a grand deal that Obama doesn't even both talking to his own party about it in advance.

The stock market loves it, at first. It offers yet more stimulus that fulfills Bernanke's pledge to boost stock market returns beyond where they would otherwise be. But then everyone looks over at the bond market and notices a complete rout in Treasuries under way - the worst setback for US interest rates in 18 months. Mortgage rates are now a full 100 basis points higher than they were in October. Banks are no longer advertising the lowest mortgage rates ever; they are advertising "lock in your rate now before it goes up again."

This is the first time in a long time that the bond market isn't buying into the US goldilocks economic pipedream that is built on unlimited debt. It's not a catastrophic rout - just a twinge of doubt by the bond traders about all this debt, and maybe about the fact that the Chinese and Japanese have seriously backed off buying more Treasuries, allowing the Fed to finance it under QE2.

The Money Party can control the spending ways of Washington and how the tax dollars get distributed, but they can't as easily control how it is all financed, especially since the US is so dependent on foreign generosity that it is now forced to monetize the debt when the foreigners back off just a little.

Is this the beginning of a sea change for the US politically, financially, and economically? Perhaps. It certainly bears watching

Numerian December 8, 2010 - 7:51am

The lack of revenue, exacerbated by the rise in interest rates, will be used as the lever to cut Medicare and Social Security.

The deficit hawks will return with a vengeance next year now they have their tax cuts.

Deficit spending is never harmless, is shifts wealth to the rich, the creditors. The governess is choosing to borrow and pay interest, instead of collecting taxes.

And the stupid right keeps repeating the lies "it was the taxpayers money" and "the poor pay no taxes". Taxes are built into ever penny one spends, and to enjoy your money, you must pay taxes. The alternative is anarchy.

Synoia December 8, 2010 - 12:14pm

amended in some awful manner. Why else did he set up his Cat Food Commission? Over the objections of Congress. Stacked by him with anti-SocSec Austerians and deficit hawks, larded with corporatists?

Why, indeed. Well, all together now: "Because he's a conservative!"

jawbone2 December 9, 2010 - 1:13am

If they decided to use that sad deficit commission as a feint to distract people from the real shot fired at Social Security, this payroll tax cut? Not that they'd plan it out in advance. Just speculating.

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 3:26am

Who knows which move was/is/will be the tipping point for an irreversible decline and fall. This move is so cynical, it's my personal favorite, but the Geithner-Summers appointments may have sealed our fate.

If there was a chance for a reversal (I was an optimist), this may cancel that - "they can't as easily control how it is all financed." They probably think they can in their house of mirrors but globalization has taken care of that;)

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 1:29am

It's win win for independents who like the temporary extension of both the unemployment benefits and taxes.

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/.a/6a00d83451c45669e20148c6851f44970c-popup

Then of course the republicans like the tax side
And Democrats like the unemployment extension side

And Democrats also like the payroll tax holiday.

Pundits aside, this thing polls really well. I think Obama threaded a needle here.

Scotjen61 December 8, 2010 - 1:19pm

Threading the needle is exactly right. He has managed to get the rich into heaven.

The payroll tax holiday is just grist for the cut Social Security mill. There are other, and better ways to accomplish this without involving SS.

It used to be that I thought Obama was merely challenging Bush the younger for worst Pres. ever. He now begins to make the case for total victory.

hvd December 8, 2010 - 1:38pm

openly betraying and mocking his constituency, and consistently doing the wrong thing when it is most important to do something right, the big O has pulled off a stunning upset. Worst President Ever!

We should have known that was in store when he declined to reverse the worst abuses of the previous villains, or even to pursue any of them for their flagrant crimes.

_______________________________________________________________

"In the netherlands most of us do not ware a helmet. Also most of us do not have a gun. Still we get very old." - jojo

chalo December 8, 2010 - 2:49pm

He threaded it with his head.

zot23 December 8, 2010 - 3:42pm

Obama's Compromise on Extending Highest-Income Tax Cuts Unpopular in Poll, Bloomberg, Dec 8

Americans don’t approve of keeping the breaks for upper-income taxpayers that are part of the deal President Barack Obama brokered with congressional Republicans, a Bloomberg National Poll shows.

The survey, conducted before, during and after the tax negotiations, shows that only a third of Americans support keeping the lower rates for the highest earners. Even among backers of the cuts for the wealthy, fewer than half say they should be made permanent.

Another third say they want only the tax cuts for the middle class to be extended, while more than a fourth say all the tax cuts should be allowed to expire Dec. 31, as scheduled.


Poll: Obama supporters strongly opposed to deal extending Bush tax cuts Dec 7

Okay, we now have our first poll measuring the impact on the Democratic base of Obama's support for a temporary extension of all the Bush tax cuts. Suffice it to say this is a major, make-or-break issue with them that could have real political ramifications for the President and Congressional Democrats.

The poll, done by the respected non-partisan firm Survey USA, surveyed over 1,000 people who contributed time or money to Obama in 2008, and found intense, overwhelming opposition among them to Obama's support for a temporary extension of the tax cuts for the rich. This supports the notion that there may indeed be a serious liberal revolt in reaction to it.

Indeed, majorities of people who contributed to Obama in 2008 say they are less likely to support Obama and Democrats because of his backing for the temporary extension.

Polling Memo

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 1:17am

Social Security is involved is because politicians of all stripes have been stealing from it for decades. They didn't want to pay-as-you-go with taxes. Does anybody know the exact amount of SS funds siphoned off? My guess is that the IOU has gotten so big it would consume all the tax revenue for the foreseeable future.

The next step will be to privatize what assets remain so the greedy bastards can skim that too. What's particularly galling is that SS is officially a Trust Fund. So much for trust....

steeleweed December 8, 2010 - 4:34pm

All of it. The money form the securities bought was used as General Revenue.

The trust fund is a set of IOUs.

Synoia December 8, 2010 - 5:18pm

have been trying to destroy it since FDR initially offered legislation for SocSec. Very long term goal.

jawbone2 December 9, 2010 - 1:15am

...but the Republicans got Barack Obama. How much are those special Treasury Notes worth that they've used to consume the hard cash of our payroll taxes? There won't be enough places to hide for the perpetrators of that fraud. May they get their just deserts.

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 1:20am

a more robust recovery for 2011 than it had for much of 2010. The deal made will put some good legs under this recovery for awhile, with an eye to the energy sector. A spike in oil price can derail things quickly.

I will say this related to the car industry, every mile per gallon improvement in the national fleet buys us about 800,000 barrels of oil per day and we need that badly. Gas prices have to stay under $3.00 and what is ominous is that the price of gas has never touched $3.00 in the United States at winter time.

I will say that this frustration with the Obama DEAL is pretty limited to the die hards, really the folks who complain for a living. This deal hits it out of the park for independents and that is worth a lot in a general election. It's also early and you get a clean deal out of the way, and time is capital that Obama is trying to build again. Time is what spends a Presidents capital, and quickness on something is worth a lot.

As far as liberal disenchantment. It does not exist. Show me a poll anywhere over the last 12 months where Obama’s approval rating among Democrats falls below 80%. Very popular, higher than Clinton was.

So all this talk of challenging Obama in a primary is focused in a really narrow circle, which by the way will get over covered in the MSM. To Primary challenge a sitting president is the LEAST effective way to get the party to do what you want. It becomes nothing more than the stunt campaign, and the clown candidate - aka Nader.

Conservatives always understand this basic reality. Conservatives never primaried George Bush in 2004 (and if they had he would have lost to John Kerry). It would have been a waste of time and set them back further than they are now. They did it smart. They have bided their time and eliminated low level 'liberal' Republicans at the local and state level focusing on those races they could win. They have by doing this made the republicans more and more to their liking, and wed them to their conservative mantra.

Lets focus on strategy and not tactics. This deal buys a lot, politically, economically, and maintaining stable tax policy.

I'd also add that anything that gets Hugh Hewitt this angry can't possibly be all bad.

http://www.hughhewitt.com/blog/g/e2821030-0d4f-445d-9cdd-7bf82984fd52

The Tea Party if you check their sites are apoplectic about 'The Deal' So score another little victory for game Obama. He is creating a wedge between the Tea Party and Republicans by forcing them to govern.

Scotjen61 December 9, 2010 - 11:27am

Show me a poll anywhere over the last 12 months where Obama’s approval rating among Democrats falls below 80%.

Well, I stopped looking with the first one I found that broke out "Democrats", here. Just because you asked us to show you. More generally, when the overall approval index is this bad among the general population, one might conclude that "die hard" refers to people who identify with the Democratic Party responding to a pollster on the subject of a Democratic president, rather than people whose opinions are more in line with their fellow citizens.

I'm not arguing for conventional majoritarian opinions being right. I'm in the minority a whole lot of the time. I'm simply noting that your use of language might possibly be misleading.

nihil obstet December 9, 2010 - 1:36pm

House Speaker Pelosi Won't Hold Floor Vote On Obama-GOP Tax Deal

First Posted: 12- 9-10 01:01 PM | Updated: 12- 9-10 01:01 PM

WASHINGTON -- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is unlikely to bring up President Obama's tax cut deal to the floor for a vote in its current form in light of the Democratic caucus' rejection of the package Thursday morning, according to a key lawmaker involved in the discussions.

Members, by voice vote, passed a motion to reject the deal as currently written. The motion had been put forward by Reps. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) and Lloyd Doggett (D-Tex.) and was seconded, informally, by Reps. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.), Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio) and Jay Inslee (D-Wash.).

"It was a near unanimous vote of the caucus," said DeFazio in an interview with The Huffington Post. "She [Pelosi] was there, she heard the arguments, and I don't believe that she is at all resistant to our position. She was not happy with the package as negotiated."

After the vote, Pelosi issued a statement also indicating that the caucus will alter the package. "We will continue discussions with the president and our Democratic and Republican colleagues in the days ahead to improve the proposal before it comes to the House floor for a vote," she said.

DeFazio said that over the past three days of caucus meetings on the issue, lawmakers have raised a significant number of concerns on the deal worked out between the White House and congressional Republicans: the estate tax reductions, taxes for the wealthiest Americans, and allowing corporations to write off 100 percent of their expenses without ensuring that the products they buy are made in America.

"What we've done is empower our negotiator, Chris Van Hollen, to go back with a mandate to the White House and say, 'Sorry guys, I know you said take it or leave it, and I know you cut the deal while I was out of the room -- or while I was in a different room -- but it's unacceptable to my caucus,'" said DeFazio.

The way the deal was worked out -- essentially without the direct involvement of House Democrats -- has also been a major point of irritation for lawmakers, who viewed the White House as steamrolling them and giving too much of a platform to Republicans.

DeFazio said that in his opinion, it reflects a larger pattern with the administration. "Starting with the stimulus, where they made a concession to get three Republican votes for $300 billion in tax cuts that didn't put anyone back to work," he said. "Also the continued failures of, in my opinion, of Tim Geithner and Larry Summers in the White House and their economic theories, versus real investment, real jobs, and we want minimum cost, maximum impact in terms of helping people in need and putting people back to work, and we don't think this package reflects that."

Tina December 9, 2010 - 2:20pm

Yeah, guess what? The 113th Congress will have to fix the piece for the middle class and then endorse, in full view, cuts for the upper 1%. Sweet!

Michael Collins December 9, 2010 - 6:28pm

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