Considering It's Practically A Done Deal...


I wonder why the UN is dragging its feet here.

I'm trying to think of a sovereign leader who, in the face of international pressure of the nature that Assad faces and without the support of his own people, has stayed in power for very long.

Qaddafi certainly had the grudging support of the Libyan people until he unmasked as the monster that he was. Hussein had to only deal with "No Fly" zones for much of his tenure.

Anyone else?


Actor 212 February 2, 2012 - 5:07pm
( categories: Global )

Russia made it clear it would veto any proposal that left loopholes for regime change and intervention as in Libya. Not so much because it likes Assad as because it is worried about the precedent being enshrined by useage and later used against some other leader in a nation where it has far more skin in the game. And, since the primary and laudable purpose of the UN is not R2P humanitarianism or human rights but to prevent a war between the major powers, Russia will get most of its way.

Steve Hynd February 2, 2012 - 6:08pm

... UNSC was "hit hard" by Libya — members "ignored resolutions they were charged with implementing" http://rt.com/news/libya-syria-secutiry-council-217/

bjacobson February 2, 2012 - 7:19pm

It's a flipped Iraq, one where the Sunnis are in the majority but the Shias are in power. Libya was at best a tribal civil war in theory. But wasn't Libya pretty much a quest for oil. And isn't that the missing ingredient in Syria. No oil.

Still I agree that a climb down is needed by the Baaths. Some kind of true power sharing, not a regime changeover. Something closer to Lebanon. The west is not interested in that and cynicism aside it's something Russia understands while the western media doesn't and/or ignores.

That's my current take on it all.

Jeff Wegerson February 2, 2012 - 9:54pm

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