July 19
Team Agonist -
This is the Middle East Crisis III open-thread. We all hope this doesn't turn into the July War, but these days? Please post all developments, news stories, comments, links, theories, ideas, etc. here in this thread. The earlier threads can be found here and here.
Two from Stratfor:
The Lebanese army will join Hezbollah in the fight against Israeli forces should Israel invade Lebanon, The Associated Press reported July 20.
And:
Two Israeli Apache attack helicopters collided over a road 6 miles from the Lebanese border, near Ramat Naftali in northern Israel on July 20. At least four soldiers are reported as casualties.
More as it develops. . .
Hassan Nasrallah killed in Israeli attack?
From Stratfor:
The Israeli air force targeted a Hezbollah bunker in the Bourj al-Barajneh section of southern Beirut, Lebanon, on July 19. Senior Hezbollah leaders are thought to have been in the bunker, which is located in a Palestinian refugee camp.
Dozens of aircraft participated in the operations, in which 23 tons of explosives were dropped. This operation was evidently aimed at a high-value Hezbollah target, such as the groupÕs leader and chief planner, Hassan Nasrallah. Following the raid, the Israeli NRG Maariv Web site reported that information obtained by security forces revealed Nasrallah was in the bunker at the time of the attack. Hezbollah TV countered, saying none of its leaders were killed in the airstrike.
There is no confirmation yet whether the Hezbollah leader was killed. The next 24 hours will be telling, as Hezbollah will be under intense pressure to produce an audio or video broadcast to prove Nasrallah is still alive. If Hezbollah remains quiet in the following hours, we can bet he is dead.
Two from Stratfor to start things off:
Israel will continue ground operations in Lebanese territory despite sustaining casualties in earlier fighting with Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israeli Northern Command chief Maj. Gen. Udi Adam said July 19, Israeli Channel 2 television reported.
And:
Syria refused entry to a U.N. contingent visiting the Middle East unless one of the group members -- Norwegian Terje Roed-Larsen -- is left behind, a U.N. official said July 19. Roed-Larsen is the U.N. adviser on Syria-Lebanon issues, has reported to the UN on Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon, as well as arms flows from Syria to Hezbollah in Lebanon. The U.N. team returned to New York instead of visiting Damascus.