Team Agonist | San Antonio | July 14
The Agonist -
This is the Middle East Crisis open-thread. We all hope this doesn't turn into the July War, but these days? Please post all developments, news stories, comments, links, theories, ideas, etc. here in this thread.
Israelis kill 45, including 8 Canadians on vacation, in a reprisal attack on Hezbollah:
Israeli warplanes engaged in a fierce bombardment of targets in south Beirut and southern Lebanon, killing some 45 people and wounding more than 100, according to local reports. Among the dead were eight Canadians, with another six critically injured, largely from an air attack on the border town of Aitaroun, where they were vacationing, the Canadian government reported.
More after the jump ~ This is the open thread.
Please go read this background article, written just before the crisis errupted. `Ian
From the NYTimes:
The radical Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr said Friday that Iraqis would not “sit by with folded hands” while Israel struck at Lebanon, signaling a possible increase in attacks from his mercurial militia, the Mahdi Army.
In a written statement, Mr. Sadr also said that he considered the United States culpable in the conflict unfolding in Lebanon, since America was the largest foreign ally of Israel.
Two from Stratfor:
The Israeli army July 15 confirmed earlier reports that four Israeli sailors are missing from a naval vessel that came under attack July 14 off the coast of Lebanon, and said operations are in progress to locate them.
And:
Israeli aircraft struck the Palestinian National Authority (PNA) Economy Ministry building in Gaza early July 15 local time, setting the building on fire. No casualties have been reported.
Two more from Stratfor:
Four Israeli troops are missing from a ship that was attacked and seriously damaged by an explosives-laden drone off the coast of Lebanon, Al Jazeera reported July 14, citing an unnamed Israeli politician. The Israeli military is reportedly searching for the four soldiers.
And:
Hezbollah chief Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah said July 14 in a speech broadcast on Hezbollah media outlets that his group will strike "beyond Haifa and what is beyond, beyond Haifa." Hezbollah has the capability to launch an attack on Tel Aviv, Israel, from Southern Lebanon.
Bush Won't Pressure Israel for Cease-Fire
(Associated Press) President Bush rejected Lebanon's calls for a cease-fire in escalating Mideast violence on Friday, saying only that Israel should try to limit civilian casualties as it steps up attacks on its neighbor.
"The president is not going to make military decisions for Israel," White House spokesman Tony Snow said.
Ceasefire Conditions Floated by Olmert
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert set three conditions for a U.N.-brokered cease-fire in Lebanon on July 14. According to Israeli government spokeswoman Miri Eisin, "The prime minister is prepared to finish our operations in Lebanon if Hezbollah releases our two soldiers, stops its rocket fire and if the Lebanese government decides to implement U.N. Security Council Resolution 1559," which calls for the disarming of all Lebanese militias, most notably Hezbollah and armed Palestinian groups based in Lebanon.
Iran warns Israel not to attack Syria. (Via Martini Republic, which is covering the ongoing mess in the Middle East very well.)
Israel Extends Strikes Deeper Into Lebanon
Israel extended punishing air strikes deeper inside Lebanon today, as President Bush rebuffed a Lebanese request that he push Israel for a ceasefire.
Israeli warplanes hit areas in Beirut’s suburbs that are linked to the militant group Hezbollah, cut the main highway between the capital and Damascus in Syria, and struck power plants near Beirut and a Palestinian training camp near the Syrian border.
From Stratfor's Friday Geopolitical Diary:
Two Katyusha rockets hit the Israeli port city of Haifa on Thursday, demonstrating the formidable reach of Hezbollah's rocket capabilities from southern Lebanon. Almost immediately afterward, Hezbollah issued an official denial of the attack. Following the denial, Stratfor received highly reliable information that the two missiles were not authorized by the core leadership, indicating major cracks in Hezbollah's chain of command.
I'm not surprised we are seeing factions in each of Israel, the US, Iran and Hezbollah playing off of each other to manuever everyone else into a decision. The Israeli's have called up the reserves and the speculation is the Litani River at a minimum, perhaps the outskirts of Beirut.
Oh, and Kenny Baer, aside from having his own personal mole placed in the Iranian Ministry of Defense, asks a really good question: "[W]here is W?"
Same thing he was doing on 9/11. Same thing he was doing during Katrina, too. Nothing.
From FP Passport: Israeli ambassador refuses to rule out attacking Iran
And video from Crooks and Liars: John Gibson: Iran Attacking Israel Is Really Attacking the U.S.
War on Iran Has Begun
U.S. vetoes U.N. condemnation of Israel
Full Israeli Invasion of Southern Lebanon?
"You Forget Yourself, Mr. Olmert"
The Neocons and Israel
Can't Wear Sharon's Shoes
Hezbollah, Israel and Palestine
Something Big Indeed