Team Agonist -
This is the Middle East Crisis IV open-thread. We all hope this doesn't turn into the July War, but these days? Please post all developments, news stories, comments, links, theories, ideas, etc. here in this thread. The earlier threads can be found here and here and here.. If you post comments in this thread, please do not post identical news articles in the newsqueue.
Two from Stratfor:
The Israeli air force attacked Dahiyah, a neighborhood in the Lebanese capital of Beirut, at about 6:30 p.m. local time, Reuters reported July 23.
And:
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have begun preparing for the possibility of installing a military administration over areas of southern Lebanon already occupied by Israel, Maj. Gen. Udi Adam, the leader of IDF's Northern Command, said July 23.
And let us not forget Gaza:
Here:
French Foreign Minister, Philippe Douste Blazy, has expressed great concerns over the appalling situation in Gaza due to Israel's intensified military operations against a highly populated area.
And here:
Almost a month after Israel launched its brutal offensive in Gaza claiming it’s aimed at pressuring groups holding Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit to release him, a number of Palestinian resistance groups in the Gaza Strip agreed to stop firing rockets at Israel during midnight, on one condition that it launches no new raids on Gaza, Palestinian officials said.
More as it develops. Previous updates after the jump.
Stratfor reports that Israel has captured the southern Lebanese town of Maroun al-Ras.

After nearly three days of fighting, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has secured the town of Maroun al-Ras, a few miles inside the Lebanese border.
[snip]
If we look at the Avivim-Maroun al-Ras line, we see Israeli armor has taken the three-way crossroads to the northwest. That means . . . that Israeli forces can move northward from Maroun al-Ras to a second road junction.
From there, they can move into the complex of roads that navigate the region.
[snip]
The IDF seems to be engaged in two missions. The first is suppressing rocket fire from bunker complexes. The second is clearing roads for larger attacks deeper into Lebanon. The move represents a systematic advance. It also cuts Hezbollah's forces in southern Lebanon in two, preventing the militant group from sending reinforcements to any troops stranded behind Israeli lines.
The widely predicted ground assault has begun. Major articles include Ha'aretz, the Associated Press, the Washington Post and the New York Times. Juan Cole's July 21 post is here and Chris Albritton at Back to Iraq has a great post with video, here. Col. Lang posted his comments from an interview by Wolf Blitzer yesterday, here.
Stratfor writes:
The ground war has begun. Several Israeli brigades now appear to be operating between the Lebanese border and the Litani River. According to reports, Hezbollah forces are dispersed in multiple bunker complexes and are launching rockets from these and other locations.
Hezbollah's strategy appears to be threefold. First, force Israel into costly attacks against prepared fortifications. Second, draw Israeli troops as deeply into Lebanon as possible, forcing them to fight on extended supply lines. Third, move into an Iraqi-style insurgency from which Israel -- out of fear of a resumption of rocket attacks -- cannot withdraw, but which the Israelis also cannot endure because of extended long-term casualties. This appears to have been a carefully planned strategy, built around a threat to Israeli cities that Israel can't afford. The war has begun at Hezbollah's time and choosing.
PINR writes:
While the regional political-strategic context suggests that the ongoing Israeli-Lebanese conflict needs to be analyzed in light of the interests of other Middle Eastern players, Israel's primary security goals are strictly related to Hezbollah's offensive arsenal.