Bernanke: Rate cut not a cure-all for turbulence

Kevin G. Hall | Washington | September 20

McClatchy - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates this week by a surprisingly large half-point in order to "get out ahead" of problems developing in credit markets that threaten the broader economy, Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told Congress on Thursday.

Most mainstream economists had expected a quarter-point cut. The bigger cut has prompted concern that maybe the Fed knows something that everyone else doesn't. At a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee, Rep. Paul Kanjorski, D-Pa., bluntly asked Bernanke if there was "something out there that we are not aware of."

"We took that action to try to get out ahead of the situation," Bernanke answered, noting that housing-sector problems have extended into other areas, such as commercial credit, threatening the economy. The aggressive action, he suggested, was designed to prevent strains from becoming cracks.

Bernanke also warned that the rate cut wasn't a cure-all for Wall Street's recent turbulence.

"There is quite a bit of uncertainty," he said, promising that the Fed will watch how events unfold in both financial markets and the broader economy and will stand ready for "adjusting policy" as needed.

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As usual, the Fed chair is a master of understatement. -Raja


Raja September 21, 2007 - 7:42am

Oil, gold and vital commodities hit all-time highs in response to Fed interest rate cuts while equities soar. Could these other markets be sending a different message to the Fed than Wall Street?

tjfxh September 21, 2007 - 10:48am

-eom


"The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential."

- Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Escher Sketch September 21, 2007 - 11:20am

I'd read the falling dollar as a shot from the global marketplace across the Fed's bow, since our allies are being forced to import inflation by the irresponsible and self-serving policies of the US ruling elite, thereby threatening their economies and rulers as well. (Think the Saudis.)

The US could get away with such imperious behavior when it was a lender nation, but the situation has changed now that it is a debtor nation. About the only thing that the US could do now is to try forcing compliance with its voodoo economics by threatening to use its military might, which after Iraq and Afghanistan is highly questionable in effectiveness. The ruling elite in the US clearly is betting that those holding dollar reserves and debt will move to prop up the dollar to save their investment. Maybe they'll win the game of playing chicken this time, as Bush has been doing in Congress. But if the US doesn't get its stuff together relatively soon, at some point.... The markets aren't spineless Dems. In the log run, markets reprice risk when it gets too far out of whack. This is beginning to happen now.

Given the reaction to this cut, I would suspect that any further cutting will greatly undermine the dollar if this one doesn't do it. The Fed doesn't have much wiggle room at this point. It's pretty much exhausted its ammunition by over-reacting. Eventually, it will have to let the markets take care of the imbalances themselves, which won't be pretty for the US, I'm afraid. Look at the volume of ARM resets waiting to kick in come the first quarter, for example.

tjfxh September 21, 2007 - 1:47pm

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