Iraq & Afghanistan: Dual Fronts, July 30 - August 8

Team Agonist



AP - The Abu Mustafa family eats dinner by the light of an oil lamp in the Shiite neighborhood of Sadr City in Baghdad, Iraq Saturday, Aug. 4, 2007. The family lives on a block that gets only one or two hours of electricity per day. Iraq's electricity grid could collapse any day because of insurgent sabotage, rising demand, fuel shortages and provincial officials who are unplugging local power stations from the national system, electricity officials said on Saturday. (AP Photo/ Karim Kadim)

August 6

U.S. and Iran hold Iraq security meeting

The United States and Iran held a "frank and serious" first meeting on Monday of a new committee set up by the arch foes to seek an end Iraq's sectarian violence. Hours before the diplomats met, a truck bomber in a crowded residential area killed at least 33 people in their homes.

The Man who can't go home: Joe Darby after being named on TV by Rumsfeld as the soldier who exposed the torturing of prisoners at Abu Ghraib finds it is now too unsafe for him to go home.

** 9 people abducted by Kurdish rebels released in eastern Turkey
** Republican candidates say Iraq escalation is working
** Iraq’s electricity grid nears collapse

Bush, Karzai responsible for fate of Koreans-Taliban

Taliban insurgents said Afghan President Hamid Karzai and U.S. President George W. Bush, meeting in Camp David on Monday, must agree to free jailed rebels or be responsible for the deaths of 21 Korean hostages.

The renewed Taliban threat comes as negotiations to free them remained deadlocked with no agreement even on where to hold talks between South Korean diplomats and the kidnappers. Text of Bush and Karzai

** 2007 Afghan poppy harvest headed for record levels
** Waziristan elders drop out of Pakistan-Afghan jirga
** Russia cancels 90% of Afghan debt




Previous Updates after the jump. Please post new stories and comments about the coalition's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan on this thread. (Prior weeks' Updates here).


August 4

Marines sentenced in plot to kidnap, kill an Iraqi man

The Marine sergeant accused of being the ringleader in a plot to kidnap and execute an Iraqi man last year was sentenced Friday to a dishonorable discharge and 15 years in prison.

Soldier is found guilty in Mahmoudiya rape, murders

A military jury Friday found a soldier guilty of the rape and murder of a 14-year-old Iraqi girl and the murders of her parents and younger sister.

Army Pfc. Jesse Spielman, 22, of Chambersburg, Pa., was convicted of conspiracy to commit rape, rape, house-breaking with intent to commit rape and four counts of felony murder. He faces a mandatory life sentence. The jury is to decide today whether he will be eligible for parole.

Gunmen kill another aide to top Shiite cleric

Another aide to the country's top Shiite spiritual leader was gunned down Friday, raising concern about the security of Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani. Four of his aides have been killed this year.

Iraqi-U.S. segregation thrives at military base

Forward Operating Base Warhorse, Iraq -- The sign taped to the men's latrine is just five lines: "US MILITARY CONTRACTORS CIVILIANS ONLY!!!!!"

It needed only one: "NO IRAQIS."

Here at this hot, dusty U.S. military base about four miles west of Baqouba, Iraqis -- including interpreters who walk the same foot patrols and sleep in the same tents as U.S. troops -- must use segregated bathrooms.

Another sign, in a dining hall, warns Iraqis and "third-country nationals" that they have just one hour for breakfast, lunch or dinner. American troops get three hours. Iraqis say they sometimes wait as long as 45 minutes in hot lines to enter the chow hall, leaving just 15 minutes to get their food and eat it.

** Security developments in Iraq, Aug.4

Army probe into drinking, KKK - Au

AN investigation is underway into a video which purports to show Australian soldiers binge drinking and dressing in a Ku Klux Klan outfit.

Defence chiefs condemned the video as "abhorrent'' and immediately appointed Provost Marshal investigators to go through the footage frame by frame.

Video: Watch the YouTube video here

"The Australian Defence Force does not tolerate or condone the actions of the people in this video,'' said Defence spokesman Brigadier Andrew Nikolic.

Investigators privately conceded the video appeared to have been filmed at a barracks on Defence grounds.


August 3

'Civilians dead' in Nato air raids

Hundreds of civilians are reported to have been killed in air raids by Western forces in the Afghan southern province of Helmand.

Afghan authorities said on Friday they were checking the reports and Mohammad Hussein Andiwal, Helmand's police chief, said that at least 20 wounded civilians had been brought to a main hospital in Lashkar Gah, the provincial capital.

The US military said in a statement late on Thursday that coalition forces had conducted a "precision" air raid against two "notorious Taliban commanders" conducting a leadership meeting in a remote area of the Baghran district on Thursday.

Maliki's Impact Blunted By Own Party's Fears

As the U.S. military attempts to pacify Iraq so its leaders can pursue political reconciliation, Iraqi and Western observers say Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and his inner circle appear increasingly unable to pull the government out of its paralysis.

At times consumed by conspiracy theories, Maliki and his Dawa party elite operate much as they did when they plotted to overthrow Saddam Hussein -- covertly and concerned more about their community's survival than with building consensus among Iraq's warring groups, say Iraqi politicians and analysts and Western diplomats.

** House Votes to Ensure Leave for Forces in Iraq

** Gates: 'Depth of mistrust' in Iraq unforeseen

** Tales by Baghdad Diarist Are True, Says New Republic


August 2

Sunni bloc quits Iraqi Cabinet, attacks claim 142 souls

Baghdad shook with bombings and political upheaval Wednesday as the largest Sunni Arab bloc quit the government and a suicide attacker blew up his fuel tanker in one of several attacks that claimed 142 lives nationwide.

The Iraqi Accordance Front's withdrawal from the Cabinet leaves only two Sunnis in the 40-member body, undermining Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's efforts to pull together rival factions and pass reconciliation laws the U.S. considers benchmarks that could lead to sectarian reconciliation.

The U.S. military announced the deaths of six more American soldiers, including three killed in Baghdad on Tuesday by a powerful armor-piercing bomb. Washington says these types of bombs are sent from Iran.

** Marine found guilty of conspiracy in Iraq murder
** UN resolution on bigger Iraq role

Musharraf, Karzai to open jirga in Kabul

President General Pervez Musharraf and Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai will inaugurate the Pak-Afghan Jirga Commission’s meeting on August 8 in Kabul, Daily Times learnt here on Wednesday.

Seven hundred members of the commission from both the countries will participate in this first ever meeting.

The meeting will deliberate on the ways and means to end terrorism in Afghanistan and tribal areas of Pakistan.

** Foreign ministers urge immediate release of South Korean hostages
** Taliban accepts face-to-face talks with S Korean government
** US won’t go into Pakistan after Al Qaeda: Cheney

August 1

US troop fatalities in Iraq drop sharply
US troop fatalities in Iraq have plummeted from near-historic highs just two months ago. The number of deaths attributed to improvised explosive devices is down by more than half. Violence is down in the four most dangerous provinces.

The decrease is an apparent sign that, by at least one indicator, the surge of American forces is doing something it set out to do: tamp down the violence.

But even if this positive trend were to continue for the next several months, the larger question remains unanswered: Will the reduced levels of violence push Kurdish, Shiite, and Sunni groups to reach political reconciliation so that US troops can withdraw? US military officials are wary.

Taliban leaves tribal roots for Al Qaeda tactics
By killing two South Korean hostages and refusing to release the remaining 21, including 18 women, the Taliban is taking a new path that suggests it is becoming an Afghan branch of Al Qaeda.

In the past 18 months, the Taliban has adopted more aggressive tactics – such as kidnappings and suicide bombings – imported directly from the Al Qaeda-led global jihad.

** Brown non-committal on withdrawal of troops from Iraq

** Sunni bloc quits as bombs kill over 70

Korean hostages alive, Afghans warn of operation
The remaining South Korean hostages held in Afghanistan are still alive, the Taliban said on Wednesday, while the army warned villagers to evacuate areas near where the insurgents are thought to be holding them.



hani.co.kr - The mother of Shim Sung-min, found dead on July 31 after kidnapped by Taliban insurgents in Afghanistan

July 31

Former Iraqi prime minister seeks ouster of current leader

Officials say Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki (NOO'-ree ahl-MAHL'-ih-kee) is facing a revolt from within his party from people who want him out of power.

His predecessor, Ibrahim al-Jaafari (EE'-brah-heem ahl JAH'-fah-ree), is leading the challenge. Officials say al-Jaafari's campaign is based on his concerns that al-Maliki's policies have led Iraq into turmoil. He believes the prime minister is doing too little to promote national reconciliation.

** 'I watched my twin die in Iraq'

Rice, Gates Win No New Arab Help in Iraq

The United States won no specific new promises of Arab help for struggling Iraq after a gathering Tuesday of several nations listed as recipients of an expanded aid and weapons package for friendly states in the region.

Suicide car bomber hits US-led coalition convoy in Afghan capital

Up to seven civilians and three soldiers have been wounded in a suicide bombing in Afghanistan that also left a policeman dead in its wake.

The car bomber blew himself up near a convoy of US troops on the outskirts of Kabul today and the Taliban claimed responsibility.

Officials and a witness say that in the aftermath of the attack, US troops opened fire on police arriving at the scene, killing one officer.

** Rights group, UN sceptical about reduced civilian casualties
** 2,000 rally for Pakistan jihad


RFE/RL - For the first time ever, Iraq has won soccer's Asian Cup, triggering scenes of jubilation around the war-torn country and among Iraqi communities abroad. In Baghdad, fans filled the streets after the Iraqi national team beat a more experienced Saudi Arabian side 1:0 in the July 29 final in Jakarta, Indonesia.AFP photo

July 30

8 million Iraqis need urgent aid, report says

One third of the Iraqi population needs emergency aid because of the humanitarian crisis caused by war and ongoing violence, according to a new report.

Around 8 million Iraqis are in urgent need of water, sanitation, food and shelter, a joint report (pdf)released today by Oxfam and the NGO Coordination Committee in Iraq said.

ASEAN calls for phased pullout of foreign troops from Iraq

Southeast Asian foreign ministers called Monday for a phased withdrawal of foreign troops from Iraq, saying they were deeply concerned about continued instability in the country.

Big U.S. presence in Iraq until mid-2009: commander

U.S. generals expect to need a large contingent of troops in Iraq until the middle of 2009, the commander of U.S. forces in Iraq said on Monday.

Such a timeline would hand President George W. Bush's successor the task of bringing U.S. forces home from Iraq, more than six years after Bush dispatched them to topple Saddam Hussein. The soldiers are now officially cannon fodder~tina

** Three U.S. soldiers killed in Iraq's Anbar: military

Taliban extend hostage deadline: spokesman

The Taliban extended its deadline to 1130 GMT (7:30 a.m. EDT) for 22 South Korean hostages they are threatening to kill after an appeal by Afghan negotiators, a Taliban spokesman said, adding all of the remaining captives were alive.

** South Korean hostage pleads for help in telephone interview
** U.S. Cautions on Afghanistan Travel
** Nato changes tactics to avoid Afghan civilian deaths



Editor August 6, 2007 - 5:45am
( categories: News | Afghanistan | Iraq )

Bombings, Attacks Kill 58 in Iraq

Monday July 30, 2007 1:16 PM

By KIM GAMEL

Associated Press Writer

BAGHDAD (AP) - A minibus exploded Monday in a Baghdad market, killing at least six people - a brutal reminder of the dangers facing Iraqis, who only hours ago were joyously united after their underdog national soccer team won the prestigious Asian Cup.

The U.S. military also said three soldiers had been killed in fighting in Anbar province west of Baghdad last Thursday. The deaths raised to at least 3,651 members of the U.S. military who have died since the start of the Iraq war in March 2003, according to an Associated Press count.

In all, 58 people nationwide were killed by bombings and attacks.

In political developments, the largest Sunni Arab bloc said the government's response to its demands and threat to pull out of the Cabinet this week slammed the door to reforms.

The Iraq Accordance Front, which has six Cabinet members and 44 of parliament's 275 seats, has suspended its membership in Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's government and threatened to quit altogether this week if he doesn't meet certain demands.

The move would plunge the U.S.-backed government deeper into crisis as parliament prepares to begin a monthlong break in August without passing key legislation demanded by Washington to promote national unity and stem support for the Sunni-led insurgency.

The government has called the threat blackmail and said the Sunni bloc had contributed in creating some of the very policies it now criticized.

The Accordance Front said Monday that al-Maliki does not seem to have any intention of dealing constructively with their demands, which include a pardon for detainees not charged with specific crimes and the disbanding of militias.

``He is simply slamming shut the door for reform, and in the light of that the front will be justified if it goes ahead with its plan to quit the government,'' it said in a statement.

Black smoke rose into the air after the blast struck a transit point near Tayaran Square at about 1 p.m., damaging several cars and kiosks selling clothes, fruit and juice, police and hospital officials said. The minibus was waiting for passengers heading to predominantly Shiite areas in eastern Baghdad.

At least 31 people were wounded in addition to the six killed, according to the officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren't authorized to release the information.

more

Tina July 30, 2007 - 9:32am

Michael E. O'Hanlon & Kenneth Pollack | Washington | July 30

NYT Viewed from Iraq, where we just spent eight days meeting with American and Iraqi military and civilian personnel, the political debate in Washington is surreal. The Bush administration has over four years lost essentially all credibility. Yet now the administration’s critics, in part as a result, seem unaware of the significant changes taking place.

Here is the most important thing Americans need to understand: We are finally getting somewhere in Iraq, at least in military terms. As two analysts who have harshly criticized the Bush administration’s miserable handling of Iraq, we were surprised by the gains we saw and the potential to produce not necessarily “victory” but a sustainable stability that both we and the Iraqis could live with.

After the furnace-like heat, the first thing you notice when you land in Baghdad is the morale of our troops. In previous trips to Iraq we often found American troops angry and frustrated — many sensed they had the wrong strategy, were using the wrong tactics and were risking their lives in pursuit of an approach that could not work.

(Continued at link)


“I despise idealogues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark July 30, 2007 - 9:37am

...intended.

Boy, is the zeitgeist going to chew this one up...

I would also note that the stuff on the second page re. al-Qa`eda and the Mahdi Army applies mainly to al-Qa`eda in Iraq - my sense is that the Sadr has a very great deal more resiliance.

"When intelligence producers realize that there is no sense in forwarding to a consumer knowledge which does not correspond to his preconceptions, then intelligence is through." ~ Sherman Kent

JustPlainDave July 30, 2007 - 1:46pm

.


“I despise idealogues masquerading as objective journalists.” - Bill O'Reilly, March 30, 2007

Mark July 30, 2007 - 2:39pm

talking with Charles Ferguson, who produced and directed "No End in Sight" being released over the next weeks.

Charles Ferguson on His Documentary "No End in Sight"
Aired: Monday, July 30, 2007 10-11AM ET

We talk to filmmaker Charles Ferguson about his award-winning new documentary "No End in Sight," about how Washington ran Iraq after the fall of Baghdad.

Charles Ferguson, Director and Producer of "No End in Sight: The American Occupation of Iraq" (winner of the Sundance Film Festival special jury prize for documentary)

Drew Erdmann, former Director for Iran, Iraq and Strategic Planning at the National Security Council, former Coalition Provisional Authority Senior Advisor to the Iraqi Ministry of Higher Education.


"Vanity, Vanity, all is Vanity."

Raja July 30, 2007 - 10:17am

Last Updated: Monday, 30 July 2007, 17:50 GMT 18:50 UK

Taleban 'kill S Korean hostage'

A second South Korean from a group of 22 held by the Taleban in south Afghanistan has been killed, a spokesman for the militants has said.

The office of the governor of Ghazni and local police also told the BBC the killing had taken place, although neither had seen the victim's body.

The group were kidnapped nine days ago on the road between Kandahar and Kabul.

The leader of the group was shot by the Taleban on Wednesday. The militants want government prisoners released.

Tina July 30, 2007 - 12:54pm

Noor Khan | Kandahar | July 30

AP - A purported Taliban spokesman claimed the hardline militia killed a second South Korean hostage Monday because the Afghan government failed to release imprisoned insurgents. Afghan officials said they hadn't recovered a body and couldn't confirm the claim.

The Al-Jazeera television network, meanwhile, showed footage that it said was seven female hostages in Afghanistan.

Militant spokesman Qari Yousef Ahmadi said senior Taliban leaders decided to kill the male captive because the government had not met Taliban demands to trade prisoners for the Christian volunteers, who were in their 12th day of captivity.

"The Kabul and Korean governments are lying and cheating. They did not meet their promise of releasing Taliban prisoners," Ahmadi, who claims to speak for the Taliban, said by phone from an undisclosed location. "The Taliban warns the government if the Afghan government won't release Taliban prisoners then at any time the Taliban could kill another Korean hostage."

Ghazni Gov. Marajudin Pathan said officials were aware of the Taliban's claim but hadn't recovered a body. He said police were looking but he couldn't say when they might find anything.

"Ghazni is a very vast area, so we really don't know where the body is," Pathan said.

Al-Jazeera showed shaky footage of what it said were several South Korean hostages. It did not say how it obtained the video, whose authenticity could not immediately be verified.

Some seven female hostages, heads veiled in accordance with the Islamic law enforced by the Taliban, were seen crouching in the dark, eyes closed or staring at the ground, expressionless.

The hostages did not speak as they were filmed by the hand-held camera.

Rick July 30, 2007 - 10:40pm

Afghan police find body of second Korean hostage

Matthew Weaver and agencies
Tuesday July 31, 2007
Guardian Unlimited

A second South Korean hostage has been found dead in central Afghanistan, as the Taliban threatened to kill more of the remaining 21 captives by tomorrow.
Police discovered the man's bloodstained body on a roadside this morning in the village of Arizo Kalley, six miles west of Ghazni city, in the Andar district.

The South Korean foreign ministry identified him as 29-year-old Shim Sung-min, a former information technology worker who volunteered with a church group on an aid mission to Afghanistan.

He appeared to have a gunshot wound to the right temple.

A purported Taliban spokesman claimed he was killed last night because the Afghan government failed to meet its demand for the release of Taliban prisoners.

Qari Yousef Ahmadi, repeated the group's demand for an exchange of Taliban prisoners for the Christian volunteers.

The Taliban kidnapped 23 South Koreans travelling on a bus through Ghazni province on the main road between Kabul and Kandahar on July 19. It's the largest group of foreign hostages taken in Afghanistan since the 2001 US-led invasion.

"The Kabul and Korean governments are lying and cheating. They did not meet their promise of releasing Taliban prisoners," Mr Ahmadi said by phone from an undisclosed location.

He also set a new deadline for potentially all of the remaining hostages.

"If the Kabul government does not release the Taliban prisoners, then we will kill after 12 o'clock - we are going to kill Korean hostages," Mr Ahmadi said.

"It might be a man or a woman ... It might be one. It might be two, four. It might be all of them."

more

Editor July 31, 2007 - 4:06am

The Independent, By Andrew Grice, July 31

Camp David - Gordon Brown has paved the way for the withdrawal of British troops from Iraq by telling George Bush he would not delay their exit in order to show unity with the United States.

After four hours of one-to-one talks with the US President at his Camp David retreat, Mr Brown told a joint press conference he would make a Commons statement in October on the future of the 5,500 British troops in the Basra region.

The Bush administration, under mounting domestic pressure to produce an exit strategy from Iraq, has been nervous that a full British withdrawal would add to the criticism. But Mr Brown made clear - and President Bush accepted - that Britain would go its own way, even if that gave the impression the two countries were diverging.

Mr Brown's willingness to pursue an independent British policy in Iraq will be seen as an important break with Tony Blair. Mr Brown said the two leaders had had "full and frank discussions" - diplomatic code for some disagreements.


"Vanity, Vanity, all is Vanity."

Raja July 31, 2007 - 7:51am

Colonel says news reports overinflate disagreements
Stars and Stripes, By Joseph Giordono, July 31

A top military spokesman in Iraq is disputing reports that Gen. David Petraeus and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s relationship is so strained that Maliki has considered calling for Petraeus’ ouster.

In a story by The Associated Press (published in Stars and Stripes on July 30), a lawmaker from the al-Sadr bloc who was quoted anonymously reported hearing al-Maliki tell Petraeus he would demand that Washington replace the general, who took overall command of the U.S. effort in Iraq this February.

U.S. Army Col. Steven Boylan did say in an e-mail to Stars and Stripes that Petraeus and al-Maliki “have very frank, open, and perhaps direct conversations and continue to do so. Based on what is at stake here, that is what is needed and it should be expected that both are able to have very open and frank dialogue.”

The Associated Press quoted by name an al-Maliki aide as saying “it is possible that we may demand \[Petraeus’\] removal.

[...]

The Associated Press defended its story, citing a previous Petraeus interview, in which the U.S. commander noted that in discussions with Maliki, “I’m going to speak up. And I have on occasion. And on a couple of occasions have demonstrated the full range of emotions.”


"Vanity, Vanity, all is Vanity."

Raja July 31, 2007 - 8:08am

Kurdish Leader Warns of Iraqi Civil War

Tuesday July 31, 2007 7:16 PM

BAGHDAD (AP) - The leader of Iraq's Kurdish region warned Tuesday of a ``real civil war'' if the central government does not implement a constitutional clause on the future of Kirkuk, the oil-rich city claimed by the Kurds.

Control over the city and the surrounding oil wealth is in dispute. Kurds are trying to annex the region. Iraq's Arab majority and a Turkish minority that lives in Kirkuk oppose that move.

Massoud Barzani, speaking in an interview with U.S.-funded Alhurra television, complained that the Baghdad government was dragging its feet on holding a referendum that could put Kirkuk under control of the autonomous Kurdish region in northern Iraq.

``There is procrastination (by the government) and if this issue is not resolved, as I said before, all options are open. ... Frankly I am not comfortable with the behavior and the policy of the federal government on Kirkuk and clause 140,'' he said.

The constitutional clause calls for a referendum in Kirkuk to decide its future status by the end of the year. Before the vote, the clause says Kurds expelled from the city during Saddam Hussein's rule must be allowed to return. A census would then be held to determine which ethnic group was a majority of the population.

Tens of thousands of Kurds have returned to the city since Saddam's ouster in 2003, but a census has not been conducted.

``If clause 140 is not implemented, then there will be a real civil war,'' Barzani said, promising to visit Baghdad shortly to discuss the matter with the central government.

``That issue must be completely resolved or, as I said, all options are open.''

Tina July 31, 2007 - 1:42pm

Reuters WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney acknowledged on Tuesday he was wrong in 2005 when he insisted the insurgency in Iraq was in its "last throes."

It was Cheney's most direct public admission of how badly the administration had underestimated the strength of America's enemies in the increasingly unpopular war in Iraq.

But Cheney, an architect of the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, otherwise gave no ground in an interview on CNN's "Larry King Live" as he defended President George W. Bush's Iraq policy.

He said the Bush administration would still send troops into Iraq if it could do it all over again, even knowing what it knows now, including that more than 3,000 U.S. military personnel would be killed.

"I firmly believe," Cheney said, "that the decisions we've made with respect to Iraq and Afghanistan have been absolutely the sound ones in terms of the overall strategy."

But Cheney made clear he no longer held to a May 2005 assessment, widely mocked by political satirists and Democratic politicians, in which he said, "I think they're in the last throes, if you will, of the insurgency."

Since then, unrelenting attacks have brought Iraq to the brink of civil war.

Cheney's words were among many oft-cited quotes marking the U.S. pursuit of the war, which has damaged U.S. credibility around the world. They include Bush's taunting insurgents after the invasion by declaring "Bring 'em on!" and the banner stating "Mission Accomplished" behind Bush as he spoke aboard an aircraft carrier on May 1, 2003.

Cheney Says He Was Wrong

Cheney, known for his secretive ways and rarely one to admit mistakes publicly, said:

"My estimate at the time -- and it was wrong, it turned out to be incorrect -- was the fact that we were in the midst of holding three elections in Iraq, elected an interim government, then ratifying a constitution, then electing a permanent government, that they had had significant success, we'd rounded up Saddam Hussein.

"I thought there were a series of these milestones that would in fact undermine the insurgency and make it less than it was at that point. That clearly didn't happen. I think the insurgency turned out to be more robust."

Cheney said it had also been made before al Qaeda in Iraq had stepped up attacks, including the 2006 bombing of a Shi'ite mosque that sparked a wave of sectarian killings.

The Bush administration is facing growing pressure from a Democratic-led Congress and a war-weary American public for a timetable for U.S. withdrawal, something Bush firmly rejects.

In a further blow to Bush's strategy, Iraq's parliament went into summer recess for a month on Monday after political leaders failed to agree on a series of laws that Washington sees as crucial to stabilizing the country.

"It's better than taking two months off, which was their original plan," Cheney said. "I made it clear, for example, when I was there in May that we didn't appreciate the notion that they were going to take a big part of the summer off and they did cut that in half."

He insisted that since the U.S. Congress takes the month of August off, "I don't think we can say that they (Iraqi lawmakers) shouldn't go home at all."

Petronius July 31, 2007 - 6:58pm

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSYAT71336220070801

Tue Jul 31, 2007 11:14PM EDT

By Peter Graff

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - The buildup of extra troops in Baghdad may be bearing fruit, U.S. commanders said on Tuesday, as they welcomed word that July was the least deadly month for their forces in Iraq since November.

Comment: While this is good news, some recent historical context may provide some needed perspective:

Looking at recent July casualty figures in Iraq ( http://icasualties.org/oif/ ) there has been a significant mid-Summer dip in coaltion casualties each of the last three years.

In 2006, There were 63 coalition soldiers killed in June, and 66 in August, but only 46 in July, 2006.

Similarly, in 2005, there were 83 coalition casualties in June, and 85 killed in August, but only 58 deaths in July, 2005.

Finally, in 2004, 50 coalition soldiers died in June, 58 in July, but 75 in August and 84 in May. (In other words, there was a dip in casualties that included both June and July, not just July.)

I think we need to see August's casualty figures before we attribute July's reduction in coalition troops deaths (which appears to at 82 for July) to real progress based on the surge.

AMC August 1, 2007 - 2:23am

...in any of this is that the troop levels have varied significantly over the period. Probably the most relevant measure would be one that looked at KIAs as a fraction of combat troops deployed off cantonments. With larger numbers of troops deployed where enemy forces can place them at threat, one expects higher absolute numbers of casualties at identical or even lower levels of enemy capability. The "surge" is about a lot more than just higher force levels - it's much more about the troop dispersal and transition to a posture that doesn't sacrifice so much to force protection.

KIA based metrics need also take a long hard look at how the KIAs are inflicted, which I also haven't seen people comment on much. I would have a lot more faith in metrics based on the numbers of civilian KIAs, particularly those not originating from mass casualty attacks. It's very difficult to put together comprehensive security against VBIEDs, any decrease in the number of folks turning up with drill holes in their heads may well be the best early indicator.

"When intelligence producers realize that there is no sense in forwarding to a consumer knowledge which does not correspond to his preconceptions, then intelligence is through." ~ Sherman Kent

JustPlainDave August 1, 2007 - 11:25am

3 U.S. Soldiers Killed in Baghdad
The Associated Press
Wednesday, August 1, 2007; 3:38 AM

BAGHDAD -- Three U.S. soldiers were killed and six wounded by a sophisticated armor-piercing bomb in eastern Baghdad, the U.S. military said Wednesday.

An explosively-formed penetrator, or EFP, detonated near the soldiers' patrol during combat operations on Tuesday, the military said in a statement.

The victims' names were withheld pending family notification

Tina August 1, 2007 - 2:56am

Main Sunni bloc says it withdraws from Iraq govt

BAGHDAD, Aug 1 (Reuters) - The main Sunni Arab political bloc said on Wednesday it was withdrawing from Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's coalition government over his failure to meet a list of demands.

The move is likely to complicate efforts by Maliki's shaky government to agree on a series of laws which Washington sees as crucial to bringing minority Sunni Arabs more closely into the political process and quelling sectarian violence.

The Accordance Front, which last week suspended the work of its six ministers in government, had wanted a greater say in security matters and had accused Maliki's Shi'ite led-coalition government of failing to consult it on key issues.

"The Accordance Front is announcing that is withdrawing from the government of Nuri al-Maliki and its deputy prime minister and the five ministers will present today their resignations," Accordance Front official Rafei Issawi told a news conference.

Six ministers loyal to Shi'ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr also quit Maliki's government in June in protest over his refusal to set a timetable for a U.S. troop withdrawal. They have not yet been replaced.

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L01753545.htm

Tina August 1, 2007 - 4:34am

posted under fair use

U.S. officials: Shiite militias are the main threat to Iraq

Mark Seibel and Leila Fadel | McClatchy Newspapers
last updated: July 31, 2007 06:51:40 PM

BAGHDAD — Despite President Bush's recent insistence that al Qaida in Iraq is the principal cause of this country's violence, senior American military officers here say Shiite Muslim militias are a bigger problem, and one that will persist even if al Qaida is defeated.

"The longer-term threat to Iraq is potentially the Shiite militias," one senior military officer said, echoing concerns that other American officials raised in recent interviews with McClatchy Newspapers.

Military officers hail the fact that violence is down as evidence that their campaign against al Qaida in Iraq is succeeding. But there's no sign of reconciliation between Sunni Muslims and Shiites, the rationale the Bush administration cites for increasing the number of U.S. troops in the country.

The Shiite Mahdi Army militia continues to drive Sunni residents from neighborhoods in Baghdad, a development that one American officer called "disappointing." Shiite politicians show little sympathy for the expelled Sunnis or interest in stopping the expulsions. In interviews, they argued that the drive against Sunnis is a justified response to Sunni campaigns to drive Shiites from their neighborhoods, a position that American military officers reject.

American officials say they're hopeful about the recent decision by some Sunni insurgent groups to cooperate with U.S. troops to defeat al Qaida in Iraq. But some of America's new Sunni allies warn that once they've disposed of the religious extremists in their midst, they'll return to battling rival Shiites — and American occupiers.

Meanwhile, Sunni politicians are boycotting the Shiite-led government of Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki and threatening to withdraw permanently if 12 demands aren't met, including an end to Shiite militias' infiltration of Iraqi security forces.

More alarming, American officers say that battles for supremacy among armed Shiite groups will be the next challenge, and that U.S. forces are likely to be drawn into those disputes. Already, the U.S. is taking sides, sending attack aircraft to back Iraqi security forces against radical cleric Muqtada al Sadr's Mahdi Army.

Combating the influence of Shiite militias had long been a cornerstone of American policy in Iraq. But that position changed last January, when President Bush, facing rising congressional and public opposition to the war in Iraq, pronounced al Qaida the No. 1 cause of violence there and said he was dispatching more than 20,000 additional troops to confront the problem.

In the months since, as congressional criticism grew, Bush has gone even further, calling al Qaida in Iraq "the same people" responsible for the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, though al Qaida in Iraq didn't form until after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and has at best only hazy ties to the al Qaida of Osama bin Laden.

Few officials on the front lines, moreover, think that defeating the terrorist organization would end Iraq's troubles. They paint a far more complex vision of the violence than is evident in Washington-based pronouncements about al Qaida's involvement.

In an interview with McClatchy, Army Gen. David Petraeus, the top American military commander in Iraq, said the military offensive had decimated al Qaida in Iraq's leadership, not only in Baghdad but also in other key locations such as Diyala province. He cited a decline in massive car-bombings in the capital as one sign that al Qaida has been unable to find experienced operatives to replace leaders who've been killed or detained in the current U.S.-led offensive.

But Petraeus acknowledged that he'd just returned from a meeting with prominent Shiite politicians to discuss Shiite militias' infiltration of the security forces and their role in death squads that have been targeting Sunnis.

Other U.S. military officers, who agreed to speak only if they weren't named because of the sensitive nature of the subject, point out that Shiite militias regularly battle one another in largely Shiite southern Iraq, where there's never been much of an al Qaida presence.

Adding to concerns is a realization among American officials that they don't know the Mahdi Army's intentions in Baghdad. Will Sadr's group be satisfied with driving Sunnis into traditionally Sunni districts or will it seek to purge those districts too?

"A lot of what goes on in the wee hours of the morning, whether it's Shiite death squads or Sunnis in al Qaida in Iraq, we don't know about," a senior military official said. "Single-sect neighborhoods tend to be more stable. It may not be ethical and moral the way they're created, but the results are undeniable."

Although they're Maliki's most powerful supporters, American officials aren't certain about the prime minister's intentions, either. One officer said his primary question remained whether Maliki wanted an Iraqi society in which members of all sects participated equally.

While Maliki has promised to rein in militias, prominent members of the United Iraqi Alliance, the Shiite alliance that dominates Iraq's parliament, have expressed little outrage that Shiite militias are targeting Sunnis. They say the attacks are merely payback for years of oppression by Saddam Hussein's Sunni-led dictatorship and for Sunni insurgent car bombs in predominately Shiite areas.

"There are more Shiites in camps (for displaced persons) than Sunnis," said Sheik Homam Hammoudi, the head of Iraq's constitutional reform committee and a prominent member of the Shiite Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, often referred to as Iraq's largest political party.

The two largest militias, Sadr's Mahdi Army and the Badr Organization of the Supreme Iraqi Islamic Council, are tied to prominent Iraqi families whose rivalries date back generations. Both militias have infiltrated the security forces.

Badr, which has never openly battled American forces, generally gets credit for being the more astute player of the two. "The Badr corps understood the game from the beginning and incorporated itself into the security forces," Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari said.

A senior U.S. military official described American support for Badr — an Iranian-funded organization that many think still conducts targeted assassinations — as the only option since many of its members have been absorbed into the Iraqi security forces.

"Badr has decided to join the government, and they gave up their weapons and became part of the state," the senior military official said. "If we're not going to support al Qaida in Iraq and not going to support Jaysh al Mahdi (the Mahdi Army) and we can't support the security forces, then why are we here?"

Sadr, who also receives aid from Iran, is popular among Iraq's Shiite poor and controls the largest Shiite bloc in parliament. The Mahdi Army attacked U.S. forces in 2004 and was almost eradicated in August of that year after U.S. troops besieged the Imam Ali shrine in Najaf. Sadr since has urged his followers not to attack American forces, though the head of his parliament bloc said attacks could still be justified.

"This does not mean that if there is bad conduct by Americans that they can't attack Americans," said Nassar al Rubaie, the head of Sadr's bloc in parliament. "Avenging dignity is part of the Arab identity. As long as Americans (treat us with disrespect) we will attack."

While Sunni groups that once opposed the American presence here are fighting alongside U.S. forces to eradicate al Qaida in Iraq, many Sunnis fear that once the extremist Islamic group is gone, they'll be sitting ducks for Shiite militias.

In the town of Khalis in Diyala province, north of Baghdad, as U.S. troops and Iraqi security forces pursue al Qaida in Iraq, the Mahdi Army has taken over. One woman from Diyala related the story of her extended family members. They opened their homes to a Sunni family on the run from the Mahdi Army, hiding them until they could flee the next day. The Mahdi Army found out and threatened the head of the family and his sons. Now the family has fled, and its members are hiding throughout the country.

"We are worried about a power vacuum," said Salim Abdullah, spokesman for the Sunni Iraqi Accordance Front. "We have cases now . . . where people started to believe that al Qaida was what provided their security. We struck al Qaida in one place, and the militias became active. . . . We asked the army not to let militia activity increase al Qaida's popularity among people."

(McClatchy Newspapers Special Correspondent Mohammed al Dulaimy contributed to this report.)

McClatchy Newspapers 2007

Tina August 1, 2007 - 5:41am

01 Aug 2007 11:12:18 GMT
Source: Reuters

DEATH TOLL FROM SUICIDE TRUCK BOMB IN WEST BAGHDAD RISES TO 50 - POLICE

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L01496085.htm

Tina August 1, 2007 - 6:22am

Hostage rescue bid begins in Afghanistan-official

By Yousuf Azimy

GHAZNI, Afghanistan, Aug 1 (Reuters) - A military operation to rescue the remaining 21 Korean hostages held by Taliban insurgents in Afghanistan began on Wednesday, hours after a Taliban deadline expired, a provincial official said.

"The operation has started," said Khowja Seddiqi, the district chief of Ghazni's Qarabagh district, where the Taliban kidnapped 23 Korean Christian volunteers nearly two weeks ago.

He did not give more details or say which forces were involved.

Any attempt to rescue the hostages is fraught with risk, as the kidnappers have split the 18 women and three men into small groups and are holding them in different locations across the mainly flat terrain.

The Taliban could not be immediately be contacted, but spokesmen for the radical Islamist movement have repeatedly said any use of force would jeopardise the lives of the hostages.

Earlier the army had dropped leaflets warning civilians of an assault.

"The national army has dropped leaflets from helicopters telling people in several districts to evacuate their houses because it wants to launch an operation," said Khowja Seddiqi, district chief of Qarabagh, in Ghazni province.

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Tina August 1, 2007 - 7:34am

It looks like the Afghans dropped flyers in the area but might not have begun an actual rescue attempt. There is very little out there on this and most trails back to reuters.

Tina August 1, 2007 - 8:54am

Army asks locals to leave SKorea hostage area
By :
Date : 01 August 2007 2140 hrs (SST)
URL : http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_asiapacific/view/291683/1/.html

GHAZNI, Afghanistan - Military choppers Wednesday dropped leaflets asking Afghans to leave an area where 21 South Koreans were captured by the Taliban, but officials said no operation was under way to rescue them.

The defence ministry said the leaflets referred to an operation in the southern province of Ghazni that "has no links to the South Korean hostages issue" and was a routine exercise due to take place in a few weeks.

The leaflets were dropped in various parts of Ghazni including Qarabagh district where 23 South Koreans were captured by Taliban militants two weeks ago, according to locals.

Qarabagh district chief Khawaja Siddiqi said that Afghan troops and police and soldiers from the US-led coalition had launched an operation in his area aimed at rescuing the hostages.

But the coalition said it was "not aware of any operation at this time and we are not able to confirm the validity of any reports that there is a rescue operation under way."

The Afghan interior ministry denied the report.

A South Korean embassy official told AFP: "We have no information about any operation. We will check it out, but we doubt it. Before launching any operation, we must be informed."

A copy of the leaflets obtained by an AFP reporter in Ghazni town read: "For the sake of your security and reconstruction, the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan will launch an operation in your areas."

"We respectfully ask you to evacuate to safe areas or keep under cover in safe places so you are not hurt during the operation," it said.

A spokesman for the defence ministry, General Mohammad Zahir Azimi, confirmed that leaflets were dropped from the air on parts of Ghazni but said it was part of a "routine operation which will be launched in coming weeks."

The spokesman refused to provide further details, saying: "We don't talk about future operations."

Tina August 1, 2007 - 8:59am

ADVISORY-Afghan rescue operation story withdrawn:reuters

ADVISORY-Afghan rescue operation story withdrawn
01 Aug 2007 13:45:16 GMT

(Please be advised that the GHAZNI, Afghanistan, datelined story reporting that an operation to rescue 21 Korean hostages held by the Taliban had begun is wrong. The official cited in the story did not make the comment reported. There will be no substitute story.)

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/ISL20513.htm

Tina August 1, 2007 - 9:50am

IRAQ: IDP camp in south closes to new arrivals

01 Aug 2007 13:17:51 GMT
Source: IRIN

NAJAF, 1 August 2007 (IRIN) - An internally displaced persons (IDP) camp just outside the southern Iraqi city of Najaf has closed to new arrivals, forcing hundreds of Iraqis fleeing violence in Baghdad and neighbouring governorates to look elsewhere for refuge.

Families trying to access Najaf's al-Manathera camp told IRIN they were desperately searching for a place to stay as their children were getting sick in the hot weather and they had no food or shelter.

"We have been trying to get access to a camp in Najaf for the past five days… but so far no one has offered us help and my two smallest children are getting sick," said Um Abir, mother of four, recently displaced due to sectarian violence in Baghdad.

"It is hard for us to see people getting full assistance inside the camps while we are outside hungry, tired and dirty," Um Abir said, adding: "Someone should look after us before we get shot, or die in this terrible hot weather, because we don't have anywhere to shelter and have to cover our heads with newspaper."

However, Muthana Ali Zeid, media officer in the Najaf Governorate Council, said they could not afford to provide any more assistance to new arrivals.

"Many camps are completely full and, if we allow families to come in, existing IDPs will lose the assistance they are getting," Zeid said.

Al-Manathera camp

The al-Manathera camp is in an old wood factory near the Abu Skhear Silo, Al-Manathera District, about 18km south of Najaf city. The camp is one kilometre down a dirt track off the main road linking Al-Manathera with Najaf city.

The Iraqi Ministry of Displacement and Migration (MoDM) set up the camp in January 2007 in cooperation with the Iraqi Red Crescent Society (IRCS) to house families who had been squatting in settlements that had been demolished, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) said in its June/July update report on IDPs in camps in Iraq.

The camp is currently managed by the Najaf branch of the MoDM and hosts 230 families - about 1,150 people.

Zeid said a new security fence around the camp made it almost impossible for new arrivals to get in. "We understand that people need to save their lives but we also need to realise that too many families in a camp is even worse," he said.

"We cannot let more children die in the camp. If more people come in, the possibility of diseases spreading will be higher," Zeid said.

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Tina August 1, 2007 - 8:39am

Child abuse more likely during deployments

By Karen Jowers - Staff writer
Posted : Wednesday Aug 1, 2007 5:46:27 EDT

In Army enlisted families with at least one incident of child abuse, the children are far more likely to be abused during deployments, researchers have found.

And the type of abuse is likely to be child neglect at the hands of their mothers, according to a study to be published in the Aug. 1 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association by researchers at RTI International and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Public Health.

The study looked at Army families with at least one substantiated report of child abuse and had at least one combat-related deployment during the 40-month period between September 2001 and December 2004. Within those families, the rate of child abuse during soldier deployments was 42 percent higher than when the soldier was not deployed.

Only enlisted families are represented in the study; the data included only 49 officer families, too small a sample to analyze, the researchers stated. For the same reasons, they excluded 156 families in which the soldier was not married to the civilian parent, and nine families in which both husband and wife were soldiers. Thus, out of 1,985 families who met the initial criteria, 1,771 families were included in the study.

“The greatest increase we see during deployments is the increase in child neglect,” which is a category of child abuse, said Deborah Gibbs, a senior health analyst at RTI and the study’s lead author. The study was funded by the Army Medical Research and Materiel Command.

The civilian mother committed child abuse during the time the soldier-husband was deployed at a rate three times greater than when he was not deployed. The rate of child neglect was four times greater. Rates of child abuse for male civilian parents were not greater, researchers noted, suggesting that the two groups may be different in terms of the stress they experience, or how they mobilize resources to help them during deployments.

There may be several reasons for the increase in child neglect among civilian mothers, Gibbs said. “Maybe male parents are more likely to commit child physical abuse. Or, one of the ways the civilian parent left at home responds is by getting overwhelmed with the situation, and may not be keeping up with the child’s needs or supervising the child.”

She said the Army is also more stringent in its regulations about child abuse than civilian communities, “to the credit of the Army. They take seriously leaving a child alone in an apartment, or alone in a parked car at a convenience store.”

It’s understandable that young mothers with young children may find it difficult to manage when the soldier leaves, she said, “which is not to say this is trivial. It’s clear there’s a need for preventive and supportive services.”

Gibbs said she has been on several different installations and has talked about her findings with those who deal with child abuse. “They were not surprised. They are aware of this. They are working hard on it, but their resources are stretched thin. There is also the likelihood that those most in need are not going to seek the services.”

Army officials did not immediately comment on whether they are taking any actions as a result of the research. But officials have taken a variety of steps over the last few years, including increasing the availability of child care at deployed bases, implementing a 24-hour information and referral service through Military OneSource in addition to help available at Army Community Service centers, and adding more personnel to support families in deployed units.

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Tina August 1, 2007 - 10:02am

Sunni Political Group Withdraws From Iraq Cabinet

By Megan Greenwell
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, August 1, 2007; 11:52 AM

BAGHDAD, Aug. 1 -- Iraq's largest Sunni political group formally withdrew from Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's government Wednesday, dealing a major blow to Maliki's efforts to build a cohesive government.

The Accordance Front announced that will vacate its six seats in Maliki's cabinet after the prime minister and other leading government officials failed to make progress on a list of demands the group issued last week. Accordance Front members said their decision came after Maliki failed to show a commitment to solving the problems of ordinary Iraqi people.

"The government is continuing with its arrogance, refusing to change its stand and slamming shut the door to any meaningful reforms necessary to save Iraq," said senior Accordance Front member Rafaa al-Issawi.

The announcement represents a setback not just for Maliki, but for President Bush, who is expecting a progress report from the top U.S. military commander in Iraq on Sept. 15. The discord within the government and the lack of legislative progress in parliament could undermine his assessment of conditions in Iraq and further decrease congressional support for the war.

The Accordance Front had demanded the release of thousands of detainees it says are unjustly imprisoned, the removal of all militia members from the Iraqi police force and the return of displaced families to their homes. The Sunnis also sought a greater role in security matters and further investigation into mass kidnappings and bombings of Sunni shrines.

Issawi said the group's demands will remain on the table and that its 44 parliament members will not withdraw. "The Front will remain active in the political process with the hope of reforming it and correcting its path in order to get rid of the appearances and the reasons behind the sectarian split," he said.

The announcement came on a violent day in Baghdad, as two car bomb attacks killed at least 70 people, police said. A fuel tanker exploded in the volatile western neighborhood of Mansour, killed at least 50 people and wounding 60 others. Meanwhile, a car bomb in Karrada, in central Baghdad, killed at least 20 people and injured 32 others, police said.

The attack in Karrada was at least the eighth such blast in that neighborhood in the past month. Although the busy shopping district was once considered one of Baghdad's safest areas, it has seen a dramatic increase in violence in the past several weeks.

Also Wednesday, the U.S. military announced that four American troops had been killed in two incidents on Tuesday. That brought the total number of U.S. deaths in July to 76, the lowest number since November 2006, according to icasualties.org.

Special correspondent Saad al-Izzi contributed to this report.

pipermaru August 1, 2007 - 12:03pm

The death squads are still pretty much rampant in Baghdad, leaving there 20-25 daily victims. Ethnic cleansing continues. Even in Anbar, where tthe much touted turn-around began last year, there were still over 400 attacks on US troops in June. Admittedly, thats down from about 800 twelve months ago. But 400 is still a hell of a lot of attacks. Clearly, important insurgent groups - and not the ISI - maintain a significant base of support even in an area that is purpotedly the US's biggest recent success.

-----

From the Comment section following the article entitled, “Sunni bloc withdrawal”

Abu Aardvark: describes itself as “ongoing, updated commentary on the Arab media and politics.”

canuck August 5, 2007 - 9:42am


US 'loses' 190,000 weapons in Iraq

Article from: Agence France-Presse

From correspondents in Baghdad

August 01, 2007 10:49pm

THE US Government cannot account for 190,000 weapons issued to Iraqi security forces in 2004 and 2005, says the Government Accountability Office.

According to its July 31 report, the military “cannot fully account for about 110,000 AK-47 assault rifles, 80,000 pistols, 135,000 items of body armour and 115,000 helmets reported as issued to Iraqi forces”.

The weapons disappeared from records between June 2004 and September 2005, as the military struggled to rebuild the disbanded Iraqi forces from scratch amid increasing attacks from Sunni insurgents and Shiite militias.

Since 2004 the military “has not consistently collected supporting records confirming the dates the equipment was received, the quantities of equipment delivered, or the Iraqi units receiving the items,” the report said.

“Since 2006 the command has placed greater emphasis on collecting the supporting documents. However, GAO's review of the January 2007 property books found continuing problems with missing and incomplete records.”

US commanders often accuse foreign powers such as Iran of supplying arms to illegal militias fighting in Iraq, but the report shows they cannot fully account for the hundreds thousands of weapons they brought in themselves.

Last month, Turkey raised concerns over reports that separatist Kurdish guerrillas launching cross-border raids from northern Iraq had received US-supplied guns supposedly destined for Iraqi security forces.

Brigadier General Kevin Bergner, spokesman for the US-led military in Iraq, said the Americans were working hard with their Iraqi partners to improve accountability and increase the security of weapons.

“We are working very hard with the Government of Iraq and Iraqi security forces at every level to increase the accountability and to increase the security of the weapons that are provided to the Iraqi forces,” he said.

The US has spent $US19.2 billion (22.61 billion) on Iraq's security forces since the 2003 invasion to oust Saddam Hussein, with $US2.8 billion ($3.3 billion) devoted to equipping them.

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Tina August 1, 2007 - 1:52pm

Are made in the US. Not in Iran.

creativelcro August 1, 2007 - 3:45pm

Deplete all our bases around the world, provide american industry with
new weapons contracts, reinstitute the draft, make the world believe we
will crush our enemys with vigor and PROTECT THE innocent. Then sit back for two weeks and engage our enemys with earnest sincere peaceful options and be out in two years with some form of a government.

mcgrande August 1, 2007 - 6:17pm

Is that the US is actually trying to do something good in Iraq. Let me state what I think is the objective: the US is attempting to build an environment in Iraq that is conducive to the development of Iraq's natural resources; read OIL, read third largest proved oil reserves in the world.

The global economy requires a constant reliable flow of oil especially as maximum worldwide oil production can barely meet demand. Saddam, for many reasons could not or did not allow or create the development of Iraq's oil reserves that would result in future reliability of exports. The little much needed free-board between demand and supply that Iraq can supply is critical.

Now, you might say, that protecting the innocent and creating a reliable government in Iraq would achieve that goal but that is not quite true. Too much of that sort of thing would create a robust Iraq which would want to control its own destiny; they might want to husband and consume their own resources.

Stop thinking of the US military as a force for good and realize they are a tool, a weapon, in the hands of the petroleum industry corporations that run the US through their Texas Oil-men proxies Bush and Cheney.

Joaquin August 1, 2007 - 8:04pm

The primary purpose was most certainly for those you mentioned. I was refering to a military/political means by which we make the world think
we intend buildup for bargaining power, more pressure on the domestic Sunni and Shite elements. Creating some form of peace is essential and
that is why more troops are needed. I am talking about perception, momentum, the main warring elements will deal.

mcgrande August 2, 2007 - 5:30pm

EOM

Joaquin August 2, 2007 - 6:01pm

US military has a lose-lose dilemma in Iraq

By Michael Schwartz
Asia Times
3 August 2007

President George W Bush has called on Congress, the American public, the Iraqi people and the world to suspend judgment - until at least September - on the success of his escalation of the war in Iraq, euphemistically designated a "surge". But the fact is: it has already failed and it's obvious enough why.

Much attention has been paid to the recent White House report that recorded "satisfactory performance" on eight Congressional benchmarks and "unsatisfactory performance" on six others (with an additional four receiving mixed evaluations). Fred Kaplan of Slate and Patrick Cockburn of the Independent, among others, have demonstrated the fraudulence of this assessment. Cockburn summarized his savaging of the document thusly: "In reality, the six failures are on issues critical to the survival of Iraq while the eight successes are on largely trivial matters."

As it happens, though, these benchmarks are almost completely beside the point. They don't represent the key goals of the "surge" at all, which were laid out clearly by the president in his January speech announcing the operation:

Our troops will have a well-defined mission: to help Iraqis clear and secure neighborhoods, to help them protect the local population, and to help ensure that the Iraqi forces left behind are capable of providing the security that Baghdad needs.

The success of such "benchmarks" can be judged relatively easily. As Bush himself put the matter: "We can expect to see Iraqi troops chasing down murderers, fewer brazen acts of terror, and growing trust and cooperation from Baghdad's residents."

This was supposed to be accomplished through two major initiatives. Most visibly, the US military was to adopt a more aggressive strategy for pacifying Baghdad neighborhoods considered strongholds for the Sunni insurgency. Occupation officials blame them for the bulk of the vehicle bombs and other suicide attacks that have devastated mainly Shi'ite neighborhoods. The second, less visible (but no less important) initiative involved subduing the Mahdi Army of cleric Muqtada al-Sadr - the largest and most ferocious of the Shi'ite militias - which occupation officials blame for the bulk of death-squad murders in and around the capital.

These changes should have been observable as early as July. By then, as a "senior American military officer" told the New York Times, it would already be time to refocus attention on "restoring services and rebuilding the neighborhoods".

To judge the "surge" right now - by the president's real "benchmarks" - we need only look for a dramatic drop in vehicle and other "multiple fatality bombings" in populated areas, and for a dramatic drop in the number of tortured and executed bodies found each morning in various dumping spots around Baghdad.

By these measures, the "surge" has already been a miserable failure, something that began to be documented as early as April when Nancy Youssef of the McClatchy newspapers reported that there had been no decline in suicide-bombing deaths; and that, after an initial decline in the bodies discarded by death squads around the capital, the numbers were rising again. (These trends have been substantiated by the Brookings Institution, which has long collected the latest statistics from Iraq.)

A more vivid way to appreciate the nature of the almost instantaneous failure of the overall "surge" operation is anecdotally by reading news reports of specific campaigns - like the report Julian Barnes and Ned Parker of the Los Angeles Times sent in from Baghdad's Sunni-majority Ubaidi neighborhood, which was headlined "US troop buildup in Iraq falling short". It concluded ominously, "US forces so far have been unable to establish security, even for themselves."

Or we might note that, instead of ebbing, violence in Iraq was flooding into new areas, just beyond the reach of the US combat brigades engaged in the "surge". Or perhaps it's worth pointing out that, by July, the highly fortified Green Zone in the very heart of Baghdad - designed as the invulnerable safe haven for American and Iraqi officials - had become a regular target for increasingly destructive mortar and rocket attacks launched from unpacified neighborhoods elsewhere in the capital. According to New York Times reporters Alissa J Rubin and Stephen Farrell, the zone has been "attacked almost daily for weeks".

Or we could focus on the fact that the long supply lines needed to support the "surge" - massive convoys of trucks moving weapons, ammunition and supplies heading north from Kuwait into Baghdad - have become a regular target for insurgents. Embedded reporter Michael Yon, for instance, recently reported that, for convoys on this route, "it's not unusual to be diverted or delayed a half-dozen times or more due to real or suspected bombs".

In the end, though, perhaps the best indicator is the surging strength of the primary target of the "surge" in Shi'ite areas. Since the "surge" plan was officially launched in mid-February, according to the Times' Rubin, the Mahdi Army "has effectively taken over vast swaths of the capital".

Twenty thousand more American combat troops are now in and around the capital. (The rest of the 28,500 troops the president sent surging into Iraq have been dispatched to other provinces outside the capital.) This has meant a tripling of American troops on patrol at any given time, but it has failed to produce either significantly "fewer brazen acts of terror" or progress in "restoring services and rebuilding the neighborhoods". So it can be no surprise that the "surge" has failed to generate "growing trust and cooperation from Baghdad's residents".

much more at link

pipermaru August 2, 2007 - 8:07am

Water taps run dry in Iraq; suicide bomb kills 13

BAGHDAD (AP) — Much of the Iraqi capital was without running water Thursday and had been for at least 24 hours, compounding the urban misery in a war zone and the blistering heat at the height of the Baghdad summer.

Residents and city officials said large sections in the west of the capital had been virtually dry for six days because the already strained electricity grid can't provide sufficient juice to run water purification and pumping stations.

Jamil Hussein, 52, retired army officer who lives in northeast Baghdad, said his house has been without water for two weeks, except for two hours at night. He says the water that does flow smells and is unclean.

Two of his children have severe diarrhea that the doctor attributed to drinking what tap water was available, even after it was boiled.

"We'll have to continue drinking it because we don't have money to buy bottled water," he said.

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Tina August 2, 2007 - 2:23pm

Four U.S. soldiers killed in Baghdad

BAGHDAD, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Four U.S. soldiers were killed in Baghdad on Thursday, three of them when their patrol was struck by a roadside bomb, the U.S. military said on Friday.

The roadside bomb attack took place as U.S. troops were conducting operations to disrupt insurgent and militia activities in eastern Baghdad, the military said.

A fourth soldier was killed in combat in western Baghdad.

The deaths took the U.S. death toll in Iraq since the U.S.-led invasion in 2003 to at least 3,665.

Tina August 3, 2007 - 4:46am

Homecoming for Iraqi Soccer Team

Friday August 3, 2007 10:46 AM

By HAMID AHMED

Associated Press Writer

BAGHDAD (AP) - Iraq anxiously awaited the arrival of its Asian Cup soccer champs Friday, but most Baghdad residents would be barred from the homecoming celebration because of security.

The team, which hasn't played a home game in 17 years, was due to land at Baghdad's international airport Friday afternoon. Iraqi officials, led by the minister of sport and youth, would receive them, ministry spokesman Hassan Qassim said.

But three players - team captain Younis Mahmoud, Nashat Akram and Hawar Mulla Mohammed - would not be with them. Mahmoud, who scored the winning goal in Iraq's 1-0 Asian Cup final win over Saudi Arabia, had said he feared for his life if he returned to Iraq to celebrate the stunning victory.

Qassim said a welcome-home celebration would be held in a Baghdad hotel in the heavily fortified Green Zone, home to the U.S. Embassy and the Iraqi government headquarters.

``I wish the celebration would take place in al-Shaab stadium, but that is impossible for security reasons,'' said Mohammed Kadhom, 35, who works at the country's oil ministry. Al-Shaab is a huge, Saddam Hussein-era facility on the capital's east side.

``It is sad that we can't receive our national team in a public celebration as others do, I myself fear for their safety,'' Kadhom said.
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Tina August 3, 2007 - 4:57am

Aug 4, 2007

US demands Iran rein in Shi'ite militias
By Gareth Porter

WASHINGTON - A little-noticed statement by US Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker after last week's US-Iran meeting revealed that the main demand of the George W Bush administration to Iran is not to stop supplying weapons to Shi'ite militias but to use its influence with Shi'ites in Iraq to reduce their attacks on occupation forces.

That demand, which belies official assertions of certainty that the Iranian government is providing arms to the militias, is consistent with other evidence that the Bush administration was primarily

concerned with getting Iranian assistance in restraining its Shi'ite allies when its campaign over Iranian arms began early this year.

Crocker told reporters after the July 24 meeting on Iraq that he had held Iran responsible for Shi'ite militia attacks in Iraq, and that the US administration expects Iran to do something to reduce those attacks. He said he had "made very clear" to the Iranian diplomats "that over the roughly two months since our last meeting we've actually seen militia-related activity that could be attributed to Iranian support go up and not down".

Then Crocker added, "We made it clear to the Iranians that we know what they're doing [and] it's up to them to decide what they want to do about it."

The US diplomat's deliberate shift of focus away from the flow of arms to the Shi'ite militias to the number of attacks carried out by those groups strongly suggests that the Bush administration was never actually convinced that Iran was providing arms to its fellow Shi'ites in Iraq. If the administration were really concerned primarily with Iran's involvement in providing arms to the Shi'ites, it would certainly have taken advantage of the bilateral talks to focus on the demand for an end to that flow.

By issuing an open-ended invitation to Iran to "decide what they want to do about" the Shi'ite operations, however, the administration was clearly signaling that it really wants Iran to intercede with armed Shi'ite groups in Iraq to get them to exercise restraint.

Crocker's interest in Iran's ability to restrain armed Shi'ite groups is in line with an important speech last October by Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns, the department's senior policymaker on Iran, which made it clear that the administration really wanted Iran to use its influence with the Shi'ites to calm the situation in Iraq.

After accusing Iran of providing "very sophisticated arms" to Shi'ite "insurgents" and "terrorists", Burns said, "We expect that Iran, given its obvious interest in Iraq, and given the degree of influence that it has over parts of the Shi'a community in Iraq, is going to now decide to act differently."

Burns was quite explicit about the primary demand on Iran. He went on to say, "Can you really say that Iran is using its political influence over some of the Shi'ite political groups to send a message of unity, of a unitary state and a unity among the three major groups competing for political power in Iraq? I don't see that Iran has used its influence in that way."

The Burns speech at the Council on Foreign Relations on October 11 came only a few days after Bush authorized the capture of members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, to create what senior officials described to the Washington Post's Karen DeYoung as "a sense of vulnerability among Iranian leaders".

In January, when the new, more aggressive policy against Iran was announced, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates began talking about the need for "leverage" on the Iranians "before we engage with the Iranians". If negotiations with Iran were to begin "right now", Gates lamented, "we would be the supplicant".

That sequence of events indicates that the publicity campaign around the alleged Iranian provision of arms to the militias was only a part of the larger strategy for increasing the pressure on Iran. For Gates and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice - but not for Vice President Dick Cheney - the objective was to get Iran's cooperation on its Iraqi Shi'ite allies.

Iran's support for Shi'ite militias in Iraq is generally believed to reflect its interest in maintaining good relations with all Shi'ite factions in the country.

Despite a Bush administration policy to emphasize the charge of Iranian official complicity in the supply of arms, there were telltale signs from the beginning that the Iranian arms charge was a political operation that reflected the neo-conservative penchant for creating evidence to serve the policy objective. Asked on February 3 whether there was evidence that the government in Tehran was behind the weapons obtained by Shi'ite militias in Iraq, Gates replied: "I don't know that we know the answer to that question."

more

Tina August 3, 2007 - 6:11am


"The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential."

- Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Escher Sketch August 3, 2007 - 10:25am

...I find this one a little thin. The premise is that there's been a de-emphasis in concern regarding the flow of Iranian weapons and that this indicates that the weapons were an issue consciously manufactured in order to gain American leverage. I certainly agree that the increased public statements around these weapons were designed to give the US increased leverage, but I don't buy the notion that the USG isn't concerned about the flow of weapons. When one looks at the full text of Amb. Crocker's remarks, they do not seem to me to de-emphasize the weapons flow as Porter asserts:

QUESTION: Ambassador, Jamie Tarabay from National Public Radio. Are you more
optimistic coming out of today's meetings, which on for significantly longer than the last time the three parties were in the same room, considering what has happened in the space in between those meetings and we were talking about the military briefings about the information that you have about Iran's involvement in these attacks against coalition troops?

AMBASSADOR CROCKER: Well the fact is, as we made very clear in today's talks, that over the roughly two months since our last meeting we've actually seen militia related activity that can be attributed to Iranian support go up and not down. And you all have seen in the MNF briefings the detail we have on that -- the evidence that supports it.

So I was as clear as I could be with the Iranians that this effort, this discussion has to be measured in results not in principals or promises and that thus far the results on the ground are not encouraging.

[snip]

QUESTION: (In Arabic). In the first meeting with the Iranian ambassador, you said that you were going to wait what will happen on the ground. Since the two months that went by, have you felt that there is an Iranian intention or a work -- Iranian action that they are supporting the government of Iraq and the spokesperson of the foreign ministry of Iranian support to militias are vain accusations without any real basis. This is what we want to hear you about and there are proposals from Iran that have come to you concerning Iraq.

AMBASSADOR CROCKER: You've got a few questions in there.

On the first -- which is -- are we seeing on the ground results? As I said earlier, thus far what we've been seeing on the ground over the last couple of months has in many respects represented and escalation not a de-escalation.

In the response to the second part of your question, comments from the Iranian foreign ministry spokesman -- we have laid out what is clear to us as evidence of Iranian support for some of these militia activities. And again, for us, it is a very clear case. We have individuals in custody who have spoken of Iranian involvement. We have the evidence of weapons and ammunition captured on the ground that most of you have seen at least the pictures of.

There is no question in our mind that this support is going on. It's not something we are trying to or need to prove in a court of law. We made it clear to the Iranians that we know what they're doing. It's up to them to decide what they want to do about it because a point we have made previously is that Iran's stated policy of, you know, support for a stable democratic Iraq is not only consistent with U.S. policy. It makes sense in terms of Iran's own interests. No people have suffered greater harm under Saddam Hussein than the Iraqis themselves, but second only to the Iraqis are the Iranians. That vicious eight year war that Saddam launched against them has to be something no Iranian will ever forget.

So it certainly seems to us that their stated policy makes sense in terms of their national interests. Our concern is their practices on the ground are running against that policy, against Iraq's interest as well as the coalition. So if this dialogue affords them the opportunity to bring their practice in to line with policy, it will be a good thing.

[emphasis added]

In between the two excerpts that Porter quotes, USG concern with the flow of weapons. I tend to see Crocker's remarks as a continuation of previous trends with the addition of milita activity, rather than substitution.

"When intelligence producers realize that there is no sense in forwarding to a consumer knowledge which does not correspond to his preconceptions, then intelligence is through." ~ Sherman Kent

JustPlainDave August 3, 2007 - 10:58am

Middle East
Aug 4, 2007

Iraq bleeds US Treasury, enriches contractors
By Eli Clifton

WASHINGTON - In a report to US lawmakers this week, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office found that the war in Iraq could cost US taxpayers more than a trillion dollars when the long-term costs of caring for soldiers wounde