I’ve been meaning to write a post about the oh-so-scary graph leaked to perennial shill George Jahn of the Associated Press by:
officials from a country critical of Iran’s atomic program to bolster their arguments that Iran’s nuclear program must be halted before it produces a weapon. The officials provided the diagram only on condition that they and their country not be named.
I mean, seriously, granting anonymity to a whole fricking country and under such transparently pathetic conditions? Jahn would have been as well continuing that second sentence “but the name starts with ‘Is’ and ends in ‘rael'”.
But I see actual nuclear scientists Prof. Yousaf Butt and Ferenc Dalnoki-Veress PhD did a better job than I ever could.
The graphic has not yet been authenticated; however, even if authentic, it would not qualify as proof of a nuclear weapons program. Besides the issue of authenticity, the diagram features quite a massive error, which is unlikely to have been made by research scientists working at a national level.
The image released to the Associated Press shows two curves: one that plots the energy versus time, and another that plots the power output versus time, presumably from a fission device. But these two curves do not correspond: If the energy curve is correct, then the peak power should be much lower — around 300 million ( 3×108) kt per second, instead of the currently stated 17 trillion (1.7 x1013) kt per second. As is, the diagram features a nearly million-fold error.
This diagram does nothing more than indicate either slipshod analysis or an amateurish hoax.
In any case, the level of scientific sophistication needed to produce such a graph corresponds to that typically found in graduate- or advanced undergraduate-level nuclear physics courses.
They go on at some length as they continue to explain just how weak and quivering this oh-so-scary story actually is. Awesome.