Iraq and Afghanistan: Dual Fronts

Team Agonist


April 10

The Taliban talk the talk

Another spring, another promised Taliban offensive in Afghanistan. This time it will be different, claim the Taliban, bolstered by hard-nosed tacticians and seasoned fighters who have honed their skills in Kashmir and the Pakistani tribal areas. Coalition forces in Afghanistan, while concerned over disruptions to their supply lines, are unmoved: bring them on, they say.

Carryings on up the Khyber

The Taliban have identified the town of Torkham, at the Afghanistan end of the fabled Khyber Pass, as a crucial weak point in the supply lines that maintain the international military presence in Afghanistan. Significantly, the first in a planned series of six joint intelligence centers along the border has been opened at Torkham, in what the US describes as "a giant step forward". If only Pakistan would play along.

Colonel 9th of his rank to be killed in Iraq

Family members are mourning an Army colonel who had worked at Redstone Arsenal in Alabama and who is only the ninth solider of his rank to have been killed in the Iraq war.

Col. Stephen Scott died Sunday during a mortar attack on facilities inside the protected Green Zone in Baghdad, which houses the U.S. Embassy. An avid jogger, the 54-year-old Scott was killed as he exercised on a treadmill in a U.S. military facility, according to his sister, Kathleen King.

** Army, Marine brass say readiness a concern
** The surge is working, just ask the Pale Horse
** Three die in Mosul car blasts
** Curfews, Clashes, Protests and Mortars ~ Juan Cole
** New rules for military on running for office
** Iraq: 5 more U.S. soldiers killed; civilian death toll rising


Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).



British soldiers back in Basra as hundreds of Iraqi troops desert

British troops have returned to Basra, in a major change of policy, six months after withdrawing from the city because their presence was said to be provoking violence from the militias.

Around 150 UK military personnel with Mastiff and Warrior armoured vehicles have been deployed in the past few days alongside Iraqi government forces in the aftermath of fierce fighting against the Mehdi Army. The Ministry of Defence described the move as "a logical extension of our training role that will provide additional mentoring and monitoring to the Iraqi army". However, British troops have until now been kept strictly outside the city limits, with officials saying that stepping back into the quagmire of Basra would set back the exit strategy from Iraq.

** UK: Army faces new torture claims over arrest of Shia leader
** Christian priest killed in Baghdad
** First Contractor Charged Under Military Justice System
** Breakaway MKO group in France

Afghan forces arrest Taliban commander, 15 rebels dead

Afghan police have arrested a Taliban commander in the southern province of Kandahar while 15 insurgents have been killed in clashes with Afghan and NATO troops, the government said on Sunday.

The United States has urged allies to redouble efforts in the face of rising Afghan violence and is sending an extra 3,500 Marines. France has promised another 700 troops for NATO's 47,000-strong Afghan force.

Police captured Taliban commander Abdul Jabar on Saturday, the Interior Ministry said.

Jabar, who the government said organized attacks in the south, was captured while on his way towards Pakistan. He was a deputy of Mullah Mansour Dadullah, a prominent Taliban commander captured in Pakistan in February, it said.

** President Bush To Throw Massive Gala at Year's End in Iraq and Afghanistan ;)


Editor April 10, 2008 - 9:49am
( categories: News | Afghanistan | Iraq )

Opinion

Letter: It's still important to cover the war in Iraq
By Joe Graca, Sartell

Published: April 06. 2008 12:30AM

Dateline Iraq, April 1 — Rockets have been falling in the "safe" green zone.

After a weeklong intense battle in Basra, between the militia of the Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr and the Iraq army, a cease-fire has been declared.

The attack by the Iraqi army at the direction of the Iraqi Prime Minister, al-Maliki, has been described as poorly timed and coordinated by our U.S. military commanders in the area. Our forces were in jeopardy of being called in to shore up the Iraqi army.

So, who saved the day? Officials from Iran, our arch enemy in the war on terrorism, helped to broker the cease fire agreement!

Sadly, these events are described in only 18 lines of type on that date in the "Briefly" section of the St. Cloud Times. Has our interest in the war shrunk to such low levels or is the war no longer viewed as news worthy and only deserving of a brief note in the news?

Both may be true. Ironically, this letter will take up more column space than was given coverage of the war on that date. Not covering the war, and thus our not reading about it, will not end the war.

ST Cloud Times, Central MN

Tina April 6, 2008 - 4:07am

BAGHDAD, April 6 (Reuters) - Gunmen kidnapped 42 university students near the northern Iraqi city of Mosul on Sunday, police said.

"Gunmen stopped two buses in a village south of Mosul," said Khalid Abdul-Sattar, police spokesman for Nineveh province.

"One of the buses managed to flee. The second bus was stopped and 42 male students were seized."

Tina April 6, 2008 - 4:31am

BAGHDAD (AP) — Iraqi police say gunmen have released the 42 college students they kidnapped earlier in the day near the northern city of Mosul.

Brig. Gen. Khalif Abdul-Sattar says the gunmen initially released the only two girls aboard the hijacked bus. They later set free remaining occupants after making sure they were not members of the security forces.

Tina April 6, 2008 - 8:30am

Link to NYT Article

By THOM SHANKER
Published: April 6, 2008

WASHINGTON — Army leaders are expressing increased alarm about the mental health of soldiers who would be sent back to the front again and again under plans that call for troop numbers to be sustained at high levels in Iraq for this year and beyond.

Among combat troops sent to Iraq for the third or fourth time, more than one in four show signs of anxiety, depression or acute stress, according to an official Army survey of soldiers’ mental health.

The stress of long and multiple deployments to Iraq is just one of the concerns being voiced by senior military officers in Washington as Gen. David H. Petraeus, the senior Iraq commander, prepares to tell Congress this week that he is not ready to endorse any drawdowns beyond those already scheduled through July.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 9:49am

Link to Stars and Stripes Article

By Kent Harris and Jennifer Svan, Stars and Stripes
Pacific edition, Sunday, April 6, 2008

Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld got into hot water in December 2004 while talking with soldiers in Kuwait about a lack of armor-plated vehicles for troops in Iraq.

“As you know, you go to war with the Army you have,” he said. “They’re not the Army you might want or wish to have at a later time.”

The same statement could have been applied to the Air Force then. And even more so three years later.

The planes operating in the skies over Iraq and Afghanistan while Rumsfeld was speaking are still in use today. Some were in use before he assumed the job the first time — in 1975.

The war on terrorism “clearly is putting hours on our aircraft, our mobility fleet, some of our tanker fleets,” said Col. Bruce Litchfield, director of logistics for Pacific Air Forces. “They are working very hard. That is something to be concerned about.”

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:18am

Link to AP Article

BAGHDAD - Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s faltering crackdown on Shiite militants has won the backing of Sunni Arab and Kurdish parties that fear both the powerful sectarian militias and the effects of failure on Iraq’s fragile government.

The emergence of a common cause could help bridge Iraq’s political rifts.

The head of the Kurdish self-ruled region, Massoud Barzani, has offered Kurdish troops to help fight anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army militia.

More significantly, Sunni Arab Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi signed off on a statement by President Jalal Talabani, a Kurd, and the Shiite vice president, Adil Abdul-Mahdi, expressing support for the crackdown in the oil-rich southern city of Basra.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 11:01am

Link to AFP Article

Iraq's political leaders, meanwhile, urged the disbanding of militias throughout the country in a move seen as pressuring Sadr to rein in his fighters ahead of provincial elections on October 1.

Members of the top-level Political Council of National Security met at President Jalal Talabani's office on Saturday and framed a 15-point statement aimed at disarming the militias, most of them aligned to political parties.

The council comprises the president, the prime minister and the heads of the various political blocs.

"The militias should be integrated into civilian activities as a condition for participating in the political process and the next elections," Talabani's office said in a statement.

Sadr boasts Iraq's most powerful militia with an estimated 60,000 fighters.

Link to London Times Article

Parliament was also planning to isolate al-Mahdi Army by drafting a Bill banning parties that maintain militias from running for office. It was backed by a rare alliance of Shia, Sunni and Kurdish parties, although several of the parties involved run militias themselves.

Mr al-Maliki’s main backer in government, the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, has its own militia, the Badr Brigades, which has often fought a more powerful al-Mahdi Army.

“We want the Sadrists to disband al-Mahdi Army. Just freezing it is no longer acceptable,” an adviser to Mr al-Maliki said. “The new election law will prevent any party that has weapons or runs a militia from contesting elections.”

Link to CNN Article

Sunday's violence came as Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki demanded al-Sadr disband his Mehdi Army and threatened to bar al-Sadr's followers from the political process if the cleric refused.

"A decision was taken yesterday that they no longer have a right to participate in the political process or take part in the upcoming elections unless they end the Mehdi Army," al-Maliki said.

______________________________________________________________________

So, Badr Corp/Organization and the Peshmerga (as well as the Mehdi Army) are also going to be disbanded?

Color me highly skeptical.

I also think it is more than a bit of a stretch to call the Mehdi Army stronger than the Peshmerga until we see the Peshmerga in action. And if you think there were a lot of desertions when the Iraqi Army went into Basra - wait until the Iraqi Army tries to go into Kurdistan. If that ever happens, what's left of the government forces will not be able to maintain even a stalemate with the Peshmerga.

If things heat up sufficiently with Sadr - we may see the Kurds used the distraction as an opportunity to declare independence. Not a high likelihood, but it could happen. The Kurds have already voted overwhelmingly in favor of independence.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 11:14am

Link to Time Article

By AP/HAMZA HENDAWI AND QASSIM ABDUL-ZAHRA

(Baghdad) — Iraq's major Shiite, Sunni and Kurdish parties have closed ranks to force anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr to disband his Mahdi Army militia or leave politics, lawmakers and officials involved in the effort said Sunday.

Such a bold move risks a violent backlash by al-Sadr's Shiite militia. But if it succeeds it could cause a major realignment of Iraq's political landscape. The first step will be adding language to a draft election bill banning parties that operate militias from fielding candidates in provincial balloting this fall, the officials and lawmakers said. The government intends to send the draft to parliament within days and hopes to win approval within weeks.

"We, the Sadrists, are in a predicament," lawmaker Hassan al-Rubaie said Sunday. "Even the blocs that had in the past supported us are now against us and we cannot stop them from taking action against us in parliament."

* * * * * * *

All major political parties are believed to maintain links to armed groups, although none acknowledge it.

Some groups, including militias of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's Dawa party and al-Sadr's chief rival, the Supreme Iraqi Islamic Council, have been integrated into the government security services.

That put them nominally under the government's authority, although they are believed to maintain ties to the political parties and retain their command structures.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:53pm

Link to Reuters Article

By Khaled Farhan

NAJAF, Iraq (Reuters) - Iraqi cleric Moqtada al-Sadr offered on Monday to disband his militia if the highest Shi'ite religious authority demand it, a shock announcement at a time when the group is the focus of an upsurge in fighting.

It was the first time Sadr has offered to dissolve the Mehdi Army militia, whose black-masked fighters have been principle actors throughout Iraq's five-year-old war and the main foes of U.S. and Iraqi forces in widespread battles over recent weeks.

The news came on the day Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, who launched a crackdown on the militia late last month, ordered the Mehdi Army to disband or Sadr's followers would be excluded from Iraqi political life.

Senior Sadr aide Hassan Zargani said Sadr would seek rulings from Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, Iraq's most senior Shi'ite cleric, as well as senior Shi'ite clergy based in Iran, on whether to dissolve the Mehdi Army, and would obey their orders.

"If they order the Mehdi Army to disband, Moqtada al-Sadr and the Sadr movement will obey the orders of the religious leaders," Zargani told Reuters from neighboring Iran, where U.S. officials say Sadr has spent most of the past year.

That puts the spotlight on the reclusive Sistani, 77, a cleric revered by all of Iraq's Shi'ite factions and whose edicts carry the force of Islamic law.

______________________________________________________________________

Two possibilities leap to mind here, if Sistani does require Sadr to disband his militia: One, Sadr "disbands" his militia (at least formally) until after the election he wants to participate in, and then "reforms" it, perhaps with a non-militia sounding name. Two, Sadr uses the edict of Sistani to require Badr to disband their militia. If having a militia is a "sin" in Iraq, it is a sin for Badr just as much as for Sadr. By making it a religious issue, Sadr is countering the power of the votes lined up against him - which are trying to define "militias" as just "Sadr's militia.

The Kurds are Sunnis and they aren't going to listen to Sistani. And Iraq lacks the power to interfere with Kurdish regional elections anyway. The "Sons of Iraq" militias that we created to battle al-Queda are also Sunni, and are not likely to be disbanded either.

This could give a military advantage to the Sunnis and Kurds, if Sadr's Mahdi Army were actually disbanded. This could be important, politically, because of the weakness of the Iraqi Army. In a "democracy" where voting doesn't yet really decide issues, a military advantage is a political advantage.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 10:42am

Link to CNN Article

BAGHDAD, Iraq (CNN) -- Iraq's top Shiite religious leaders have told anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr not to disband his Mehdi Army, an al-Sadr spokesman said Monday amid fresh fighting in the militia's Baghdad strongholds.

Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki demanded Sunday that the cleric disband his militia, which waged two uprisings against U.S. troops in 2004, or see his supporters barred from public office.

But al-Sadr spokesman Salah al-Obeidi said al-Sadr has consulted with Iraq's Shiite clerical leadership "and they refused that." He did not provide details of the talks.

AMC April 8, 2008 - 12:42pm

Link to NYT Article

By JAMES GLANZ and STEPHEN FARRELL
Published: April 8, 2008

BAGHDAD — A crackdown on the Mahdi Army militia is creating potentially destabilizing political and military tensions in Iraq, pitting a stronger government alliance against the force that has won past showdowns: the street power wielded by the radical cleric Moktada al-Sadr.

Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki’s military operations against the Mahdi Army that Mr. Sadr leads have at least temporarily pacified Sunni political leaders, who had long called on Mr. Maliki to fight Shiite militias with the same vigor that his forces use against Sunni insurgents.

And both the Kurds and some of Mr. Maliki’s Shiite political rivals, who also resent Mr. Sadr’s rising power, have been driven closer to Mr. Maliki. This may give him more traction to pass laws and broker deals.

But the badly coordinated push into Basra has unleashed a new barrage of attacks on American and Iraqi forces and has led to open fighting between Shiite militias. Figures compiled by the American military showed that attacks on military targets in Baghdad more than doubled in March, one of many indications that violence across Iraq has begun to rise again after months of gains in the wake of an American troop increase.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 9:11pm

Link to Time Article

Tuesday, Apr. 08, 2008
By ABIGAIL HAUSLOHNER/BAGHDAD

* * * * * * *

Prime Minister al-Maliki escalated his offensive against the Sadrists on Sunday by warning that they would be barred from participating in October's nationwide local elections if they did not disband the Mahdi Army. Although much of the government backed Maliki's statement, even his allies acknowledged it would be an uphill battle. "Let's be realistic, Maliki's main goal is to wipe out the Sadrists before elections because he knows his bloc will lose to them," Alia Nasayif Jasim, a legislator from the secular Iraqi National Accord party, told TIME. "It is impossible to wipe out the Sadrists. If the government is serious, it should dissolve all militias including those linked to the government. If it goes after all the militias equally, the Sadrists will agree to disband."

Some of Sadr's supporters are smug in the face of the Prime Minister's warning. "Maliki couldn't even stop the renewal of the Blackwater contract. How could he disband all the militias?" Fawze Akram, an MP from the Sadrist block, told TIME.

The electoral threat posed by the Sadr movement to the main Shi'ite parties in the current government — the Islamic Supreme Council, and Maliki's own Dawa Party — raises the political incentive for the government to take on the Sadrists before October's vote. But the consequences of the confrontation threaten Iraq's stability. "It is possible that the religious authorities could contain this crisis," said Kurdish MP Bukhari Abdallah Khudur. "If they don't, it will only get worse as elections approach."

AMC April 8, 2008 - 10:30pm

Link to USA Today Article

By Charles Levinson, USA TODAY
BAGHDAD — As a young seminary student, his nickname was Mulla Atari, because he preferred video games to studying the Quran. Now, Muqtada al-Sadr is a radical cleric revered by millions of poor Shiites as a modern-day Robin Hood. He also may be the most powerful man in Iraq.

The recent spike in violence here has shown that the enigmatic Shiite cleric and his Mahdi Army militia continue to have the muscle to plunge Iraq into warfare — and essentially reverse recent security gains made by the U.S. military that the Bush administration cites as a key sign of progress. Or as he did in August, al-Sadr can stop much of the bloodshed by ordering a cease-fire — and win some credit from the U.S. military for the resulting calm.

AMC April 10, 2008 - 2:58pm

Link to AFP Article

by Daphne Benoit

WASHINGTON (AFP) - The Pentagon is caught between the fragile security gains made in Iraq over the past few months and the need to give US soldiers weary of combat duty time to rest.

* * * * * * *

The proposed troop pause in Iraq also raises issues of manpower stress for the US army.

Army Chief of Staff General George Casey has called for a move to cut overseas deployment from the current 15 months to 12 months. Gates said he will decide on the proposal after he hears Petraeus' recommendations.

Shorter tours would ease the strain on the army, but limit the availability of troops for deployment.

Mullen has acknowledged that there is an "invisible red line" concerning the strength of the US army.

"We don't want to cross it, and we don't know exactly where it is," Mullen said, adding: "I think we're close to (the red line) now."

The push to cut US forces in Iraq is especially pressing after Bush told NATO leaders on Friday that he would be making a "significant additional contribution" of US troops to Afghanistan in 2009, beyond the 30,000 US soldiers already in place.

Bush did not say how many troops would go, or when and where they would be deployed.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 1:52pm

Link to USA Today Article

By Jim Michaels, USA TODAY

WASHINGTON — The percentage of recruits requiring a waiver to join the Army because of a criminal record or other past misconduct has more than doubled since 2004 to one for every eight new soldiers.

The increase reflects the difficulties the Army faces in attracting young men and women into the military at a time of war. "Each month is a struggle, for the Army in particular," said Bill Carr, a top military personnel official.

The percentage of active and Reserve Army recruits granted "conduct" waivers for misdemeanor or felony charges increased to 11% last fiscal year from 4.6% in fiscal 2004, according to Army Recruiting Command statistics. So far this fiscal year, which began last October, 13% of recruits have entered the Army with conduct waivers.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:59pm

Link to WSJ Article

Iraq War Veteran Says Focus on Counterinsurgency
Hinders Ability to Fight Conventional War

By YOCHI J. DREAZEN
April 7, 2008

WEST POINT, N.Y. -- When Gen. David Petraeus testifies before Congress on Tuesday, lawmakers from both parties will praise him for reducing violence in Iraq. President Bush will try to use his popularity to bolster support for the war. Some Republicans will muse about the general as a vice-presidential candidate.

Lt. Col. Gian Gentile, a history professor here who served two tours in Iraq, begs to differ. He argues that Gen. Petraeus's counterinsurgency tactics are getting too much credit for the improved situation in Iraq. Moreover, he argues, concentrating on such an approach is eroding the military's ability to wage large-scale conventional wars.

* * * * * *

Gen. James Conway, the commandant of the Marine Corps, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that month that the focus on counterinsurgency means the Marines will "have to take extraordinary steps to retain the ability to serve as the nation's shock troops in major combat operations."

Other testimony from military brass as recently as last week has echoed these complaints. Some of the griping is likely geared toward protecting big expenditures on new equipment.

The gist of Col. Gentile's argument is that recent security gains in Iraq were caused by the ceasefire declared last year by Shiite cleric Moqtada al Sadr as well as the U.S. decision to enlist former Sunni militants in the fight against Islamist extremists. Col. Gentile notes that violence spiked after Mr. Sadr's militia briefly resumed fighting last month.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 11:27pm

Link to The New Yorker Article

by Steve Coll
April 14, 2008

General Richard A. Cody graduated from West Point in 1972, flew helicopters, ascended to command the storied 101st Airborne Division, and then, toward the end of his career, settled into management; now, at fifty-seven, he wears four stars as the Army Vice-Chief of Staff. This summer, he will retire from military service.

In 2004, in a little-noted speech, Cody described the Army’s efforts to adapt to its new commitments. (It was attempting to fight terrorism, quell the Taliban, invade and pacify Iraq, and, at the same time, prepare for future strategic challenges, whether in China or Korea or Africa.) The endeavor was, Cody said, like “building an airplane in flight.”

Last week, the General appeared before the Senate Armed Services Committee and testified that this method of engineering has failed. “Today’s Army is out of balance,” Cody said. He continued:

The current demand for our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan exceeds the sustainable supply, and limits our ability to provide ready forces for other contingencies. . . . Soldiers, families, support systems and equipment are stretched and stressed. . . . Overall, our readiness is being consumed as fast as we build it. If unaddressed, this lack of balance poses a significant risk to the all-volunteer force and degrades the Army’s ability to make a timely response to other contingencies.

In 2006, the Army granted eight thousand three hundred and thirty “moral waivers” to new recruits, meaning that it had accepted that number of volunteers with past criminal charges or convictions. The percentage of high-school graduates willing to serve is falling sharply from year to year; so are the aptitude-exam scores of new enlistees. To persuade soldiers and young officers to reënlist after overlong combat tours, the Army’s spending on retention bonuses increased almost ninefold from 2003 to 2006.

In normal times, when an active four-star general implies in public that the Army is under such strain that it might flounder if an unexpected war broke out, or might require a draft to muster adequate troop levels, he could expect to provoke concern and comment from, say, the President of the United States. Some time ago, however, George W. Bush absolved himself of responsibility for his Iraq policy and its consequences by turning the war over to General David H. Petraeus, Cody’s four-star peer, and the champion of the “surge” policy, who will testify before the Senate Armed Services Committee this week.

Petraeus, too, is a loyal Army man, but he has distinctive views about military doctrine; he has long advocated a change in orientation by the Army, away from preparations for formal warfare between governments and toward the challenges of counter-insurgency and nation building. (“Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife” is the title of a book co-written by one of Petraeus’s advisers, Lieutenant Colonel John A. Nagl.) To buy time in Iraq, Petraeus has lately argued within the Pentagon that the Army must buck up and accommodate his need for heavy troop deployments, despite the strains they are creating, and he has publicly fostered an unedifying debate about how to most accurately assess failure and success in Iraq, as if such an opaque and intractable civil conflict could be measured scientifically, like monetary supply or atmospheric pressure.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 3:50pm

Link to AP Article

The Associated Press
Tucson, Arizona | Published: 04.05.2008

MUSCAT, Oman — The U.S. intends to send many more combat forces to Afghanistan next year, regardless of whether troop levels in Iraq are cut further this year, Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Friday.

It is the first time the Bush administration has made such a commitment for 2009.
Gates told reporters while flying to this Persian Gulf nation from a NATO summit in Bucharest, Romania, that President Bush had made the pledge to other allied leaders at the summit on Thursday.

Bush was not specific about the number of additional troop, Gates said. The U.S. has about 31,000 troops there — the most since the war began in October 2001 — and has been pressing the allies to contribute more.

Until now, the heavy commitment of American forces in Iraq has been a constraint on the ability to increase U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan. But Gates said he did not believe that would be the case in 2009.

______________________________________________________________________

2009? 2009.... Doesn't something happen in 2009? Something kind of important? Oh, yeah:

test

Not only is he going to dump the Iraq war on the next administration, Bush is also leaving his successor a promise to increase troops in Afghanistan - without drawing down sufficient troops in Iraq, duirng his term in office, to allow the U.S. military to actually send the troops he's promised. That's his real legacy - unfinished fantasies for the grownups to clean up.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:14am

Link to LA Times Article

A battle for land in northern Iraq

By Ned Parker, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
April 5, 2008

MOSUL, IRAQ -- Far from the volatile Shiite rivalries that have shaken Baghdad and Basra, this city has been devastated by an epic struggle for land and power between Sunni Arabs and Kurds that has shattered the social fabric and could very well shape the future boundaries of northern Iraq.

Kurds say that they have been driven out of the city by Sunni Arab militants and criminal gangs, who have set off car bombs and kidnapped and killed members of their ethnic group. In turn, Kurdish forces have been accused of carrying out assassinations in Mosul and torturing Arab detainees elsewhere in the campaign to annex territory to the semiautonomous Kurdistan region.

The Iraqi government and U.S. military spokesmen blame the chaos on Al Qaeda in Iraq, a loosely organized Sunni Arab insurgent group, which desires to create a new base in the north. But the problems date to 2003, when the Kurds first sent fighters into Mosul, and the status of the city's Arab elite was diminished.

"Mosul became a real battlefield between Sunni Arab insurgents and peshmerga [Kurdish fighters] before Al Qaeda in Iraq really became much of a factor up there," said Wayne White, head of the U.S. State Department's Iraq intelligence team from 2003 to 2005.

"The Sunni Arab population up there knows the Kurds have designs on areas well beyond their current area of control in Nineveh [province], and are doubtless determined to push back," he said.

The Kurds believe Mosul's northern and eastern suburbs were wrongfully appropriated by Saddam Hussein's Sunni Arab regime. They also contend that they are the rightful owners of the Sinjar region in the western part of the province. The sought-after territories are believed to contain oil reserves.

Since late 2004, Kurdish security forces have seized de facto control of the disputed lands. The Kurdistan regional government's flag, a tricolor with a yellow starburst, flutters across northern Nineveh, and soldiers from neighboring Kurdistan are posted at dozens of sentry posts on roads.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:23am

Link to Reuters Article

By Wisam Mohammed

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Twenty-two people were killed and 55 wounded in clashes in Baghdad, police said on Sunday, the worst eruption of violence in the capital since Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr called his fighters off the streets a week ago.

The unrest comes only days before U.S. ambassador Ryan Crocker and U.S. commander General David Petraeus are due to deliver key testimony to the U.S. Congress on progress in Iraq.

Gunfire could be heard throughout the day in Sadr City, the stronghold of Sadr's Mehdi Army and home to 2 million people in eastern Baghdad.

U.S. Apache helicopter gunships swooped overhead and a column of black smoke towered over the Jamila market, a vast bazaar on the edge of the slum that supplies foodstuffs for much of the eastern half of capital.

"I have lost my cousin in these clashes today. I think Maliki will be happy now," a Mehdi Army street commander who gave his name as Abu Ammar told Reuters.

Police said a joint operation by the U.S. military and Iraqi forces had started in the early hours of Sunday and fighting had reached the outskirts of densely populated Sadr City.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:27am

Link to CS Monitor Article

A week after a truce calmed clashes between Moqtada al-Sadr's militia and Iraqi forces, fighting resumed in his Baghdad stronghold Sunday.

By Awadh al-Taiee | Contributor to The Christian Science Monitor
from the April 7, 2008 edition

BAGHDAD - Sadr City, the capital's teeming Shiite district where Moqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army is entrenched, erupted in violence again Sunday, one week after a truce ended battles pitting Mr. Sadr's militia against US and Iraqi troops.

Although sporadic clashes continued between the Mahdi Army and Iraqi forces even after the cease-fire deal, Sunday's flare-up has been the worst and threatens to undo the lull in fighting in the capital and in the southern oil city of Basra.

* * * * * *

The mortar fire on the Green Zone – a constant during the height of fighting with the Mahdi Army – also resumed Sunday.

Inside the vast Shiite slum, home to roughly 2.5 million people, the situation is increasingly tense as the area's squares and apartment blocks are destroyed by Iraqi or American strikes, its streets used as Mahdi Army positions, and its residents increasingly caught in the middle of this fight.

On a visit Sunday during the fighting, this reporter witnessed the devastating toll on a district that remains besieged by US and Iraqi forces.

On Sunday, a convoy of US Abrams tanks and Bradley and Stryker combat vehicles patrolled at the entrance of Sadr City as dozens of Iraqi soldiers took positions on balconies.

Once inside the district, people shouted, "Quick, run into the alleyways."

Two artillery shells hit nearby, probably fired from the US tanks. Dust and smoke rose in the distance. A newly issued Iraqi Army Humvee emblazoned with the Iraqi flag was on fire farther down the road.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 2:04pm

Link to NYT Article

By ERICA GOODE and MICHAEL R. GORDON
Published: April 7, 2008

BAGHDAD — Sharp fighting broke out in the Sadr City district of Baghdad on Sunday as American and Iraqi troops sought to control neighborhoods used by Shiite militias to fire rockets and mortars into the nearby Green Zone.

* * * * * * *

The fighting in Baghdad had calmed considerably in recent days. On Sunday morning, though, Iraqi troops backed by an American Stryker squadron moved through a southern section of Sadr City, and were met by militia fighters armed with rocket-propelled grenades and automatic weapons.

After the Iraqi soldiers came under attack, American forces in Abrams tanks, Stryker and Bradley fighting vehicles rumbled to the scene. An American helicopter fired at least two Hellfire missiles at militia fighters armed with rocket-propelled grenades, and blasted one of their vehicles. Later at least one militia-fired rocket hit the Jamilla market, a heavily frequented part of Sadr City, where clashes left at least 20 people dead, Iraqi officials said.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:28pm

In White House Deliberations on War, Gen. Petraeus Has a Privileged Voice

Link to WaPo Article

By Michael Abramowitz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, April 6, 2008; Page A01

For months, a debate raged at the top levels of the Bush administration over how quickly to reduce the number of U.S. troops in Iraq. But the discussion shut down soon after President Bush flew to Camp Arifjan, a dusty Army base near the Iraqi border in Kuwait, in January for a face-to-face meeting with the man whose counsel on the war he values most: Gen. David H. Petraeus.

During an 80-minute session, the president questioned his top commander in Iraq on whether further troop reductions, beyond those planned through July, would compromise security gains. According to officials familiar with the exchange, Petraeus said he wanted to wait until the summer to evaluate conditions -- and Bush made it clear he would support him and take any political heat.

"My attitude is, if he didn't want to continue the drawdown, that's fine with me," Bush said before television cameras later, with Petraeus standing by his side. "I said to the general: 'If you want to slow her down, fine; it's up to you.' "

* * * * * *

Bush's reliance on Petraeus has made other military officials uneasy, has rankled congressional Democrats and has created friction that helped spur the departure last month of Adm. William J. "Fox" Fallon, who, while Petraeus's boss as chief of U.S. Central Command, found his voice eclipsed on Iraq.

Sen. Carl M. Levin (D-Mich.), chairman of the Armed Services Committee, said Bush should rely primarily on the advice of Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates and Adm. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. "Not only are they General Petraeus's superiors," Levin said, "but they have the broad view of our national security needs, including Afghanistan, and the risks posed by stretching the force too thin."

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:35am

Link to WaPo Article

By Dana Hedgpeth
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, April 5, 2008; Page D02

The State Department said yesterday that it would renew its contract with Blackwater Worldwide, the controversial private security contractor, to provide security for U.S. diplomats in Baghdad for another year, but said it could cancel it at any time.

Blackwater has a five-year contract with the State Department to provide diplomatic security. The contract, which has one base year plus four option years, is entering its fourth year, an official at the State Department said.

The company, based in Moyock, N.C., is under investigation by the FBI in connection with a Sept. 16 incident in which its security personnel shot and killed 17 Iraqi civilians in Baghdad. Questions have been raised about whether the shootings were justified and if they violated the rules under which contractors may use deadly force in Iraq.

Blackwater has received more than $1 billion in federal business since 2000, according to Eagle Eye, a research company that monitors contract spending. Its agreement to provide security for U.S. diplomats, and bodyguards and armed drivers to escort government officials outside Baghdad's Green Zone, was set to expire next month.

______________________________________________________________________

Link to CNN Article

Iraqi official: Blackwater staying on 'is bad news'

BAGHDAD, Iraq (CNN) -- The U.S. State Department's renewal of Blackwater's contract to provide security in Iraq "is bad news," an adviser to Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki said.

Blackwater guards shot and killed 17 people, including women and children, last September, prompting an outcry and protest from Iraqi officials.

"This is bad news," al-Maliki adviser Sami al-Askari said. "I personally am not happy with this, especially because they have committed acts of aggression, killed Iraqis, and this has not been resolved yet positively for families of victims."

About 25,000 private contractors from three companies protect diplomats, reconstruction workers and government officials in Iraq. Under a provision put into place in the early days of the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq, security contractors have immunity from Iraqi prosecution.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:42am

Link to Oliver North in the Washington Times

Basra — fact and fiction

By Oliver North
April 6, 2008

In the midst of last week's meaningless Arab League Summit in Damascus, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki boldly launched his government's first major offensive against renegade Shi'ite militias. Ranging from Baghdad's suburbs south to Basra — the country's oil port and second most populous city — Saulat al-Fursan (Charge of the Horsemen) is the largest and most complex operation by the Iraqi military since 2003.

The effectiveness of Iraq's soldiers, police and special operations forces in this bloody fight will be an important factor during Tuesday's congressional appearances for Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker.

As is so often the case with "news" from Iraq, the so-called mainstream media have delivered predominantly negative stories — and plenty of rhetoric — since the operation began March 26. The press has variously described the battle as "a major setback for Mr. al-Maliki," and "proof that Muqtada al-Sadr is stronger than ever."

Since so few U.S. and coalition personnel were involved in executing the campaign, most broadcast and print reports originated in Baghdad — where the focus was on mortar rounds and rockets fired into the Green Zone. Field reports filed from Najaf, Karbala, Diwaniyah, Kut, Hillah and Basra — all scenes of heavy fighting between Iraqi security Forces (ISF) and renegade Shi'ite militia units — have generally been filed by news agency "stringers" of dubious credibility.

* * * * * * *

None of this is particularly helpful in explaining to the American people what is really happening and what it means. To that end, I contacted some of the Coalition personnel with whom our Fox News "War Stories" team was embedded last December during our ninth trip to Iraq. Here is a synopsis of what those with "boots on the ground" have to say about our Iraqi allies and their adversaries:

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:47am

Link to AP Article

By Bradley Brooks - The Associated Press
Posted : Sunday Apr 6, 2008 12:39:55 EDT

BAGHDAD — The United States is no closer to achieving its goals in Iraq than it was a year ago but a quick military withdrawal could lead to massive chaos and even genocide, according to a report released Sunday by a U.S. think tank.

The U.S. Institute of Peace report was written by experts who advised the Iraq Study Group, a panel mandated by Congress to offer recommendations on U.S. policy in Iraq in 2006.

The report was released two days before top commander Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker brief Congress on the situation in Iraq and prospects for American troop reductions. Their recommendations, which President Bush has signaled he will accept, could largely determine the course of action in Iraq for the coming year.

The report cited security improvements in Iraq since the buildup of U.S. forces in 2007, but credited factors outside U.S. control, such as help from mostly Sunni fighters who turned against al-Qaida and a truce by a Shiite militia.

“The U.S. is no closer to being able to leave Iraq than it was a year ago,” it concluded. “Lasting political development could take five to ten years of full, unconditional U.S. commitment to Iraq.”

AMC April 6, 2008 - 12:00pm

Link to AFP Article

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Republican presidential hopeful John McCain said Sunday that Iraq's military performed "pretty well" in its recent Basra assault despite the "mixed" results of the battle.

Speaking ahead of a week when Congress will hold key hearings on the progress of the war in Iraq, the presumed Republican nominee for president defended Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's government as increasingly effective in managing the war-torn country.

"Now, obviously, the results were mixed," McCain said on Fox News of the Basra attack against Shiite militia.

"Obviously, there were problems and Maliki in my view should have waited until we had concluded the battle of Mosul," he said in the interview recorded on Friday.

But, McCain said, "Overall, the Iraqi military performed pretty well. ... eight or nine months ago, it would have been unthinkable."

AMC April 6, 2008 - 12:02pm

It seems like the fog of war is getting murkier lately.

According to early press reports, the failure of al-Maliki to dislodge the Mahdi Army from Basra - indeed the expansion of al-Sadr's militia to others parts of southern Iraq - was a major defeat for the government. The government had to go to the embarrassing length of asking for a truce by sending diplomats to meet with al-Sadr in Iran. Over a thousand government troops deserted to the Mahdi Army side.

Right wing blogs insist the government won a great victory and al-Sadr was the one begging for a truce.

Oliver North says he talked to commanders "on the ground" in Iraq. They were impressed with how the government troops stood up and took the fight to the enemy; this wouldn't have happened six months ago. The government had some logistical problems which were understandable, but there were no operational, tactical or strategic setbacks. Many hundreds of Mahdi Army commanders have been imprisoned as a result of this battle. Overall this was a success.

We learn today that the U.S. and the government, having blockaded Sadr City for two weeks, are now invading said territory and arresting hundreds. Al-Maliki has once again issued an ultimatum to the Mahdi Army to turn in their weapons.

We see that the Green Zone remains unsafe from mortar and rocket attacks, which killed two soldiers today and wounded an astounding 21 others.

John McCain tells us the Basra attack was successful but that there were some problems. Eight or nine months ago this sort of action was unthinkable. On the other hand, he would have preferred the government to first conclude the Battle of Mosul.

What is this Battle of Mosul? Have I missed something? Has there been fighting going on not reported anywhere?

If the Battle of Basra was a failure for the government, why are they now attempting the exact same thing on Sadr City? Or is this attack much more of a U.S. operation this time?

I have some other questions that I think should be put to General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker.

1) Why are these attacks undertaken now? Do they have anything to do with the upcoming general elections?

2) We are supporting the government troops in these battles, but aren't these troops nothing more than the Badr Militia dressed up in different uniforms? Wasn't this militia trained and equipped in Iran?

3) You claim the Mahdi Army is financed by criminal activities such as smuggling, and that it is equipped by Iran. Since we are now joining in attacks on the Mahdi Army, do we now have an interest in interdicting these weapons shipments, or even attacking Iran to prevent them?

4) The al-Maliki government, our allies in this new war, have recently welcomed Pres. Ahmadinejad to Iraq for an historic visit and signed several important treaties. Kurdish leader Talabani, our other ally, regularly travels to Iran for consultations. How can these be true allies to us if they are friends with our enemy? Aren't you running a serious risk of betrayal from them down the road?

5) In October President Bush has ordered new federal elections for Iraq. Moktada al-Sadr seems very popular with the masses of Shi'ites and may win a majority of seats in the new parliament. Even without a majority, he could win enough seats to form a coalition and become prime minister. At that point does our military allegiance shift? If he swears in the Mahdi Army as the new federal government military, and orders attacks on the Badr Corps, wouldn't we be required under your current approach to support such attacks with our military?

6) Is it possible that if al-Sadr becomes prime minister in fair elections, the U.S. would refuse to recognize his government as legitimate? There are many Iraqis who are no doubt curious to know the answer.

7) For the men you send into battle alongside the al-Maliki government troops, knowing that some of these men will die and many more will be badly injured, what do you tell them the purpose of their sacrifice will be? Is it to defend the security of the United States? Is it to defeat al-Qaeda or the terrorists in general? Is it to defend the Iraqi government? Or is it just their duty since they signed a contract when the entered the military as volunteers?

8) If al-Sadr becomes Prime Minister and we must defend and support his troops in battle, will you tell our troops something different as to why they may die or be injured?

Numerian April 6, 2008 - 6:24pm

Link to ABC Article

April 07, 2008 9:48 AM

Speaking to the VFW today in Kansas City, Mo., Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., will attack Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama's plans to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq.

"The American people deserve the truth from their leaders," McCain will say, according to his prepared remarks. "They deserve a candid assessment of the progress we have managed to make in the last year in preventing the worst from happening in Iraq, of the very serious difficulties that remain, and of the grave consequences of a hasty, reckless, and irresponsible withdrawal. If we are honest about the opportunities and the risks, I believe they will have the patience to allow us the time necessary to obtain our objectives."

McCain will also say, "that honesty is my responsibility, and it is also the responsibility of Senators Obama and Clinton, as well as Democratic and Republican leaders in Congress. Doing the right thing in the heat of a political campaign is not always the easiest thing. But when 4000 Americans have given their lives so that America does not suffer the worst consequences of our failure in Iraq, it is a necessary thing. In such a grave matter, we must put the nation’s interests before our own ambitions."

But while McCain speaks of candor and honesty, there are questions about comments he made to Fox News Sunday about the cease fire in Basra.

McCain interpreted the events as positive for Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and negative for Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr, when there are reports that seriously undermine that notion.

"It was al-Sadr that declared the ceasefire, not Maliki," McCain said. "With respect, I don’t think Sadr would have declared the ceasefire if he thought he was winning. Most times in history, military engagements, the winning side doesn’t declare the ceasefire."

The context of this is important. First of all, at the end of March al-Maliki declared Iraqi forces would battle the Sadr militia in Basra "to the end" as "a message to all gangs that the state is in charge of the country".

"We entered this battle with determination and we will continue to the end," Maliki said. "No retreat. No talks. No negotiations."

But McClatchy newspapers reports that despite that rhetoric, al Maliki sent two representatives to Qom, Iran, to seek help to obtain a cease fire with Sadr.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 12:40pm

Link to Boston Globe Article

Posted by Jason Tuohey April 7, 2008 10:38 PM

Speaking in Kansas City today, presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain portrayed the troop surge in Iraq as working and depicted his Democratic presidential rivals as misguided for seeking additional troop withdrawals.

However, a Globe article today offered a less rosy view of Iraq, reporting a recent spike in violence that corresponds to a reduction of troops over the past three months:

"The rise in violence - blamed on both Shi'ite militants and Sunni extremists allied with Al Qaeda - has prompted war critics to argue that President Bush's surge of 30,000 more troops last year, designed to stabilize the nation, merely postponed the inevitable deadly chaos that will follow an eventual US withdrawal.

Other analysts question whether the US strategy planted the seeds for greater bloodshed by funding, and arming, various Sunni and Shi'ite factions who may eventually battle one another or fight among themselves."

What's more, the troop withdrawals aren't over. Plans call for a reduction of another 24,000 troops by the end of July, ultimately leaving 140,000 in the country.

A bloody spring in Iraq could put a speed bump in McCain's campaign as it gears up for the general election. The Arizona senator has linked his candidacy to his support for Iraq, even saying he'd rather lose the election than the war. He was one of the most vocal and ardent backers of the troop surge, and he sometimes invokes it on the campaign trail as an example of his ability to make difficult decisions.

______________________________________________________________________

Surprising Political Endorsements By U.S. Troops

Link to ABC Article

American Soldiers Speak Out About Their Presidential Endorsements

By MARTHA RADDATZ
April 7, 2008

The above article is being attacked in right-wing blogs because none of the soldiers giving their views on the Presidential race support McCain.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 10:53pm

Link to NYT Transcript

But while the job of bringing security to Iraq is not finished, as the recent fighting in Basra and elsewhere vividly demonstrated, we're no longer staring into the abyss of defeat and we can now look ahead to the genuine prospect of success. Success, the establishment of a peaceful, stable, prosperous, democratic state that poses no threats to its neighbors and contributes to the defeat of terrorists, this success is within reach. And with success, Iraqi forces can take responsibility for enforcing security in their countries, and American troops can return home with the honor of having secured their country's interests at great personal costs and of helping another people achieve peace and self-determination. That's what I hope every American desires for our country in our mission in Iraq. Yet should the United States instead choose to withdraw from Iraq before adequate security is established, we will exchange for this victory a defeat that is terrible and long-lasting. Al Qaeda in Iraq would proclaim victory and increase its efforts to provoke sectarian tensions, pushing for a full-scale civil war that could descend into genocide and destabilize the Middle East. Iraq would become a failed state. It could become a haven for terrorists to train and plan their operations. Iranian influence would increase substantially in Iraq and encourage other countries to seek accommodation with Tehran at the expense of our interests.

AMC April 8, 2008 - 12:45pm

Link to Telegraph Article

By Alex Spillius in Washington
Last Updated: 1:41am BST 10/04/2008

John McCain, the Republican presidential candidate who has based his White House campaign on his foreign policy expertise, has again been caught making a basic error.

For the second time in a matter of weeks, Mr McCain, 71, appeared confused about whether al-Qa'eda was a Sunni or Shia organisation.

During a Congressional hearing on Tuesday, Mr McCain asked Gen David Petraeus, the US commander in Iraq, about the threat posed by al-Qa'eda.

The general said it was still a major threat but not as much as 15 months ago.

Mr McCain interjected: "Certainly not an obscure sect of the Shi'ites overall," before correcting himself by adding: "or Sunnis or anybody else".

AMC April 9, 2008 - 9:35pm

Craig and Marc Kielburger are Nobel Peace Prize-nominated rights activists and bestselling authors. They have travelled to more than 50 countries to interview the victims of injustice and exploitation. They are the founders of a charity,

Free The Children, which has built more than 500 schools in developing countries.

On a series of trips to Kuwait, they encountered a stream of South Asian men driving tractor-trailers bound for Iraq. The authors interviewed dozens of drivers, tracked official documents and found contracts and work orders that show these men were duped into becoming participants in the U.S.-led war in Iraq.

Lured to Kuwait with the promise of work, truck drivers from developing countries say they have been trapped by companies that seized their passports and forced them to join deadly convoys into Iraq to supply U.S. troops.

They work for subcontractors hired by KBR, a U.S. corporation that earns billions stocking American bases.

The drivers deliver goods on behalf of the U.S., but a hands-off setup means they're out of reach of American protection.

'Our company says to go fast,' says one driver of the convoys into the war zone. 'They say if we go slow we will die'

The slightest distraction can be deadly for drivers on the bomb-scarred highways of Iraq. The roads teem with insurgents, waiting with sniper rifles and mortar bombs for the U.S. army convoys that snake through the country each day from neighbouring Kuwait.

But distraction comes easily to the thousands of South Asians hired to steer these convoys. Hard as they try, drivers can't help but think of family.
More

*Hands-off deals with foreign firms out of reach of U.S. law

adrena April 6, 2008 - 1:57pm

Link to Newsweek Article

Tribal fighters have cut down Iraq's violence. But they're subjecting women to often-medieval mores.

By Silvia Spring and Larry Kaplow | NEWSWEEK
Apr 14, 2008 Issue

The insurgents have been driven out of her southwest Baghdad neighborhood, but the 30-year-old shop assistant is still frightened. A year ago Al Qaeda in Iraq ruled the streets outside her home, and Mahdi Army militia units kept the area under relentless attack. Now the Iraqis who helped get rid of the killers are the ones who scare her. The Americans imposed order a few months ago by recruiting and paying local men to turn in the names of suspected jihadists. Similar armed groups have popped up all around the city. Each has its own bizarre rules; some threaten to kill women who don't wear veils in public. The shop assistant is in mourning for her brother, who was killed last May, but she's asking for trouble if she wears black more than three days running. According to the new enforcers in her neighborhood, anyone who dresses in mourning is committing blasphemy by questioning the will of God.

In the past year, militias like this one have transformed the war in Iraq. Americans call them Concerned Local Citizens (CLCs), or Sons of Iraq; Iraqis know them as Sahwa—Awakening—after the tribal council in Anbar province that launched a Sunni revolt against the tyranny of Al Qaeda in Iraq. The militias' vital role (and the uncomfortable fact that many members used to be insurgents themselves) will be a big part of the debate this week, as American lawmakers hear testimony on the war's progress from U.S. military commander Gen. David Petraeus and the U.S. ambassador to Baghdad, Ryan Crocker. What's less likely to be discussed—and yet just as important in the long run—is the impact that tribal groups like the CLCs are having on Iraq's social fabric, and in particular on its women.

America's efforts to disengage from Iraq have led to some messy compromises. After years of trying without success to wrest Sunni areas from Qaeda control, U.S. ground commanders appear to have done it at last—but only by granting sweeping powers to sheiks and local leaders who can keep the peace. Now Iraq's Sunni areas have been chopped into fragments, each one run by a different tribal ruler with different views on law and society. In some parts of Baghdad the situation changes visibly from block to block. No one can say how many of these leaders abuse their powers, or if their little sectors can ever be put back under the purview of a centrally controlled government. "We are becoming like Afghanistan was in the '80s," says Zainab Salbi, the Iraq-born founder and CEO of the activist group Women for Women International.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 2:12pm

Link to AP Article

By KIM GAMEL, Associated Press Writer

BAGHDAD - The U.S. military says rocket or mortar attacks against the U.S.-protected Green Zone and a military base elsewhere in Baghdad have killed three American service members and wounded 31.

A military official says two U.S. troops were killed and 17 wounded when rockets struck the Green Zone in central Baghdad. The official says another American service member died and 14 were wounded in another attack on a military base in the southeastern area of Rustamiyah.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 2:44pm

your posts are much appreciated. :)

Tina April 6, 2008 - 5:52pm

.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:16pm

The danger here is that the US will again resort to unrestrained
airpower to "control" Mahdi Army movements within Sadr City, as what happened last October when airstrikes were called in after 3a.m. raids by Yank troops looking for "kidnappers" were met with local resistance...49 largely civilian non-combatants were killed as a result.
Either the Americans will be forced to saturate Sadr City with soldiers in order to "put down" a potentially serious uprising by regular or irregular Mahdi elements, or just send in the fighter-bombers and Apache helos and kill everything in target range, per Fallujah. Neither prospect augurs well for a "surge success" benchmark, and more recalibration of the Petraeus Doctrine seems to be in order.
Looks as though Cheney, McBush, and other Green Zone tourists got their sorry arses out just in time."

http://agonist.org/20080324/iraq_and_afghanistan_dual_fronts#comment-152564

The FDL blog has updated accounts of the weekend's carnage in Sadr City, which is increasing looking like the worst of Fallujah - what's next, the Siege of Leningrad? - with airstrikes, snipers on rooftops, tanks and artillery firing at will into buildings...jesusbloodychrist, is there NO ONE in the US political arena who will step up to challenge this policy of wanton destruction and deliberate collective punishment?

Last week, Maliki and his cronies were blocked by Sadr’s fighters. This week, US forces are taking their place, maintaining a seige force around Sadr City and attempting to defeat Sadr’s Mahdi army with both air strikes and sweeps into this Baghdad nationalist stronghold.

Reports of air strikes on Sadr City neighborhoods appear daily in Iraqi sources but get almost no attention here – and the civilian death toll mounts – again with barely a word in the US press.

During the night from Saturday to Sunday, April 5 to 6, the US forces went from raids and arrests to large-scale attacks, based on the following reports: AP reported five killed and 17 wounded, including women and children, in "clashes" in Sadr City, then reported that at least 20 people died and 50 were wounded. Continuing into Sunday, AFP said a US airstrike killed nine people at 8:00 in the morning, a strike the US army confirmed, and that another airstrike involving two missiles at 11:00 in the morning, which wasn't "immediately confirmed".

And news just in at GorillasGuides reports:

There is very heavy fighting going on in Sadr city. The Americans have it under siege and are refusing all access to the city. American helicopters have bombed the city repeatedly. American snipers are being deployed on the roof tops. Imam Ali spokesmen say they are now desperately short of medical supplies. The Red Crescent attempts to get emergency medical supplies to the city which we reported yesterday have failed because the Americans will not let them through.

There are reports that the fires caused by the American bombing of the Jameela market are spreading and that there is no water being pumped to the city.

CrooksandLiars has more.

Sadrists in Baghdad are describing these attacks as “collective punishment:”

The official spokesman for the Sadrist bloc (in parliament), Saleh alAkili told AlHayat, "The announcement issued by Maliki about stopping the [arbitrary] searches and arrests was an attempt to throw sand in our eyes", explaining: "The arrests have not stopped, in spite of Maliki's announcement to that effect. And the American forces continue to spread terror among the people of Sadr City, stationing themselves in force at the entrances of local streets, carrying out nighttime raids, arresting hundreds of Sadr City youths, without warrants.
(much more, with links in org. art.)
http://firedoglake.com/2008/04/06/lessons-not-learned/

This is simply beyond the pale, but not unexpected. The same crowd who brought us the "Torture Memos" carry that same immoral mindset into the evil prosecution of a filthy war.



“les Etats-unis, c’est le seul pays à être passé de la préhistoire à la décadence sans jamais connaitre la civilisation…”...Georges Clemenceau

barrisj redux April 6, 2008 - 10:17pm

Link to WaPo Article

Basra Offensive Inflamed Long-Standing Rivalry, Redefining Nature of Conflict

By Sudarsan Raghavan
Washington Post Foreign Service
Monday, April 7, 2008; Page A01

BAGHDAD, April 6 -- As verses from the Koran floated from a loudspeaker, the Shiite militia commander's face glowered. Inside the cavernous funeral tent, a large portrait of his 16-year-old son, Mustafa, hung over the mourners. Abu Abdullah, who fought U.S. troops and Sunni insurgents for five years, never expected his son to die before him. Now, he said, his anger was directed at other Shiites.

An Iraqi soldier, he said, had shot Mustafa two days earlier as he approached a checkpoint in Sadr City, where Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and his Mahdi Army rule. Abu Abdullah blamed Sadr's Shiite rivals, who lead the Iraqi government.

"What do I feel inside me?" asked Abu Abdullah, dressed in black. "I want to do to them exactly what they did to my son, and even more."

In this volatile Shiite redoubt, animosity toward Prime Minister Nouri-al Maliki and his allies has deepened in the aftermath of Iraq's worst violence in months, threatening to escalate a conflict among Shiites that could further draw in U.S. troops.

AMC April 6, 2008 - 10:20pm

couple

IN a measured voice, Maj. Levi Dunton explained to the small circle of Army officers and their spouses what had gone wrong in his marriage since he returned home from Iraq in 2005. He had trouble being involved with his family, he said. He didn’t find joy in being a parent to his two boys, 3 and 5 months. Little things made him angry.

Major Dunton said he was not sure whether his year in Iraq, where he was an Apache pilot and commander of 150 soldiers, was responsible for his numb state. Others, he wanted to make clear, had it a lot worse. To the other soldiers, this was a familiar litany of guilt, emotional distance and marital discombobulation; they were silent or simply nodded their heads.

Like Major Dunton, they seemed uneasy with all this talk, all this sharing, all this connecting to the wife in front of strangers.

Even as he spoke, Major Dunton, who fidgeted and played with his wedding ring, rarely made eye contact with Heather, his wife of 10 years and a former helicopter pilot herself.

Ms. Dunton, however, seemed relieved, liberated even, to be given a chance to reach out to her husband. She put her hand around his knee and said she was convinced that the war had wormed its way into their marriage.

“He used to tell jokes and funny stories and now he doesn’t do that anymore,” she said later. “I could tell he was different right away, but I thought it would pass.”

Not long ago, the Army, too, might have waited for it to pass — particularly for someone as seemingly steady and committed to his wife as Major Dunton. But that was before this war, with its 15-month deployments, before 2004 when divorce rates spiked among the officer corps and before recruitment and retention became a military preoccupation.

These days the Army is fighting a problem as complex and unpredictable as any war: disintegrating marriages. And so, the Duntons, like 18 other couples, gathered for a weekend retreat in late March, part of an Army pilot program to address marital stress after soldiers return from long tours in Iraq. The retreat is part of a new front in the Army’s “Strong Bonds” programs, which are for families and couples and run by its chaplains. Many of the earlier programs dealt with fundamentals such as “how not to marry a jerk” and how to have open communication.
More

adrena April 7, 2008 - 9:01am

Link to Boston Globe Article

Value of the surge debated

By Farah Stockman and Bryan Bender
Globe Staff / April 7, 2008

WASHINGTON - Since the US military began reducing its troop presence in Iraq three months ago, several key indicators of violence in the troubled nation have risen, according to new military figures released this weekend, sparking fears that security gains hailed by the White House are already eroding.

more stories like thisThe rise in violence - blamed on both Shi'ite militants and Sunni extremists allied with Al Qaeda - has prompted war critics to argue that President Bush's surge of 30,000 more troops last year, designed to stabilize the nation, merely postponed the inevitable deadly chaos that will follow an eventual US withdrawal.

Other analysts question whether the US strategy planted the seeds for greater bloodshed by funding, and arming, various Sunni and Shi'ite factions who may eventually battle one another or fight among themselves.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 10:25am

KABUL, 7 April 2008 (IRIN) - There are increasing fears of an imminent outbreak of ethnic conflict in central Afghanistan over access to grazing land between Kuchis and Hazaras.

The estimated 2-3 million Kuchis (nomads) - predominately Pashtuns - have traditionally moved all over the country with their camels, sheep, goats and donkeys in search of greener pastures. At the start of spring they normally flock into the central provinces where most of Afghanistan's third largest ethnic minority, the Hazaras (9 percent of the population). The Hazara have warned that Kuchis will not be allowed to graze animals in "their" areas.

Hundreds of Hazaras demonstrated in Kabul on 30 March, threatening to take up arms and fight if Kuchi herders entered Bamiyan and Wardak provinces.

"If the government does not stop Kuchis from entering our areas, we will do so by all possible means," said a leader of Hazara demonstrators in Kabul. "Down with Kuchis," chanted others.

Kuchis say their right to pasture-land has been denied by the Hazara minority and they have no option but to fight for it. "Because the government is weak and cannot ensure our legitimate rights we may have to fight for them," said a young Kuchi man, Nazargul.

"Dangerous" grievances

The UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) has indicated that parts of the country could be affected by more drought than usual in 2008. Kuchis in southern and eastern provinces - where drought is anticipated to be more severe - could thus be prompted to move to less drought-affected provinces in the north and centre of the country.

Afghanistan's Independent Human Rights Commission (AIHRC) and the Independent Directorate of Kuchi Affairs (IDKA) are concerned that clashes between Hazaras and Kuchis could be worse than in previous years. "Given that both parties lack confidence in the government's ability to solve their disputes they may try to defeat each other by violent means," warned the AIHRC's Hamidi.

The AIHRC warning was echoed by the director of IDKA who said grievances on both sides had become "dangerous". "There are strong possibilities that a future conflict could turn into a widespread battle with devastating results," said Daudshah Niazi, the head of the IDKA.

Kuchi elders complain that since the overthrow of the Taliban government in 2001, Hazaras have enjoyed strong international support and been given opportunities in the government and other decision-making bodies, while Kuchis have been perceived as collaborators of the mainly Pashtun Taliban and "terrorists".

"Because they are in a position of power, Hazaras have objected to all the traditional norms and laws in this country and have denied us access to a main source of livelihood," said Abdul Ghani, an elderly Kuchi.

Hazara leaders counter by saying they have been repressed by the more numerous Pashtuns for centuries - a situation which the Kuchis are trying to perpetuate. "We only want to end their oppression and only want our rights," said Ali Orfani, a Hazara leader in Kabul.

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Tina April 7, 2008 - 12:07pm

Link to NYT Article

By ELAINE SCIOLINO
Published: April 8, 2008

* * * * * *

Judge Jean-Louis Bruguière, then France’s senior counter-terrorism magistrate, later warned that Iraq was a “black hole sucking up all the elements located in Europe.” Some of them were coming back to Europe, he added, and some of those were armed with chemical and biological weapons training.

Now, as members of the cell are awaiting a verdict in their case, French and other European intelligence and law enforcement officials are saying those fears appeared to be overblown. Those officials requested anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.

The logistical challenges and expense of reaching Iraq has been one deterrent, they said, particularly with Syria making episodic efforts to halt the use of its territory as a transit route. Compared with the thousands of European Muslims who joined the fight in Afghanistan in the 1990s through organized networks in Britain, the number of fighters going to Iraq has been extremely small, according to senior French intelligence officials.

Another factor, the officials say, is that Iraqi insurgents neither needed nor welcomed European Muslims lacking military training and good Arabic-language skills — except if they were willing to conduct suicide missions.

The nature of the battle also has changed, making Iraq an alien destination for many would-be insurgents. The fight in Iraq is no longer just a jihad against foreign occupiers, but also a confusing civil war pitting Muslim against Muslim. Many young people have family and ethnic ties to Pakistan or North Africa, making those places more attractive destinations, and further advancing those regions’ potential for recruiting and radicalizing young Muslims.

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Lemme see if I've got this straight - radical young European Muslims have the good sense not to get involved in Iraq's civil war.... and we don't?

AMC April 7, 2008 - 5:36pm

Link to ABC Article

Document outlines powers but sets no time limit on troop presence

Seumas Milne The Guardian, Tuesday April 8 2008

A confidential draft agreement covering the future of US forces in Iraq, passed to the Guardian, shows that provision is being made for an open-ended military presence in the country.

The draft strategic framework agreement between the US and Iraqi governments, dated March 7 and marked "secret" and "sensitive", is intended to replace the existing UN mandate and authorises the US to "conduct military operations in Iraq and to detain individuals when necessary for imperative reasons of security" without time limit.

The authorisation is described as "temporary" and the agreement says the US "does not desire permanent bases or a permanent military presence in Iraq". But the absence of a time limit or restrictions on the US and other coalition forces - including the British - in the country means it is likely to be strongly opposed in Iraq and the US.

Iraqi critics point out that the agreement contains no limits on numbers of US forces, the weapons they are able to deploy, their legal status or powers over Iraqi citizens, going far beyond long-term US security agreements with other countries. The agreement is intended to govern the status of the US military and other members of the multinational force.

AMC April 7, 2008 - 7:19pm

Link to AFP Article

WASHINGTON (AFP) - A senior State Department official Thursday ruled out fresh demands from top Democrats for any deal with Iraq on future US troop operations to be submitted to Congress for approval.

David Satterfield, US coordinator for Iraq, testified to a Senate committee after top Democrats, including White House hopeful Hillary Clinton, expressed fears the proposed deal would tie the hands of the next president.

Iraq and the United States are set to negotiate a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) to legitimize US operations in Iraq beyond the end of the year, when the United Nations resolution governing their presence expires.

"In keeping with past practice, our intent is to conclude the SOFA as an executive agreement, rather than a treaty subject to Senate approval," Satterfield said in prepared testimony to the Senate Foreign Relations panel.

AMC April 10, 2008 - 9:36am

Link to NYT Article

By MICHAEL R. GORDON and ERIC SCHMITT
Published: April 8, 2008

BAGHDAD — After an overall decline in attacks against civilians and American and Iraqi security forces in Baghdad over the past several months, the number more than doubled in March from the previous month, according to statistics compiled by the American military in Baghdad.

The sharp increase in overall attacks, to 631 in March from 239 in February, reflects new strikes against the Green Zone, the heavily fortified headquarters for Iraq’s central government and the American Embassy here, as well as renewed fighting in the Sadr City district of Baghdad between Shiite militias and Iraqi government and American forces.

Violence in Sadr City first flared more than a week ago after Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki started a poorly coordinated military campaign to retake the southern port city of Basra from Shiite militias. The fighting has had repercussions in other Shiite enclaves across the country, but nowhere is it as severe as in Sadr City.

Nearly all of the increase came in attacks against American and Iraqi security forces, which rose to 562 in March from 177 in February. Attacks against civilians in the capital remained relatively unchanged: 69 in March from 62 in February.

However, another yardstick, the number of civilian deaths tracked by the Iraqi government, shot up last month after several months of decline. Iraqi officials recorded 472 civilian deaths in Baghdad in March, a 43 percent increase over February. That increase is believed to have been caused mainly by battles between security forces and the Shiite militias.

test

AMC April 7, 2008 - 10:35pm

Three U.S. troops are killed in Baghdad on the eve of Gen. David H. Petraeus' testimony before Congress.

Los Angeles Times, By Tina Susman, April 8

BAGHDAD -- Three more U.S. troops were killed Monday as Iraqis struggled to bury their dead amid fierce street battles between Shiite Muslim militias and Iraqi and American soldiers in the nation's capital.

In one of the most intense days of fighting here involving U.S. troops in recent months, American helicopters fired at least four Hellfire missiles and an Air Force jet dropped a bomb on a suspected militia target. Rockets and missiles launched from militia strongholds pounded U.S. bases around the city, where U.S. troops also came under fire from small arms and rocket-propelled grenades. Targets included the Green Zone, where the U.S. Embassy and most Iraqi government buildings are located.

The latest American casualties brought to nine the number of U.S. combat deaths in Iraq since Sunday. At least 18 U.S. service members have been killed in and around Baghdad since March 25, when fighting spread to the capital after Prime Minister Nouri Maliki's decision to launch an offensive against Shiite militiamen in the southern city of Basra.

The fighting and rising death toll are likely to raise new questions about the role of the U.S. in Iraq, and how to define progress or success, as Army Gen. David H. Petraeus appears before Congress today with his latest assessment of the war. The long-awaited testimony will take place before committees that include all three major U.S. presidential candidates: Republican John McCain and Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, all of whom will be afforded the chance to question the general.


"Frankly, we've lost a lot in recent years." - General Colin Powell

Raja April 8, 2008 - 7:30am

Talking to the Taliban, the remarkable research series by The Globe and Mail, has revealed many interesting things about Taliban foot soldiers: Their overriding goal is to rid Afghanistan of foreigners. They are not global jihadists – they don't even know Canada is a country, much less have intentions to harm it. Many have lost relatives in aerial bombing. Many have lost their livelihood because of poppy eradication. They want to be included in the governance of their country. They want to protect fundamentalist Muslim values.

Many are favourable to a negotiated peace, but will not be bought off by money. As an aggregate force, they are doing fairly well, and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, including Canada, is not. Among Canadian decision-makers, there is frequent reference to the assertion that this war cannot be won by military action alone, but will also require diplomacy. So far, however, diplomacy has largely meant persuading our NATO allies to do more of the fighting. Whereas Dutch NATO forces engage in dialogue with Taliban in Uruzgan, and the British in Helmand, Canada's position has mirrored that of the United States: “We don't talk to terrorists.”

Afghan President Hamid Karzai, whose government we are supposedly supporting, has repeatedly stated a desire to negotiate with the Taliban and other armed opposition, but has received little evident support from NATO. The terms of the United Nations engagement, set by Western allies, contains no peace mandate.

Let us make some clear assertions. This war, which is partly a continuation of the pre-2001 Afghan civil war, cannot be ended through military means. The Taliban and other armed opposition groups have some war goals we would regard as illegitimate (for example, ending female education and institution of a Taliban regime) and some we should seriously consider as legitimate (for example, ending the categorical exclusion of one faction from the political process and eventually having foreign troops leave the country).
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adrena April 8, 2008 - 8:13am

Reuters, By Ahmed Rasheed, April 8

BAGHDAD - Iraqi Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr threatened on Tuesday to end a ceasefire he imposed on his militia last August, raising the prospect of further violence just as top U.S. officials get set to testify on Iraq's progress.

Despite the ceasefire, Sadr's followers have clashed with Iraqi government troops and U.S. forces in the south of the country and Baghdad in recent weeks, leading to Iraq's worst violence since the first half of 2007.

Sadr's warning came a day after Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, in a television interview, threatened to bar Sadr's movement from political life if the cleric did not disband his Mehdi Army militia.

"If it is required to lift the freeze (ceasefire) in order to carry out our goals, objectives, doctrines and religious principles and patriotism, we will do that later," Sadr said in a statement on his Web site.


"Frankly, we've lost a lot in recent years." - General Colin Powell

Raja April 8, 2008 - 8:15am

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