What appears to have been a bomb explosion on a bus outside a Bulgarian airport has killed as many as seven, with 30 or more injured. it appears the victims were Israeli tourists.
Before any investigation, despite there being no hard evidence of the perpetrators, despite Bulgaria having its own indigenous wahhabist radicals and having been a hangout for suspect groups like the KLA, Israel’s prime minister has decided that Iran is responsible for the attack. At least Washington is being more circumspect, with White House spokesman Jay Carney telling reporters, “I don’t have information yet on anything specific to the incident itself, if in fact it was terrorism and who was responsible for it.” However Netanyahu is talking of retaliation: “Israel will react powerfully against Iranian terror.”
If indeed this attack was carried out by or ordered by Iranian interests, it’s an incredibly stupid move at a time when the Obama administration is triangulating to the point of incompetence between negotiations to reduce tensions and sabrerattling to keep hawks at home and abroad happy. Other recent attacks attributed to Iran have largely targeted Israeli officials in clear retaliation for Israeli assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists, however, rather than being general attacks on citizens. There’s enough doubt that Obama should be trying to rein in the hawks until more is known. However, in the longer term I worry that Obama’s love of keeping his options open ends up being the path of least resistance – and that path leads to a disasterous war.