Buford, GA | October 15

AP - With little rain in forecast, towns weigh drastic conservation measures.

If there’s a ground zero for the epic drought that’s tightening its grip on the South, it’s once-mighty Lake Lanier, the Atlanta water source that’s now a relative puddle surrounded by acres of dusty red clay.

Tall measuring sticks once covered by a dozen feet of water stand bone dry. “No Diving” signs rise from rocks 25 feet from the water. Crowds of boaters have been replaced by men with metal detectors searching the arid lake bed for lost treasure.

“This lake is a survivor,” Jeff “Buddha” Powell told a worried customer at his bait shop along the barren banks.

“If you panic, you don’t help Mother Nature,” he added. “It’s going to rain when it rains.”

But little rain is in the forecast, and without it climatologists say the water source for more than 3 million people could run dry in just 90 days.

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“We’re way beyond limiting outdoor water use. We’re talking about indoor water use,” said Jeff Knight, an environmental engineer for the college town of Athens, 60 miles northeast of Atlanta, which is preparing a last-ditch rationing program as its reservoir dries up.

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“A bit of mud on the car or patches of brown on the lawn must be a badge of honor,” Easley said Monday. “It means you are doing the right thing for your community and our state.”

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“We have an ongoing water crisis in metro Atlanta. And it is the biggest and most imminent economic threat to our region,” said Sam Williams, the chamber’s president.

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There is a silver lining of sorts in the middle of the drought: Guides say the lake’s fishing is as good as ever, if not better.

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Drought-Stricken South Facing Tough Choices

New York Times, By Brenda Goodman, October 16

For the first time in more than 100 years, much of the Southeast has reached the most severe category of drought, climatologists said Monday, creating an emergency so serious that some cities are just months away from running out of water.

In North Carolina, Gov. Michael F. Easley asked residents Monday to stop using water for any purpose “not essential to public health and safety.” He warned that he would soon have to declare a state of emergency if voluntary efforts fell short.

“Now I don’t want to have to use these powers,” Mr. Easley told a meeting of mayors and other city officials. “As leaders of your communities, you know what works best at the local level. I am asking for your help.”

Officials in the central North Carolina town of Siler City estimate that without rain, they are 80 days from draining the Lower Rocky River Reservoir, which supplies water for the town’s 8,200 people.

In the Atlanta metropolitan area, which has more than four million people, worst-case analyses show that the city’s main source of water, Lake Lanier, could be drained dry in 90 to 121 days.

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The situation has gotten so bad that by all of Mr. Stooksbury’s measures — the percentage of moisture in the soil, the flow rate of rivers, inches of rain — this drought has broken every record in Georgia’s history.

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Within two weeks, Carol Couch, director of the Georgia Environmental Protection Division, is expected to send Gov. Sonny Perdue recommendations on tightening water restrictions, which may include mandatory cutbacks on commercial and industrial users.

If that happens, experts at the National Drought Mitigation Center said, it would be the first time a major metropolitan area in the United States had been forced to take such drastic action to save its water supply.

“The situation is very dire,” Mr. Hayes said.