Middle East Crisis Open Thread IV

Team Agonist - This is the Middle East Crisis IV open-thread. We all hope this doesn't turn into the July War, but these days? Please post all developments, news stories, comments, links, theories, ideas, etc. here in this thread. The earlier threads can be found here and here and here.. If you post comments in this thread, please do not post identical news articles in the newsqueue.

Two from Stratfor:

The Israeli air force attacked Dahiyah, a neighborhood in the Lebanese capital of Beirut, at about 6:30 p.m. local time, Reuters reported July 23.

And:

Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have begun preparing for the possibility of installing a military administration over areas of southern Lebanon already occupied by Israel, Maj. Gen. Udi Adam, the leader of IDF's Northern Command, said July 23.

And let us not forget Gaza:

Here:

French Foreign Minister, Philippe Douste Blazy, has expressed great concerns over the appalling situation in Gaza due to Israel's intensified military operations against a highly populated area.

And here:

Almost a month after Israel launched its brutal offensive in Gaza claiming it’s aimed at pressuring groups holding Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit to release him, a number of Palestinian resistance groups in the Gaza Strip agreed to stop firing rockets at Israel during midnight, on one condition that it launches no new raids on Gaza, Palestinian officials said.

More as it develops. Previous updates after the jump.

Stratfor reports that Israel has captured the southern Lebanese town of Maroun al-Ras.

After nearly three days of fighting, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has secured the town of Maroun al-Ras, a few miles inside the Lebanese border.

[snip]

If we look at the Avivim-Maroun al-Ras line, we see Israeli armor has taken the three-way crossroads to the northwest. That means . . . that Israeli forces can move northward from Maroun al-Ras to a second road junction.

From there, they can move into the complex of roads that navigate the region.

[snip]

The IDF seems to be engaged in two missions. The first is suppressing rocket fire from bunker complexes. The second is clearing roads for larger attacks deeper into Lebanon. The move represents a systematic advance. It also cuts Hezbollah's forces in southern Lebanon in two, preventing the militant group from sending reinforcements to any troops stranded behind Israeli lines.

The widely predicted ground assault has begun. Major articles include Ha'aretz, the Associated Press, the Washington Post and the New York Times. Juan Cole's July 21 post is here and Chris Albritton at Back to Iraq has a great post with video, here. Col. Lang posted his comments from an interview by Wolf Blitzer yesterday, here.

Stratfor writes:

The ground war has begun. Several Israeli brigades now appear to be operating between the Lebanese border and the Litani River. According to reports, Hezbollah forces are dispersed in multiple bunker complexes and are launching rockets from these and other locations.

Hezbollah's strategy appears to be threefold. First, force Israel into costly attacks against prepared fortifications. Second, draw Israeli troops as deeply into Lebanon as possible, forcing them to fight on extended supply lines. Third, move into an Iraqi-style insurgency from which Israel -- out of fear of a resumption of rocket attacks -- cannot withdraw, but which the Israelis also cannot endure because of extended long-term casualties. This appears to have been a carefully planned strategy, built around a threat to Israeli cities that Israel can't afford. The war has begun at Hezbollah's time and choosing.

PINR writes:

While the regional political-strategic context suggests that the ongoing Israeli-Lebanese conflict needs to be analyzed in light of the interests of other Middle Eastern players, Israel's primary security goals are strictly related to Hezbollah's offensive arsenal.


Sean Paul Kelley July 23, 2006 - 2:42pm

Iraqi Shias march in support of beleaguered Lebanon
(AFP)

21 July 2006

BAGHDAD - Hundreds of Iraqi Shias marched in support of Lebanon’s Hezbollah militia Friday as imams led weekly prayers with condemnations of Israel, the United States and many Arab regimes.

Putting aside concerns about Baghdad’s rapidly worsening security situation, Iraqis focused their anger on Israel’s deadly 10-day-old bombardment of their co-religionists in Lebanon and on the international community’s response.

More than 300 members of radical Shia cleric Moqtada’s Al Sadr’s armed movement marched in the Baghdad neighbourhood of Sadr City chanting support for Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shia militia which provoked Israel’s assault.

Carrying assault rifles and rocket-propelled grenades, and waving a yellow Hezbollah flag, the Mehdi Army militiamen paraded through the Shia district in solidarity with the militia battling Israel in southern Lebanon.

“We are at your command, Moqtada, we are at your command Nasrallah,” they chanted referring to Sadr and to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, one of the targets of Israel’s campaign.

The militiamen, dressed in military fatigues and black clothes, also carried banners reading: “The Mehdi Army and Hezbollah hand in hand for the defence of Islam and Shiism”.

Sadr himself, speaking at a mosque in the holy city of Kufa, called on the Arab League, the United Nations and the Organisation of the Islamic Conference to demand an immediate halt to Israeli attacks.

Other preachers strongly condemned the international community for what they see as a low-key response to Israeli aggression, focusing their bitterness especially on Sunni Arab governments and Israel’s ally the United States.

US forces lead an international coalition deployed in Iraq and battling to restore stability after the 2003 overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and have in the past clashed violently with the Mehdi Army.

In Najaf, Sheikh Sadr Al Din Al Qubanji, an imam linked to the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, on the main parties in the government, criticized the weak nature of international and Arab condemnation on Israel’s actions.

“This (weak) condemnation has given a green light to Israeli to continue its attack on Lebanon. Iraqis, even with all their suffering, stand with the Lebanese people and condemn the Israeli attack,” he added.

Tina July 21, 2006 - 12:49pm

http://www.voanews.com/english/2006-07-21-voa37.cfm


Pakistani protesters burn replica of United States and Israeli flags at rally, Friday

Protests Held Against Israel as Bombardment of Lebanon Continues
By VOA News
21 July 2006

Protests have erupted around the world against Israel's bombardment of Lebanon and military action in the Gaza Strip.

Thousands of Egyptians gathered at Cairo's al-Azhar Mosque, waving Lebanese and Palestinian flags and chanting support to Hezbollah - the militant group that is the focus of Israel's attacks.

Two thousand protesters also marched through the Jordanian capital of Amman and called on Hezbollah to destroy the Israeli city of Haifa.

Thousands of people also took to the streets of Yemen to support the Lebanese and Palestinian people.

Several other protests were held across South Asia, in India Kashmir, cities across Pakistan and the Bangladeshi capital of Dhaka.

Demonstrators also have taken to the streets in Venezuela and El Salvador. And in Moscow, Russians gathered outside the Israeli embassy to protest the escalating violence.

Tina July 21, 2006 - 3:43pm

what kind of certifiable idiot of a strategist would think that in 2006 things you do in Iraq or Lebanon or Gaza have predictable, local, linear and controllable consequences when the entire world is observing in realtime?

Out with neocons of all stripes - not because they are warmongers, but because they are stupid. Stick a fork in them - they are so done.

Escher Sketch July 21, 2006 - 6:36pm

I was thinking exactly the same thing this morning. What's different? It's totally realtime, everywhere.

War is essentially outmoded.

dhomyak July 22, 2006 - 10:49pm

Oh so true. My opinion? War as we know it is over - we're witnessing the death spasms of a paradigm. The Cheneys and Rumsfelds and Husseins are lonely, crazed Japanese soldiers marooned on their islands fighting on ten years after the war ended, clinging to strategic models with roots in the days when the globe was vast and spacious, maps still had white spaces on them and a ship took weeks to cross the globe.

What remains is the formidable task of dismantling a machine that has lots of guns and really doesn't want to be dismantled. They can still do a hell of a lot of damage. But we're fast becoming a post-war species; we no longer have the space to tolerate it.

Escher Sketch July 22, 2006 - 11:24pm

20:19 Halutz accuses Hezbollah of using mosques to conceal Katyusha launchers (Ch. 10)

20:17 Halutz: Close to 100 Hezbollah gunmen killed thus far (Channel 10)

20:35 Halutz says Lebanon ground operation to be limited in scope (Channel 1)

20:33 Halutz: Information points to all three abducted soldiers being alive (Haaretz)

20:31 Halutz: Israeli government, not int`l community, setting timetable for actions (Haaretz)

20:30 Roadblocks set up near TA beachfront due to possible terrorist infiltration (Haaretz)

20:30 Halutz: Senior members of Hezbollah hit in air force strikes (Haaretz)

20:26 Security forces suspect suicide bomber has infiltrated Tel Aviv region (Haaretz)

20:25 Syria continues to allow flow of weapons to Hezbollah (Channel 1)

20:25 Halutz: Don`t want to give dates, will try to keep operation short (Haaretz)
__________________

stunster July 21, 2006 - 2:08pm

21 - Portuguese escapee says that Israel bombing civilian targets in Lebanon

UN urges Lebanon truce, pleads for humanitarian access to trapped civilians

Naharnet
__________________

21:51 Police lower alert level in Tel Aviv after arrest of three suspects (Haaretz)

21:51 Envoy to U.S. Ayalon: About 40 percent of Hezbollah military capability destroyed (AP)
__________________

22.30: Three consecutive Israeli raids on "Baldat al Khiyam" in the South. 22.29: Israel assures and Lebanese sources deny Israeli forces positioning in some southern villages. Tayyar ..Org . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _

22.38: Israeli raids on the nuns quarter in the An-Nabatiyat city. Tayyar ..Org .

Israeli army finds the body of one of its soldiers who was missing in south Lebanon
LBCI

stunster July 21, 2006 - 3:42pm

Please provide links to your posts. Thanks!

Tina July 21, 2006 - 3:44pm

someone isn't making shit up or manipulating perception - please provide links to news services who are making shit up and manipulating perception :D.

Escher Sketch July 21, 2006 - 6:39pm

More Rockets Strike Israeli City of Haifa

Friday July 21, 2006 8:46 PM

AP Photo JRL160

By GABE ROSS

Associated Press Writer

HAIFA, Israel (AP) - Normally, Haifa's streets would have been crowded Friday with people shopping for the Sabbath. But when another barrage of Hezbollah missiles struck this port city in the afternoon, most streets were empty, and as a result only six people were wounded.

In Israel's third-largest city, where eight people were killed in a rocket attack last Sunday, many residents now avoid being far from a bomb shelter, knowing that air raid sirens are a daily occurrence.

On Friday, a missile hit the roof of a two-story post office at 1:10 p.m. and landed on its staircase out front. The attack in central Haifa blew out windows in offices and shops up to 100 yards away.

Rescue workers raced to the scene and took the wounded away in ambulances, including a middle-aged woman who was bleeding from both legs.

At the Russian-language bookstore next to the post office, the windows were blown out and blood stained the floor.

Six people were wounded, one seriously, and 22 others were treated for shock, police said.

Mutlak Michlof, who owns a hair salon near the post office, said: ``I sat by the window and suddenly there was a siren. So my customers went farther inside and I stood there. Then there was a boom and everything fell on me. This is a huge mess.''

Another rocket exploded in a northern suburb of Haifa just after 2:45 p.m., hitting a compound of temporary housing for 450 Ethiopian immigrants, 230 of them children.

The missile struck the ground near the main building used by the government agency that manages the compound, and caused no casualties despite spraying shrapnel and dirt over a nearby soccer court.

Shlomo Mola, 40, who works for the agency, said that when the air raid sirens sounded, he moved a group of children toward the center of the building.

``We knew it was close. People were screaming and crying. Suddenly everything was smoky and hazy,'' he said.

In all, air raid sirens sounded five times in Haifa on Friday, and seven rockets hit the city, five of them landing in open areas and causing no casualties, police said.

more

Tina July 21, 2006 - 3:56pm

Israel's behavior is to the war on terror what the use of fossil fuel is to global warming

abooboo July 23, 2006 - 2:09am

And there is this little shoe shop...

dhomyak July 22, 2006 - 10:51pm

Shiite cleric: Israel will collapse like New York's twin towers

Radical Iraqi Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr on Friday predicted Israel would collapse like New York's twin towers on Sept. 11, 2001, if Sunnis and Shiites join in their fight.

"I will continue defending my Shiite and Sunni brothers, and I tell them that if we unite, we will defeat Israel without the use of weapons," Sadr said during a speech in the southern city Iraqi city of Kufa. (AP) .

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3279488,00.html

stunster July 21, 2006 - 4:14pm

22.38 - israeli raid on HAY AL RAHBAT in AL NABATIYE

22.44 - italian foreign affairs minister: we did not invite syria,iran and israel to attend the convention about lebanon

23.12 - chirac invites solana to work on achieving an immediate cease fire

23.17 - israeli jets are flying around over the area from AADLOUN to AL ZAHRANI

23.43 - israeli flights over AAKAR,AL BEKAA and raids over SOUR and AL KHIAM areas

www.tayyar.org

stunster July 21, 2006 - 4:19pm

BEIRUT, July 21 (Reuters) - At first, Bushra Khayyat tried to ignore the incessant ringing of the phone at her house in Lebanon's southern port city of Sidon. It was 4 a.m., but she finally got out of bed.

"I said hello and got a recorded message from Israel," she told Reuters.

In clear Arabic, the strong voice on the phone said: "Oh Lebanese people, we tell you not to follow Hizbollah. We will continue to strike and no one will bring your prisoners back from Israel except the Lebanese government."

Other residents of the south have received similar calls.

"My grandmother got two calls at 5 and 6 in the morning saying the Israeli state would not stop the attacks and asking everyone to leave the area south of the Litani," said one woman who is stranded in Sidon. "She slammed the phone down."

Israel has dropped flyers on Lebanon during its 10-day-old conflict with Hizbollah guerrillas, warning people to stay away from the group's strongholds, warning them to evacuate their villages in the south or caricaturing the chief of Hizbollah.

But there was something eerie about the phone calls.

"It was a shock to get a call from Israel," said Khayyat, who has since fled the bombardment to Syria and then France.

"I have caller ID on my landline and when I checked it came up as 'out of area'. It's not that I was scared, I just wished I could talk back to the voice but it was a recorded message."

Khayyat got a similar call two nights later, this time answered by her maid, who, panicking when she heard a voice announce "this is Israel", immediately put down the phone.

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L21887307.htm

stunster July 21, 2006 - 4:34pm

Lebanon victims buried in mass grave By NASSER NASSER and HAMZA HENDAWI, Associated Press Writers
46 minutes ago

Soldiers laid 72 coffins in two trenches, a mass grave for victims of the Israeli bombardment. Elsewhere, mounds of rubble sat undisturbed; rescue workers were too fearful of missiles to search for bodies.

Lebanese have streamed out of south Lebanon since fighting erupted between Israel and Hezbollah last week, leaving some villages almost deserted. But many people are believed trapped in their homes — too poor to live anywhere else, too afraid to travel or unable to go because bridges and roads have been destroyed.

An estimated 400,000 Lebanese make their home south of the Litani River, 20 miles from the Israeli border, and it's not known how many remain — but those that do risk being caught up in an Israeli ground offensive against Hezbollah.

"It is not looking good and it's going to last for some time," Ali Sayegh, a 39-year-old furniture salesman from Tyre, said of the Israeli offensive.

"There are not many people left in Tyre, very few walk the streets and there is a shortage of fresh produce," said Sayegh, who moved to a seaside hotel after sending his wife and two daughters abroad last week.

Israel has been broadcasting radio messages into southern Lebanon and dropping leaflets, urging all residents south of the Litani to flee. Sometimes the warnings name specific villages and say residents should clear out.

More....

link

stunster July 21, 2006 - 5:13pm

Thousands remain stranded in Tyre
Israelis say leave, but that’s not possible for many

By Anthony Shadid
The Washington Post
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/13961119/

Tina July 21, 2006 - 5:47pm

riday, July 21, 2006 · Last updated 2:08 p.m. PT

Lebanon victims buried in mass grave

By NASSER NASSER AND HAMZA HENDAWI
ASSOCIATED PRESS WRITERS

A relative from the border village of Marwaheen, Muhammed Abdullah, 53, prays by coffins containing the bodies of Lebanese victims prior to their burial in a mass grave at the southern Lebanon city of Tyre, Friday, July 21, 2006. With a few mourners at hand, 72 victims of Israel's 10-day-old bombardment are buried in a mass grave in this southern Lebanese city. Lebanese have streamed out of the south, leaving some villages ghost towns, but with roads destroyed many are trapped in their homesin the face of a possible Israeli invasion. (AP Photo/Nasser Nasser)

TYRE, Lebanon -- Soldiers laid 72 coffins in two trenches, a mass grave for victims of the Israeli bombardment. Elsewhere, mounds of rubble sat undisturbed; rescue workers were too fearful of missiles to search for bodies.

Lebanese have streamed out of south Lebanon since fighting erupted between Israel and Hezbollah last week, leaving some villages almost deserted. But many people are believed trapped in their homes - too poor to live anywhere else, too afraid to travel or unable to go because bridges and roads have been destroyed.

An estimated 400,000 Lebanese make their home south of the Litani River, 20 miles from the Israeli border, and it's not known how many remain - but those that do risk being caught up in an Israeli ground offensive against Hezbollah.

"It is not looking good and it's going to last for some time," Ali Sayegh, a 39-year-old furniture salesman from Tyre, said of the Israeli offensive.

"There are not many people left in Tyre, very few walk the streets and there is a shortage of fresh produce," said Sayegh, who moved to a seaside hotel after sending his wife and two daughters abroad last week.

Israel has been broadcasting radio messages into southern Lebanon and dropping leaflets, urging all residents south of the Litani to flee. Sometimes the warnings name specific villages and say residents should clear out.

"There is a desire to leave, but they are afraid to. They're afraid of being hit by Israeli missiles and most of the roads are out anyway," said Timur Goksel, a former senior U.N. adviser in the region who now lectures on political science at the American University of Beirut.

more

Tina July 22, 2006 - 8:49am

Time.com

By NICHOLAS BLANFORD/TYRE

As a carpenter labors in the sweltering noon heat to complete his melancholy task, his newly made coffins lie stacked up six high and stretch down the hospital courtyard. The simple pine coffins have been hammered together to receive the bodies of 86 people killed in eight days of Israeli air strikes and artillery bombardments that are part of its campaign against Hizballah. "I built 20 last night and another 10 this morning," says Fadi Salem, pausing a moment from his back breaking work.

With Hizballah showing more signs of tenacity than expected, the Israeli military issued warnings on Thursday for all residents remaining in south Lebanon to leave their homes and move north of the Litani river, which runs about 25 miles north of the border with Israel. But for far too many people, the warnings came too late.

The southern hinterland beyond Tyre has become a killing zone. Here the dead lie under the rubble of houses destroyed in air strikes and the wounded die in the streets for lack of medical attention. Almost all the roads that criss-cross the hills and valleys of the south have been heavily cratered from multiple air strikes, making them impassable. Even United Nations peacekeepers with their armored personnel carriers have abandoned the effort to resupply or evacuate residents of southern villages because of the conditions of the roads and the Israeli shelling and air strikes. "We are in close contact with the Israelis to request safe passage but their answer has not been forthcoming," says Milos Strugar, senior advisor to the UN force, known as UNIFIL.

Lebanese Red Cross volunteers, young men and women who regularly venture out to the beleaguered villages to rescue casualties, retrieve bodies and hand out whatever medicines and food they can muster, say that starving dogs abandoned by their owners are beginning to eat the dead.

Sami Yazbek, chief of the Lebanese Red Cross in Tyre, claims that even his clearly marked white-and-orange ambulances have been attacked by Israeli missile fire, which blow up the road yards in front of their vehicles. The unrelenting pressure to bring aid to the stranded villagers is beginning to take a psychological toll on his team of 50 volunteers. Distraught civilians in outlying villages constantly call in for help, Yazbek says, but often there is nothing the Red Cross can do. "We hear them pleading on the phone and we can't help but cry. It's very stressful for the guys," he says.

Compared to the rest of south Lebanon, Tyre has been a place of relative safety. It suffered only one air strike, which struck a 12-story apartment building, pancaking the top three floors and killing over 20 people, some of whose bodies remain trapped and unreachable in the debris.

-MORE- at the link.

Chickadee July 23, 2006 - 12:52am

'Hizbullah is doing more for our cause than any Arab government has ever done'

Jonathan Steele in Beirut
Friday July 21, 2006
The Guardian

His face smiles from posters all over Sabra and Shatila camp, the once world-famous home of 12,000 Palestinian refugees in Beirut, and finding anyone willing to criticise Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Lebanon's Shia militia, is a hopeless venture.
The man who launched the attack into Israel last week that captured two soldiers is widely regarded as a hero, however grim the destruction that Israel's retaliation has caused.

"Hizbullah is doing more for the Palestinian cause than any Arab government has ever done. When he says he will resist Israel, he does," said Muhammad Hassan, who runs a small barber's shop. "We didn't know he had such technology - and especially the ability to hit an Israeli warship. It was a nice surprise."

His enthusiasm for Hizbullah's leader is not blind or unquestioning. A customer nodded in support as Mr Hassan conceded: "It's diverting attention from Gaza to Lebanon, and everyone's focusing on Lebanon now." After a pause, he added: "I'm not sure whether Hizbullah should have waited but it has lessened Israel's pressure on Gaza. He may have wanted to give Gaza a breathing space." The customer chipped in: "Now there are two fronts."

Sabra and Shatila became headline news in 1982, when Israeli forces during an earlier invasion of Lebanon surrounded the camp and allowed Christian militias in to slaughter unarmed Palestinians. At least 700 people, perhaps as many as 3,500, were massacred, an atrocity for which an Israeli inquiry concluded that Ariel Sharon, then Israel's defence minister, bore "personal responsibility".

About 400,000 Palestinians live in Lebanon, almost a 10th of the country's population. Although Israel's current onslaught has not specifically targeted any of the 12 camps registered by the UN relief agency, Palestinians have suffered as much as Lebanese.

Most of the camps are in the south, three close to the stricken port of Tyre, two near Sidon and four in Beirut's southern suburbs, near the Shia areas Israel has pounded with a huge tonnage of bombs in the past week.

In the narrow alleys of Shatila, most people are too poor to have anywhere to flee to. More than 700 go into the dusty basement of an unfinished school building every evening to shelter from the bombing. A few lightbulbs, strung from waterpipes, send dim rays through the gloom, illuminating mattresses and thin carpets on the concrete floor.

Nohad, a volunteer for Najdeh, a women's rights NGO which works in the Palestinian camps, says there was much criticism of Hizbullah before the current crisis. "But whatever people think of Hizbullah ideologically, it is weakening the enemy. It's showing the enemy is not as strong as it claims to be. Hizbullah is the only group which is doing something for Palestinians."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/israel/Story/0,,1825551,00.html

stunster July 21, 2006 - 5:44pm

But I have no interest in diplomacy for the sake of returning Lebanon and Israel to the status quo ante. I think it would be a mistake.
.
What we're seeing here, in a sense, is the growing -- the birth pangs of a new Middle East.

Transcript
Secretary Rice Holds a News Conference
CQ Transcripts Wire
Friday, July 21, 2006; 2:29 PM

WaPo

Tina July 21, 2006 - 5:44pm

Snow: ‘Nobody Has Been More Diplomatically Active Than We Have’ On The Middle East Peace Process

This morning on the Today Show, White House Press Secretary Tony Snow tried to argue that “nobody has been more diplomatically active than we have” in the Middle East, citing all the phone calls White House officials have made in recent days:

http://thinkprogress.org/2006/07/21/snow-middle-east/

oh yeah we have been active....

Tina July 21, 2006 - 5:52pm

because we want the ME shaped in an image that pleases us better. If you want to know the skillset we bring to bear, please turn to the section of our corporate package marked "Iraq".

Escher Sketch July 21, 2006 - 6:44pm

a quick look at the auld map suggests to me that the US/Israel is working to militarily secure sole access to the eastern Mediterranean. - hence Gaza and Lebanon must be promptly "cleansed" of all those deemed unfriendly or otherwise in the way. This border "buffer zone" thing is a complete crock. After all, if the Israelis feel they need such a protective buffer they could set easily it up within Israel itself without invading, bombing or killing anybody. No. The coast is the prize, here. Incredible and idiotic though it may seem, Syrian/Iran must indeed still be on the war machine play list. And there is very little time.

Chickadee July 23, 2006 - 1:22am

22.7.06
Dear All

The group of civil society organizations "Lil Hayat" (For Life) is inviting all Lebanese to gather in front of the Martyr’s Square on Saturday 22 July 2006 at 11:00 a.m. for 10 minutes of silence to mourn the Martyrs that fell due to Israeli aggressions.
All persons willing to participate in this demonstration are urged to wear BLACK and to meet us at the Martyr’s Square. Please note that pamphlets carrying the name and age of the children that were massacred will be held during this silent demonstration.

Be many so we can be one.

Center of Research and Training for Development Action (CRTDA)
Lebanese Association for Democratic Election (LADE)
Permanent Peace Movement
Nahwa al-Muwatinya
Amam05
Haya Bina
Helem
Spring Hints
Lebanese Center for Civic Education
Lebanese Association for Active Learning
Youth Association for Blinds
Organization of Arab Parliamentarians Against Corruption
Lebanese Transparency Association
Arab NGOs Network for Development
Lebanese Forum for Development
Lebanese Center for Policy Studies
Mouvement Sociale
Coordination Forum for the Palestinian Organization
Byblos Ecologia
Mirsad
Frontiers
Green Line Association
Kafa
Maharat
Sawa Group
Development for People and Nature Association
Khiam Center for Rehabilitation of Torture Victims
Lebanese Union for the Disabled
National Association for Vocational Training and Social Services
Cultural Center for Southern Lebanon
Let’s Build Trust
Humanitarian Group for Social Development
MADA
Samir Kassir Foundation
GIL
Lebanese Association for Professional Divers
Norwegian People’s Aid
Fisherman’s COOP
Environment Ray Organization
Lebanese NGOs Network
Green Square

posted by Delirious @ 1:25 AM
http://lebanonheartblogs.blogspot.com/

stunster July 21, 2006 - 5:55pm

Some visuals to assist...

WARNING Very Graphic.

http://cache.gettyimages.com/xc/7148...40474FEB71FB79

http://cache.gettyimages.com/xc/7148...23A347A4D76E3A

Fine piece here:

http://lebanesebloggers.blogspot.com/2006/07/lebanon-sold-out.html

IMPORTANT LINK: LEBANON WAR - LINKS

http://lebwarlinks.bravehost.com/

The savage war on Lebanon is being waged not only militarily but also through a propaganda war that exploits the bias of much of the Western media.

A new website was created in an attempt to collect the courageous efforts of all those who are fighting back to defend Lebanon and stop the atrocities against its civilians.

The website contains images, video, posters, political demonstration information, links to other websites...

Contact information: If you have any new links that are suitable for publishing here, or if you have any suggestions, please email us at lebwarlinks@yahoo.com

Another website with video, news and pictures
http://www.lebwar.org/

stunster July 21, 2006 - 6:12pm

Yaakov Katz | July 21

The Jerusalem Post - The IDF was gearing up for a large-scale ground incursion into Lebanon on Friday. Thousands of reservists were being mobilized to the North throughout Friday to beef up forces stationed in the area in preparation for a possible operation.

In total, three to four ground divisions will be operating along the Lebanese front.

Defense Minister Amir Peretz said on Friday that the defense establishment was evaluating the size of the force needed to conduct a large-scale operation in Lebanon.

"We have no intention of being dragged into something that Hizbullah wants to drag us into," Peretz said. "Nevertheless, we will operate in every place that we find it necessary."

On Friday afternoon, the IAF dropped leaflets over southern Lebanon all the way up to the Litani River calling on residents to move northward to avoid being caught in clashes between IDF forces and Hizbullah cells. The move could signify a step in preparation for the ground incursion.

[emphasis added]

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 21, 2006 - 7:08pm

Yaakov Katz | July 21

The Jerusalem Post - Last month, the Northern Command conducted a massive exercise to practice war with Hizbullah. At the time, senior officers claimed that the IDF's working assumption was that the border could flare up at any moment, although it's doubtful anyone believed then that the situation would evolve into an all-out war.

The exercise was considered a groundbreaking success in that it simulated a new concept in the art of warfare under consideration by the General Staff. Dubbed "Integration of Branches," the concept essentially takes the chief of staff out of the operational picture and sets the regional commander, in this case OC Northern Command Maj.-Gen. Udi Adam, in charge of what the IDF is now calling the "operation zone."

In the past, the regional commander was only in charge of his own ground forces plus a restricted section of the battle zone. Air and navy forces were under the command of the chief of staff, as were decisions about incursions into enemy territory.

[emphasis added]

[Comment: This would seem possibly to be an indicator that this was a planned pre-emptive that got bumped up. ~ JPD]

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 21, 2006 - 7:10pm

than that all of this was mobilized for the abduction of the soldiers - on that short notice. I've seen a fair bit of speculation on this.

And of course it would incidentally mean that giving the survivors back would be a meaningless concession, as that plan would obviously have its own objectives which will be pursued until achieved or thwarted.

Escher Sketch July 21, 2006 - 7:33pm

It's not a new concept in the art of warfare. It's called "joint command" and it's been used by the United States since WW2. This is the capability that all of the former C-in-C's around the globe have had since the late 1940s. It may be something new in Israeli command, but it's not anything particularly new in warfare in general.

VizierVic July 21, 2006 - 7:35pm

The Israelis haven't been too purple, though most everyone else is. What I was thinking significant was the fact that they'd live exercised it, in conjunction with the fact reported, I believe, in the Jerusalem Post about three days after the initial air attacks, that one division's worth of personnel had been mobilized to train for this type of contingency op about a week before the balloon went up.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 21, 2006 - 11:27pm

The US and Israel blame Syria and Iran for supplying missles.
How about blaming the US for supplying tanks, missles, bombs and other warfare equipment that is attacking Lebanon!
This equipment was only for defence.
They are using it for offence!
Hezbollah was only organized for defence of Lebanon.
Bush, give me a break!
Let the Palestinians have a home without Israeli occupation!

repressive governments mix administrative clumsiness & inefficiency with authoritarian tendencies.

kimmy July 21, 2006 - 8:45pm

Lexicon of Lebanon War II

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/741144.html

Ehud Asheri

Alertness: One level below "preparedness." The term that the Israel Defense Forces Spokesman's Office has found to characterize the level of civilian deployment required "from Tel Aviv northward," without throwing the population of that city into panic. Clearly this has not helped. At least in my immediate environment, the "alertness" has killed the "fortitude."

Beyond: "Beyond Haifa" - An up-to-date name for Tel Aviv.

Crushing: The Israeli response to the rocket threat. A common expression in the culinary world that has been borrowed to describe in a polite way massive, unfocused army bombardments that are not based on intelligence information (synonym: "statistical bombing"). The Israel Air Force attacks are "crushing" the ground in the hope that someone or something important will be hit - and if not, so what? In any case, the entire area is a "terror infrastructure." Other possibilities: "grinding," "pulverizing," "finely mincing," "barbecuing."

Embrace: Until recently it was customary to "extend a hand, to "identify" and to "support." During the past two weeks everyone has begun to "embrace." Ehud Olmert, a serial embracer, gave the signal for this. After the abduction at Kerem Shalom, he announced that "the people of Israel embrace the Shalit family." In his speech this week in the Knesset he declared: "I would like to give a big embrace to the families of the abductees and the boys themselves." He is not the only one. Actor Zvika Adar went up north "to embrace" residents, Supersol "is embracing the inhabitants of the line of hostilities" (and inviting them to its branches), the daily Maariv and Bank Discount are "embracing residents of the north" (and distributing newspapers to them), Pelephone is sending them a digital "embrace" (represented by two parentheses), and even Bank Igud is "embracing the people of the north" (and referring them to its branches). In contrast to formal expressions like "identifying" and "reinforcing," embracing is an image from the intimate realm that has spilled over, to its detriment, into the public, political and commercial realm. Along the way it has undergone a process of cheapening, so much so that it is already difficult to embrace your beloved without thinking about Olmert, Pelephone and Supersol. If the war goes on, they are liable also to "be there for us."

Fortitude: As used in "home-front fortitude," this is a delicate way of saying "keep getting pounded quietly." A term coined by the chief of staff at the start of the IDF's actions as a counterweight to Nasrallah's "spider webs." Synonyms: "strength," "staunchness," "determination," "backing." Behind all of them hides an interest in getting an unconditional mandate from the public to continue the "crushing" (see above), even at the price of civilian losses. Therefore, extolling "home-front fortitude" began way before the home front even began to understand what was befalling it. Two things are annoying about the most worn cliche on the ground: It delegitimizes any manifestation of civilian distress, and it places the responsibility for "victory" on the population instead of on the country's statesmen and the generals.

Gang: The name given by IAF commander Eliezer Shkedi to Hezbollah. Accordingly, Nasrallah is "the gang leader." If it is impossible to crush him with airplanes, it is always possible to crush him with words. Shkedi knows very well that Hezbollah is far from being a "gang." The use of this disparaging word only reveals the frustration of the major general, who has suddenly become a rank-and-file propagandist. But in this field, he doesn't stand a chance against Nasrallah.

He: "He" armed himself, "he" hid the rockets, "he" abducted soldiers, "he" is lobbing Katyushas, "he" is shooting at civilians. Thus one achieves a rhetorical combination of demonization and glorification. Hezbollah is Nasrallah. "He" does everything by himself. How does he manage to do everything?

Running away: In the Gulf War they called this "defecting" in order to condemn anyone who dares leave his home for fear of a missile attack. This time the term being used is "running away," but the tone of condemnation remains palpable ("It isn't seemly to run away," said author A.B. Yehoshua, who decided to remain in his home in Haifa). It is more important to preserve "home-front fortitude" than his children's lives.

Sharon's heritage: It used to be "a settlement on every hilltop." Then it was replaced by "disengagement from every hilltop." Today it denotes "defeatism" in face of the armed terror entity that dug in on our northern border.

Special situation: Up until these week we knew "emergency situations" on the home front. This week the "special situation" has entered our lives. This is an official term that grants the security forces civil-emergency authority, but on this occasion it is supposed to serve as an antidote to panic, like "alertness" (see above). In fact, this is really a "dangerous situation," but the lawmaker was not eager to scare civilians.

Strategic surprise: A sophisticated upgrading of "home-front fortitude." The "strategic surprise" is not the Hezbollah's missile and rocket capabilities: It is the Israeli public's fortitude. All at once the civilians are transformed from a strategic target to a strategic asset. If one is already being pounded by a rocket, it is better to get pounded as an asset and not as a burden. As if there were any choice.

Strengthened: This is used as in the case of "we have come out strengthened." An especially self-righteous variant of "home-front fortitude." The mother of all the cliches that have basked in glory this week, thanks to IDF Spokeswoman Miri Regev, the most "strengthened" woman in Israel.

War: The military conflict between Israel and Hezbollah does not yet have an agreed-upon name, but the media have determined that what we are having is a "war." As in "the Six-Day War" and "the Yom Kippur War." How has the fighting earned this binding definition? After all, it does not answer most of the criteria of a "war" per se (especially when the enemy is nothing but a "gang.") Apparently the term serves as a slogan for universal enlistment: "Israel at War" is how Channel 2 headlines its broadcasts. As civilians have become targets, it is necessary to enlist them in the fighting and this can be done only if they are convinced Israel has embarked on "a war for our home" (and preferably "a war of no choice"). No one is going to sit in a shelter for weeks on end for a mere "campaign".


"at some point I'm hopeful I'll figure out something to put here"

nymole July 21, 2006 - 9:13pm

Facts not reported in the US media.

The legitimate basis for the IDF's operation was stripped away the moment it began. It's no accident that nobody mentions the day before the attack on the Kerem Shalom fort, when the IDF kidnapped two civilians, a doctor and his brother, from their home in Gaza. The difference between us and them? We kidnapped civilians and they captured a soldier, we are a state and they are a terror organization. How ridiculously pathetic Amos Gilad sounds when he says that the capture of Shalit was "illegitimate and illegal," unlike when the IDF grabs civilians from their homes. How can a senior official in the defense ministry claim that "the head of the snake" is in Damascus, when the IDF uses the exact same methods? ...
Truthout

It all started on July 12 when Israel troops were ambushed on Lebanon's side of the border with Israel. Hezbollah, which commands the Lebanese south, immediately seized on their crossing. They arrested two Israeli soldiers, killed eight Israelis and wounded over 20 in attacks inside Israeli territory.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HG15Ak02.html

NOAM CHOMSKY:
Gaza, itself, the latest phase, began on June 24. It was when Israel abducted two Gaza civilians, a doctor and his brother. We don't know their names. You don't know the names of victims. They were taken to Israel, presumably, and nobody knows their fate. The next day, something happened, which we do know about, a lot. Militants in Gaza, probably Islamic Jihad, abducted an Israeli soldier across the border. That's Corporal Gilad Shalit. And that's well known; first abduction is not. Then followed the escalation of Israeli attacks on Gaza, which I don't have to repeat. It's reported on adequately.
Zmag

AFP reports...
Selon la police libanaise, les deux soldats ont été capturés en territoire libanais, dans la région de Aïta al-Chaab près de la frontière, alors que la télévision israélienne a indiqué qu'ils avaient été capturés en territoire israélien.

ENGLISH TRANSLATION: According to the Lebanese police force, the two soldiers were captured in Lebanese territory, in the area of Aïta Al-Chaab close to the border, whereas Israeli television indicated that they had been captured in Israeli territory.
Yahoo

HERE 's THE MAP:
http://thumbsnap.com/v/sEKsW7oj.jpg

Also:

Few readers of a British newspaper would have noticed the story. In the Observer of 25 June, it merited a mere paragraph hidden in the “World in brief” section, revealing that the previous day a team of Israeli commandos had entered the Gaza Strip to “detain” two Palestinians Israel claims are members of Hamas.

The significance of the mission was alluded to in a final phrase describing this as “the first arrest raid in the territory since Israel pulled out of the area a year ago”. More precisely, it was the first time the Israeli army had re-entered the Gaza Strip, directly violating Palestinian control of the territory, since it supposedly left in August last year.

As the Observer landed on doorsteps around the UK, however, another daring mission was being launched in Gaza that would attract far more attention from the British media – and prompt far more concern.
Global Research

stunster July 21, 2006 - 9:14pm

Hizbullah MP Nawwar el Sahili to Larry King:
"yes we kidnapped 2 israelis, but no one bothers to ask why does israel hold many lebanese and occupy part of our land.
The kidnapping of the 2 israelis was a REACTION and not a provocation"

Larry King asked him whether the 2 are ok, he said: OF COURSE, we treat them like brothers, we are not terrorists like you call us, we are a resistance.
__________________

stunster July 21, 2006 - 10:14pm

July 22, 2006
Weapons
U.S. Speeds Up Bomb Delivery for the Israelis
By DAVID S. CLOUD and HELENE COOPER
WASHINGTON, July 21 — The Bush administration is rushing a delivery of precision-guided bombs to Israel, which requested the expedited shipment last week after beginning its air campaign against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, American officials said Friday.

The decision to quickly ship the weapons to Israel was made with relatively little debate within the Bush administration, the officials said. Its disclosure threatens to anger Arab governments and others because of the appearance that the United States is actively aiding the Israeli bombing campaign in a way that could be compared to Iran’s efforts to arm and resupply Hezbollah....

More:
NYT

What efforts by Iran? Has anyone seen any evidence of such?

stunster July 21, 2006 - 10:26pm

On 1 June 2004, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency notified Congress of a possible Foreign Military Sale to Israel of Joint Direct Attack Munitions as well as associated equipment and services. The total value, if all options are exercised, could be as high as $319 million.

Specifically the Government of Israel has requested a possible sale of:
5,000 Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM) tail kits (which include 2,500 GBU-31 for MK-84, 500 GBU-31 for BLU-109, 500 GBU-32 for MK-83, and 1,500 GBU-30 for MK-82 bombs)
2,500 MK-84 live bombs
1,500 MK-82 live bombs
500 BLU-109 live bombs
500 MK-83 live bombs
40 MK-84 inert bombs
40 MK-82 inert bombs
40 BLU-109 inert bombs
40 MK-83 inert bombs
4,500 DSU-33B/B live fuze components
4,500 FMU-139B/B live fuze components
500 FMU-143B/B live fuze components

In addition Israel has requested the aforementioned 100 GBU-28s.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 21, 2006 - 11:35pm

(1) the relatively large number of GBU-28s, presumably for use against Iran (I doubt that Hezbollah has built anything that would require such weapons);

(2) the relatively small number of 500-lb weapons: Israel doesn't seem to be following the US lead in moving toward smaller weapons for use in precision strikes/urban areas; and

(3) the large number of dsu-33 airburst proximity fuses for use in the JDAMs.

No idea how this fits in with earlier purchases, though. But I'd wonder how much of this is applicable to Lebanon.

ScottM July 22, 2006 - 2:04pm

...of 500 lb bomb bodies is due to the fact that they're typically hitting military hardware, rather than people using these systems.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 22, 2006 - 4:49pm

although the pattern of strikes reported thus far - and especially the number of strikes in urban areas, where such smaller weapons are supposed to minimise collateral damage - doesn't seem that much different.

ScottM July 22, 2006 - 10:40pm

Israeli raids arround elhallousieh, tayrdiba, el abbasieh, el chaaytieh, el klayleh, el zrerieh

Tayyar.org at 7.05am Lebanon time

stunster July 22, 2006 - 12:02am

here is a link to a Google Earth .kmz file (Lebanon_July_2006.kmz) that I found at Wikipedia containing a detailed and zoomable satellite map of Lebanon with a great deal of current news reports hotlinked to specific sites. It might be useful.

If you have Google Earth installed, you can simply open the file after downloading. If not, download the free version at googleearth.com.

Be aware of divergent spellings of names. el abbasieh is clearly Al-Abbasiyah, but I'm guessing elhallousieh is Halusiyah al-Fawwar (stunster, correct this if I am wrong?)

If so, that means Israeli ground forces are within spitting distance of the Litani already.

If anyone else has links to high-quality maps that are zoomable and detailed, I'd be grateful. Mine lack the necessary resolution.

BTW, there's a good general overview of the conflict at Wiki.

Escher Sketch July 22, 2006 - 1:12am

...are airstrikes, rather than raids by ground forces:

July 22, 2006
* 09:53 Ministry of Social Affairs calls on employees to report for work

* 09:52 Estimated number of US citizens evacuated from Lebanon yesterday around 5,000

* 09:46 Demonstration in Sao Paulo, Brazil against Israeli aggression on Lebanon

* 09:24 Israeli airplanes circle over Beirut and Baalbek

* 09:10 Israel confirms seizure of Marwaheen and Maroun al-Ras

* 08:45 Bush accuses Syria and Iran of threatening entire Middle East

* 08:15 UN spokesperson announces that Israeli army occupies two sites in South Lebanon

* 07:05 Israeli air strikes on environs of al-Halousieh, Tayr Diba, al-Abbasiyeh, al-Shaittiyeh, al-Qalila and al-Zrariyeh

* 02:19 According to Lebanese Health Ministry, 362 killed and 1,350 wounded in war on Lebanon

* 01:49 Relative calm in capital Beirut

* 01:09 Canada questions Israel over attack on boat evacuating Canadian citizens to Turkey

* 00:29 German Chancellor Angela Merkel calls on silencing of weapons, confirms Israel’s right to defend itself

* 00:16 Israeli military sources indicate number of attacks deep in Lebanon to rise and deny intention to launch widespread ground offensive

* 0:07 Three air strikes target five trucks in Arsaal in Bekaa

[emphasis added]

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 22, 2006 - 12:07pm

Never heard of an 'Air RAID Siren'?

stunster July 22, 2006 - 12:13pm

...usage as an indicator that there were IDF ground forces on the banks of the Litani, which they don't seem to be - having gone to the site and found the source material, I clarified as an aid to all, not as an attempt at snark. When I'm being sarcastic it's more obvious.

This would, by the way, be a reason why it is that we link to our sources, so that others may contextualise and interpret them more easily.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 22, 2006 - 12:20pm

thanks for the clarification.

Did you check out the Google Earth thing? What online maps - if you use them - do you recommend to track this?

Escher Sketch July 22, 2006 - 1:10pm

AUB has some maps online, but they aren't as good as the Google Earth overlay. Ideally one would like a 1:50,000 map series, but I haven't been able to dig one up online.

"We declared war on terror, it's not even a noun, so, good luck. After we defeat it, I'm sure we'll take on that bastard ennui." - Jon Stewart.

JustPlainDave July 22, 2006 - 4:51pm

don't assume challenges are personal slams - challenging info happens a lot here.

I for one appreciate your postings, and I'm sure I'm not alone.

Escher Sketch July 22, 2006 - 1:21pm

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